Select Committee on International Development Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum from HM Treasury

Introduction

  1. The purpose of this memorandum, prepared by HM Treasury in consultation with ECGD, DFID and FCO, is to:

  —  explain the nature of the debt problems that beset many poor countries;

  —  set out the general parameters for the terms and conditions for providing official debt relief and the main instruments through which such debt relief is provided;

  —  explain the Government's policy on providing official debt relief to poor countries, particularly with regard to the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative.

  2. Annex A details the debt situation in Kenya, Rwanda and Uganda, Annex B summarises progress in implementing the HIPC initiative.

Debt and development

  3. Nearly all countries need to borrow to finance investment. Developing countries generally import capital, i.e., borrow from abroad, as well as finance development from domestic savings. If invested wisely, loans can play an important role in contributing towards a country's development. But the money borrowed accumulates as debts which need to be repaid, and what can often, with the benefit of hindsight, be seen as lending policies which did not take full account of the true risks of default and poor investment on the part of the recipient, coupled with unexpected shocks such as large fluctuations in commodity prices and interest rates, has led to problems for many countries in servicing this debt.

  4. In the most extreme cases, countries find themselves with an unsustainable debt burden unable to raise sufficient foreign currency from exports to pay debt service due each year. Fresh capital is not forthcoming, as investors are put off by poor economic prospects. Economic growth suffers and development efforts can be severely hampered. Some of the world's poorest countries find themselves having to allocate more money to servicing debt than to health and education expenditure.

Official debt rescheduling in the Paris Club

  5. Many of the poorest developing countries have lacked the creditworthiness to obtain loan finance from commercial banks and other sources of private capital. They have relied instead on official sources of finance— other governments (bilateral debt) and international financial institutions such as the World Bank (multilateral debt). When such countries face problems in meeting their debt obligations, they are likely to approach the Paris Club to negotiate some form of debt relief.

  6. The Paris Club (so called because it meets in Paris under French chairmanship) is an informal group of government creditors, mostly OECD members. Since 1997 it has also included Russia. The Club has met regularly since 1956 with debtor countries, as necessary, to discuss common terms on which to reschedule (the value of the debt is not reduced in net present value terms but the country is given more time to pay) and as necessary also to reduce official bilateral debts. Many of these are commercial credits provided in support of exports from the lender country, whilst others are aid-related loans. The basic aim of a rescheduling is to give a country more time to meet its foreign debt obligations, so that for a consolidation period (the debt falling due in this period are the ones that are rescheduled) of anywhere between one and three years, sufficient foreign currency remains to pay for essential imports, rather than simply being used for debt servicing.

  7. The Paris Club negotiates with debtor countries on a case-by-case basis. Agreement is reached by consensus and creditors adhere to the principle of comparability of treatment. The Club has clear rules of precedent for determining which categories of debt should be considered and the repayment terms. Those middle-income countries (as defined by the World Bank) whose debts the Club agrees merit treatment are usually entitled to have their debts rescheduled. In such cases, certain categories of debts falling due over the consolidation period are deferred and paid over a longer period. The resultant Paris Club agreements are termed non-concessional as no debt has been cancelled.

  8. The precise terms vary case by case, but under classical terms, this period is usually 10 years, including up to five years of grace when only interest payments rather than repayment of the loan principal must be maintained. For countries at the lower end of the middle-income spectrum, the duration of the rescheduling can be increased to 20 years, with 10 years' grace. Short-term debts (contracts with a credit period of no more than a year) and debts contracted after an agreed cut-off date (aimed at protecting new lending, this date is fixed at the first Paris Club rescheduling, and only debts contracted prior to it are eligible for treatment) are not treated in other than the most exceptional cases. Even then these categories are unlikely to be accorded the same terms as so-called eligible (pre cut-off date) debts, even if they constitute a significant proportion of a country's debt stock. In all non-concessional reschedulings of commercial credits, interest is charged at a rate which reflects the creditor's cost of funds.

  9. Loans provided as part of official aid, usually known as official development assistance (ODA) loans, at concessional interest rates, are normally treated differently by the Paris Club. They are generally rescheduled for longer periods, with no increase in the interest rate. As the loan had a low interest rate to start with, the longer repayment period provides an extra benefit to the debtor country. The general fall in interest rates in recent years has, however, reduced the benefit. The UK is only rarely involved in rescheduling of ODA debt as most such loans have been converted to grants (see paragraph 32).

