Select Committee on Defence Fifteenth Special Report



ANNEX

1.  The Government is grateful to the House of Commons Defence Committee for its report The Adaptation of the Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe. The Committee has rightly pointed out that this issue is of fundamental importance to the UK and our allies. The Government agrees with the Committee's main conclusion that the Adaptation Agreement should be ratified by the UK, but its timing is all-important. The UK, along with its Allies, continues to press the Russian government to meet its treaty obligations and the commitments made at the Istanbul summit. Some progress has been made in respect of compliance, but there are challenges ahead. Our response to the Committee's opinion follows.

2.  The Government shares the Committee's view that the original CFE Treaty made a significant contribution to European stability and provided an invaluable mechanism for controlling and monitoring the threat to peace in Europe that had been posed by the large numbers of conventional forces ranged either side of the Iron Curtain. The key to the Treaty's success was the binding limits imposed on defined equipment types in zones across its area of application making it practically impossible to launch a surprise offensive. It also resulted in the destruction of nearly 50,000 pieces of equipment by the end of 1995, together with more than 2,300 verification inspections during that period. The Government is convinced that while the original CFE Treaty met and continues to meet an important purpose, it needed to be adapted to take account of the new European security architecture. We note the Committee's agreement with this need.

The 1996 Flank Agreement (Paras 10-12)

3.  At the time of the first CFE Review Conference in 1996, four countries were exceeding their equipment ceilings—Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus and Russia in the flank zone. The Conference noted Russia's particular difficulties in the Caucasus and agreed adjustments to the flank limits and boundaries. The Government view, with which the Committee agreed, was that the negotiation of revised figures for "Flank" equipments, which came into effect in May 1999, was a necessary measure to preserve Russia's confidence in the CFE Treaty.

4.  Clarification is needed of the statement in Paragraph 12 concerning oblasts. The Report states that "the legally binding 'Flank Agreement' made changes to the boundaries of some oblasts within the Russian and Ukrainian parts of the Flank zone". However, the agreement did not change the boundaries of the oblasts; it removed certain oblasts from counting towards the Flank area and its limits. The words of some oblasts should therefore be deleted.

5.  The Report at Paragraph 12 states that "the Flank agreement also placed specific limits on the levels of equipment held in each oblast on the flanks". However, the Flank Agreement did not establish individual oblast equipment limits beyond the 'Armoured Combat Vehicle cap' in the oblasts removed. The Flank limits apply to the zone as a whole, not individual parts of it. It is more accurate to say that "The Flank Agreement also placed specific limits on the numbers of Armoured Combat Vehicles which could be held in those oblasts which had been removed from the Russian parts of the flank zone".

Compliance With The CFE Treaty (Paras 13-24)

6.  The Government shares the Committee's concern about the difficulties experienced by inspection teams when trying to verify the exact number of Treaty Limited Equipments (TLE) declared by the Russians. Russia has exploited certain specific provisions of the Treaty to remove vehicles from accountability by miss-classifying them as 'decommissioned', 'awaiting export', as ambulances or (in the case of their large fleet of MTL-BU personnel carriers) by regarding their inclusion in the Treaty as "an error". Neither the Government nor its Allies are complacent about this issue and continue to raise it with Russia on a regular basis.

7.  The Government agrees with the Committee's recommendation that parties to the Treaty must impress on Russia the importance they attach to Russia's good faith and compliance, without which the foundation of the Adaptation Treaty may also be undermined. For its part the Government will continue to make this important point to Russia on a regular basis.

8.  The Committee will recall that the completion of the destruction to agreed levels by Russia of equipment withdrawn East of the Urals had been estimated by MOD at Paragraph 14 to be likely to be completed by March 2000. However, in the event Russia did not in fact complete its East of Urals reduction by March but claimed completion on 26 September 2000, with written confirmatory notification to follow.

Chechnya (Paras 25-27)

9.  Russia is currently in breach of its equipment ceilings in the flank area, both for the original treaty and the new limits of the Adaptation Agreement. Russian equipment figures declared in July 2000 were couched so as to indicate that, apart from equipment introduced 'temporarily' to operate in the North Caucasus, Russia was generally in compliance with its Treaty obligations both for the original and adapted Treaty limits. Detailed analysis both of the data exchange and additional information provided by the Russians indicates that the original Treaty limits are exceeded by nearly 600 items of equipment, with the situation in the adapted area being considerably worse, at around 1000 items. These excesses have been masked through accounting methods of questionable applicability. As recommended by the Committee, the Government continues to press the Russians through diplomatic channels to observe its Treaty obligations.

The Adaptation Agreement (Paras 28-47)

10.  Verification. The Committee noted that the Russians had sometimes cancelled inspections by claiming force majeure as a result of 'security concerns', for example, or 'weather conditions'. The Treaty places a general obligation on all signatories to accept inspections. The Government has always taken a robust line in the face of refusal of inspections. It will continue to protest over all refusals to accept legitimate inspections, as they risk undermining the good faith needed for the Treaty to remain effective.

11.  National Ceilings. The Government continues to believe that NATO needs to retain flexibility within its Allies' national ceilings in order to meet its military needs. It welcomes the Committee's endorsement of the need to apply exemptions to mandated peacekeeping operations and to retain flexibility to transfer equipment ceilings.

12.  Ratification. The Government agrees with the Committee that the timing of ratification of the Adapted Agreement is important. The Foreign Secretary said in his statement at the Istanbul Summit: "We would hope to ratify it early, but the time at which we do so will depend on the levels of all Parties' compliance with the limits that have been agreed." The Government has continued to take this line and welcomes the Committee's endorsement of it. In support of this line, the Government, along with its Allies, already implements the Committee's recommendation to press Russia to reduce its equipment and forces in Chechnya to agreed levels, and to meet its commitments in Moldova and Georgia.

Conclusions (Paras 48-57)

13.  The statement in Paragraph 53 concerning raised "equipment ceilings in Russia's southern flank" is misleading. There is no such defined location as 'the southern flank' to which equipment limits apply. The equipment limits apply equally across the whole flank zone. The term 'southern flank' is purely shorthand to distinguish the North Caucasus flank areas from those in Leningrad. It has no legal standing. It is therefore inaccurate and misleading to refer to two separate 'flanks' on Russian territory this way. The word 'southern' should be disregarded in Line One of Paragraph 53.

9 October 2000

Ministry of Defence


 
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