Select Committee on Defence Written Evidence


Memorandum by Dr Gülnur Aybet, Department of International Relations, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey

THE INSTITUTIONAL DIMENSION OF THE ESDI

  During the Political Union negotiations which led up to the Maastricht treaty launching the European Union, the most contentious debate focused on the nature of the European Security and Defence Identity and the future of the WEU. That is why in the Maastricht treaty the future of the WEU and its relation with the EU was left vague to be decided later. However, one aspect of the Maastricht treaty left the status of the European Security and Defence Identity edging closer to a link between the WEU and the EU. This was the decision to give the automatic right to all EU states to become members of the WEU. Of the then EU members, Greece chose to activate this provision in its case and became a full member of the WEU in 1992.[1]

  This equation of EU membership to WEU membership was the first step in the direction of eventually absorbing the WEU into the EU structures. Since 1991, this has generally been viewed within NATO as a long term project, and the details of how this absorption would actually take place were not a subject under serious discussion for a long time, given the contentious nature of the issue among NATO member states.

  This undecided factor over the WEU-EU relationship continued until 1996, when at the Berlin ministerial meeting of NATO, the future of the European Security and Defence Identity was more clarified. According to the Berlin decisions, the ESDI would from now on be developed within NATO, not outside it. This was the turning point in making ESDI a reality rather than a futuristic scenario for European security. Furthermore, the finer points on the use of NATO assets to make this possible were put forward for the first time.

  What caused this departure in the course of events? First, after the war in Bosnia, it became evident that the Europeans were incapable of any meaningful military intervention without the leadership and help of the United States, even when they had the political will to do so. Therefore, the legacy of the Cold War framework was continuing. Second, it became evident for the United States, that much as they felt uncomfortable about the Europeans creating a separate defence identity, there may be crises in which the US might not wish to take a lead or commit forces. If these crises were occurring in a geographic proximity to Europe and the US and its European allies shared the same interests, then it might be viable to let the Europeans conduct such operations, or share a greater burden in joint operations of this kind. Suddenly, the prospect of making the ESDI practical and capable in playing a role in missions of joint US-European interest seemed to be a very good idea. The fact that it dawned as a good idea to both Britain and the United States—two NATO allies who up to that point had not been very enthusiastic about the ESDI project—changed the political impetus for making ESDI a reality.

  Furthermore, the value of NATO's integrated military structure, its "know how" in conducting joint military operations, its transfer of that "know how" to non NATO member states who wished to participate in joint peacekeeping operations, and its ability to conduct and co-ordinate an operation like Deliberate Force during the Bosnian war and SFOR, after the war, were all aspects which gradually emerged as the Bosnian war ensued. Since ESDI at the time was only a concept, and the WEU although an organisation, had no "teeth" in terms of military capability, any development of WEU/ESDI operational capability had to be developed within and through NATO. This was the decision reached at the North Atlantic Council's Berlin summit in 1996.

  The issue of absorbing the WEU into the EU which was born around the time of the Maastricht summit was never quite resolved. However, since then the invaluable status of NATO's integrated military structure and its input into the ESDI through NATO's working relationship with the WEU emerged. The EU's Amsterdam treaty of 1997 had already fine tuned the original ESDI sections of the Maastricht treaty, leaving the way for the absorption of the WEU into the EU clear. The Amsterdam Treaty left open the absorption of the WEU into the EU pending of a EU Council decision. However, it also stated that the EU would draw with the WEU "arrangements for enhanced co-operation" between the two organisations within a year of entry to force of the Treaty of Amsterdam.[2]

  However, the activation of these provisions and the finer details of the institutional arrangements of this absorption became a reality after the turning point of the British-French Declaration on European Defence at St Malo on 4 December 1998. Two things emerged from the St Malo decisions. First that the WEU will be absorbed into the EU and that it will be placed under the second Pillar of the EU structure which is the Common Foreign and Security Policy. Second, that the collective defence provision of Article V of the Brussels treaty will be retained. Another significant aspect emerging from the St Malo declaration was that the EU, could have two types of "recourse to suitable military means: European capabilities pre-designated within NATO's European pillar or national or multinational European means outside the NATO framework".[3] This indicated a departure from the Berlin decisions of "separable but not separate" military capabilities and the development of ESDI within NATO. It also indicated a departure from the close working relationship established between NATO and the WEU.