  10. For some countries, particularly the poorest, most severely indebted ones, reschedulings have proved to be only a temporary respite. Creditor countries have increasingly realised that the problems of many low-income countries, particularly those in sub-Saharan Africa, need exceptional treatment in the form of debt forgiveness. Since 1988, creditors have agreed on a series of concessional measures that have reduced the debt burdens of some of the most severely indebted countries. Initially, the Paris Club adopted Toronto terms, allowing a reduction equivalent to 33 per cent in the value of the eligible debts maturing during the consolidation period. This was followed in 1991 by the implementation of London terms, under which certain countries would receive a 50 per cent reduction.

  11. In 1994, the Club agreed to implement Naples terms for countries, increasing reduction on eligible debt to 67 per cent. Moreover, for the first time it allowed for the reduction of the stock of debt (i.e., the total amount of eligible debt owed by the country) by two-thirds at the end of the consolidation period in certain cases. ODA debts are only rescheduled, rather than reduced, under Naples terms.

  12. Using all these concessional and non-conessional instruments, the Paris Club has rescheduled or reduced bilateral debts of over $300 billion in net present value terms over the past two decades. To date, 27 countries (including 19 in sub-Saharan Africa) have been given Naples terms. Of these, six countries have been given 67 per cent reductions in their debt stocks.

  13. A comprehensive agreement among creditors and with the debtor to support debt relief (either a rescheduling or a reduction) increases not only the chances that debtors will be able to meet their debt obligations in the future but also their willingness to do so. Debt relief can also be seen as a means of allowing a country to increase economic efficiency by raising real incomes, from a starting point in which high debt service means high taxation, discouraging investment and inducing capital flight to safer havens. Reducing a country's stock of debts to a sustainable level can reduce the uncertainty which inhibits investment and growth. There is also a wider interest shared by debtors and creditors alike. By contributing orderly solutions to financial crises, reschedulings can help protect the international financial system, and encourage private sector trade and investment worldwide, thus helping to increase international economic integration.

Links to IMF programmes

  14. A precondition for the process outlined above is that the debtor secures a satisfactory economic adjustment programme with the IMF. Economic reform programmes are negotiated on a case-by-case basis between IMF Staff and officials of the debtor country. Resultant programmes often involve fiscal and monetary measures, exchange rate policy, and structural reforms in both the public and private sector, such as labour market reforms, judicial and regulatory reform aimed at investment generation, and financial and trade liberalisation. In the case of a low-income country, it is likely that a programme will be linked to drawings under the Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility (ESAF), designed to provide countries facing sustained balance of payments problems with highly concessional loans. Disbursement of loans throughout the programme period are made conditional on the country meeting targets specified in the programme. The programme is expected to run concurrently with the consolidation period of the debt relief, and IMF Staff provide information for the Paris Club about whether, and if so how much debt relief, is, their view, necessary to support the programme.

  15. Linking debt relief to IMF programmes such as ESAF helps to anchor the process to economic development, without which a debtor country cannot be expected to achieve a sustainable exit from debt problems. Debt relief in itself cannot solve a country's developmental problems. It clears away a barrier inhibiting, and in some cases effectively preventing, economic growth. Debtor countries need to make full use of the opportunity created by removing this barrier, including by adopting sound economic policies aimed at securing sustained economic growth and thus helping to create the right conditions for productive private and public sector investment.

The Heavily Indebted Poor Countries initiative

  16. Traditional debt relief mechanisms under the Paris Club framework have been applied only to bilateral debts to Paris Club creditor governments (though the impact on the overall debt burden of a Paris Club deal is intended to be wider as debtors are required to seek equivalent terms from other bilateral creditors, including commercial banks). Until recently there was no mechanism through which to reduce or restructure the debts owed to multilateral institutions, because of the preferred creditor status enjoyed by the IMF, the World Bank and regional development banks.

  17. However, there has been growing recognition that many countries face problems in meeting their multilateral debt obligations and are simply unable to attain debt sustainability without some sort of relief on these debts. At the IMF/World Bank annual meeting in 1996, an initiative was agreed that aimed to reduce the debt burdens of some Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs) through the participation of all official creditors, including the multilateral organisations. Countries are eligible for so-called HIPC relief if they face an unsustainable debt burden even after the full application of standard debt relief mechanisms (up to and including Naples terms), despite a continued track record of IMF-supported adjustment and reforms. The World Bank and IMF have together identified 41 countries that can be classified as HIPCs. On current data, it seems likely that up to 20 of these HIPCs will need the extra relief offered by the initiative to reach sustainable debt positions. For most of the remainder, Naples terms will be enough.

  18. Eligibility for HIPC relief is determined over a period of up to six years in most cases. Once a country has established a three-year track record of reform supported by an IMF programme, the decision point is reached. At this stage, the IMF and the World Bank, in consultation with officials of the debtor country, conduct a full assessment of a HIPC's ability (or otherwise) to pay its debts at the end of a further three-year period of reform.

