Select Committee on Social Security Minutes of Evidence


Examination of witnesses (Questions 74 - 99)

TUESDAY 23 JUNE 1998

MR RICHARD BARON and MR BILL KNOX

Chairman

  74.  Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. May I open the public proceedings this morning. The Committee is returning to phase 3 of the tax and benefits inquiry which we started earlier in the year, and we are delighted to welcome our two witnesses this morning, Mr Richard Baron from the Institute of Directors, who is the Deputy Head of the Policy Unit there, and Mr Bill Knox, the Federation of Small Businesses Employment Affairs Chairman, who tells me he has a very important engagement at eight o'clock this evening in front of the television set. I can tell him he will not be alone. The session will finish before eight o'clock this evening. Richard and Bill, you are both experienced individuals in this kind of activity and we are grateful to you for your memoranda, which have been very helpful in setting the context of what your respective views are. I wanted to ask you both if you would help us by explaining exactly how you see the merits of a Tax Credit. You have done that to a certain extent in your respective documents, for which, as I say, we are very grateful, but if I could put the question to you: I think you were probably both around at the time, though maybe not in your present positions, in 1988 when Mr Norman Fowler tried something of the same thing when Family Income Supplement became Family Credit and the Government were quite robust in saying that they were going to do the reform in a way that ran into some quite mighty opposition in the House of Lords as a result of the objections from organisations representing women's interests in terms of who was to receive the payment, and secondly, and more appropriately as far as you are concerned, by the business community, who felt that the change at that time was inimical to their members' interests. Really the first question this morning has to be, what is different about now and are the objections that were sustained in 1988 not going to run up against the same kind of problems when the legislation is implemented in this context? Could I ask you both to say a word about the merits, as you see them, of a Tax Credit, in so far as they go, and to comment on the differences between the 1988 situation and where we are now? Could I invite Richard maybe to open the batting?
  (Mr Baron)  Yes. I think is a very good question, what are the merits, because it is not to me at all clear what they are. I am aware that the Working Families Tax Credit is part of the Government's strategy to tackle unemployment and to tackle excessive dependence on benefits, and the idea appears to be that if you get your benefit money through your pay slip it will make it very visible that you are better off in work than you are out of work. I have not seen any convincing psychological evidence that it will actually achieve that effect. I suspect that evidence on those lines is very hard to get hold of because it is very hard to do any kind of controlled experiment on how people's economic behaviour changes when you change the way in which you give them some money. So I am very unclear about what the real benefits are. I am very clear on what the downside is, that to deliver Family Credit revamped as Working Families Tax Credit through the pay slip is going to be a huge amount of hassle, mainly because the pay roll system and the PAYE system are simply not designed to give people money. They never have been; they have been designed to take money off people in the form of tax, possibly zero tax, but not actually to give money back. So it is going to be very difficult. I am not aware of what arguments were put forward in 1988. I am afraid I was not taking an interest in these matters at that time, but to the extent that they were administrative concerns that this would just be too much for the Revenue through employers to cope with, I think those concerns are equally valid today.
  (Mr Knox)  I think the perceived benefits are hopefully twofold, in the Government's opinion. One is that the psychological element that Richard talked about is realistic. People do feel that they are earning something and that is one aspect of it. The other aspect, of course, is to break down the barriers between unemployment and employment. Those are two, what I call perceived benefits, but once we go into it quite deeply, as we have done in the Working Committee with the Inland Revenue, we are finding more and more complexities. One of the things I did was to speak to some of the people who work for me and suggest various options and not one of them suited. I had one girl in particular who has two children. She was not happy anyway with my knowing her circumstances. So there might even be a downside in the psychological aspect of it. From an employer's point of view there is another aspect, that if we are handling what could be fairly bureaucratic eventually, and we are employing new people and one of the people comes in front of us, we actually might find that we discriminate, knowingly or unknowingly, against that person and I see a danger in people who are already trapped in this no-work situation finding it even more difficult to find work. They may attune themselves to working but the employer might decide they do not wish to be involved. So I think that is one of the very quick downsides when we look at the broad strategy, although we can appreciate in Taylor's report that he felt it absolutely necessary that the system has to be changed because there is a trap and too many people are in the trap. In fact, we find our employers would be quite happy with that whole approach that we have to try to get people out of unemployment for a whole variety of reasons. It is good for the country in that it is better to have people working than not working psychologically. It is also good in the tax sense that people working are paying tax rather than receiving benefit. So we agree with the general trend that is in the Taylor report but we worry very much, as employers, about various aspects of it.

