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Workplace Nurseries

Mr. David Howell : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what is his policy on the taxation of benefits to employees accruing from the provision of workplace nurseries and creches.

Mr. Major : Employees pay income tax on their earnings whether received in cash or in kind. A subsidised place in a workplace nursery or creche is a benefit in kind and any subsidy is a proper subject for tax. The costs to the employer of subsidising workplace nurseries--or otherwise financing childcare for employees--is allowable against corporation tax.


Column 26

Mr. David Howell : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether he will now review the policies of taxation in relation to benefits to employees from the provision of workplace nurseries and other child care facilities by employers.

Mr. Major : I refer my right hon. Friend to the reply that my hon. Friend the Financial Secretary gave to the hon. Member for Norwood (Mr. Fraser) on 3 November at column 361.

Exchange Rate Mechanism

Mr. Cousins : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what are the components of the trade weighted index for pound sterling's exchange value ; and what precentage of the weighting is accounted for by currencies linked to the exchange rate mechanism.


Column 27

Mr. Ryder : I refer the hon. Member to the "Economic Progress Report" for December 1988, published by her Majesty's Treasury, copies of which have been placed in the Library. Of those countries represented in the index, Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, the Republic of Ireland, Spain and Denmark participate in the exchange rate mechanism.

Civil Service

Mr. Harry Greenway : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer how many civil servants are in post at the current time ; what the figure was 10 years ago ; what was the average pay of a civil servant in 1979 and what it is at the present time ; what are the figures in real terms ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Ryder : There were 567,073 civil servants in post on 1 July 1989 compared with 732,275 on 1 April 1979. The average pay of a civil servant, taken as the pay of an administrative officer--the grade with by far the largest number of staff in post--at the top of the scale was £3,627 in April 1979 and £8,305 in October 1989 ; that represents an increase of 129 per cent. or, after adjusting for inflation, a real increase of 14 per cent.

Capital Account

Mr. Allen : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer how much of the financing of the capital account is made up of (a) the sale of United Kingdom businesses to organisations based abroad and (b) other categories, for the latest year for which figures are available.

Mr. Norman Lamont : The value of acquisitions by overseas companies in 1988 financed from overseas shown in "British Business" (19 September 1989, page 20, table 5), is a substantial part of the figures of direct investment by overseas residents within the total capital transactions account shown in table 8.1 of the "UK Balance of Payments", 1989 edition (the CSO Pink Book). Copies of those publications are in the Library.

Medical Insurance

Sir Gerard Vaughan : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what steps he is taking to hasten the implementation of the provision of the Finance Act to introduce a tax allowance to help elderly subscribers to medical insurance ; and what representations he has received from insurance companies expressing concern about their ability to meet customers' demands for tax relief to take effect from 6 April 1990.

Mr. Lilley : The Inland Revenue has been consulting the private medical insurers on draft regulations to ensure a smooth introduction of the relief. I understand that all the major insurers are planning to offer contracts by 6 April 1990 that will meet the requirements for the relief.

Departmental Funding

Mr. Sayeed : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he has any plans to limit (a) the total sum or (b) the proportion of the sums originally voted which may be carried forward by a Deaprtment from one financial year to another as a result of (i) capital or (ii) running costs underspends ; and if he will make a statement.


Column 28

Mr. Norman Lamont : The end-year flexibility scheme for central Government capital expenditure enables Departments to carry forward underspends of up to 5 per cent. of their eligible provision plus any carryover entitlement from the previous year not taken up in a Supplementary Estimate, or £2 million--whichever is the greater. The end-year flexibility scheme for running costs enables qualifying Departments to carry forward underspends of up to 0.5 per cent. of their eligible running costs provision or £50,000--whichever is the greater.

Customs and Excise

Mr. Amess : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what steps Her Majesty's Customs and Excise are taking to acquire additional information technology skills from the private sector.

