Select Committee on Agriculture Minutes of Evidence



 PART II: SEA FISHERIES SCIENCE AND RESEARCH

  2.1  Fish and shellfish are wild resources which, if managed properly, can provide sustainable benefits to mankind. If the fisheries and their environment are managed badly then stocks and fisheries can collapse. Management of such wild resources requires a high level of monitoring and scientific support. Because fish are hidden in the sea, extend over considerable geographical regions and depths, and are part of a complex ecosystem, there are considerable scientific and logistical challenges.

  2.2  In EU waters UK fishermen catch fish and shellfish against 60 quotas of over 20 species. They also catch many fish which are not managed by quotas. In the North Sea alone they may expect to encounter over 100 species of fish.

  2.3  Sea fish undergo extensive geographical excursions, annually and throughout their development from eggs to adults, and are caught by fishermen from different nations. Consequently the assessment of populations, often called stocks, must be on an international basis.

  2.4  The assessment of most stocks of interest to the UK is undertaken through the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea. ICES is an inter-governmental organisation, established in 1902, whose role is to promote research into living marine resources and to provide advice on the sea and its resources. Its geographical remit is for the North Atlantic and adjacent seas.

  2.5  ICES' Advisory Committee on Fishery Management (ACFM) uses assessments, provided by international working groups, to provide advice on the status of fish stocks, and on the consequences for fisheries and stocks of various catch-options. ICES' Advisory Committee on the Marine Environment (ACME) provides advice on the state of the marine environment. The UK is represented on both Committees, and on the governing bodies of ICES.

  2.6  The ACFM has taken an international lead in developing the application of the Precautionary Approach to fisheries management, and provides advice within a precautionary context.

  2.7  The ACFM advice goes directly to national administrations and to the authorities who have sought the advice. They include: the EU, the North East Atlantic Fisheries Commission, the International Baltic Sea Fisheries Commission, the North Atlantic Salmon Conservation Organisation, and the OSPAR Convention for the Protection of the Marine Environment of the North East Atlantic. Most of the UK fishing interests are covered through the Common Fisheries Policy (CFP). The ACFM advice is the primary scientific input for the European Commission's proposals for Total Allowable Catches (TACs) for the following year.

  2.8  Considerable monitoring and scientific research is required to support the advisory process. The composition of the catch is monitored at ports, on an annual basis, for size and age by species and area of capture. At sea, the fish are sampled directly by observers on board commercial vessels, especially the small and young fish that will not be landed by the fleets. Fish are also sampled by scientists on research vessels, to obtain abundance estimates independent from commercial practices, and in particular to obtain estimates of fish too small to be caught by the fisheries. In Europe, this work is co-ordinated through ICES. The numbers of fish in each stock can vary considerably from year to year. As well as being affected by fishing, stocks are affected by climate, by physical factors such as water movements, and the environment, and by biological factors such as the supply of food to larvae and adults, and predation by other animals in the ecosystem. Consequently the underlying research covers a great width of problems and disciplines.

  2.9  The research undertaken includes: development of new assessment and management methods; the basic biology of fish and their biological interactions; the development of size and species selective fishing gear; the impact of chemical and radioactive contaminants on fish; the nature of disease in fish and shellfish; the effect of the climate and seas on the abundance and distribution of fish; the factors determining variability in the numbers of young fish; the factors affecting sustainability of stocks; and the effects of fisheries on the ecosystem itself.

  2.10  Our knowledge of the sea and its ecological processes is considerable, but still very limited given the complexity of the systems involved. There is a continuing need for research to improve our understanding of marine ecosystems, so that management advice may take a broader perspective and is enhanced for the future. It is important that research programmes not only address issues of current concern but anticipate future problems.

  2.11  In the UK, the research organisations that are most involved with the assessement, research and advisory process, for sea fish stocks, are The Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (CEFAS—an Agency of MAFF), Fisheries Research Services (FRS—an Agency of SOAEFD), and The Agriculture and Environmental Science Division, of the Department of Agriculture for Northern Ireland. The Sea Fish Industry Authority is a Non-Departmental Public Body which undertakes economic and technology research. Work is also commissioned from other research organisations and universities, and there is increasing collaboration between government research institutes and universities.