  75.  One of the perceived merits that the Government have put forward is the reduction in the stigma that might attach to claiming a Family Credit as opposed to being in receipt of a Tax Credit. Does either of you have strong views about whether there are any benefits in the perceived reduction in the stigma in the proposed change that the Government are bringing forward?
  (Mr Baron)  I do not think there will be any perceived reduction in the stigma at the point of claim because claimants will still have to claim. They will still have to fill in a form which will go to the Inland Revenue rather than the Benefits Agency. I do not suppose that will make a great deal of difference. If there is a reduction in the stigma it must be at the point of actually collecting the money because it will come to you automatically through your pay slip rather than your getting a Giro and going and cashing it, but the claim and the claim form are still going to be there.
  (Mr Knox)  In fact, there could be the added stigma of being an employee who receives, and knowingly receives, benefit within the workplace.

  76.  A final question from me: tell us a wee bit about how you feel you are getting on with the Inland Revenue Working Party. It is called the Working Party, Working Committee? What is it called?
  (Mr Baron)  I think it is called the Working Group.

  77.  From a business perspective, how is that working? Are you getting your points taken account of? Do you feel that you are making any kind of impression? Is it going anywhere or are there still a lot of problems to solve? How are you finding that is actually operating?
  (Mr Baron)  I think it is going very well. I think the Revenue are taking the administrative problems very seriously and they are determined, given that ministers have decided the policy, to construct a system that works. They do not want a system which falls down. So I think the Revenue are taking our points on board but they working within an existing PAYE system and constraints set by policy and there is a limit to what they can deliver.
  (Mr Knox)  I think what we are facing in the Committee is an element of reality, that there is only one way to go once a political decision has been made. I think that is the problem, that we are finding that there is not a great deal of flexibility, and what we are doing is probably knocking down some of the options that the Government do not want in within the Committee. One of the options was the Pay As You Earn system, and we have a paper at the moment which is not necessarily confidential but released to us by the Revenue, which did show that if we added Working Families Tax Credit to the Pay As You Earn system, it did create an imbalance and it actually knocked it out of kilter after the six weeks, and we have to keep revising it.

  78.  Do you mean in terms of an individual's balance of tax and credit?
  (Mr Knox)  That is right, yes.

  79.  It goes out of kilter in six weeks?
  (Mr Knox)  Six weeks. That was the figure.

  80.  On an individual basis?
  (Mr Knox)  Yes.

Miss Kirkbride

  81.  Do you mean by "out of kilter" that there is revenue lost?
  (Mr Knox)  It is distorted within a period of six weeks. If it had stayed as a single benefit payment and the tax taken off, it would have come to a different figure from the figure that we reach after six weeks, and there is quite a detailed, complex paper that took us to that conclusion that the Revenue worked on for quite a few weeks. We did not think it was possible for this to happen but we could not come to any other conclusion once we had read the paper. Our hoped-for situation was that the benefit would be paid through the Pay As You Earn system. The Revenue say it is totally impossible. We have not managed to counter that argument yet.

Chairman

  82.  I think Chris and Patricia both have supplementaries on this, but just a final, final question from me. Is the timescale of this realistic?
  (Mr Knox)  No, far too quick.
  (Mr Baron)  It is not impossible to get it done within the timescale, to start paying through the pay slip by April 2000, but it is extremely tight, especially given that the Revenue have a lot else on their plate at the same time.
  (Mr Knox)  The trouble is, if it is not right we are going to end up with problems come next April. We are saying that now and we have asked the Government to step back a bit, but they actually say that the timetable is longer than they wished it to be.