Mr. Ryder : Following a procurement exercise involving 12 potential suppliers and a very thorough evaluation of proposals, HM Customs and Excise has, with the assistance of the Central Computer and Telecommunications Agency, selected Logica Communications and Electronic Systems Limited, to provide staff to assist with the maintenance and enhancement of existing IT systems and the development of new projects, and BIS Applied Systems Limited, to assist in the area of project management and control.

The first project to benefit from those arrangements will be VAT II, which has been set up to develop a replacement for the existing VAT system initially implemented in 1973.

Exchange Rate

Mr. Livingstone : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what effect the non-publication of forecasts of overseas sector capital flows has on the process of making projections, in the Autumn Statement or elsewhere, of the future exchange rate.

Mr. Norman Lamont [holding answer 12 December 1989] : Although forecasts of overseas capital flows are not published, the Treasury does look carefully at the capital account as part of the detailed figuring underlying the published forecast.

Endangered Species

Mr. Dalyell : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what are the implications for the enforcement of regulations concerning the wildlife trade and the implementation of CITES of the effect on specialist skills, including intelligence gathering and criminal identification, resulting from the proposed move of the Customs and Excise endangered species branch from London to Southend.

Mr. Ryder [holding answer 13 December 1989] : There is no reason to suppose that the proposed relocation from London to Southend of the small group of Customs and Excise headquarters staff dealing with import and export controls on endangered species will have any significant effect on the level of enforcement.

British Aerospace

Mr. Gordon Brown : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer whether the exchange of letters with British Aerospace was made available by the Inland Revenue to Touche Ross when it acted for the National Audit Office.


Column 29

Mr. Lilley [holding answer 14 December 1989] : The National Audit Office did not ask the Inland Revenue to make available any papers.

Ivory

35. Mr. Tony Banks : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will make it his policy to destroy publicly all ivory stocks seized by Her Majesty's Customs and Excise.

Mr. Ryder [holding answer 14 December 1989] : No. I do not think that it would be sensible to commit Customs to a policy of invariably destroying, whether in public or not, all ivory seized by it as illegally imported. I shall, however, ensure that it continues to dispose of all such goods in a manner acceptable to me and to my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for the Environment, who has overall responsibility for endangered species policy in the United Kingdom. Certainly, none will be disposed of in a way that offends current conservation principles.

Nationalised Industries

Mr. Hood : To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer if he will name each of the chairmen of the nationalised industries ; and if he will give details of salaries and other remunerations applicable to each.

Mr. Norman Lamont [pursuant to his reply 7 December 1989, columns 311 -12] : I regret that there were errors in the table of my earliereply. The correct information requested is set out in the following table.


Chairman                          Nationalised Industry            Salary<1>                                                        

                                                                  |£                                                                

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sir Robert Haslam                |British Coal                    |160,000                                                          