  19. Sustainable debt levels are determined on a case-by-case basis, taking into account any specific vulnerability factors (for example, if a country is dependent on a single export crop). The levels are usually defined within the range of 200-250 per cent for the ratio of total debt stock (on a present value basis) to annual export earnings (taken from the annual average of the most recent three years' export earnings) and 20-25 per cent for the ratio of annual debt service to exports. There is also a special rule of HIPCs with open economies (in which exports account for at least 40 per cent of GDP) which allows for examination for the debt stock to government revenue ratio (the fiscal criterion). If this ratio is more than 280 per cent, and on condition that revenue is at least 20 per cent of GDP, it is regarded as unsustainable. In this case, creditors provide the relief needed to reduce the revenue ratio to 280 per cent.

  20. The final HIPC decision does not lie with the IMF and World Bank staff. Instead, their assessment is presented to the Executive Boards of IMF and World Bank, including the Executive Director for the UK, who decide on eligibility, the necessary exit ratios and the size of the debt forgiveness.

  21. At the end of the further period of IMF-supported adjustment (the second stage) of up to three years, the HIPC completion point is reached. At this stage, the debt relief is delivered to bring the debt ratios down to the agreed targets. The Paris Club provides reductions of up to 80 per cent in the country's outstanding stock of eligible debt. The World Bank, IMF and other multilateral creditors provide parallel reductions. The burden of debt relief is shared proportionately between bilateral and multilateral creditors, to maintain the same relative proportion of claims as existed after the application of Naples terms.

  22. One of the main criticisms levelled against the initiative is the length of time needed (six years in some cases) to gain debt relief. But in reaching firm decisions in favour of HIPC relief for four countries, the IMF and World Bank Executive Boards have so far shown that they are prepared to be flexible with regard to this, as the UK has urged. The Boards have agreed that Uganda, which has a decade-long track record of strong economic reforms, will be the first beneficiary of the initiative, receiving a reduction in its debt stock in April 1998. Bolivia is set to benefit from HIPC relief in September 1998 with Burkina Faso following suit in April 2000. It has also been agreed that Guyana will be the first country to qualify under the fiscal criterion next December. Final HIPC decisions are expected shortly on Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Mauritania and Mozambique. Benin was assessed for HIPC relief in 1997 but it was agreed that the country has already secured a sustainable debt burden through Naples terms (up to 67 per cent) so it did not require HIPC relief.

  23. Progress in implementing the initiative is covered in the table at Annex B.

UK policy

  24. The Chancellor of the Exchequer leads on policy on official debt relief. The Treasury works closely with other Government Departments, notably the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, the Department for International Development and the Export Credits Guarantee Department.

  25. The Government believes that for some countries, debt relief is crucial if they are to emerge from severe financial problems. When allied to sensible economic policies and necessary aid flows, it provides a much better opportunity for the debtor country to achieve sustained economic growth, create the conditions in which poverty can be tackled, and contribute more to the global economy in which the UK is a major player. Debt relief also makes sense if it enhances our recovery prospects—a value for money argument—which is the basis of the legislation under which we provide relief on officials commercial credits. We participate in the Paris Club with other significant creditors because a managed settlement agreed between a debtor and all its major creditors necessitates equal treatment on the part of the debtor, reducing the risk that some creditors will be favoured over others. In the past decade, through Paris Club agreements, the UK has cancelled around £1.8 billion of debts owed to us.

  26. The bulk of our claims on poor countries consist of debts arising from unpaid export credits, administered by the Export Credits Guarantee Department (ECGD). ECGD's sovereign debt portfolio has been acquired as part of its trading activities—the giving of guarantees and insurance against loss in respect of export contracts in exchange for the payment of a premium by the exporter. ECGD takes over title to the debt when it pays a claim under its guarantee: and it seeks to recover sovereign debt through agreements reached under the aegis of the Paris Club. Non-sovereign debt is pursued with the individual debtor concerned. The payment of claims under ECGD guarantees is financed by Parliamentary Vote, and will have an impact on the PSBR (as would any recoveries of the debt). ECGD's gross trading surplus is accounted for as government revenue in the national accounts, rather than as public expenditure. It is reported in ECGD's Annual Report and Accounts, which are published to Parliament as a command paper. ECGD's sovereign debt portfolio is shown as an asset in its balance sheet, net of provisions against the contingency that a full recovery will not be made.