  NATO's Washington summit declaration and the Strategic Concept adopted at the same summit, acknowledged a continuation of the Berlin decisions, including the implementation of CJTFs and the creation of CJTF nuclei HQs and role of Deputy SACEUR in overseeing the use of NATO assets by WEU led operations. In terms of the WEU using NATO assets there was not a great deal of change coming out of the NATO summit. However, the NATO summit documents did acknowledge that the EU might at some point take over the role of the WEU in the existing NATO-WEU framework planning capabilities.[4]



  In terms of the deadline of this absorption, the EU Cologne summit of 4 June 1999 indicated that all the necessary decisions for this to happen would be taken by the end of the year 2000. The Cologne summit declaration on the ESDI also emphasised the two ways in which the EU could implement Petersberg tasks. One by using NATO assets, which would be in accordance with the Berlin decisions of 1996, and the other, the implementation of EU led operations without recourse to NATO assets and capabilities.[5]

  The planning of an EU led operation without recourse to NATO assets has been worked out in a French proposed concept of Framework nation. Under a Framework Nation operation, the EU can without recourse to NATO assets, launch an operation under the leadership of an EU country which can organise the mission from the basis of a national HQs, which can then be deployed to the theatre of operations. At the moment within the EU, only Britain and France have the capability of national deployable HQs.[6] Although under such a mission, because there would be no recourse to NATO assets, the decision to act would not go through the North Atlantic Council, but nevertheless, there would be nothing to exclude NATO member states who are not EU members to also take part in a Framework Nation type of operation. What is not clear is the consultation mechanism in place between the EU and non EU member NATO states. In fact, once the WEU becomes absorbed into the EU, any consultation mechanism which existed for Associate members of the WEU also disappears.

  This is where the position of the now six NATO states who are not members of the EU but associate members of the WEU falls into muddy waters. This opens up serious questions over the participation of these countries in the preparation, planning and conduct of such Petersberg operations. On the other hand, it is hard to see an independent EU military operation on a large scale at least for the foreseeable future, since a major operation would be impossible to achieve without recourse to US intelligence and lift capability, in which case the EU would have to request NATO assets and the decision would have to come to the NATO Council. However, another unsettling departure has been the EU's recent move in requesting automatic access to NATO planning capabilities and presumption of availability of forces. This is to involve the non NATO EU states Sweden, Finland, Ireland, Austria in NATO planning mechanisms. The presumption of availability of forces means that if the EU should decide on an operation, there will be a previously decided list of national forces assigned to NATO, which are also assigned to the EU by states who are members of both organisations. Therefore the position of the six non EU-NATO states becomes more precarious as they seem to be sidelined from all the decision making and decision shaping and planning mechanisms of an ever growing ESDI reaching fruition.

  Since the end of the cold war, the primary focus in all NATO and WEU endeavours has been the motto that European security is indivisible. This is why the three eastern European partners of NATO were invited to become full members at the first opportunity. Yet, the recent institutional developments of ESDI since the St Malo declaration by Britain and France, which depart from the logic of the Berlin decisions of 1996, seem to be creating divisibility in European security for NATO members. What could be the rationale for creating a European Union caucus within NATO, leaving other NATO members outside the decision making and planning mechanisms over issues of a direct relation to European security? Surely, this detracts from the motto that European security is indivisible? Has the United States viewed the development of the ESDI too much within the context of "burden sharing" to have allowed the ESDI to deviate this much from the Berlin decisions?

  As for the European Union, already acting as if the absorption of the WEU into the 2nd pillar is practically complete, (indeed, in most circles in Europe, WEU bodies are now being referred to as EU bodies) there is a great deal of uncertainty as to how the WEU will actually be absorbed into the EU, and what will happen to the status of the associate WEU states. The key consideration at first was which of the acquis of the WEU will be absorbed in to the EU. The least problematic of these seemed to be incorporation of the Brussels Treaty. In the EU Amsterdam Treaty, the Petersberg tasks of the Brussels Treaty are incorporated but not Article V which is the collective defence measure. The EU neutral states can thus sign onto an agreement for the EU to take over the functions of the WEU, but not the Brussels Treaty itself. Therefore, the neutral EU states will not be bound by Article V but the original full members of the WEU in the EU will continue their Article V commitments.


  On the other hand there is also the Framework Agreement between the WEU and NATO. WEU officials state that the Framework Agreement is not a legally binding document and therefore the legal liabilities and financial provisions in the agreement can be taken over by the EU. All EU states for the early part of 1999 seemed to be in agreement that the acquis generated between the WEU and NATO would be maintained once the EU took over the functions of the WEU. On the institutional structure of the EU, there has been a common agreement amongst EU states that the WEU will be absorbed under the 2nd Pillar of the EU structure which is the Common Foreign and Security Policy. The major institutional structural changes have already been taking place within the EU Council. For example, present WEU staff in the Secretariat will not be moving to other EU bodies like the Commission, but are expected to work within the Council. The CFSP unit within the Council will be more structured and is heading in that way already with the appointment of a High Representative (who is incidentally the former NATO Secretary General, Javier Solana) and the creation of a policy planning and early warning unit. These are likely to be bodies to liaise with current NATO-WEU structures once the WEU becomes absorbed into the EU.[7] All of this is expected to be built on the present structure of the COREPER and Political Committee, with the Political Committee being the main body responsible for the CFSP. Above that there is the General Affairs Council of Foreign Ministers. It is likely that after the absorption of the WEU, the General Affairs Council would include Defence Ministers, or have joint meetings with Foreign and Defence Ministers.