Sir Robert Reid                  |British Railways Board          |90,950                                                           

Mr. C. Campbell                  |British Shipbuilders            |21,675                                                           

Mr. D. Ingman                    |British Waterways Board         |33,700                                                           

Mr. C. Tugendhat                 |Civil Aviation Authority        |60,000                                                           

Sir Philip Jones                 |Electricity Council             |94,380                                                           

Lord Marshall                    |Central Electricity Generating  |111,000                                                          

                                 |  Board                                                                                           

Mr. J. C. Smith                  |Eastern Electricity Board       |57,390                                                           

Mr. J. F. Harris                 |East Midlands Electricity Board |57,390                                                           

Mr. J. J. Wilson                 |London Electricity Board        |57,390                                                           

Mr. B. H. Weston                 |Merseyside and North Wales      |57,390                                                           

                                 |  Electricity Board                                                                               

Mr. B. S. Townsend               |Midlands Electricity Board      |57,390                                                           

Mr. D. Morris                    |North Eastern Electricity Board |80,000                                                           

Mr. K. Harvey                    |North Western Electricity Board |49,005                                                           

Mr. G. A. Squair                 |South Eastern Electricity Board |57,390                                                           

Mr. D. A. Ross                   |Southern Electricity Board      |57,390                                                           

Mr. J. W. Evans                  |South Wales Electricity Board   |57,390                                                           

Mr. A. W. Nicol                  |South Western Electricity Board |57,390                                                           

Mr. J. Porteous                  |Yorkshire Electricity Board     |57,390                                                           

Mr. W. Newton                    |London Regional Transport       |80,000                                                           

Mr. M. Joughin                   |North of Scotland Hydro Electric|39,750                                                           

                                 |  Board                                                                                           

Sir Bryan Nicholson              |Post Office                     |102,000                                                          

Mr. I. S. Irwin                  |Scottish Transport Group        |59,825                                                           

Mr. D. J. Miller                 |South of Scotland Electricity   |66,900                                                           

                                 |  Board                                                                                           

Mr. B. Henderson                 |Anglian Water Plc<2>            |43,860                                                           

Sir Michael Straker              |Northumbrian Water Group Plc<2> |30,638                                                           

Mr. W. Grove                     |North West Water Group Plc<2>   |61,275                                                           

Mr. J. Bellak                    |Severn Trent Plc<2>             |49,020                                                           

Mr. W. Courtney                  |Southern Water Plc<2>           |43,860                                                           

Mr. K. Court                     |South West Water Plc<2>         |51,063                                                           

Mr. R. Watts                     |Thames Water Plc<2>             |49,020                                                           

Mr. J. Jones                     |Welsh Water Plc<2>              |43,860                                                           

Mr. W. Hood                      |Wessex Water Plc<2>             |40,850                                                           

Mr. G. Jones                     |Yorkshire Water Plc<2>          |54,825                                                           

<1> Actual salaries. Some Chairmen are part-time.                                                                                   

<2> The 10 Water Authorities were vested as Companies Act companies owned by Government on 1 September, and privatised on 12        

December.                                                                                                                           

Chairmen are also eligible for performance bonus schemes with a maximum limit of 25 per cent. of salary.

AGRICULTURE, FISHERIES AND FOOD

Microwave Ovens

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food if he will take steps to encourage retailers to provide an inquiry and advisory service to purchasers of microwave ovens in the light of his Department's recent report ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Maclean : We have encouraged the Retail Consortium to ensure that its members stock the updated instructions for the safe use of domestic microwave ovens issued by oven manufacturers.

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food whether he has recorded any incidence of bovine spongiform encephalopathy in cattle born since animal proteins were withdrawn from cattle rations.

Mr. Maclean : No.

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food how many cattle his Ministry is currently monitoring to assess the possible vertical transmission of bovine spongiform encephalopathy ; what the parameters are of this research ; and if he will make a statement on progress of the research to date.

Mr. Maclean : Three hundred and thirty progeny of BSE-affected dams and the same number of control animals are being monitored on three of the Ministry's experimental husbandry farms. The study is designed to determine whether maternal transmission occurs either in utero and/or in the immediate period after birth and, if so, at what incidence. The animals will be maintained on experimental husbandry farms until seven years of age unless death or the need to cull intervenes. The brains of all animals will be examined

histopathologically and all carcases will be destroyed. Because of the long incubation period for this disease, results will not be forthcoming for some time.

Casualty Animals

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food if he has any plans to encourage the development of on-farm slaughter facilities for casualty animals.

Mr. Maclean : The legislation already permits on-farm slaughter of casualty animals. It is an offence to transport casualties if by reason of their unfitness it will cause them unnecessary suffering.

Dairy Herd

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food what action he is taking to reduce the incidence of campylobacter and leptospira infection in the national dairy herd.


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Mr. Maclean : There are no statutory or voluntary measures relating to campylobacter in cattle. However, the veterinary investigation service will, on request, provide assistance in diagnosis.

A chargeable voluntary component in the cattle health scheme provides herds infected with leptospira hardjo with a programme to control or eliminate infection.

Antibiotics

Mr. Ron Davies : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food what information he has concerning the use of quinolone antibiotics as prophylactics.

Mr. Maclean : Products containing quinolone are not licensed in the United Kingdom for prophylactic purposes.

Animals and Birds (Imports)

Mr. Dalyell : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food what checks on the import of live animals and birds will be available after 1992.

