Select Committee on Education and Employment Minutes of Evidence



MEMORANDUM FROM JOHN ATKINSON AND NIGEL MEAGER, INSTITUTE FOR EMPLOYMENT STUDIES (RU 14)

RECRUITING THE UNEMPLOYED: WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM THE EXISTING RESEARCH EVIDENCE

INTRODUCTION—THE IMPORTANCE OF THE EMPLOYER'S ROLE

  1.  The significance of the employer's role is often under-estimated in the design and evaluation of training, placement and other active labour market measures targeted at the unemployed, and in the provision of public job-matching and broking services for the unemployed. Understandably, perhaps, the focus of much of the discussion and analysis is the job-seeker and his or her characteristics, skills, motivation, benefit status etc. Similarly, it is often the job-seeker who is seen as the primary client for the Employment Service and other labour market intermediaries.

  2.  There is, however, a wealth of research evidence in the UK and other countries which shows that an understanding of the attitudes and practices of employers towards the recruitment of the unemployed is crucial to designing effective public interventions aimed at integrating the unemployed into the labour market.

  3.  The Committee's enquiry into this subject is, therefore, both timely and welcome, and is consistent with a growing emphasis on this topic. The recent report from the Social Exclusion Unit's Policy Action Team on Jobs[1], for example, places strong emphasis on the need: for organisations providing labour market services in deprived neighbourhoods to "be on employers' wavelengths"; for employers to be directly engaged in the design of labour market support; and for ways to be found of giving employers the confidence to recruit from the long-term unemployed.

  4.  The aim of this note is to draw the Committee's attention to some of the supporting evidence on employer behaviour towards the unemployed, and its main policy implications.

SOME INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE

  5.  A recent international review of evaluation findings on labour market measures for the (long-term) unemployed[2] stressed that although the evidence on this question was limited, and the examination of employer behaviour has been under-represented in evaluations, there is sufficient research to suggest that the role of employers is critical in determining both the job-funding chances of the (long-term) unemployed and the impact of specific labour market measures. In particular, the existing research, drawn from a range of countries suggests that:

    —  employers, faced with a surplus of candidates for job vacancies commonly use applicants' unemployment records as a "cheap hiring screen", ie it is an easily identifiable proxy for other, harder-to-observe characteristics which affect candidates' suitability for work, such as motivation and productivity;

    —  employers' views on the suitability or otherwise of unemployed (particularly long-term unemployed) job candidates are influenced by their perception that the experience of unemployment itself damages work attitudes and skills; rather than by a view that such candidates are inherently less "employable". This provides support to targeted early action approaches to policy intervention, triggered by increasing duration of unemployment;

    —  there is considerable benefit in labour market initiatives which are oriented towards employers and attempt to influence not only the attitudes and motivations of job-seekers, but also the attitudes and perceptions (prejudices) of employers towards the unemployed and other disadvantaged groups;

    —  employers' views can be influenced (in a positive direction) by direct experience of the (long-term) unemployed. This provides support for interventions which provide opportunities (through work placements or subsidies which enable employers to "try out" the unemployed), and for attempts to widen the network for employer contacts of the public Employment Services to include employers who do not normally use public placement services or recruit from the (long-term) unemployed. The positive evaluations of the UK's Work Trials initiatives (see below) are also consistent with this argument;

    —  employers are more impressed when considering unemployed applicants for jobs, by evidence of recent "real" work experience and by occupationally relevant qualifications, than they are by participation in "make work" job creation schemes or general labour market training schemes for the unemployed. Indeed the evidence from some countries suggests that mass or compulsory participation in such schemes may further add to the negative "stigma" which unemployed applicants have in the eyes of many employers. Again, this evidence supports interventions which give priority to work experience (preferably within real businesses) and targeted training; ideally both elements would be combined within an integrated package.

EMPLOYERS' AND THE UNEMPLOYED JOB-SEEKER

  6.  Turning to the UK evidence, as the high volume of flows off the unemployment register testifies, many UK employers regularly recruit from the ranks of the unemployed.

