Select Committee on Science and Technology Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 80 - 99)

WEDNESDAY 1 JULY 1998

DR KEITH MCCULLAGH AND DR PEDER JENSEN

  80. So you stand completely by the press releases of 1995?
  (Dr McCullagh) Absolutely. They were factually correct and they reflected our view of the development programme and its phases and we said very clearly it would require confirmation in phase three. Those phase three trials are now under way.

  81. Dr Millar has expressed serious reservations about the speed with which marimastat can be brought to the market. It does strike me that you were working on a timescale of two to three years to market this product.
  (Dr Jensen) To complete the clinical trials, not to market the compounds. When you complete clinical studies, when I was saying that about a third of the studies will be clinically completed next year, if these studies are positive they could be the basis of a submission. It takes about six months to put a submission together. That is submitted to the health authorities and it takes about a year to get a view and outcome from that submission. So at the very earliest, we are talking about marketing about 18 months after the studies have read out.

  82. So this is in a sense the best possible scenario? There is another scenario, which is perhaps it will be three years or five years?
  (Dr Jensen) Exactly.

  83. There is another scenario which is that it will fail at phase three?
  (Dr Jensen) That is correct.

  84. Do you accept within this new industry of biotechnology, especially when we are looking at cancer drugs when there is a billion pound market out there, it is particularly vulnerable to hype? Whether it is your press releases or the use made of them by the media, there was certainly a great deal of hype in 1995-96?
  (Dr McCullagh) We have an obligation to disclose the data from our development programmes. It is such an important component of the company's value that it is very material to shareholders to know what the status is. We reported that data on two occasions in 1996 and in 1995 at our half year results presentation, and when we are making the presentation normally we report the data, and then again when we were making a presentation the following May to the American Society for Clinical Oncology. We simply reported what was being said to the clinical oncologists at that academic meeting. We verified these press releases at the time, they are factually correct, they contain all the information available at that time, and indeed nobody, including the SEC, has been able to draw our attention to any material omission or error of fact in those statements.

  85. We are aware from Dr Millar's evidence about unblinding blind trials, and that happened on two or three occasions. Was it not your responsibility as chief executive to admonish Dr Millar for unblinding these blind trials? This cannot happen commonly within drug research, surely?
  (Dr McCullagh) Let me make a brief comment and then perhaps ask Dr Jensen to talk about that in more detail. The first time I became aware that any of our studies had been unblinded was in May last year when Dr Millar reported to me that he had indeed unblinded two of our studies earlier in the year because he had safety concerns. He said those safety concerns had gone away, there were no safety issues, he had stopped monitoring the studies, and I did admonish him and said, "That is improper practice, it does not follow good clinical practice guidelines, don't do it again."

  86. Well he did. A second and a third time.
  (Dr McCullagh) And I have to say that I valued his contribution to the company at that time. I believed he was a senior executive responsible for our clinical programmes and would conduct himself with the appropriate professional standing.

  87. I am amazed this is allowed within any kind of medical protocol.
  (Dr McCullagh) It is not allowed, Dr Williams.

  Dr Williams: It is not allowed, yet it happened a second and third time.

Dr Jones

  88. You are saying there are no circumstances in which it might be permitted?
  (Dr Jensen) With studies you have a trial protocol and in that trial protocol you define what kind of patients you want to investigate, you decide what kind of design, does it have to be double-blind or randomised, and you also decide in this protocol the primary end-point that needs to be investigated. You also, based on your primary end-point, define the number of patients you need in order to test your hypothesis. So if you have a certain hypothesis you may need 1,500 patients to test that hypothesis and it is unethical and the company would not include more patients than actually would be needed to test that hypothesis. The conduct of the trial is set in the trial protocol. That trial protocol is then submitted to the health authorities. In the United Kingdom it is to the MCA. In the US it is to FDA and after a certain waiting period, in the US it is 30 days and in the United Kingdom it is 28 days, if we do not hear anything from the health authorities we would then start the study.

Dr Gibson

  89. Is that because it goes to the Ethics Committee?
  (Dr Jensen) That is the regulatory aspect. In addition of course you speak to investigators willing to participate in the study and after you have got commitment from them you make a submission to the Ethical Review Board. It is not only the investigator that is signing the contract to investigate a certain drug in patients but they also have to submit that to the Ethical Review Board.

Dr Jones

  90. Could I just interrupt. We have not got very much time and we have got documentation about the process. The question I asked was were there any circumstances in which it was appropriate to unblind? If you could briefly tell me whether it is yes or no and perhaps when the circumstances arise.
  (Dr Jensen) The only circumstances where it is allowed is if it is included in the protocol which you can do—which was not the case in these unblindings—or if you have an unexpected safety issue.