Mr Pond

  83.  Very briefly, for Richard, if I may, I am slightly puzzled on the stigma issue. You said that one of the reasons why the stigma would not be necessarily reduced is that a claim form would still have to be completed, and I am puzzled as to why that should create more stigma than, for instance, completing a tax return. I am also slightly puzzled as to why it would be stigmatising to receive Working Families Tax Credit but not other forms of tax relief. Could you talk us through that a bit further?
  (Mr Baron)  On the first point, the claim form, I made that point because I understood that is where the current stigma is perceived to come from, actually claiming the benefit. Maybe that is not so. If there is no current stigma from making the claim, then obviously transferring to a claim form that goes to a different address does not change anything, does not introduce any new stigma. So I do not think it introduces any new stigma but I do not think it takes any away.

  84.  Just to press you on the point, the point I am making is, should there be greater stigma from filling in a WFTC form than there is from filling out a tax return which gives you access then to various tax reliefs and allowances?
  (Mr Baron)  I see the point. You are comparing it with a tax return. I think there will be as long as the payment that the claimant is getting from the Government is perceived as a benefit, is perceived as a hand-out, whatever you want to call it. It is, I believe, part of the Government's strategy to remove the perception of it as a benefit but, as Bill has just explained, it is not going to be possible to deliver it through adjusting a PAYE code. You are going to have still on your pay slip gross pay minus tax equals net pay plus Working Families Tax Credit, £50 or £100 or whatever, equals take-home pay. So it is not going to vanish into the tax system. It is still going to be there on your pay slip as a hand-out, and I would question, given that, whether one can take away the perception of it as a benefit or, indeed, whether one should take away the perception of it as a benefit. It is still cash coming from the state to the individual.

Chairman:  May we turn to the whole question of what it is reasonable to expect employers to do in these kinds of situation. Patricia has some questions to put on that.

Ms Hewitt:  What I would like to do first, Chairman, is come back to the point about this extremely interesting Inland Revenue memorandum. First of all, Chairman, could we ask for a copy of that to be made available to the Committee?

Chairman:  I think we should because I would like to ask the same question, but I do not think we can ask our witnesses this morning to make it available.

Ms Hewitt:  No, that was a point to you, that the Committee ask for that.

Chairman:  I agree with that.

Ms Hewitt

  85.  What I wanted to ask our witnesses is this, since you have been discussing this paper, because I am trying to understand why a Tax Credit should lead to this distortion, particularly because when we saw Martin Taylor last week he was certainly talking in terms of a PAYE system, a cumulative basis, where, just as you were saying, Mr Baron, you would deduct tax and national insurance and then add any remaining credit and that would give you the net pay. It seems to me there are two different situations. One is where over a period of, say, six months or a whole tax year, the wages are unchanged. You pay the same wage every week or every month and you deduct the same tax and national insurance every week or every month and you pay the same credit every week or every month. That is one situation. The other one is where the wages fluctuate and so you have some variation there, so you have a different gross, you therefore have a different income tax and NIC deduction, and, therefore, with the tax credit paid through PAYE you have a different credit, whereas under the Family Credit system the six-month Family Credit figure remains unchanged. Does the distortion arise in the second situation or in both?
  (Mr Knox)  Maybe the Department should be dealing with this specific question.

  86.  Since we have you here——
  (Mr Knox)  They devised an N code to run it, and they ran a series of model examples on it and every one of them did create a distortion after a period of time. For whole fairly complex reasons we spent quite a few hours discussing this because this was our hoped-for way of dealing with the situation, and at the end even those of us who are totally committed to its being through the PAYE system had to be realistic and accept that there were distortions. There are dozens of reasons why it would distort, and fascinatingly, you do need the paper to understand it. Certainly, Chairman, if you decide to ask for the paper, I am sure the Revenue will supply it to you. It might be interesting to hear your reactions once you have read the paper. I said either the Revenue were extremely clever and had taken all the possible examples which would show a distortion, or it was just totally impractical to do, and I could not see why they should take so many examples that would show a distortion just to prove a point. When we had that paper we could probably go away and disprove it if that were possible, but so far our tax people have not disproved it.