Table 1

CLAIMANT COUNT AND OUTFLOWS BY DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT (NOV-DEC 1999)

Allup to 13 weeks 13-26 weeks26-52 weeks 52-104 weeksover 104 weeks
Claimant count 11 November 1999 ('000s) 1,136.1463.6210.1 185.9141.9134.6
Total leaving count 11 November to 8 December 1999 249.3
% leaving count21.9
Total leaving count by duration (computerised count only) 226.3135.737.8 3014.28.3
% of claimant stock19.9 29.318.016.1 10.06.2
Total leaving count to known destination 170.6100.428.4 23.311.46.8
Total leaving to jobs116.6 76.219.912.5 5.32.7
Total getting jobs as % of all leavers with known destinations 68.375.970.1 53.646.539.7

Source: Labour Market Trends, February 2000 (own calculations).

  7.  As Table 1 shows, some quarter of a million unemployed claimants, out of the total of 1.1 million, left the register during the month of November to December 1999. Of these it was known that nearly a half (or two thirds of those with known destinations) entered employment, and the actual figure is likely to be somewhat greater than that as the destinations of around 79 thousand leavers are not known. The table also shows very clearly the disadvantage of duration of unemployment—the proportion of claimants leaving the register declines strongly as duration of unemployment increases. More significant for the present discussion, however, is the fact that of those who do leave the register in a given month, the proportion of long-term unemployed who leave for jobs is much lower than among the short-term unemployed. The long-term unemployed are not only much less likely to leave the register, but they are also much more likely to leave for reasons other than getting a job (notably to move into a government scheme, or to move onto Incapacity Benefit or another state benefit).

  8.  Research conducted for DfEE in 1996[3] showed that among employers who had recruited at all in the past year, just over half had recruited at least one person from unemployment. The likelihood of hiring anybody from unemployment is mainly a function of the scale and regularity of recruitment (ie is highest among large organisations and those with high turnover), rather than any specific employer characteristics, although public sector employers are three times more likely to take on the unemployed than are private ones. Furthermore, job entrants who are recruited out of unemployment generally prove to be no less suitable as employees than do those from other sources; in the research cited above, four out of five employers hiring unemployed people found them to be just as satisfactory, or more so, as other recruits.

INCREASING THE "NATURAL" RECRUITMENT OF THE UNEMPLOYED

  9.  The first priority for public policy thus ought properly to be to encourage and increase this "natural" flow off the register, by making it more likely that employers will encounter unemployed job applicants in the natural course of their recruitment activities. Active labour market policies in the UK have moved significantly in this direction during the past 15 years, through the widespread use of "activation" programmes, designed to promote more effective (actually often just, more) jobsearch efforts on the part of the unemployed. That there might be merit in approaching this issue from the other side, by encouraging employers to adopt recruitment strategies and procedures which do not disadvantage the unemployed, has been significantly less common.

  10.  There is plenty of evidence that UK employers inadvertently and routinely screen out potentially suitable, but unemployed, recruits in at least three ways:

    —  By restricting vacancies to the internal labour market: filling vacancies from within is most common among larger organisations, and at times of stagnant or falling employment. Our research[4] suggests that in reasonably buoyant labour market conditions this practice cuts only slightly into the flow of vacancies to which the unemployed have access, and still less so among the least skilled jobs.

    —  By not advertising vacancies formally: Our research[5] suggests that about one in five vacancies is wholly restricted to informal methods of advertising such as "word of mouth" or personal contact. However, a common shortcoming among unemployed jobseekers is the undue narrowness of the channels which they use to identify vacancies. Of central importance here is the relatively low weight which unemployed jobseekers lend to informal methods of jobsearch. Furthermore, we know that as the duration of unemployment rises jobseekers tend to abandon such informal methods prematurely, on the grounds that they cannot find a job this way, falling back on the newspapers and the Jobcentre, where self-evidently vacancies exist (even if they are difficult to win).