Mr. Maclean : It is intended that those from non-EC countries will be imported only via approved frontier inspection posts, for both animal health and welfare purposes. The European Commission has yet to make any proposals to the Council for animal health controls on intra-Community trade in live animals and birds after 1992. The Commission has submitted proposals on the protection of animals during transport but negotiations on these has yet to begin.

Mr. Dalyell : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food what figures are easily available regarding the importation of both pet birds and captive birds for 1988 ; and how many birds in each category (a) were dead on arrival and (b) died in quarantine.

Mr. Maclean : Figures have been compiled for the numbers of commercially imported birds arriving at approved quarantine premises during 1988. These will be available very shortly and will include mortalities both on arrival and during the statutory quarantine period.

Voluntary Organisations

Dr. David Clark : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food which voluntary organisations received grants from his Department for each year since 1986 ; and for what purposes these were given.

Mr. Gummer : Since 1986 the following voluntary organisations have received grants from my Department for the purposes shown : (i) National Proficiency Tests Council --to enable the Council to devise, promote and maintain standards of proficiency tests in agriculture and horticulture in England and Wales.

(ii) The National Federation of Young Farmers' Clubs --to help towards the cost of the Federation's activities in agricultural education.

(iii) Farming and Wildlife Trust --to make provision for the conservation and enhancement of the natural beauty of the countryside.

(iv) Society for the Responsible Use of Resources in Agriculture and on the Land (RURAL) --to promote exchanges of views through the organisation of conferences in all aspects of rural land use and the use of resources in agriculture.

(v) The Countryside Commission for "Operation Silvanus" --to promote the better management of existing woodlands on farms.


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(vi) British Trout Association --to promote exports of United Kingdom farmed trout products to targeted third countries.

Lead-contaminated Feed

Mr. Robert Hicks : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food what action he proposes to assist livestock producers whose cattle have been cleared following tests for lead-contaminated feed but are unable to obtain slaughtering facilities for their fat cattle ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Curry : In all our discussions with the industry on this incident, we have repeatedly assured all concerned that meat derived from animals cleared for slaughter conforms to the rigorous standards laid down by the Department of Health and is perfectly fit for human consumption.

We are urgently carrying out scientific work to see whether the restrictions currently attaching to the slaughter of such animals can be eased without risk to public health. I shall ease the restrictions just as soon as it is shown to be safe to do so.

Sellafield

Mr. Martyn Jones : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food whether he will amend the statutory environmental monitoring programme of the Sellafield reprocessing plant as a condition of its authorisation, to require British Nuclear Fuels Limited to take and analyse samples and carry out external exposure rate measurements on the four-mile intertidal stretch of the River Esk in Cumbria and publish the results ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Curry : BNFL's statutory environmental monitoring programme already includes gamma dose rate measurements at Hall Waberthwaite in the intertidal stretch of the Esk. It also includes ground level river bank monitoring in the area. The results are submitted to the Ministry and to the Department of the Environment and BNFL publishes an annual report. The Ministry is not aware of any factors which would justify amendment of the programme in this area. However, the programe is continually under review.

Mr. Martyn Jones : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (1) whether he has assessed the public radiation exposure of people who live close to the four-mile intertidal stretch of the River Esk in Cumbria ; and if he will make a statement ;

(2) whether he will undertake a detailed radiological assessment of public exposure to radioactivity in the four-mile intertidal stretch of the River Esk in Cumbria, and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Curry : The River Esk has been monitored closely for more than 20 years. The Ministry carefully studies the time spent by people close to the Esk and we have found that the length of time people spend regularly there is very small. We have recently completed a new survey and the report on that work is being prepared for publication.

Our routine monitoring includes a number of locations where regular measurements of external dose rates are carried out. These are locations which are representative of the highest levels of external exposure which are likely to result from public occupancy of intertidal areas. Our


Column 33

report for 1988 records measurements at 11 locations in the Ravenglass estuary (which includes the Esk) and most locations were monitored monthly. For the Esk six locations were monitored. Detailed statistics of this monitoring including estimates of public radiation exposures at these locations are published annually.

