Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 60 - 79)

WEDNESDAY 19 APRIL 2000

RT HON GEOFFREY HOON, MP, AIR COMMODORE GLEN TORPY AND MR SIMON WEBB

  60. I understand that.
  (Mr Hoon) I want to make this quite clear, because we do look very carefully at those claims, because we are very concerned about the fact that we might cause collateral damage, we might cause unnecessary civilian deaths, and we check them very carefully. For example, I can tell you that on at least 27 occasions when there have been claims by Baghdad of civilian casualties, we were either not flying that day or we did not drop any bombs. Now all I ask is that you therefore view with some great suspicion the claims that are made, simply because if on 27 occasions we either did not have aircraft in the sky or we did not drop any bombs, it is pretty difficult to see how we could have harmed anyone.

  61. I accept that, and I do not want to belabour the point, but there may be lessons to be learned from mistakes, like there were in Kosovo, so I wonder whether perhaps at some point some dossiers could come to the Committee looking at the mistakes that we admit might well have taken place. Is that possible?
  (Mr Hoon) We clearly do learn lessons. One of the responsibilities that the RAF has, in fact, is to provide very sophisticated photographic evidence. We analyse that evidence very carefully, and it does allow us, in appropriate circumstances, to rebut the kinds of claims that are made by Baghdad. One of the claims that has been repeated is that we have damaged the Christian monastery where St Matthew is said to have been buried. We have been able to photograph that. Indeed, I thought you might be interested in a copy of the photograph.

Mr Hancock

  62. It is damaged, though, is it not?
  (Mr Hoon) I am sorry?

  63. It is damaged?
  (Mr Hoon) No, it is not.

  64. There are people who have been there who have seen it.
  (Mr Hoon) We have photographs which demonstrate that the monastery is intact. It is not the newest monastery in the world. It may have been damaged, but we were not responsible.

  Mr Hancock: But it is damaged.

Mr Cohen

  65. I have one last question on a different point, and that is the co-ordination between the north and the south and what is the command structure. Are you happy with the command structure that ensures proper co-ordination between north and south, in terms of targeting?
  (Air Commodore Torpy) Yes. Certainly, as the Committee is aware, the US Command divides the operation into two. We (the UK) have a completely unified view of the whole operation. Operation Northern Watch in the north is controlled by Headquarters EUCOM, and Operation Southern Watch is controlled by US CENTCOM based in Tampa, Florida. There is daily consultation between the two unified commands to ensure that they are approaching the whole region in exactly the same way, and there is also consultation by the two in-theatre commanders, both the US and the UK commanders, as well.

  Mr Cohen: Thank you.

Mr Gapes

  66. Can I ask you about the other countries in the region, and particularly the attitudes within the host countries? During our visit, we had a number of extensive discussions with government officials and members of the Shura Council in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia and also with the Kuwaiti Parliament. It is quite clear that there is a general concern in the region about the plight of the Iraqi people. People raised this with us not in a sense of being opposed to the sanctions, but concerned at how long this has gone on and at the real suffering of the Iraqi people under Saddam. We are aware of the new Security Council Resolution, it has already been mentioned, but I would be interested in your assessment of the impact, if any, that this growing concern and sympathy amongst the people of the region for the Iraqis is going to have for the future operation of our policy, particularly in the no fly zones?
  (Mr Hoon) I think you put the case fairly, although the only slight qualification that I might make is that I wonder whether this concern and sympathy is growing. I think there has always been concern and sympathy for the Iraqi people. I do not think that that has changed much. I do not think any of the people in the areas surrounding Iraq have anything other than sympathy for the Iraqi people, but I think they felt that right the way through, I do not think it has necessarily changed. Frankly, it is a sympathy and concern that we share. We have never had a quarrel with the Iraqi people. We have a severe difference of opinion with the Iraqi regime. We have also—to go back to 1284—set out in that Resolution a mechanism by which, if he chose to do so, Saddam Hussein could, I am tempted to say "immediately", but certainly very quickly, alleviate the plight of his own people. The fact that he is not prepared to accept 1284 must cast doubt on his willingness to do so.