    —  By advertising vacancies in the "wrong" place: Jobcentres routinely capture no more than a third of all vacancies, in contrast to (theoretically) all unemployed jobseekers. The main reason which employers give for not recruiting through Jobcentres[6] is that they are content with their preferred other method(s). In other words, they have little or nothing against the service provided, or the recruits available, there. They simply prefer to stick with what they are used to. While for some occupations, notably managerial, technical and skilled manual jobs, they also say that Jobcentre applicants can be under-qualified, this reason is much less important for the less skilled, manual, clerical, and sales jobs, with only a quarter of these employers citing this reason.

  11.  What this suggests is that while unemployed jobseekers naturally cluster around the Jobcentres, most vacancies for which they might be suitable never appear there. In the UK there is neither a legal requirement, nor any significant public encouragement or expectation, for employers to notify Jobcentres of their vacancies. If we are seriously interested in asking employers to "reach out" to the unemployed, then the easiest and least burdensome way of doing this is to encourage them to notify Jobcentres of their vacancies. This would not preclude their using other methods, and would be cost free, on their part. We propose two measures:

    —  There are numerous initiatives to encourage good human resource practices (IIP, the double tick symbol, etc), and they could usefully be supplemented by a scheme to promote Jobcentre use in this way as a public badge of community-mindedness among employers.

    —  The Employment Service should be formally and consistently directed to regard employers as their main customer. The marketing image of the Jobcentre has been greatly degraded through decades during which the Service was encouraged to regard benefit claimants as their customer, and by inference, to treat employers simply as a means to an end. In a competitive market for recruitment services, this has served the Jobcentres ill. It is a weakness which the forthcoming merger with the Benefits Agency is likely only to enhance.

WHAT FACTORS PUT EMPLOYERS OFF FROM RECRUITING THE UNEMPLOYED?

  12.  We accept that many employers choose not to hire people who are unemployed, either on an individual basis, or as a general (though usually implicit) preference. Our research shows that the mere fact of being unemployed is not something which employers say they hold against applicants.[7] However, they generally want to know an applicant's present status, and it seems fair to say that the fact of being unemployed is likely to be taken into account by many employers, but not as a critical feature of their selection, unless the duration of the spell is long. Nevertheless, if there is strong competition for vacancies, even a modest demur on the recruiters' part means that the unemployed jobseeker will be disadvantaged.

  13.  In their general experiences of assessing unemployed applicants, UK employers are most sensitive to:

    —  any perceived shortcomings in the motivation of unemployed jobseekers;

    —  shortcomings in the human capital of unemployed applicants, in terms of their work experience, qualifications/education, and basic skills; and

    —  worries about possible deterioration of their value as employees during an extended spell of unemployment. This sensitivity to the duration of applicants' unemployment spells is reflected in the poor chances of the long-term unemployed entering employment, as shown in Table 1 above.

  14.  The same research found that the three shortcomings most frequently cited by employers who had rejected an unemployed applicant for their most recent vacancy; were:

    —  motivational: 44 per cent of these respondents had rejected unemployed applicant(s), citing shortcomings in motivation, attitude or keenness;

    —  previous job experience: a similar proportion, 43 per cent, believed that their rejected unemployed applicant(s) lacked sufficient experience in a job similar to the one they were then filling;

    —  basic skills: one-third (32 per cent) cited shortcomings in basic skills as perceived shortcoming of the rejected unemployed applicant(s).

HOW CAN THESE CONSTRAINTS BEST BE OVERCOME?

  15.  To the extent that such choices are rooted in assumption, legend, or simple prejudice, and are without significant basis in fact, then the best way to reduce or eradicate them is simply to encourage employers to gain greater familiarity with unemployed recruits as a potential feedstock.

Experience of recruiting the unemployed can moderate employer attitudes

  16.  There is ample evidence that previous successful experience of recruiting the unemployed in general and the long-term unemployed in particular can be effective in moderating employer attitudes and concerns about the abilities, skills and motivation of the unemployed. In policy terms, this suggests that the more the Employment Service and other labour market intermediaries can widen their placement net beyond the "usual suspects" (large and public sector employers known to recruit from the unemployed), and the more they can persuade other employers to "try out" a recruit from the unemployment register (if necessary, through participation in a government programme such as one of the New Deals, with support or subsidy), the wider the pool of employers who are likely to recruit from the unemployed in the future (without such subsidy or support). Thus the IES study of employer attitudes[8] showed clearly that employers who had participated in government programmes in the past were more likely to recruit unemployed people to vacancies. This finding is statistically significant, and does not simply reflect the possibility that firms of certain types are more likely both to participate in programmes and to recruit unemployed people. The finding persists when firms participating in schemes are compared with otherwise similar firms which have not participated.