  87.  That is very helpful and I shall not try and pursue it without seeing the paper, but thank you for telling us about it. If I could come back to the IoD memorandum, where you said it is not in principle the job of employers to administer the benefit system, employers already administer, and have done for some time, statutory sick pay and statutory maternity pay. So this principle has not been accepted by Government for some years, has it?
  (Mr Baron)  It is true that the Government have been loading these things on to employers for some years. It does not follow that employers are happy about it. I think because statutory sick pay and statutory maternity pay have now been around for some years, it has just come to be accepted as part of life, in addition, of course, to the considerable administrative burden of simply running a PAYE system. We do not accept that that burden should be increased.
  (Mr Knox)  On that point, we argued very strongly against both systems becoming employer-based, SSP and SMP, with the previous Government. In fact, we won many arguments behind the scenes with them. They admitted that many of our arguments were correct but it was the Government's principle of the day to do this. That does not make this any more palatable, shall we say, simply because we are already doing something else.

  88.  May I turn to a slightly different question, which is the consequence of lifting the lower threshold for national insurance contributions, and I think it is the IoD memorandum which touches on the effects of loss of benefit entitlement for the people within the bracket of £64 a week to £81 a week. May I explore this business. If the Government wanted, first of all, to retain national insurance benefits for people between the present and the new lower earnings limit, and secondly, if they wanted to extend benefits, such as maternity pay, to people below the present threshold, what is the simplest way, from your point of view, of doing that? The IoD memorandum, I think, refers to simply supplying the Inland Revenue with a list of those employees. How easy would that be to do given that there might be variable hours and variable weekly pay involved for some of these people?
  (Mr Baron)  I think it would be pretty easy simply to supply that list. The question would then be, what do you do about someone who is on that list of between £64 and £81 a week or even less than £64 a week, for, say, half a dozen weeks and then their pay goes up and they come into, if you like, the "proper" NIC system or they are in the "proper" NIC system because they are over £81 a week and then drop below that threshold. I would certainly hope, if one were to go down that route, that the Inland Revenue/Contributions Agency, which, of course, is moving across to the Inland Revenue, would sort that out and would track the people who appeared on the list and also appeared in the proper NIC system, and would say, "That is the same person twice." I would certainly expect the Government to sort that one out.
  (Mr Knox)  It seems a bit ludicrous, when we are discussing a minimum wage in this country and benefits, that we have such a low threshold for both tax and national insurance. I would have thought the sensible situation would be to raise both of these with any money that is available. We have spent a lot of money creating the New Deal, almost £3½ billion, so we accept there is a fund of money there to help people into employment, and the obvious way I would have tackled it would have been to raise both these thresholds so that people in work retained more of their money in the first place. It is ludicrous that people who are reckoned to be in the poverty market pay tax and national insurance. So that is the very basic principle. How we then get round the fact that we take them out of other benefits is a matter for the Revenue and the DSS to look at and see how they can resolve that problem. But surely if we take people out of paying tax and national insurance below £120—even that I think is ludicrous—they should be able to earn as much as, if not more than, that before they start to pay anything on both.

  89.  Would you and your members be happy, let us say if that were to happen or, indeed, the proposed raising of the threshold, about supplying a list of employees who would be below the threshold?
  (Mr Knox)  I am sure that both the tax authorities and the social security could provide that list on a countrywide basis a lot better than we could.

  90.  No, because the tax authorities and the benefits authorities do not know whether somebody is employed for 15 hours a week if they are earning below the threshold?
  (Mr Knox)  Yes, but you still have the part-time employees. You still have various forms to fill out which go back and should be collated by somebody. We still have to sign forms that somebody is in part-time employment. If you took a proportion of the Federation membership and IoD membership, you still only have a snapshot of the situation, whereas surely to goodness the Stats Office should have that anyway on a UK-wide basis.