  67. I have no doubt about that, and I fully support the strategy set out in 1284. My concern is that if the Iraqi Government maintain their implacable opposition to any movement, people may well start saying, "Well, this suffering is still going on, and yet despite this Resolution, nothing's moved there." My question is, is there a plan B? Is there a way in which we could have, if you like, more smart targeted sanctions against the regime? Is there some mechanism which will continue to maintain the public support which is there, but nevertheless people are worried?
  (Mr Hoon) Like you, I have also had the opportunity of visiting the region, both in my present position and in my previous one. The one thing I have learned in talking particularly to the various leaders from the region is that we should not be too impatient. I think there is a difference in, maybe I should call it, cultural attitude between people in the Middle East and people in the West. They regard us as being rather impatient. They view us as wanting change to occur overnight, and they have consistently said to me that we should just give the Resolution some time. They point out, for example, that Saddam Hussein initially opposed the oil for food programme and yet eventually came to accept it. They believe—and I have had this confirmed to me on more than one occasion—that Saddam Hussein will accept Resolution 1284, and what is important is actually that we do not over-react to the delay.

  68. So at this moment you could not be optimistic that we are likely to see the Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission in Iraq in the near future, but nevertheless the conditions are all set out there for it to move quickly at such a point as the Iraqis accept it?
  (Mr Hoon) I could not be optimistic, but then neither am I pessimistic. I believe that this is a realistic process that the international community have set out, with, as you will be aware, very considerable support from the region, from countries who are neighbours to Saddam Hussein. We are pleased with the appointment of Dr Blix. We are impressed by the work that he has already set in hand. I do not think that he is actually quite ready to go in and start an inspection, but he is not far short of it. We think that when the time comes, this is something that Saddam Hussein will look at perhaps rather more seriously than some of his public utterances might indicate.
  (Mr Webb) I think things have been going well with the planning to get the Blix Commission up and running. As you say, Secretary of State, it is ready to move forward, I think, in good order when the Iraqis will accept it.

  69. There is no question of its not going in except on the basis of being able to inspect anywhere it wants to go?
  (Mr Webb) That is so.

  70. It is going to be able to do its job properly, as envisaged?
  (Mr Webb) Yes.
  (Mr Hoon) There are both outstanding matters as well as current concerns, but certainly we would want to be confident that they were able to move freely around to inspect what they wanted to inspect.
  (Mr Webb) I think they have learned from some of the previous difficulties.

Mr Hancock

  71. I have read with interest the report that our Members have put together so far of the visit they made but how important is it, do you think, to those host countries that we are there and their contribution towards us being there, how important is that to our continued presence there?
  (Mr Hoon) Certainly I have had nothing but appreciation for the efforts that we have made and in return I have been able to thank the host nations specifically for their assistance, their hospitality and their support for what we are doing. I think there is little doubt that our willingness to commit forces to the region, both in relatively recent history and currently, has enormously strengthened our reputation in an area where, in any event, we were well thought of for historic reasons.

  72. There are three variations on the host country's hospitality: one does everything, one does slightly less and one does not do a great deal. What would happen if that was to significantly change so that the two who are contributing quite enthusiastically to their side of this, if they were to downgrade that considerably? What effect would that have on the MoD's ability to maintain the same level of service?
  (Mr Hoon) I do not recognise your description. In any event, you are inviting me to speculate from the rather insecure basis of your question.

  73. Maybe on this occasion this is the chance for us to write to you with a letter.
  (Mr Hoon) I disagree with your premise, Mike.

  74. Okay, Geoff. I have read with interest what our colleagues have written. What effect is the operation having on relations vis a vis the UK in particular with the host countries? What effect do their sensitivities to some of the issues which they are having to live with as neighbour to neighbour in your continuing role there have on their attitude to you and some of the operations you may want to be involved in?
  (Mr Hoon) We have a very constructive relationship, it is very positive. Bearing in mind that we are there by invitation, if there were the concerns which your question implies then clearly host nations would have an appropriate remedy available to them but they are pleased to have us present, we are pleased for their hospitality and it is a mutually supporting relationship.

  75. Have they raised anything with you in such a way that they are very sensitive to certain issues that have prevented some aspects of operational capability?
  (Mr Hoon) I think you need to be a little more specific.

  76. Have they said to you "please do not do that" on any occasion? Do you have to consult with them before an operation can take place?
  (Mr Hoon) Again, I think you need to be more specific. Is there something that you are—

  77. I want to know whether or not at any stage do the host nations have a power of veto over what you are trying to do operationally? Do you have to tell them in advance what you are going to do packing a punch from an airfield in their homeland?
  (Mr Hoon) Clearly in general terms we would indicate to the host nation what it was that we were doing based in their territory. There is full disclosure as to what our intentions are. This is rather the same point that I was being asked about earlier. It does not go as far as giving precise details. We have a general permission to operate from a host nation territory subject to an indication to those countries as to what it is that we are doing there.

  78. Do they ever veto?
  (Mr Hoon) Over what?

  79. Have they to date said no to something you have told them vis a vis an operation?
  (Mr Hoon) I think you need to be a bit more specific as to what you are driving at.


 
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