  17.  In this context, the use of private employment agencies might be useful, as they generally offer a wider, or at least different pool of employer clients, than do the Jobcentres. However, the fact that they also tend to be more occupationally specialised than Jobcentres, means that they may only be able to offer such a placement service on a relatively restricted range of claimant jobseekers. We discuss this further below.

Move to earlier, but diversified, intervention with unemployed clients

  18.  There is considerable evaluation evidence[9], now becoming available which points to the pivotal role of enhanced assessment and guidance (provided as the Gateway in the New Deal) in directing unemployed people towards the most appropriate activities for their circumstances and aspirations. This provides a potential basis for distinguishing within the unemployed flow, essentially on the basis of job-readiness, and pointing them variously towards:

    —  jobsearch;

    —  help with jobsearch and related techniques;

    —  medium term "remedial" help, with motivation, presentation, etc;

    —  pre-vocational preparation;

    —  longer term vocational training/education; or

    —  longer term personal support.

  19.  This tiered approach provides the potential for early intervention with unemployed people, while reducing the risk of deadweight[10], as it is made on the basis of an individual assessment, rather than of statistical modelling, which has not proved a very compelling basis for differentiation. Not only therefore would it meet the individual's objection ("why do I have to wait on the dole for six months before I get the kind of help I need?"), but it would also address employers' concerns about deterioration of valuable attributes (particularly motivation and self-confidence) as spells of unemployment lengthen.

  20.  The essential point here is to identify the "nearly job ready" claimants as early as possible, and to provide them with the (sometimes unbelievably modest) help which will lift them off the shortlist, into the job[11]. It should be noted also that this kind of marginal intervention also has an indirect, positive effect. By encouraging unprepared clients to engage in more active jobsearch, the Employment Service makes a rod for its own back by encouraging the negative image which employers may have of unemployed jobseekers. In this way, far from increasing the receptivity of employers, they may well be blunting it.

Introduce widespread job placements with benefit top-up

  21.  Employers faced with the prospect of recruiting an evidently suitable unemployed individual frequently nevertheless choose someone already in employment (or with a shorter unemployment spell) as the least risky option. Unemployed job-seekers may be no less nervous about their capacity to cope with the demands of the job. Both would benefit from a no-risk trial run.

  22.  Experience with Work Trials[12], and subsequently with job placements under the New Deal, shows that bringing suitable employers and clients together is far easier on a low/no commitment basis of a finite work experience period than it is to place clients directly into vacancies. Employers generally regard the cost of a new recruit, and of bringing them up to scratch, as quite substantial, and a placement of this kind can help both to mitigate such costs, and to prove the value of the individual for recruitment. Client objections to "working for nothing" can effectively be overcome through the use of a benefit top-up payment. So too, their concerns about getting back on to benefits if things do not work out can more easily be mitigated under these circumstances than if they are required to take the plunge.

  23.  No actual vacancy need exist at the time; there is no competition from other jobseekers, etc. But if the employer has been chosen well (ie is frequently recruiting in this occupation) and so has the client (ie is interested in this kind of work, and can quickly develop the skills needed) then the prospects for eventual recruitment are quite strong. Furthermore, placements of this kind are relatively cheap to introduce, and offer the prospect of using available recruitment subsidies subsequently (and only if necessary at the margin) to effect a transfer to employed status.

WHAT ABOUT THE HARD TO HELP JOBSEEKER?