  27. ECGD seeks to maximise the recovery of outstanding debt, including sovereign debt. Under Section 3(1) of the Export and Investment Act 1991, "arrangements"—such as debt forgiveness—can be made only in the interests of proper financial management of the ECGD portfolio. Debt forgiveness—the waiving of legal title to the debt, either wholly or partly—will be considered only if ECGD is satisfied that this is in the interests of the proper financial management of its portfolio: for example, that the partial forgiveness of the debt alongside similar forgiveness by other creditors enhances the prospects for recovery overall.

  28. The UK has been a firm supporter of the concessional debt treatment which has culminated in the HIPC initiative, and UK Ministers have been at the forefront of calling for the initiative's rapid and flexible implementation. For instance, the Government strongly backed moves to give Uganda and Guyana credit for their well-established track records by reducing the length of the second stage from three years to one year.

  29. Moreover, in September 1997, at the Commonwealth Finance Ministers Meeting in Mauritius, the Chancellor of the Exchequer challenged the international community to work to resolve the problem of unsustainable debt burdens faced by some poor countries fully and finally by ensuring sufficient debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries. He called on debtors to respond by putting in place sound economic policies aimed at generating economic growth—a necessary precondition for raising living standards and reducing poverty in the future—to allow them to address their developmental goals in the longer term. Particular emphasis should be put on productive expenditure, such as basic health and education, and on transparent and accountable decision-making.

  30. The Chancellor sought to provide further momentum by setting targets against which further progress could be measured. He proposed that the international community should make a commitment that all eligible poor countries should at least embark on the process of securing a sustainable exit from their debt problems by the year 2000 (by putting in place an IMF-supported economic reform programme). Decision points should be reached on three-quarters of the countries that need HIPC relief by the same date.

  31. In his statement, known as the Mauritius Mandate, the Chancellor also called for greater openness and flexibility—including more debtor involvement in debt negotiations—in the Paris Club, which he challenged to provide relief where necessary to categories of debt not currently covered by debt reduction. This would mean going beyond past practice, with the overriding objective of securing debt sustainability. The UK continues to advocate this approach, for example for Mozambique, as it is clear that 80 per cent Paris Club relief will not deliver debt sustainability.

  32. In the Mauritius Mandate, the Chancellor also announced unilateral measures to further address the debt problem. He drew attention to the announcement by the Secretary of State for International Development that she planned to continue the policy of cancelling old aid loans owed to the UK. Since 1978, the UK has forgiven unilaterally £1.2 billion of old aid loans, and plans to cancel the remaining £132 million of aid debts owed by middle income Commonwealth countries as quickly as possible, provided these countries follow sensible economic policies that encourage pro-poor economic growth. The Department for International Development has also made available £6.5 million for a bilateral contribution to the African Development Bank to help it to meet its share of the costs of providing HIPC relief to Uganda. The Chancellor announced that for the next two years, the UK would provide export credits to HIPC countries only in support of productive expenditure, to focus support on spending that contributes to the economic and social development of these countries. During this period, the Government would seek to persuade other creditors to agree that all state-supported credits to poor countries should be focussed in this way in future.

  33. In December, the Chancellor and the Secretary of State for International Development held a seminar, attended by leaders of religious groups and non-government organisations based in the UK, to consider their views on the Mauritius Mandate and to discuss with these groups the involvement of the whole international community in meeting the challenges set out in the Mandate. The Chancellor also took the opportunity to announce consultation on proposals to provide enhanced tax-relief on charitable gifts to promote educational and anti-poverty projects in developing countries, and he drew attention to the President of the Board of Trade's announcement that ECGD would provide an extra £100 million of overseas investment insurance to the HIPC countries.

  34. Participants of the seminar sought new momentum for the HIPC initiative and hoped that the seminar signified a new surge of political will and public momentum to deal with the debts of developing countries. The Chancellor assured them that advancing the issue is a priority. The Government will continue to work for international agreement on the proposals made at Mauritius in the G7, the IMF, the World Bank, the Paris Club, the OECD and in Europe.

  35. The next stage, to which the Government is committed, is to seek further progress internationally. Progress with the Mauritius Mandate targets are covered in Annex B.

Further information:

  "Debt 2000: The Mauritius Mandate"—Statement given by the Right Hon. Gordon Brown MP, Chancellor of the Exchequer to the Commonwealth Finance Ministers Meeting, Mauritius, 16 September 1997.

  "Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries—the HIPC initiative", IMF Pamphlet Series, No. 51, 1997.

  Global Development Finance 1997, Volume 1, World Bank, 1997.

  HM Treasury web site: http//www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/pub/html/docs/debt/main.html

  World Bank web site: http://www.worldbank.org

  IMF web site: http://www.imf.org


 
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