 MONITORING OF STOCKS

  2.12  Monitoring of commercial catches provides the basic information for assessment of fish stocks and management of the fisheries. The data collected are: the size or age composition of the catch; the catch-rates; and the absolute size of the catch. Information is needed separately from each stock.

  2.13  The size and age compositions of the catch are determined by sampling fish at ports according to a statistically designed programme. In the UK, over 50 stocks from 18 species are routinely sampled at ports. The weight of the catches is monitored, and catch-rates are obtained from the records of fishing vessels. Discards, the unwanted component of the catch which is jettisoned at sea, are monitored by observers for some of the most important stocks. As an example, figure (i) shows the age composition of cod landed and discarded from UK vessels fishing in the North Sea.


  2.14  The UK fishery research vessels monitor the stocks of fish at sea with a variety of methods including fishing trawls and acoustics. Surveys are undertaken in the North Sea, English Channel, Western Approaches, Irish Sea and West of Scotland. All fish species are sampled. The information obtained is the size and age composition of the catches, and the trawl catch-rates. Port-based sampling observes only the fish landed. In particular, at sea the research vessels sample the fish that are too small and young to be landed by the commercial fleet. The UK has important time-series of such information, which go back to near the turn of the century and which can show how the ecosystem has changed.

  2.15  Figure (ii) illustrates the time series of CEFAS research vessel catches of cod, from the North Sea, over the period 1993 to 1997. It shows how numbers fluctuate from year to year: few cod appeared at age 1 in 1993, 1995 and 1996. The large size of the 1996 year-class can be seen. It is also evident how quickly the numbers are reduced by fishing if the diagrams are compared diagonally. Thus the large numbers at age 1 in 1994, have declined significantly at age 2 in 1995 and are scarcely evident at age 3 in 1996.


 ESTIMATION OF FISH NUMBERS

  2.16  Most stocks are assessed by a method, developed in the UK, called virtual population analysis (VPA). The relative abundance with age is determined from the sampled research and commercial catch. If fish numbers decline rapidly with age then the mortality due to fishing is high. Time series data showing research and commercial catch-rates, for each age, enable the trends in the stock to be seen. The weight of the estimated total catch is used to relate the analysis of sample data to the absolute abundance of each stock.

  2.17  Some stocks are assessed by more direct methods. These include: measuring the abundance of eggs which a stock has produced in the plankton which can be evaluated in relation to the eggs produced by a single fish (eg mackerel); acoustic surveys to measure shoal size and density (eg herring); and underwater visual surveys to count animals such as nephrops. These methods provide estimates of stock size which avoid the uncertainties inherent in data on commercial landings, but they can be significantly more expensive to apply than VPA.

  2.18  The quality of the assessments, and the estimation of future catches, is dependent upon the accuracy and precision of the statistics used in the assessments. ICES has expressed its concern about the quality of catch and effort data from most of the important fisheries in the ICES area. Under-reporting and mis-reporting of commercial data make reliable assessments more difficult. The most significant impact will tend to be on the estimates of the absolute level of catches, whereas the trends in the stocks, and the overall status of the stocks will be more robust. For policy purposes it is usually the trends and overall status which are more important.

  2.19  Efforts are made to allow for inaccuracies in commercial data when assessments and advice are prepared. In addition, data from sources other than the commercial fleets, such as data from research vessel surveys and egg-production surveys are becoming increasingly important to the assessment process. Assessment methods are also being developed that will enable a fuller range of uncertainty to be expressed to managers.

SCIENTIFIC ADVICE ON NEXT-YEAR'S CATCHES

  2.20  Scientific advice takes the form of an estimate of the current stock position and the likely impact of a number of policy options. These are expressed in terms of the fishing mortality rate, F, which is a measure of the proportion of the stock which is removed by fishing each year. A fishing mortality rate of F = 1.0 means that about 60 per cent of the stock in the sea at the start of the year is removed by fishing; for F = 0.5 about 35 per cent is removed. In the example of North Sea cod given below, the present fishing mortality is 0.64, which is equivalent to removing approximately 40 per cent of the stock per year. Estimated catches can be given assuming fishing mortality is stable, or is increased, or decreased. The abundance of the stock can also be estimated for the various catch-options.