Mr. Martyn Jones : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food if he will list the dates when his Ministry has reassessed habit surveys of members of the public around the Sellafield reprocessing plant in the past 10 years.

Mr. Curry : Habit surveys in respect of discharges from Sellafield have been carried out in each of the last 10 years except for 1980.

Agricultural Training

Mr. Boswell : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food whether the review of agricultural training announced by his predecessor on 20 March is now complete ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Gummer : When my predecessor and his fellow Agriculture Ministers appointed Mr. John E. Smith as chairman of the agricultural training board in March this year and at the same time asked him to undertake a review of agricultural training, the scale and complexity of his task was widely realised. That Mr. Smith has completed this review within the very tight time scale allowed is a real reflection of the commitment with which he has approached the job.

On behalf of my fellow Agriculture Ministers, I should like to pay tribute to Mr. Smith for the expeditious and thorough way in which he has conducted his review, for the breadth of the consultations that he has undertaken in such a short space of time and, above all, for the clarity and incisiveness of his report and of his

recommendations. I am arranging for the report to be published straight away and for a copy to be placed in the Library of the House.

In his terms of reference Mr. Smith was called on to report to Agriculture Ministers and, on their behalf, I have informed Mr. Smith that he can go ahead with the relocation of the board's headquarters from West Wickham in Kent to the national agricultural centre at Stoneleigh in Warwickshire and put in hand the new countrywide structures based on 14 local agricultural training boards in England and Scottish and Welsh training boards. Through this restructuring the Government will be looking for a greater contribution from the industry to the board's costs and I therefore welcome Mr. Smith's own recognition of the industry's responsibilities in this respect. As other recommendations in the report touch on interests of other colleagues and have longer-term implications, the Secretaries of State for Wales and for Scotland and I will, in conjunction with the Secretaries of State for Education and Science, for Employment and for the Environment, and the Chief Secretary to the Treasury, be giving detailed consideration to those proposals.

Plant Breeding Institute

Mr. Dobson : To ask the Minister of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food whether, in the past 10 years, he or his predecessors, either by direction or informally, secured changes in the accounting conventions followed by the Plant Breeding Institute ; and if he will make a statement.


Column 34

Mr. Jackson : I have been asked to reply.

The Plant Breeding Institute was a registered charity and a grant-aided institute of the Agricultural and Food Research Council (AFRC). In 1987 its plant breeding assets were sold, and the remainder of the institute then became part of the AFRC Institute of Plant Science Research (IPSR), also a registered charity. The council's accounting convention follows Treasury rules for Government accounting, revised from time to time, which are in the public domain. The IPSR charity now finances its activities from the proceeds of the 1987 sale of assets. Although it no longer receives grant- in-aid from the AFRC, its activities are managed in line with AFRC's financial plans by virture of a memorandum of understanding established between the AFRC and the IPSR.

EDUCATION AND SCIENCE

School Repairs

Mr. Vaz : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science if he will make a statement on the amount of money that is needed to fully repair all the schools in England and Wales.

Mr. Alan Howarth : Judgments about what constitutes "full repair" vary. The 1987 report of the DES survey of school buildings estimated that the cost of implementing the main structural requirements related to the Education (School Premises) Regulations 1981 and the other physical requirements in primary and secondary schools in England was about £1.1 billion (although this estimate is subject to sampling error). Since then substantial sums, both capital and current, have been, and continue to be, devoted to improving school premises. The repair of schools in Wales is a matter for my right hon. Friend the Secretary of State for Wales.

Vocational Degrees

Mr. Ian Bruce : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science what progress has been made towards increasing vocational degree places at universities and polytechnics.

Mr. Jackson : There is no standard definition of the term "vocational" as applied to degree courses. Many courses have at least some vocational element. Between 1979 and 1987 (the latest year for which figures are available) the number of degrees awarded annually by universities and the Council for National Academic Awards increased by about a quarter, from 101,600 to 127,100. I expect the proportion with a vocational element to have followed broadly the same trend.