  24.  Thus far we have considered means of improving the recruitment of unemployed people who either have no significant shortcomings, or fairly readily repairable ones. But we have also to recognise that some unemployed people present the most profound problems, which render them more or less unrecruitable. Such problems, be they behavioural ones, or derived from the lack of even basic workplace skills or experience, ought also to be recognised early in any claim. Evidence from the New Deal for the adult long term unemployed indicates that a substantial proportion of those entering the programme are assessed as not job ready, after two years in which they have been forced to present themselves to employers as precisely the opposite. Certainly, for some of them, the problem is one of deterioration during the spell, rather than intrinsic lack of employability, but for others it is precisely a persistent and long term deficiency, which could as readily have been spotted on day one, as day 730. While the Budget reduction to 18 months of the threshold for New Deal entry for adults is to be welcomed, it is surely only a small step in the right direction. Meanwhile, forcing individuals to seek work, when they present (or would if anyone looked) obvious shortcomings which are likely to make them unsuccessful in this, is rarely an appropriate solution, either for them individually, or (as indicated above) for those who follow in their footsteps.

  25.  Introducing a more discriminating assessment and tiered range of provision for unemployed jobseekers would surely provide the basis for directing those who are not job-ready to forms of support intended to make them so. It is not our intention to discuss such forms here, as they have little relevance for the employer focus of this paper. The point is that the system should sort out sheep from goats, and keep the goats well away from employers, in the medium term, so that they do not queer the pitch for the sheep.

WHAT ABOUT EMPLOYMENT SUBSIDIES?

  26.  Employment subsidies are generally regarded as having a positive substitution effect (ie they will increase the recruitment of eligibles relative to ineligibles), allied to only a modest job creation effect. While we know that the appeal of a (subsidised) real job is generally far greater for claimants than other options, the take up of New Deal subsidies by employers has not been massive, accounting for only about a quarter of option placements under NDYP; furthermore, this proportion has been falling since the programme was introduced.

  27.  Research suggests that the attractiveness of a subsidy per se is restricted to small businesses, for whom the payments represent a serious contribution to the cost of supporting the job. Among other employers, it is the suitability of the candidate which is the paramount concern, with the subsidy contributing usefully to adjustment and "fitting in" costs, but not greatly to underlying ones. [13]

  28.  Consequently, employment subsidies ought properly to be seen as applicable only to jobseekers who are close to job ready, or very close to it. It is no surprise that the main reasons given by employers for not taking part in NDYP[14] are the lack of suitable vacancies for young people, adverse views about the competence/suitability of young recruits, and their unsuitability to meet immediate and pressing recruitment needs.

  29.  Allied to this perspective of a recruitment subsidy as a lubricant to help acclimatise the new recruit, employers have also made it quite clear[15] that they would value and expect a more supportive role from the Employment Service in finding suitable recruits and in supporting the placement during the period of the subsidy. In effect, they want an NDPA-type of on-going, supportive and advisory intervention to help them manage the placement, rather than just a cheque.

WHAT CAN PRIVATE EMPLOYMENT AGENCIES CONTRIBUTE?

  30.  Employers recruit through private employment agencies because[16] they believe that some combination of the agency's (occupational or sectoral) specialisation, plus their pre-screening activities, and the calibre of the jobseekers' they attract, provides them with the best choice of the most suitable candidates. Unless and until employers are convinced that such candidates are to be found among the unemployed, there seems little prospect for agencies to improve on the placement rates of the Jobcentres, other than at the cost of their own market profile.

  31.  We believe that private agencies can provide relatively little for the generality of unemployed jobseekers without specific skills or occupational decidedness. However, where such jobseekers have come through some form of vocational training (say WBLA, or a New Deal option) which is geared to local labour market demand, then the appropriate private agency could usefully contribute in three ways:

    —  their insight into skill needs would make them valuable advisors in deciding exactly what training to offer;

    —  their contacts with employers would make them good conduits for arranging work experience placements during the training; and

    —  their vacancy-filling role would provide direct access to suitable job openings for course graduates.

  32.  Thus, rather than having private employment agencies provide a generalised jobseeking help to unemployed people, their role would be more useful in helping to organise customised training, which would lead to targeted job entry.