  2.21  As an example, the table below shows the options, and consequences, given by ACFM for North Sea cod in 1997. The third line shows that if fishing effort was left unchanged then the expected catch in 1998 would be 153 thousand tonnes, leaving a mature biomass of 178 thousand tonnes. In the event the Council adopted a TAC of 140 thousand tonnes—a more cautious approach leaving scope for a bigger increase in the mature biomass.
FactorF(98) SSB(98)C(98) SSB(99)
40 per cent reduction in F (96) 0.38173101 226
20 per cent reduction in F (96) 0.51173129 201
No change in F (96)0.64 173153178
20 per cent increase in F (96)0.76 173175158

  Notes

   (i)   F (96) and F (98) are the estimated annual fishing mortality rates in 1996 and 1998.

  (ii)  SSB(98) and SSB(99) are the estimated weight of mature biomass (spawning stock biomass) in thousands of tonnes in January 1998 and 1999.

  (iii)  C(98) is the estimated weight of the catch, in thousands of tonnes, in 1998.

THE VARIABILITY OF SEA FISH STOCKS

  2.22  One of the dominant features of sea fisheries is that the abundance and distribution of a stock can vary greatly, due to natural causes, over short- and long-time scales.

  2.23  Over the longer time scales, a classic case is the change in relative abundance of the predominant pelagic species of herring, pilchard and mackerel off the south-west of England this century. Another example is the increased numbers of cod in the North Sea over the period 1965 to 1985, which allowed catches to treble (see figure (iii)).


  2.24.  One of the most important characteristics of many stocks is a large year-to-year variability in recruitment. The annual change in recruitment (technically the coefficient of variation) is typically 50 per cent and over 100 per cent for some stocks. The time series of recruitments of North Sea plaice, cod and haddock are shown in figure (iv) and illustrate the high degree of variability.


  2.25  The causes of such variability in fish recruitment are poorly understood, but the variability is primarily driven by climate and weather affecting the food supply to planktonic fish larvae and their predators. Figure (v) gives an index of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is the difference between climatic pressure systems at Greenland and the Azores and which drives the major currents of the North Atlantic. For the latter part of the time series the figure also plots an index of the abundance of the copepod, Calanus, which is a major food element of young North Sea roundfish. It can be seen that the Calanus has followed the trend of NAO, and that Calanus abundance (plotted on an inverted scale) has decreased as the NAO has increased over the past few decades. Thus the underlying changes in weather systems can be seen to be linked to trends in the marine eco-system.


  2.26  Current fishing rates are high, and incoming recruitments are an important part of the catch. As a result the short-term variability in recruitment has a major effect on both stocks and catches because there are not enough older fish sufficiently to buffer the variation. If fishing effort remained unchanged then, at current fishing rates, catches of cod could be expected to vary by over 10 per cent from year to year, and catches of haddock by about 30 per cent as a result of recruitment variations alone.

  2.27  These factors (ie the substantial short-term variability in recruitment, and hence variability in stock size), make long-term trends in the size of the stock difficult to determine. Such variability may also give a false impression about sustainability. A stock may show an increase for a short period due to one or two good recruitments, even though the long-term trend is downward as a result of serious over-exploitation.

THE STATUS OF SEA FISH STOCKS

  2.28  Globally and in Community waters commercial fish stocks are currently overfished. There are two forms of over-fishing: recruitment over-fishing and growth over-fishing.

  2.29  Most fish produce prodigious numbers of eggs—for cod of the order of a million per spawning female per year. This allows juvenile recruitment to be maintained even when fishing is high and the spawning stock is much reduced. However, there comes a point when the stock is so reduced that recruitments cannot be maintained. This is termed recruitment over-fishing. Recruitment over-fishing puts at risk the sustainability of the stock and the fishery.

  2.30  Figure (vi) below shows the relationship between the production of young North Sea herring and the size of the mature stock, each point representing the situation in a particular year. The decline in recruitmentat low stock size is clear even though the exact relationship from year to year moves unpredictably. For many of our stocks, the limit at which recruitment declines is not clear and thus the critical stock size where recruitment starts to decline is not known for a large number of stocks.


  2.31.  ICES identifies safe biological limits for stocks. Of the 35 assessed stocks of importance to the UK industry: 50 per cent are within safe limits; 30 per cent are below safe limits, and 20 per cent are at about the limit.

