Select Committee on Welsh Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 360 - 379)

TUESDAY 14 JULY 1998

MR D ROWE-BEDDOE, MR B WILLOTT, MS S LLOYD-JONES, MR J TURNER MR G JACKSON AND MR A MORGAN

Chairman

  360. We have a figure here of £13 million of business which is one of your targets which you have to secure through your business development programme. Is that entirely indigenous? That is what we have had from the Secretary of State based on his priorities in the strategic guidance letter.
  (Mr Morgan) That was the value of business gained. In-1997-98 we actually achieved £43 million so we overachieved. It is all to do with business development.

  361. Is it all to do with indigenous business development?
  (Mr Morgan) Yes. The ones described by the Chairman in his opening remarks, the 3,000 companies which we target.

Mr Caton

  362. I should like to explore a little bit further this subject of targets and achievement. I was interested in what you said about moving away simply from job creation as a measure to other things, including what were mentioned in the Pathway document. I realise you do not have a definite answer to this yet from what you have said, but have you thought about the sort of criteria which you would expect to be measuring against in future?
  (Mr Willott) No, not yet. It will take quite a lot of serious work to do this. The difficulty is the timescale issue. Clearly the objectives which are set in the Pathway document are very much long-term objectives; they will take five, ten, 15 years to achieve. For there to be effective targets for an organisation which are set year by year, you have to have-short-term targets. We really are a long way from identifying what the short-term targets ought to be in order to achieve long-term objectives. There is a lot of serious work. It would be really facile to say we know the answer.

  363. You could argue that the big long-term target in that Pathway document, although it is job creation, is the 200,000 jobs which are described as needed by Wales. In your submission, you make reference to the 160,000 jobs which since 1983 you have either safeguarded or created. Does that take any account of possible displacement?
  (Mr Willott) I do not think it does, but there is no evidence that there is a lot of displacement to be frank.

  364. But we do not really know.
  (Mr Willott) No. There is no domestic industry for a lot of the projects which have come so you would not expect displacement.

  365. Thinking of that 200,000 figure, what sort of timescale are we realistically talking about tackling that on?
  (Mr Willott) A decade.[2]

  366. We could do it within a decade.
  (Mr Willott) That is the sort of time.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) It would not be less. In other ways if you look at the GDP gap, which is perhaps something which between Wales and the UK average we are talking about 17.5 per cent, the figure is that we would have to achieve a higher GDP growth by about half of one per cent per annum than the UK average over a decade to close that gap. This is not unrealistic if everything worked, but I would have thought that it would be at least a decade.
  (Mr Willott) You can slice it another way. The inward investment creates around 8,000 or 9,000 new jobs a year. It ought to be possible to get the same sort of success from indigenous companies. It is very difficult. We do not know enough about job creation by indigenous industry and we need to have quite a bit of research done on that. It must be possible to achieve the same target. Therefore you are talking about getting on for 20,000 jobs a year between the two which would be the basis for saying a decade.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) What we know about is the 3,000 businesses, and the 1,000 businesses in mid Wales. These are but 4,000 out of 58,000 VAT registered businesses. I suppose if one is being somewhat absurd you could say if those 52,000 businesses, or 53,000, which we are not dealing with hired one more person you have half your target. What we know, and we have our basis, is on that constituency with which we deal. We are, of course, less conversant and have less information on that part of the universe which we are not dealing with.

  367. How accurately do you monitor jobs actually created as against the forecast?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Very accurately. I believe our figure, certainly on inward investment as against forecast, runs to about 82 per cent. Very accurately and we are ahead of Scotland, I am happy to say, and the UK average, on that number.

Mr Llwyd

  368. I was rather astonished to hear Mr Willott say that he did not know enough about the creation of jobs in indigenous business. The perception outside of these hallowed walls, amongst the public certainly, is that perhaps the WDA are more concerned with the glamour projects, LG, etcetera, than the indigenous sector. Perhaps that is not misconceived, if you do not know enough about it. Where are we going?
  (Mr Willott) There are statistics which give you net figures, but the economic analysis for understanding the dynamics of the gross births of companies and job creation by companies is not there. We do need to have some studies of this. The information is not sound.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) I was hopeful that I had in my opening statement tried to take some of these misconceptions away. I did say what we did not do. It is not because of desire or anything else but we do not look after or try to look after more than 3,000 of the 58,000 registered VAT businesses. That is a whole range of historical reasons, largely, not just policy and resources, both in financial and human terms. When I look at what we spend and what we achieve in that part of the indigenous business universe in which we are dealing, then in fact it is a credible performance. We should like to do more but we need more money.