CONCLUSION

  33.  While it is undoubtedly possible to encourage employers to "reach out" to unemployed people through active labour market programmes, it will be more effective if they are encouraged not to hold them at arms length in the first place. To achieve this requires systematic encouragement of overlap between employers' everyday recruitment practices, and the behaviour encouraged of unemployed people. This means that:

    —  employers should be encouraged to take their vacancies to Jobcentres more often than they do, as a routine which demonstrates good community citizenship, and provides useful bridges onto work specifically designed for the unemployed to take advantage of;

    —  the Employment Service should be encouraged to treat employers more overtly as their prime customers, in just the same way as their private sector counterparts do; and

    —  early assessment of claimants should lead to more discriminating routing of their activities, with

      —  only the most job ready being encouraged actively to seek work;

      —  immediate access to the full range of ES support and advice for those who are close to job readiness; and

      —  immediate access to longer term interventions designed to promote employability for those facing more profound problems.

Institute for Employment Studies

March 2000


1  Jobs for All, DfEE, 2000. Back
2  Meager N and Evans C, "The evaluation of active labour market measures for the long-term unemployed", Employment and Training Papers No 16, International Labour Office, Geneva, 1998. Back
3  Atkinson J, Giles L and Meager N, Employers, Recruitment and the Unemployed, IES Report No 325, Brighton, Institute for Employment Studies, 1996. Nearly a third of recruiters believed that they usually or fairly often took on short term unemployed. This contrasts with about one-fifth for the long term unemployed. At the other end of the spectrum, about 20 per cent said that they rarely or never took on short term unemployed, and this rises to 29 per cent for the long term. Back
4  In Atkinson, Giles and Meager, op cit, about a fifth of recruiters had filled vacancies internally, with 18 per cent restricting advertising to existing employees only. Among larger organisations the internal labour market soaked up one-fifth of vacancies, but across the board, external applicants still had access to nine out of 10 of all the vacancies in these establishments. Back
5  Atkinson J, Dolan M, Pettigrew N and Hyndley K Jobsearch: Modelling Behaviour and Improving Practice, IES Report No 260, Brighton, Institute for Employment Studies, 1994. Back
6  Atkinson J, Kersley B and Kodz J Employers as Customers Employment Service, Research and Development Report, ESR 28, November 1999. Back
7  Atkinson, Giles and Meager op cit, found that 50 per cent of recruiters thought that a history of unemployment was a relevant selection criterion, but only 9 per cent thought that it was a very important one. Back
8  Atkinson, Giles and Meager, op cit.  Back
9  Summarised in Hasluck C, The New Deal for Young People: Two Years On, Employment Service 2000; but see also Atkinson J, Barry J, Dewson S and Walsh K, Case Studies to Evaluate the New Deal 25+ November Pilots, Employment Service, 2000 (forthcoming). Back
10  Deadweight arises in cases where the intervention involves providing support for unemployed people who would have entered work anyway without support during a similar period. Back
11  Such interventions may be either practical (ie help with jobsearch and techniques) or financial. Experience with the so-called "pilot funds", under the November Pilots for the adult long-term unemployed, showed clearly how quite small amounts of cash (to buy a suit and tie, fund a haircut, provide tools, etc). See Atkinson, Barry, Dewson and Walsh, op cit.  Back
12  See Atkinson, J Barber L, Kodz J, O'Regan S and Tackney N, Work Trials: Employer Survey, Employment Service, 1998. Similarly a study which examined Work Trials, along with a range of other placement initiatives in the UK, concluded: "A striking feature of the results has been the size of the employment effects net of deadweight. The typical participants in Work Trials increased their employment rate by 35 to 40 percentage points, a result which (to the best of our knowledge) has no parallel in previous studies of national labour market programmes" White M, Lissenburgh S, and Bryson A, The Impact of Public Job Placing Programmes, London, Policy Studies Institute, 1997 (p 123). Back
13  Elam G and Snape D, New Deal for Young People: Striking a Deal with Employers, draft version, NCSR, 1999Back
14  Hasluck C, op cit.  Back
15  Elam and Snape, op cit.  Back
16  Atkinson, Kersley and Kodz, op cit.  Back

 
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