  Folding of the WEU into the above Council structure seems straightforward from the point of view of EU member states. However, the status of WEU Associate Member states who are not EU members is unclear. At the moment the Associate Members fully participate in the WEU Council. But once the WEU Council ceases to exist and the WEU's functions are transferred to the EU Council, it is not clear if WEU Associate Members will have any input into the decision making process if any, or even if they will be consulted at any stage of EU ESDI deliberations. What is uncertain also is what is likely to happen to the political and legal acquis the associate members of the WEU have generated within the WEU. For example, the Western European Armaments Group (WEAG) and Eurocom were originally bodies within NATO which became transferred to the WEU. Once these institutions of the WEU become absorbed into the EU, will the legal acquis of the non EU states which participate in these bodies cease to exist?

  Therefore, the absorption of the WEU into the 2nd Pillar of the EU presents problems regarding the status of the legal and political acquis of associate members within the WEU. However, for the EU states, it is more or less settled that the WEU will be absorbed into the 2nd Pillar. For some EU states like Britain a possible solution is envisaged in having tiers of participation in the 2nd Pillar. The first tier is thought to be on the level of the EU Council, after which a 2nd tier involving non EU members wishing to participate in ESDI operations. What is not clear is if the 2nd tier will be permanent or not or if it will meet on a regular basis and what the status of the Associate WEU members will be in such an arrangement. Recently within EU circles, the view has been to present the WEU as a moribund institution, therefore discouraging the non EU-NATO members from trying to hold on to their acquis in the WEU. The EU would like to see Turkey—which has probably been the only state among the "six" non EU-NATO states to voice its objections to the jettisoning of all its acquis in the WEU over the years—to forget about its WEU past and turn to make a more "positive" contribution to the now new developing ESDI within the EU. The problem is—to make a positive contribution to what? The shape of the ESDI, its decision making mechanisms are all far from being settled and are very unclear.

  "Wiping the slate clean" by getting rid of the WEU acquis altogether by forming a direct relationship between NATO and the EU is a new development since the Helsinki summit in December 1999. Up to that point, the absorption of the WEU acquis was still under discussion within WEU bodies. What is of concern here to non EU-NATO member states is not the development of the relationship between NATO and the EU, but the vagueness of the position and role of the six non EU-NATO member states. What is needed is clarity. Otherwise there is no objection to the process itself. What these states are unsure about is how they will be expected to make a contribution to EU-led operations in the future, which might have a direct bearing on their own security interests as well as their position as NATO member states. This indeed creates a divisibility in security matters within NATO itself—something which neither the US, nor its EU member allies in NATO would like to see happen.

  The seriousness of this deficiency in the ESDI's development was emphasised by NATO Secretary General Lord Robertson: "we must ensure . . . that the question of the participation of non EU-European allies in EU-led operations is resolved in ways that are satisfactory to all (emphasis added). This is not just a cosmetic matter. The support of Turkey, Norway and Poland for an EU-led operation is as important politically as it could be militarily. This is especially true if the EU wants to use NATO assets and capabilities for EU-led operations".[8]

  In essence, the underlying objective has not changed since the Berlin decisions of 1996, that is to make sure that forces contributing to military operations using NATO assets, whether they be EU-led or NATO-led, are interoperable, flexible, mobile and sustainable in the theatre of operations. In fact, the non EU-NATO allies have supported from the very beginning, the development of the efficiency of these forces in that direction. It is the unclarity of their position as to which level they will participate or make their contributions in EU-led operations that has caused some concern. However, if all NATO allies share in the same objective of making forces more flexible in order to be more effective in meeting crisis management, peacekeeping and peace enforcement tasks, then the modalities of decision shaping and decision making are political issues which need to be clarified at the political level by an institutional forum comprising NATO and the EU.

