Select Committee on Education and Employment Minutes of Evidence



Examination of witnesses (Questions 580 - 593)

WEDNESDAY 28 JUNE 2000

DR PHILIP EVANS OBE and MRS SUE FISHBURN

Chairman

  580. Philip, when you and I went to university two to three per cent of us went to university, we now have a Government expanding education to 30-50 per cent, and there is a huge cost attached.
  (Dr Evans) I would concede the cost is high. It is a difficult problem of ensuring that appropriate HE seems attractive to students while at the same time there is an increasing financial burden either on the student him or herself or, indeed, on the family.

Dr Harris

  581. One might argue that if one wants to support top departments in our universities there may be a genuine choice between either tuition fees or top-up fees or even, dare I say, raising taxation to fund it. I accept that is outside the area of your evidence session.
  (Dr Evans) Yes.

  582. I want to ask about a fascinating situation where McCrum and Halsey in 1998 showed that over 6,000 pupils applied to Oxford between 1994 and 1997 and then achieved three Grade As at A level and those from independent schools were 20 per cent more likely to be offered a place. We have heard lots of evidence, and I do not think we argue with this, that the main factor in the lower representation of state school applicants at the so-called top universities is the shortage of people getting those top grades in proportion with the numbers in the state sector where there is a shortage of people applying. Peter Lampl was quite clear he felt that was the overwhelming factor. Once you get to the admissions stage there is a question, is there not, even though it is a smaller factor, about why it is that the success rate in that study showed a higher success for independent schools and I put three potential explanations as to why that is more likely. One, that there is bias in the system, for whatever reason, that you are more likely to succeed as an independent school candidate. Or that the state school candidates are putting in more hopeless candidates apparently, although they do appear to all get three As they are just not capable of passing at the interview stage. Or the independent schools are better at not putting forward people who are not going to get in. What is the explanation for that?
  (Dr Evans) Not having seen the paper, I am cautious in commenting in a way. I will not comment on whether the maintained sector is pressing through candidates inappropriately. I think we are well aware of candidates who have not got a realistic chance of Oxbridge entry and seek to dissuade, if only because if you are going for medicine at Oxford or Cambridge and you are not a terrific candidate, medicine is so competitive that you are also reducing your chances of getting in elsewhere. Sometimes candidates perhaps have Oxbridge aspirations which in the end impact very badly on their offers from other universities. It may well be that there is increased selectivity at the school advice end. The other point I would add, ruling out bias as you might expect, is while candidates have three As there is, as we have put in our supporting paper, a difference not only between perception but statistically between A levels in terms of their perceived difficulty. For example, there is considerable statistical evidence that the most difficult A level for candidates with the same GCSE portfolio is physics, while the easiest is communication studies. So if a candidate presents with communication studies, media studies and law, three of the easiest A levels, while another candidate with three A grades in maths, physics and chemistry, in all fairness I think there is an increased credibility for that latter candidate and statistically the evidence will justify that as well. For example, it is not surprising that Imperial College's break down of state versus independent is about 50/50 when nearly 50 per cent of A grades in maths, physics and chemistry come from the independent science and that is a wholly science, math and medical recruiting university.

Mr Marsden

  583. That is a very important issue for secondary schools and, indeed, for Government, when we are talking about A levels or future qualifications, to look more closely at the nature of the qualifications being pursued and their appropriateness for university entry.
  (Dr Evans) It is one of the reasons why, for example, in my own school the physical sciences are popular, well taught but also candidates are well aware of the credibility, it is a hard currency on all measures.

Chairman

  584. You will also know that it is an area in the state sector where it is more and more difficult to recruit good science and mathematics teachers.
  (Dr Evans) A considerable concern nationally, Chairman.
  (Mrs Fishburn) With respect, that is not just a state sector issue.

  585. You are finding difficulty as well?
  (Dr Evans) Yes.
  (Mrs Fishburn) It is an issue across the education culture.

  586. It is a scarce resource but you have more resources than the state sector with which to attract them?
  (Mrs Fishburn) No, I would dispute that.
  (Dr Evans) I have managed so far.

  587. But you pay better on average than the state sector in the private sector, do you not?
  (Mrs Fishburn) I can probably answer that question when the threshold pay issue is clearer.

Dr Harris

  588. My last question is about the quality of the data we have been seeing of people in the independent sector who are getting good A levels. There are still assisted places people coming through. In the data, included in the people who are deemed to be independent school entrants at so-called hot universities are a proportion of people who in socio-economic background are not of the usual mix and, therefore, that affects the data although I do not suppose it bridges the gap entirely. Can you tell us later on perhaps, if you cannot now, how much that does distort the data that has been widely reported?
  (Dr Evans) Sorry, which data?

  589. It shows that while only 30 per cent of three As come from the independent sector, 50 per cent are getting into the top universities that take three As, say Cambridge and Oxford are similar in that respect, but some of those people are presumably people from socio-economic backgrounds where if it was not for the assisted places they would be in the state sector. How much does that affect that data? What sort of cohort numbers that you create are assisted places?
  (Dr Evans) We were in the Government assisted places scheme and we have candidates working through but we also, through the endowment of my governing body, the Harpur Trust, which is a local charity, have some £400,000 annually of fee support income so that, in fact, a substantial minority of my candidates come from disadvantaged backgrounds and there is no evidence that produces a differential performance at the output level. We are selective, of course, but once they are in the background seems to make very little, if any, difference. The other point I would add is you said only 30 per cent, given that it is 7 per cent in total I think "only 30" is quite reasonable. In fact, if you look at the harder A levels the figures are more stark. In economics, the physical sciences, mathematics, modern languages and history, the A grade proportion is well over 40 per cent. Remarkably in the case of economics and in the physical sciences it approaches 50 and it is greater than 50 in French. I think there is a substantial issue there as to why that should be the case.

Chairman

  590. As a professional educator, to draw this session to a close, what advice would you from the private sector give to the state sector in order to get them to improve their performance? What are the three things you would ask them to do?
  (Dr Evans) I think the quality of leadership in the school is central. I would seek to ensure that that quality is raised, if possible. I think the Head Teachers College is an interesting move in that direction. I say this hesitantly, I would seek to decrease Government bureaucracy. I was on SCAA and QCA for eight years under the previous Government and part of this Government and I think there is perhaps a confusion with too much intervention always biting on standards. I think many schools with good leaders know what they are doing and a bit more freedom to move with that would be helpful. I would do something—I do not know what the answer is—about the imbalance between schools which seek to produce a learning culture and an environment of discipline in an apparently increased environment of indiscipline in general which in one sense was perhaps exemplified by the football competition recently.

  591. Or the behaviour of the WI?
  (Dr Evans) Your words, Chairman.

  592. Both examples of indiscipline in different circumstances. Sue, do you want to comment?
  (Mrs Fishburn) I would wholly endorse the concept of a learning culture. I think that if you look at the best state schools, what distinguishes them is a culture of high expectation. I think that is what we find in our own schools. Going back to my opening point, I take in three year olds, they are exposed to a high expectation culture and they come out as 18 year olds with a basket of very good qualifications. I do not claim to be able to select at three the level of intellectual potential, I think that is good teaching, high expectation and a culture where achievement is the norm.

  593. Thank you very much for your evidence. If you have any great thoughts on the way back to your proper jobs do drop us a line, we would be very grateful. Thank you for taking some robust and, I hope, useful questions.
  (Dr Evans) I think we have enjoyed the experience, Chairman, thank you to you and your colleagues.

  Chairman: Thank you.


 
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