Select Committee on Defence Third Report



Transatlantic Attitudes

69. There appears, therefore, to be a growing consensus in European capitals that the European powers have to address the question of their deployable defence capabilities and the circumstances in which they might be used, and perhaps strike a new bargain with the USA. Within NATO, the European powers account for more than 60% of the Alliance's population and over 60% of its armed forces personnel. On paper, European-NATO countries collectively spend on defence the equivalent of around two thirds of the US defence budget (although proportionately probably more of the European spend is allocated to NATO).[153] President Clinton has sought approval from Congress for a 4.4% increase in the US defence budget for 1999-2000, the first real terms increase since 1991.[154] Yet it is generally agreed that the European Allies possess much less than the capability of the US, partly because of the duplication of capabilities between European states. The issue of equitable burden-sharing (not just of costs, but also of capabilities) within NATO has been politically sensitive between the US and the Europeans since the foundation of the Integrated Military Structure (IMS). There has never been a generally agreed way in which to gauge the relative contributions of the US and Europe, and the debate has been characterised as—

... dominated by myths, emotion and special pleading.[155]

However, in the present international environment, where the challenges to European security do not manifestly share the risks equally among NATO members in the way that was commonplace during the Cold War, it is perhaps inevitable that burden-sharing issues should take on renewed importance. In the US the debate can become very heated—

... a lot of it on false premises, certainly if you hear the debate about Bosnia,

as one British official commented.[156] With the new emphasis on NATO's new missions, the calculation of burden-sharing will no longer revolve around the performance of a single major Alliance function, and it will be more difficult than ever to measure respective burdens inside an evolving Alliance that finds itself in such an uncertain security environment. But as the US Deputy Secretary of State recently said, it—

... is a fundamental and enduring truth: the well-being of the United States depends in large measure on what happens in Europe: the US will not prosper without an economically vibrant Europe; the US will not be safe without a secure and peaceful Europe. That said, most Americans recognize that the phenomenon of "Europe" is not static. Rather, it is organic. In the nature and composition of its institutions, even in its geographical scope, Europe is constantly reinventing itself; it is, in the vocabulary of Euro-speak, both deepening and broadening. As Americans watch the evolution of Europe, we have our own hopes, and sometimes our own apprehensions, about where the process will lead. We want to see Europe define its identity and pursue its interests in a way that not only preserves, but that strengthens, the ties that bind your security to ours, and, of course, ours to yours.

70. It is evident that there exists a growing consensus for the Europeans to increase their physical and organisational competence to respond to the growing security challenges they face. The MoD's policy director told the Committee that—

... the weight of the European military capability ... [contributed] to the Alliance is not commensurate with [Europe's] political weight ...[157]

And the Assembly of the WEU has said that—

... we now find ourselves in a situation of dependence and imbalance that is extremely disadvantageous to Europe and even to our American partners.[158]

An enhanced ESDI in some form—whether or not it is developed exclusively within NATO, or in some other arrangement involving more closely the EU—continues to have significant, potential, practical defence benefits.

71. In evidence to us, officials confirmed that the government agreed on the need to 're-balance' NATO—

... to actually help cement the Alliance because as anybody who visits Washington knows, whether there is a burden-sharing debate in the UK or in Europe, there is always one in Washington ...[159]

and as the US Deputy Secretary of State confirmed—

We're in favor of ESDI. We want there to be a capability within the Alliance whereby the European members can address and solve problems without always requiring US combat involvement. That's in everyone's interest ... But as with every aspect of modernizing and adapting NATO, this particular innovation, ESDI, carries with it risks and costs; and it carries with it an obligation for the highest possible degree of transparency and consultation. If ESDI is misconceived, misunderstood or mishandled, it could create the impression—which could eventually lead to the reality— that a new, European-only alliance is being born out of the old, transatlantic one. If that were to happen, it would weaken, perhaps even break, those ties that I spoke of before—the ones that bind our security to yours.

We concur. Under no circumstances must the development of the ESDI, now or in the foreseeable future, be seen to be an attack on the transatlantic nature of the Alliance.

72. Current preparations for the establishment of a KFOR taking place in FYROM represent a potentially significant step forward for ESDI initiatives. France and the UK were the leading players in establishing so promptly an Extraction Force in FYROM to act as the ultimate guarantee of the safety of OSCE monitors. Both countries were prepared to do this without the explicit military support on the ground of US forces and have taken the lead in planning for the transformation of this force into a potential KFOR. Though it is very unlikely that the Europeans would see a full KFOR operation as feasible without the involvement of US ground troops, it is clear that London and Paris both want to use this operation to send a message to the rest of NATO that tangible ESDI contributions are now appropriate. The Secretary General of NATO recognised this in his recent speech at the Royal United Services Institution when he said—

The Kosovo Implementation Force should also be the start of yet another new feature of how we manage security today; it should be the start of a stronger European role in NATO. The Kosovo peace implementation mission, should it materialise, will have far greater European input, and will even be led by a European - a NATO first. ¼ Such a new bargain does not mean 'less America' it simply means 'more Europe'.[160]

73. The Kosovo crisis also demonstrates that the six nation Contact Group—consisting of the US, Russia, the UK, France, Germany and Italy—is rapidly emerging as a form of European security council, certainly on matters relating to current instabilities in the Balkans. NATO is drawing significant authority from discussions taking place in the Contact Group and has demonstrated that it is struggling to articulate a new relationship between itself and the United Nations. The authority under which NATO operates in Kosovo will crystallise the debate about the legal basis for future NATO operations in areas of Europe and its periphery, where Article 5 jurisdiction is not relevant.


153  Q 36  Back

154  International Herald Tribune, 4 January 1999 Back

155  NATO Burden Sharing: Past and Future, Professor Keith Hartley and Professor Todd Sandler, 1999 Back

156  Q 99  Back

157  Q 98 Back

158  Assembly of the WEU's Draft Plan for Action, A Time for Defence Back

159  Q 99 Back

160  Speech at Royal United Services Institute, 9 March 1999 Back


 
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Prepared 13 April 1999