  In fact the underlying objective of making forces more flexible and effective, which is in essence a military objective has been the only aspect of ESDI to have reached some clarity both on the part of NATO and the EU. The way EU states have envisaged their contribution to this ongoing process of making forces more effective has been with the announcement of the "headline goal" at the Helsinki summit in December 1999. This envisages the development of a 50,000-60,000 strong EU force by 2003, with the capability to deploy within 60 days and sustain for at least one year in the theatre of operations to carry out specifically "the full range of Petersberg tasks".[9] This seems compatible with NATO's Defence Capabilities Initiative (DCI) launched at the Washington summit in April 1999. The DCI's goals complement the rationale behind the Berlin decisions to build ESDI in NATO, that is, to make all multinational operations effective by improving interoperability within the forces of the alliance and between the forces of its partner states. The emphasis has been particularly how to make these forces more effective, mobile and flexible for non-article 5 type operations, which essentially means peacekeeping, peace enforcement, and crisis management—the same as the Petersberg tasks outlined by the EU. Therefore, for EU states to start a process to improve their defence capability efforts is compatible with NATO's DCI. Therefore, militarily, within NATO and the EU, the underlying goals are the same. It is the decision-making patterns at a time of crisis that are unclear. The Helsinki conclusions also acknowledge this: "appropriate arrangements will be defined that will allow, while respecting the Union's decision-making autonomy, non EU European NATO members and other interested States to contribute to EU military crisis management".[10] It is this particular paragraph of the Helsinki conclusions which requires clarification sooner than later. For example, the non-EU-NATO member states would like to know what is meant by the "Union's decision making autonomy" and whether "other interested States" not only refers to the United States but also Russia. The underlying goals are clear and so are the envisaged necessary improvements in military capabilities set forth in detail both in NATO and the EU, to launch more effective, multinational, flexible military formations to carry out collective security tasks. It is the vagueness of the mechanism which defines at which point an operation will be NATO led or EU led, how that decision will be reached, how the EU will have recourse to NATO assets, and how the non-EU NATO members may contribute to this mechanism, which requires clarification before the WEU becomes merged into the EU in the latter half of 2000.



  Defining the non-EU member states' position within this new institutional development is not just a matter of institutional membership status. There are also practical considerations over security interests—particularly for Turkey. In Petersberg type operations, it is likely that for the foreseeable future, any crisis to emerge is likely to occur in a region of close proximity to Turkey, as Turkey's geo-strategic setting is surrounded by turbulent regions, from the Balkans, the Caucasus to the Middle East. Therefore, any Petersberg type operation to be deliberated within the EU Council in relation to these regions, will have a direct bearing on Turkey's national security interests. This is an important point of consideration. Already there is a feeling in Turkish decision making circles that NATO's European Allies are less sensitive to Turkish security concerns than the United States. For example there is less sympathy from Northern Europe to the threats Turkey faces from regional proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction, whereas the United States has been more responsive to Turkey's demands for Allied support and co-operation in this context.[11]

  Another problem is one of timing. In terms of working out the institutional structures for the WEU-EU merger, sometime in 2000, is somewhat short notice. There are all many details to be worked out, not just the status of WEU Associate members like Turkey, but the NATO-EU working relationship, which may or may not take on board the WEU acquis. It seems that for the time being the EU is not ready to enter into a "Framework Agreement" with the NATO of the same kind that exists between NATO and the WEU, and which may cease to exist once the WEU becomes absorbed into the EU. The position of non NATO EU states like Sweden in a direct relationship between NATO and the EU is also unclear. As to whether the EU neutrals take part in NATO military planning and whether this will be automatic or not are also issues to be worked out.

March 2000




1   See Declaration of the Member States of the WEU issued at Maastricht, Atlantic News, No 2387, 13 December 1991. See Also "Treaty on Political Union", Maastricht, Europe Documents, No 1750, 13 December 1991. Back

2   Amsterdam Treaty 2 October 1997, Protocol on Article J7 and Article J7 paragraph 1. See also Declaration adopted by the WEU Council of Ministers on 22 July 1997, and attacked to the Final Act of the Intergovernmental Conference concluded with the signature of the Amsterdam Treaty, 2 October 1997. Back

3   Declaration on European Defence, British-French summit, St Malo 3-4 December 1998. Paragraph 3. Back

4   The Alliance's Strategic Concept, NAC-S (99)65. Washington 25 April 1999, paragraph 30 and the Washington Summit Communique, NAC-S (99)64, paragraphs 8, 9 and 10. Back

5   Declaration of the European Council on strengthening the Common European Policy on Security and Defence. Cologne European Council, 3 and 4 June 1999. Back

6   Operation Alba in this sense was a Framework Nation operation with Italy as the Framework Nation. Similarly the Kosovo Extraction Force in Macedonia was French led. Back

7   Interviews with WEU officials, 22 January 1999. Back

8   NATO Secretary Lord Robertson's speech at the Defence Week Conference, Brussels, 31 January 2000 Back

9   Helsinki European Council, Presidency's Conclusions, 11 December 1999, paragraph 28. Back

10   Ibid. Back

11   Interviews with Turkish delegation NATO HQ, 20 January 1999. Back


 
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