  2.32.  Although stocks persistently subject to recruitment over-fishing risk collapse there is no significant risk that the commercial species will be driven to extinction. Rather, their low numbers will mean closures of fisheries and long recovery times for the depleted stocks.

  2.33.  Growth over-fishing occurs when stocks are fished too heavily so that the fish get little chance to grow in size and number and the yield from the fishery is depressed below the optimum level. Fishing at lower rates would mean greater yields, higher catch rates, less running costs, more fish in the sea, and more stability for the industry.

  2.34  Of the stocks in the north-eastern North Atlantic, for which detailed information is available, most suffer from growth-overfishing, many to a significant degree.

  2.35  Rather different issues arise in relation to the currently serious concern about the state of salmon stocks. Salmon live at sea and return to rivers to breed. They are therefore vulnerable to degradation of riverine habitats and to reductions in growth and survival at sea. Salmon abundance has been declining in the north-eastern North Atlantic, and recent UK catches have been particularly low. The larger salmon, which stay at sea for several years, have been especially affected. A range of environmental factors is implicated in their decline.

TECHNICAL MANAGEMENT MEASURES

  2.36  Technical conservation measures are an important element of fishery management. Technical measures address long-term issues and include, closed areas and seasons, the selectivity of fishing gears and minimum landing sizes. Most technical measures are intended to improve the "exploitation pattern" of thefleets and to make fishing more selective and so better targeted, ie to discourage or reduce the capture of smalljuvenile fish and the bycatch of non-target species. Of particular importance is the need to match the gear selectivity to the target species. This requires evaluation of appropriate mesh sizes and gear devices, such as square mesh panels and sorting grids. Fisheries Departments are engaged in a continuing programme of research into ways of improving the conservation performance of fishing gears.

  2.37  Closed areas are used extensively in fisheries management. Fishing is restricted in large areas to protect young fish, such as in the Plaice Box off the continental coast of the North Sea. Protection of young fish will always be to the long-term benefit of the fishery. However, protection of most fish during spawning will be of little benefit to the stock and fishery, if the result is to displace fishing effort so that the same level of catches are taken elsewhere or at a different time.

SCIENCE SUPPORTING FISHERIES MANAGEMENT

  2.38  The research giving direct support to sea fisheries management is covered under the Programmes for Marine Fisheries and Salmon and Freshwater Fisheries. The Aquatic Environment programme supports both protection of fish from environmental impacts and the quality of marine environment per se.

  2.39  Estimated expenditure by Government Fisheries Departments on scientific support for fisheries and the aquatic environment in 1997-98 was £36.8 million full economic cost (FEC). The FEC is all costs including use of capital and overheads. Of this £17.1 million was on work defined as R&D, and £19.7 million was on non-R&D work, such as monitoring and assessment. The expenditure on the Marine Fisheries Programme was £15.8 million. The 1997-98 expenditure by Programme is tabulated below (£million FEC).
ProgrammesNon-R&D R&D£million Total
Aquatic Environment5.875 5.83511.710
Aquaculture3.0253.864 6.889
Marine Fisheries9.861 5.91615.777
Salmon and Freshwater Fisheries0.947 1.5292.476
Total19.70817.144 36.852

  2.40  The Marine Fisheries Programme funds specific projects under a range of Topics. The Topics include: fin-fish management; shellfish management; multi-species biological interactions; physical and biological controls on production; fish capture; and the impacts of fishing on the ecosystem.

  2.41  The Salmon and Freshwater Fisheries Programmes support Topics on: assessment of salmonid stocks; factors affecting salmonid stocks; and eels and non-migratory fish.

  2.42  The Aquatic Environment and Aquaculture Programmes are only of incidental relevance to the present discussion.

 ECONOMIC RESEARCH

  2.43  Most of the fisheries research is essentially biologically based because of the way in which fisheries policy is currently framed under the CFP. For example, the primary instrument for fisheries management is TACS and quotas, and these require scientific under-pinning. In addition the Multi-Annual Guidance Programmes (MAGP) are under-pinned by a biological assessment of the size of the fleet that the stocks can bear. Technical measures are also principally informed by biological research.