Mr Pond

  91.  On that point, Mr Knox, I would certainly agree that in recent years income tax and national insurance contributions have become a contributory factor in pushing more people into poverty. That is absolutely true. You then made a comparison between the cost of the New Deal in creating employment and using those funds, you suggested, to raise tax and national insurance thresholds and exemption limits. Would that not be a remarkably inefficient way of using a relatively small amount of money, certainly in terms of employment growth, because, of course, raising the thresholds means that most of the revenue that you are using in that way is actually going to higher income groups and only a small proportion of it is used to take people out of tax at the bottom, and then to translate that into job creation. You are not surely suggesting that would be more efficient than using that £3.5 billion on the New Deal?
  (Mr Knox)  I must admit I do not altogether understand your question because if you raise the threshold of tax and national insurance you are saying that will make the better-off richer. That would be within the tax structure to alter tax, if necessary, the higher bands, if you wish. It should not affect people in the lower band at all. They should benefit then; we should be paying more, and it is a very basic situation that the Government——

  92.  Let me explain the point more clearly then, that if you use that £3.5 billion to which you were referring, as this separate pot that seems to be available to raise tax thresholds, only a small proportion of that £3.5 billion would go in actually lifting people out of tax at the bottom. Most of that would go in tax cuts right across the scale and proportionately more to the higher income groups. So you are saying you could claw some of that back by changing tax rates at the top?
  (Mr Knox)  That is up to the Treasury to revise the tax structure accordingly. They are quite good at doing it at other times. I am not just suggesting that the £3½ billion that is being used on the New Deal is the only sum available because, after all, if you take people out of benefit you are saving the taxpayer money in the first place.

Chairman

  93.  I want to move on to Edward Leigh, who has some questions to ask about the administrative burden, but it is our impression, certainly interpreting some of the things that Mr Martin Taylor has been saying recently, that there may be more of this in the pipeline, that there may be more benefits coming delivered via this route. Do you have any views about that development?
  (Mr Knox)  Very strong views, I am afraid. I quite like having a complex society where Government governs and employs tax civil servants to deal with the tax structure and leave business to go ahead and do what it is best at and that is providing employment, making profits and being fairly taxed. I do not see why we should extend what is there already and that is the fact that many of us are—I was going to say unpaid tax collectors. We pay to be tax collectors now more and more. We have just had a new programme in for our wage pay roll and this is rolling on. We are having more of these coming in. So it is actually costing us quite a bit of money to do the Government's work. So the very principle we have in this country of saving the civil service or reducing the civil service and putting it on to employers will have to come to a stop at some stage, partly because the system will fall down, partly because employers will stop doing it, and then we will have a very interesting situation when that comes.

Chairman

  94.  Richard, do you have a view on that?
  (Mr Baron)  I would certainly go along with what Bill has just said. Do not do it, do not move more of the benefits over to employer delivery, partly simply because of the burden on employers, who ought, as Bill says, to be running their businesses and creating new employment opportunities and jobs or profits and so on, but also because of the more general principle, that if you have a tax system and a benefits system and they are separate, then you can go away and formulate benefits policy without worrying too much about the interaction with the mechanics of the tax system. (Obviously you worry about the interaction with the tax rates, so that you do not have people receiving lots of benefits paying it all straight back in tax.) Whereas if you start to make these systems interact, then life immediately gets a lot more complicated. When you have two separate systems they can go their own ways and be designed to fulfil their own objectives. When you have two systems which come together each has to keep an eye on the objectives and the resources of the other, and just as a general principle of life, you find life gets a lot more complicated and there are far fewer policy options that are practical, and I think that would be a shame.

