Select Committee on Public Accounts Minutes of Evidence


Examination of witnesses (Questions 80 - 99)

MONDAY 9 MARCH 1998

SIR JOHN BOURN, KCB, MR ANDREW TURNBULL, CB, CVO, MR BRUCE SHARPE, MR JOHN CLOUGH, MBE and MR FRANK MARTIN

  80.  Indeed, it does. They quite clearly did not and you did not know about it until the costs came in and you had no control?
  (Mr Clough)  No, that is not really the case because what we do is monitor over 20,000 properties per annum. My monitoring officers who visit the homes and spend up to an hour in those homes do make an assessment of the reasonableness of the costs. Where we consider there to be a pattern of unreasonableness, where a particular installer may clearly be charging more, we have on a six monthly basis reviewed these in the past under old HEES, if we can call it that. Those installers have been visited by the compliance officer who actually audits their property, audits their systems, audits their costs. We have challenged them in the past to review their costings and indeed in every instance they have done.

  81.  Why did you not challenge them at the time when they were submitting their forecast on this?
  (Mr Clough)  Because by definition they were the best people able at that point in time to judge what their prices would be for that kind of work.

  82.  Yet clearly figure 23 suggests that they were getting it substantially wrong?
  (Mr Clough)  It suggests that they got the balance wrong and that information was available in hindsight, it was not available in prospect.

  83.  The difficulty is the lack of control. If I can turn you to figure 26, which takes a look at the differences in average cost of claim for draught proofing a two bed roomed flat by installers working in the same area.
  (Mr Clough)  Yes.

  84.  Here we see there is an average difference of £50 between different installers in different areas. The largest variations are in Scotland and the East Midlands. How can you explain this difference in average cost? Was it because we failed to control them at the start?
  (Mr Clough)  As the National Audit Office pointed out in their report many of these differences can be explained by the mix and type of measures, the type of property that they homed in here on flats and looked at two bed roomed flats.

  85.  What they actually said in paragraph 3.54 was "There will be justifiable variations...", in the first sentence, but "... also identified examples of variations which warrant further investigation". I would quite like to know why it is there are such huge variations in the simple draught proofing of a two bed roomed flat which does not seem to me to be justifiable on the basis of the cost of material, the training levels and the distance to be travelled unless you can say to me conclusively that these variations are down to those legitimate changes?
  (Mr Clough)  If I can give you a specific example, let us choose Scotland because that is the worst case there.

  86.  Indeed[3].
  (Mr Clough)  I think probably one of the best examples would be in figure 27 where it would appear on the basis of that that three installers are operating in the same area doing a two bed roomed flat charging very different amounts and indeed the highest was very much higher than the grant maximum. When in fact you look at those particular claims, which we have done because this was an area clearly that we wanted to get to the bottom of, you find that these are Edwardian and Victorian terraces in Glasgow with very large sliding casement sash windows. I have the breakdown of those particular claims which I am happy to provide. An assessment done by our monitoring officer at the time demonstrates that generally these were very good value for money because of the size of property. It is not a fair assessment to say that poor people generally live in small homes, many of them live in very large difficult to heat homes.

  87.  Let me turn you to figure 24 still around the area of costs. Is it just coincidence that whilst there is a wide variation most of the claims are at or near the grant maximum for each type of work? Is it because your grant is so accurate given this huge variation? No. Is it just perhaps everyone has worked out the cost to get this grant and they are charging this amount with a little bit of variation either way? It sounds like a good fix to me.
  (Mr Clough)  What tends to happen is that despite our plea to the various installer companies that they should actually indicate what the correct charge for this type of work would be, in many instances it would be above the grant maximum. Generally speaking these people in necessitous circumstances are unable to meet the additional cost, often the additional cost is made through a hardship fund from a local authority or a regional electricity company might do the top-up. There is an issue here with regards to the installers knowing that they are only going to get the maximum grant from us. They fill that in on the form and that provides this sort of statistical information. In fact if you were to actually judge the amount of work done you might come up with a slightly different distribution. It is a case of "why tell you it costs £400 when I know you are only going to give me £315, so I will put £315 down and let me find the top-up". That tends to be the reason.