Student Unions

Mr. Vaz : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science if he will list the Government grant allocations to student unions for universities and polytechnics by polytechnic and university ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Jackson : It is for universities and polytechnics to determine the level of their grants to their student unions. The Government do not make specific allocations for this purpose.


Column 35

Hyperkinesis

Mr. David Atkinson : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science what information and guidelines his Department provides to local education authorities to ensure that head teachers are fully aware of the hyperkinesis condition ; and if he will make a statement.

Mr. Alan Howarth : No guidance has been issued to local education authorities about hyperkinesis.

Further Education (Salaries)

Mr. Andrew Smith : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science if he will give figures for the average salaries of further education college lecturers for each of the last 10 years, expressing each annual increase in percentage terms (a) in relation to the rise in the retail price index and (b) in relation to the rise in average non-manual earnings ; and how many further education college lecturers have resigned in each of the last 10 years.

Mr. Jackson : The average salaries of further education college lecturers on 31 March of each of the last 10 years are given in the table, together with the annual increases in each year relative to the retail prices index and average non-manual earnings.


Average salaries of full-time lecturers<1> in colleges of   

further                                                     

education (excluding PCFC institutions), England and Wales  

             Average     Annual Percentage Increase         

            |Salary                                         

                        |Relative to|Relative to            

                        |the RPI    |average                

                                    |non-manual             

                                    |earnings               

Year ending |£          |Per cent.  |Per cent.              

31 March                                                    

------------------------------------------------------------

1979        |6,207      |-          |-                      

1980        |7,461      |9.2        |7.6                    

1981        |9,366      |3.1        |0.2                    

1982        |10,111     |-3.6       |-6.6                   

1983        |10,681     |-3.4       |-3.2                   

1984        |11,229     |1.1        |-3.7                   

1985        |1,856      |0.4        |-2.4                   

1986        |12,744     |0.5        |0.3                    

1987        |13,572     |3.3        |-2.1                   

<1> Includes all academic staff on grades up to and         

including Principal.                                        

Actual average salaries for 31 March 1988 and 1989 are not yet available. Lecturers' pay was increased on a staged basis over the period April 1987 to April 1989. The percentage increases in each of the two years relative to the RPI and average non-manual earnings are as follows :


Year ending |Actual     |Relative to|Relative to            

31 March                |the RPI    |average                

                                    |non-manual             

                                    |earnings               

            |Per cent.  |Per cent.  |Per cent.              

------------------------------------------------------------

1987-88     |10.3       |6.1        |1.9                    

1988-89     |6.0        |0.0        |-4.3                   

The level of salary increase to be awarded to lecturers in 1989-90 has not yet been settled.

The Department does not collect information specifically on resignations. The table sets out the numbers, in percentage terms, of lecturers leaving full-time service in each of the last ten years.


Column 36


Annual percentage of lecturers in      

colleges of further education          

(excluding PCFC institutions) leaving  

full-time service in the               

maintained further or higher education 

sector in England and Wales            

Year ending  |Further                  

31 March     |education                

             |colleges                 

             |excluding                

             |PCFC                     

             |institutions             

             |Per cent.                

---------------------------------------

1979         |6.0                      

1980         |5.8                      

1981         |5.6                      

1982         |5.4                      

1983         |5.5                      

1984         |6.0                      

1985         |6.8                      

1986         |6.5                      

1987         |7.0                      

Note: The figures for 1979-85 include  

lecturers at non polytechnic           

institutions in the PCFC sector.       

These figures include retirements and movement from full-time to part-time service. In a survey by the employers' organisation, LACSAB, of turnover and wastage in further education in the academic year 1987-88, losses to employment outside the sector amounted to 2.4 per cent. of employment.

Grants

Mr. Andrew Smith : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science if he will provide estimates of the costs and savings, as per annex E of the White Paper, in respect of (a) net change in grant, (b) net change in benefits, (c) gross loan outlay, (d) loan repayments and (e) public sector borrowing requirement effect for each of the years from 1990 to 2027, as in annex E of Cmd. 520, on the basis that a 30 per cent. age participation rate is attained by 2015, showing the effects of (i) 80 per cent. take-up, (ii) 90 per cent. take-up and (iii) 100 per cent. take-up.