  2.44  However, Fisheries Departments do commission economic research to support specific management issues. Such work has recently included: an evaluation of the decommissioning schemes; the possibility of charging for licences; research into the impact of new fish markets on fish prices; a model to assess the impacts of different EU-Norway mackerel agreements; and a bio-economic model of the English Channel Fishery. The Sea Fish Industry Authority (SFIA) also have their own economic research programme, and recent projects have included: surveys of fishing costs and earnings; the economic interpretation of the biological advice provided by ACFM; and participation in EU projects to assess multi-annual and multi-species TACs, and to look at the CFP beyond 2002. These projects are reported to the SFIA Economics Advisory Committee which comprises representatives from the industry and Fisheries Departments. University Departments and private consultancies are also active in producing economic studies (sometimes under contract with the European Commission) which are of use to UK fisheries managers.

FISHERY RESEARCH VESSELS

  2.45  Fishery research vessels are specialised facilities. They are designed to permit a range of scientific operations, including: fishing; deployment and towing of sensitive electronic equipment; and sampling and experimentation at sea. Fishery surveys provide information independent of the commercial fleet, and on a wider range of species and size of fish. The results from surveys are sensitive to the vessel used. Consequently a single dedicated vessel is required over a period of years in order to give a consistent time series of survey data.

  2.46  The following Table describes the UK fleet of fishery research vessels.
OrganisationVessel Name Date BuiltLength (M)
CEFASRV Cirolana1970 72
CEFASRV Corystes1988 53
DANIRV Lough Foyle1974* 44
FRSFRS Scotia1998 69
FRSFRS Clupea1969 32
*acquired 1989.

  2.47  RV Cirolana has outlived its operational life, and MAFF has recently announced its intention to fund a new fishery research vessel. The RV Lough Foyle and the FRS Clupea are also nearing the end of their operational lives.

CO -ORDINATION OF FISHERIES RESEARCH

  2.48  There is co-ordination of fisheries research at national and international level to ensure that key issues are being covered and that unnecessary duplication is avoided.

  2.49  The Fisheries Science Customer Group (FSCG) co-ordinates work between Fisheries Departments. Membership comprises Fisheries Secretaries from MAFF and SOAEFD, the Under-Secretary (Environment) from MAFF, and the Chief Scientist from DANI. The FSCG meets annually.

  2.50  The Agriculture, Food and Fisheries Research Funders Group co-ordinates research between Departments and Research Councils. It meets annually and has a membership of DANI, MAFF, SOAEFD, WOAD, BBSRC, NERC and the Forestry Commission. There is also co-ordination with DETR on marine research.

  2.51  The Management Group of Directors (MGD) comprises the Chief Executives and Directors of the government's fisheries laboratories. They meet to ensure that work is being done effectively and efficiently, between and within institutes.

  2.52  ICES co-ordinates a great deal of the international fisheries work. All the main fisheries surveys are conducted to agreed plans, and results feed directly to ICES Working and Advisory Groups. ICES' Science Groups review and co-ordinate international research plans.

COMMUNICATION

  2.53  Communication of results is important in giving the fishing industry and the public confidence in the scientific advice.

  2.54  Fisheries scientists are encouraged to disseminate their results to both a scientific and lay audience. As well as publishing results in the scientific literature, the fisheries institutes produce a range of publications.

  2.55  Significant efforts are also put into face to face discussions. Fisheries scientists meet with the fishing industry during the year both locally and nationally to hear their views and to discuss the stock assessments. Of particular importance are meetings in November when the advice from ICES' ACFM is explained to the industry: this advice is central to the setting of TACs by Fisheries Ministers in December. The ACFM advice is subsequently published by ICES.

  2.56  There are also many other opportunities for contacts. Fisheries scientists frequently work with members of the fishing industry at ports, when sampling discards, when chartering commercial fishing vessels, and when invited to observe commercial operations. Fisheries scientists and fishermen meet regularly within the UK Fisheries Conservation Group which reviews technical conservation measures. While there is always scope for disagreement—not least about the state of the stocks—the relationship between fishermen and scientists is usually positive and constructive. The National Federation of Fishermen's Organisations has recently suggested to the European Commission that the meetings between industry and scientists, held in the UK prior to the scientists undertaking assessments, may be a useful model for other Member States.


 
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