  369. I fully accept that and I think you are absolutely right, given the resources you have. This sector must be, in my respectful view, a priority for reaching anywhere near the target set by the document we referred to. We are all agreed on that, are we not?
  (Mr Willott) Yes.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Yes; absolutely.

Mr Thomas

  370. You mentioned that in 1991 there were certain organisational changes to the WDA and indeed you say that organisational change is probably endemic when you are talking about publicly accountable bodies such as the WDA. You are in a constant state of review, I suppose. Could I ask what you did lose in terms of business support functions in 1991?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Two things. The organisational change which I believe was being referred to was one which was undertaken in 1993-94. That was when we devolved into the divisional structure. That is where we are today and tomorrow where we will be, bringing in the DBRW to be one of those divisions. In 1991, very specifically, both funding and responsibilities in certain specific areas were moved away from the Agency. I shall turn to Mr Morgan.
  (Mr Morgan) Up until 1991, we managed the Small Firms Service by the Department of Employment, which was a one-stop shop at that time and had a Freephone Enterprise number and was a UK-wide service. We managed the Counselling Service in Wales where we had a team of some 80 to 90 business, retired businessmen or businessmen who had spare capacity and time. We had our own full-time team of enterprise support executives, actually in excess of 100 in those days; at the moment we have somewhere in the region of 50 people involved in business development. We were involved in training and we ran an awareness programme from schools right through to Be Your Own Boss courses. We were involved in community enterprise initiatives which were taken over by the local authorities and finally the financial support which was referred to earlier on.

  371. The DBRW actually retained—
  (Mr Morgan) Most of those functions.
  (Mr Willott) Yes.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Yes.

  372. As far as business startup is concerned, do you agree that there is a need to increase the level of business birthrate in Wales and to have a business birthrate strategy?
  (Mr Morgan) Yes.
  (Mr Willott) Yes.
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Yes.

  373. How do you think that can be facilitated?
  (Mr Willott) I see this as being part of the entrepreneurship action plan which is referred to in the Pathway document. Rather like the regional technology plan, we will need to involve all the players in Wales in developing that entrepreneurship plan and that will include a birthrate strategy.
  (Mr Morgan) There is a birthrate strategy. It is actually carried out by the enterprise agencies which we have throughout Wales. They are lacking in funding and they look to the Training and Enterprise Councils for their funding. Because of changes in the structure, they are drying up very quickly and they will be looking to us to support them in the future.

  374. Do you have access to any figures which show how much RSA has gone to indigenous businesses as opposed to inward investment?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Yes.

  375. Do you have them available now?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) I might have them now if somebody could pass something. It is about 50 per cent. It is surprising. It is a very interesting statistic. If you take a ten-year period, you will see that maybe it is 60:40 overseas companies to indigenous companies. The figure is somewhat like 350 to 300 million pounds.

Chairman

  376. Is that in financial terms?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) Selective assistance right across Wales.

  377. You say it is 60:40 or 50 per cent. Is that in terms of numbers of companies helped or in financial terms?
  (Mr Rowe-Beddoe) In money terms, which probably means more in numbers of indigenous companies than overseas companies.

Mr Livsey

  378. The WDA appears to be involved in an awful lot of different schemes, individually worthy, but arguably not always contributing to a coherent strategy for economic development. Is this a fair assessment? I gather that Cardiff itself has had 12 individual minor schemes with the WDA. Do you think it ought to be more focused?
  (Mr Willott) Most of the schemes which have been devised have been devised with a specific objective in mind at the time. What we probably need to do, which we are doing, is to review them pretty regularly, to see whether they have outlived their purpose or not. Certainly if there are too many schemes, this is liable to cause confusion among the punters. We are reviewing the schemes and my aim will be to reduce the number.

  379. With a more effective use of resources?
  (Mr Willott) It is also simplicity for the businessmen out there. It is much easier for them to understand if there is a rather limited number of schemes which they can get their minds round. It is really effectiveness.


2   On further reflection, the Agency believe that it may take significantly longer than a decade to achieve the 200,000 jobs indicated in the Welsh Office "Pathway to Prosperity" document, given that on past performance total employment in Wales has been growing at an average of approximately 7,000 jobs per annum over the last decade. Back


 
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