Mr Leigh

  95.  I think you have made some very telling points today and in the memorandum by the Federation of Small Businesses in paragraph nine you say, and you have said this morning: "However, employers are already the unpaid tax collectors on behalf of the Government for NICs and PAYE ... Statutory Maternity Pay and redundancy pay. Large businesses," you say, "have extensive personnel departments to deal with such responsibilities—in the small firm it is more often than not the owner manager performing the calculations on the kitchen table." I think that is a telling phrase. Do you want to tell us anything more about the administrative burdens, particularly on small businesses?
  (Mr Knox)  A very basic principle: when they are doing that they are not doing what they should be doing. The other thing is that they are not really adept—and I can speak from experience from talking to our members—at dealing with Government work. They are pretty poor at it. They have never been trained at it, whereas civil servants have, and we are more and more in our Federation giving a back-up system. We have a 24-hour phone-in system to cover a whole range of problems and that includes Government work. It is becoming a bigger burden on them. They are phoning up at all hours of the day and night wanting to know how to do a whole variety of work, including Pay As You Earn and national insurance. They still have problems, and if you look at the pack that comes in—we do not use the pack but I opened the pack six months ago to see how simple it was and after leafing through it for five or ten minutes realised I was totally lost because I could do it manually maybe ten or 15 years ago. I would not know where to start manually now because it is becoming more and more complex. I can just go and get a computer that does the thing. So you have the ordinary man or woman out there who is being encouraged to set up business who is not trained in any way, is not helped by the state. They do not provide you with programmes for your computer or anything to run the tax or national insurance systems and you send these people out there, who are pretty proficient at what they are good at doing, that is, running their own business, but they have not honestly got a clue. If this lands on them and for some reason their employee does not get his benefits one week, I can see all the problems that are going to fall on the employer's shoulders. At the moment, if anything goes wrong with the tax structure, the employer gets it. They do not phone up the Revenue. They come in and say, "You've done something wrong with my tax," and it might be a code change which they have been notified of and we have been notified of and they do not realise it. It is always the employer who is at fault. So this is another cause of potential disharmony, but the more that the business people are dealing with Government work, the less they are dealing with their own and that seems a totally inefficient situation. I have always thought that the British civil service was the best in the world, the most capable, and should have continued to do its own job and its own work, and it is one that I am sure the politicians and the taxpayers felt that they could rely on, and the less they are dealing with it and the more employers, on some occasions employees, are dealing with it, the more there are options for fraud and distortion and everything else that goes wrong.

  96.  Thank you very much. I very much hope that our report will reflect that answer, but I put the alternative point of view to the IoD that, although small businesses are the overwhelming majority and what we have heard is very worrying, presumably big businesses will have no problem with it because they have large personnel departments, computers and the rest?
  (Mr Baron)  They may have less of a problem per employee because obviously there is the initial set-up cost of getting a system that will cope with this and then there is a much smaller marginal cost as you add more employees. So it may be less of a problem for them. It will, however, still be a problem and they are still going to have to pay their software suppliers or their pay roll bureaux to handle it and they will still be getting complaints from employees saying, "Where's my money this week? Why is it less than last week?" and all that kind of thing. I think there is another problem, which is perhaps more likely to affect big businesses, though it will be important for a lot of small businesses as well, which is that big businesses are slightly more likely to be paying salaries monthly rather than weekly. People have traditionally expected to get their benefits weekly and if somebody joins the benefit system on, let us say, 6 September, and the next pay day is 30 September, how does one tide them over for those three weeks until the next pay day and what happens at the end of their six-month benefit period? How do you make sure that, having paid them whatever is due on 28 February, you then fill in the right amount to pay them for those last days down to 5 March?

  97.  There is also the interesting question about if they lost their job but I will not ask that, I will ask somebody else to come in. Is it true from what you say in your memorandum that employers might not employ somebody because of this or sack them even, sack everybody who is an administrative burden? Do you have any evidence of that from the small business point of view?
  (Mr Knox)  There is a problem if it is not done through the PAYE system and if it is going to be paid by the employer on a weekly basis—and we had better cover the fact that some are paid weekly, some are paid fortnightly or monthly, and some are paid on other systems as well—if it is not paid through PAYE, that employer can be out of pocket four or five weeks before there is a possibility of reimbursement. If it is not dealt with through the PAYE structure, at the end of the day, and maybe it is £50 or £80 to the employee, and say he has two or three employees, they arrive in the situation that they can be paying £160 a week for five weeks and without any income of any sort to cover that, so there is that possibility.

  98.  It is a cash flow problem for small businesses? It is a cash flow problem as well as an administrative burden?
  (Mr Knox)  A massive cash flow problem for some of them.

  99.  That is assuming they are a small business with a few employees?
  (Mr Knox)  If the benefit is going to go to a reasonable level, having listened to the Chancellor's statement, it could be people earning quite a reasonable amount of money will still be receiving some type of benefit and if you are employing ten people and only one is receiving benefit, then there will not be a problem. If you employ two or three people and they are all receiving benefit, you still would have a problem.


 
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