Chairman

  91. Dr McCullagh told us that Dr Millar had told him that it was a safety issue. That is why he unblinded it.
  (Dr McCullagh) Yes indeed. If there was a safety issue there are proper procedures to go through. I certainly would have been expected to have been informed at the time. There are SOPs in place. The regulatory authorities should be informed. The hospitals conducting the study should be informed. None of that was done. Those procedures were not followed.

  Chairman: I wonder if I could invite Dr Jones to go on to Zacutex because we are short of time.

Dr Jones

  92. I think in a sense we have covered that. I just wanted to go back on this. Did Dr Lewis never discuss this issue with you in relation to the unblinding?
  (Dr McCullagh) I asked Dr Lewis whether he had received information from Dr Millar about unblinded studies and he said absolutely not. He reported to me that he had made it absolutely clear to Dr Millar that unblinding should not take place at any time.

  93. In relation to the press releases at that time they were more optimistic than the time-scale that Dr Jensen is telling us about now, 2001. Were you not anticipating that you would have the drug to market in a couple of years?
  (Dr McCullagh) No, we said in 1997 that the first study of marimastat the definitive phase three trial, would take approximately two years to complete. We started in summer 1996 and it is now summer 1998 and we expected it to take approximately two years and it will be complete by the end of this year and will allow us to report the data in the first quarter of next year. That is entirely consistent with the plan we set out in 1996. We have, however, during those two years started a rolling programme of ten further studies including two sets of studies in combination with cytotoxics and another two studies being conducted by oncology academic groups where we supply the drugs and they manage the study. Those studies will all report over that three year time-scale. Of course we will submit for registration, as Dr Jensen has said, as soon as we have the data on efficacy and safety that allows us to make a submission.

  94. When you sent Dr Millar to the United States to see the Securities and Exchange Commission did you discuss with him what you were going to tell them in relation to that inquiry?
  (Dr McCullagh) No. The Securities and Exchange Commission were enquiring into some technical issues relating to the FDA's approach to testing cancer drugs. We think the SEC had a misunderstanding. That subsequently proved to be the case. Our lawyers say that there is no basis for any suggestion that the company has violated US securities law. In fact, six or seven of our executives have given information to the Securities and Exchange Commission and their testimony has been uniform and consistent and I do not believe that the SEC has ever found any cause.

Dr Turner

  95. Going back to your phase two trials you are very emphatic about the apparent effect on tumour antigens in circulation but can you tell us a little more about the actual effects on tumours themselves in that trial? As I remember from reading these papers one of the things that Dr Millar appeared to discover having unblinded the trials was that there was a very big question mark about effectiveness.
  (Dr McCullagh) There is only one marimastat study that was unblinded improperly by Dr Millar and that is the first one in pancreatic cancer which is a comparison of three different doses of the drug against a control drug, a chemotherapy agent called Gemzar. He has indicated he thought the results when he looked at them were disappointing but he has not, as far as I know—you may ask him I am sure—said that they are consistent with the drug not working. He is simply saying it may not work better than Gemzar. We do not know the answer to that. The study is still on-going. It will not finish until towards the end of this year when we will have the data. It is impossible to draw meaningful conclusions half way through a clinical trial which has a protocol of defined patient numbers until you have completed the trial according to the protocol and done the statistical analysis.

  96. You have not answered my point as to whether the effect on tumour antigens was matched by an effect on the tumours themselves.
  (Dr Jensen) We are finding that out of course in the phase three trial but in the phase two trial—

  97. I am talking about the phase two trial.
  (Dr McCullagh) I understand what you are saying. In the phase two trial, patients who received the drug only did so for 28 days which was a pretty short period to assess the effect on the tumour. However, for patients who were also allowed to continue on to a compassionate use of protocol, if they wished to and their doctor wished to, I can tell you that those who did continue on drug lived twice as long as those who did not. Those who had a good response in terms of tumour antigens lived approximately twice as long as those who had poor results. So the results on cancer patient survival from those phase two trials is consistent with the drug having a dramatically beneficial effect but of course those are not randomised defined studies. That is what we are doing now in phase three. We hope to be able to confirm that data from the phase three trials.
  (Dr Jensen) The short answer to your question is 28 days is not enough to assess clinical efficacy in phase two and that was the time we were allowed to treat the patients.

Dr Gibson

  98. A quick answer to this one please. Twice as long. How long is twice as long for patients surviving, one month or one week?
  (Dr McCullagh) Because it is a spectrum some patients survive one month, some survive one year. You are talking about two curves. One is a steep curve and one is a shallow curve.

  99. In this cycle it is a five year cycle for success.
  (Dr McCullagh) If you take median survival it is six months to twelve months.


 
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Prepared 14 September 1998