Select Committee on Defence Third Report



Belarus

130. The government in Minsk appears, if anything, more intransigent in its public attitudes towards NATO than that of Russia. Its economy is in ruins. President Lukashenko's main policy appears to be to recreate a 'Greater Russia' by reuniting Belarus, Ukraine and Russia in something approaching the former Soviet Union.[251] There seems little enthusiasm for this project in either of his proposed partners outside the ranks of the incorrigible remnants of the old regime. There was also talk within Russia of 'rearming' Belarus, or even stationing nuclear weapons there. However, we understand that realists within the political élite, and even within the armed forces, recognise that such a move would be likely to backfire on Russia. But the prospects of any rapprochement between NATO and Belarus seem remote. The present government of Belarus will only be reconciled to the new European security order, it would seem, when Russia is and it has no other choice, or when President Lukachenko is replaced by a more democratic and modern-thinking leader.


251  This proposal was referred to at several meetings in Moscow and Kyiv between 15 and 19 March 1999 Back


 
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Prepared 13 April 1999