  88.  Who finds the top-up?
  (Mr Clough)  The top-up can come either from the client but in most cases will come from a hardship fund.

  89.  It does not come from the installer obviously.
  (Mr Clough)  Unless the installer runs some sort of hardship fund where they share their profits. Some of them do.

  90.  I am just intrigued too about what might go on in a particular area. On page 47, paragraph 3.31, you talk about the vast majority of areas having two or three installers. You try to create at least two installers in each area. How big is an area? Is it Northampton? Is it Birmingham? Just give me a feel.
  (Mr Clough)  There are 456 local authorities, there are 156 installer areas. Largely speaking you are talking about three local authorities.

  91.  Three local authorities. So you might have two installers covering three local authorities?
  (Mr Clough)  Yes.

  92.  Does that sound like enough competition to get the price down to you?
  (Mr Clough)  I am not sure what the right level of competition is.

  93.  You do not know what the right level of competition is to get the price down?
  (Mr Clough)  I know that if we market test and invite everyone who is working in this field to be part of the holding list who can then be invited to carry out work, if we are still (a) having interest in that then people know about it and (b) if there is not overwhelming interest in that then we are working with the industry in the size that it is.

  94.  In an area it would be wrong of me even to suggest that the two installers in that area might talk to one another about their pricing. It would be wrong of me to even think that the two installers might have a small cartel going and, therefore, are keeping their prices artificially high.
  (Mr Clough)  They may do but that is a risk that they would run and my experience in the commercial world is cartels very rarely operate for very long. There is always somebody who on the face of it would agree that there might be some price fixing and inevitably some party to that would break the pricing arrangement. That is one of the reasons why clearly we want competition in an area and we encourage competition in an area, but to suggest that these people will operate that sort of cartel——

  95.  The answer you have given me is you do not know this is going on and with only two suppliers in one large area of three local authorities I guess I am just too suspicious perhaps to believe there is not some of that going on. I just want to know what quality control, what price control, what way you ensure that is not happening rather than assuming that it is not.
  (Mr Turnbull)  Can I say those two are chosen from a larger list, it is not just two that compete in the competition. There is competition amongst a large number of installers to be those two. Then we come to the question of why did we change the scheme and what was the nature of that change? Instead of bidding for a three bed roomed house, a flat or whatever, the installers were asked to bid for a square metre of insulation, a square metre of cavity wall, a window of such and such a type, an external door, an internal door, or whatever. There is now the possibility of monitoring much more closely the prices that they charge for individual items. There is a reference in here to developing a computer programme which will identify where someone puts in claims that are for a terraced house, for example, where those claims are out of line. Also automatically if they put in a claim which is (a) above the grant maximum and (b) above the figure that they bid then the excess is disallowed.

  96.  I want to finish on this point about costs. Because the actual costs are outpacing the forecast costs quite considerably, as I put in the first information we looked at, and because so many people are getting right towards the maximum grant, that is the huge column in the middle of that graph, and because we have only got two installers per area, it all looks like a bit of a fix. Everyone knows what they are going to get, they put the money in, there is no incentive to be more efficient than the next person and there are no real controls, or there have not been to date, over their actual costs because you appointed them on the basis of their forecast costs. I just find the whole area of cost control seems to be incredibly woolly.
  (Mr Turnbull)  But are you judging it on the scheme as now or on the scheme that the NAO investigated?

  97.  I think our job is to take what the NAO investigated and to pursue you on what appear to be some fundamental flaws in the last seven years' worth of operation which may have meant that fewer of the poorest households in this country have had their houses insulated than they could have done.
  (Mr Turnbull)  It depends whether you give us credit for having changed it.

  98.  This year?
  (Mr Turnbull)  Yes.

  99.  Six years this scheme has been going. We can give you credit for finally getting around to it but I have to say that for the past six years there is not a lot of credit to be had. On page 17, paragraph 1.13 says that the Chancellor cut the VAT on energy saving materials from 17.5 per cent to five per cent and that would help to insulate an additional 40,000 homes per year.
  (Mr Turnbull)  Yes.


3   Note: See Evidence, Appendix 1, p. 22 (PAC 221). Back


 
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