Mr. Jackson : The Department does not currently project student numbers in higher education beyond the turn of the century. The following tables show annex E revised to take account of the increase in student numbers since Cm. 520 was published. The tables show the effect of take-up rates of 80 and 100 per cent., and of inflation at 3, 5 and 8 per cent.


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Column 38


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Table (vi)                                                     

Top-Up loans costings                                          

Revised student number projections                             

Costs and saving 8 per cent. inflation 100 per cent. take-up   

United Kingdom   (£ million, 1990 prices)                      

Year     |Change  |Change  |Loan    |Loan    |PSBR             

         |in grant|in      |outlay  |repay-  |effect           

                  |benefits         |ments                     

---------------------------------------------------------------

1990     |0       |-68     |222     |0       |155              

1991     |-24     |-69     |267     |3       |170              

1992     |-79     |-70     |359     |12      |198              

1993     |-129    |-69     |440     |29      |212              

1994     |-175    |-69     |513     |57      |213              

1995     |-217    |-69     |582     |94      |203              

1996     |-260    |-69     |656     |134     |192              

1997     |-306    |-72     |740     |173     |189              

1998     |-343    |-75     |798     |211     |170              

1999     |-353    |-77     |823     |245     |147              

2000     |-359    |-78     |836     |277     |122              

2001     |-359    |-78     |836     |315     |84               

2002     |-359    |-78     |836     |363     |36               

2003     |-359    |-78     |836     |400     |-1               

2004     |-359    |-78     |836     |423     |-24              

2005     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2006     |-359    |-78     |836     |443     |-44              

2007     |-359    |-78     |836     |438     |-39              

2008     |-359    |-78     |836     |447     |-47              

2009     |-359    |-78     |836     |474     |-75              

2010     |-359    |-78     |836     |508     |-109             

2011     |-359    |-78     |836     |533     |-134             

2012     |-359    |-78     |836     |549     |-150             

2013     |-359    |-78     |836     |568     |-169             

2014     |-359    |-78     |836     |582     |-183             

2015     |-359    |-78     |836     |593     |-194             

2016     |-359    |-78     |836     |601     |-202             

2017     |-359    |-78     |836     |608     |-209             

2018     |-359    |-78     |836     |613     |-214             

2019     |-359    |-78     |836     |616     |-217             

2020     |-359    |-78     |836     |621     |-222             

2021     |-359    |-78     |836     |629     |-229             

2022     |-359    |-78     |836     |636     |-237             

2023     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2024     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2025     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2026     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             

2027     |-359    |-78     |836     |640     |-241             


Column 40

Student Maintenance Award

Mr. Andrew Smith : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science what level of net student maintenance award was paid to mature students aged 50 years and over in each year since 1979-80 ; and what is to be the estimated level for each year up to 2007-08, at 1988-89 prices.

Mr. Jackson : Mandatory award-holders aged 50 years or over qualify for the main rates of grant appropriate to the location in which they study and may also be eligible for supplementary allowances paid to older students and students with dependants. Data on average net awards paid to this category of student are not collected separately. Nor are the projections for grant levels following the introduction of the top-up loan scheme disaggregated for this category.

Higher Education (Student Numbers)

Mr. Andrew Smith : To ask the Secretary of State for Education and Science what would be the numbers of students in higher education for each year from 1990 to 2017 if steady progress to the attainment of 30 per cent. age participation were maintained between 1990 and 2015.


Column 41

Mr. Jackson : Our latest projection indicates full-time equivalent student numbers rising from about 760,000 in 1988 to about 820,000 in 1992. Numbers are then expected to level off until 1995 as a result of the substantial decline in the relevant age group before rising again to about 890,000 by the end of the century. These totals projected are formed in part by age participation indices for young home initial entrants to higher education of 15, 19 and 23 per cent. for 1988, 1992 and 2000 respectively. Student numbers in higher education have not been projected beyond the turn of the century.


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