Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence


APPENDIX 4

Memorandum submitted by Professor Helen Wallace

  1.  The new Intergovernmental Conference (IGC) has been opened with a narrow, or "focused", agenda of the so-called Amsterdam "left-overs". These comprise: the composition of the college of Commissioners; the weighting of votes in the Council of Ministers; and possible extensions to qualified majority voting (QMV). This cluster of issues is essentially all to do with the representation of member states in the existing and enlarged European Union (EU). This agenda does not address wider issues about the good governance of the EU in terms of either its democratic performance or its effectiveness.

  2.  Some of the questions of good governance do not require treaty reform, but rather sustained practical efforts, in particular to improve the functioning of the Commission and the Council. Public attention is more focused on the potential for reforms to the Commission. The functioning of the Council is less well understood by those outside, since the Council is a more arcane and private institution, in spite of the efforts made to improve its transparency. It can be argued with some justification that the malfunctioning of the Council is just as much responsible for some of the deficiencies in the workings of the EU as a whole as are the problems within the Commission. Reforms to the Council need to include an onslaught on the segmentation of the Council into so many separate compositions and lines of responsibility. These militate against "joined-up" government and make for poor coordination of the Council's work. In addition the fact that so much of the Council's decision-making actually takes place below the level of ministers makes it hard to achieve visible transparency and demonstrated accountability. The new impulses to develop a Common European Security and Defence Policy (CESDP) are welcome in their substance, but will make it even harder for the General Affairs Council (of foreign ministers) to coordinate on other areas of EU work. In addition it should be noted that the explosion of new Council work is especially around the development of the area of freedom, security and justice, often called justice and home affairs (JHA), the province in the UK of the Home Office and the Lord Chancellor's Department.

  3.  The Amsterdam "left-overs" do little to address directly the issues relating to the functioning of the Council. In so far as there is a bias in the declared focus to the IGC agenda it is towards concentrating attention on the role of member states in the system. This rather leaves it to the member states themselves, or the current governments of the member states, to shape the development of the process—for good or for ill.

  4.  Some other issues may well creep on to the IGC agenda. These could well include:

    (i)  extensions to the powers of the European Parliament in tandem with any extensions to QMV in the Council (a logical corollary of QMV);

    (ii)  practical reforms to the Court of Justice and the Court of First Instance, to deal with the substantial and increasing workload of litigation (a welcome development);

    (iii)  the results of efforts to develop the new CESDP, including changes to the Western European Union, to the extent that they might imply treaty modification;

    (iv)  a discussion of flexibility, or enhanced co-operation' as an apparent means to enable a vanguard group of member states to pursue new areas of policy co-operation, especially in an enlarged EU; and

    (v)  potentially the Charter on Fundamental Rights, should its drafting lead to heavyweight propositions for treaty incorporation.

  5.  Of these (i) and (ii) are in themselves fairly straightforward. Also (iii) could be a sensible way forward, provided that discussions on institutional procedures do not get in the way of the important discussion of substance, and provided that recognition is given to the consequential workload for foreign ministers. It becomes increasingly unrealistic to expect foreign ministers to carry the load of co-ordination the rest of EU business, and in any case there is a drift towards the European Council, ie prime ministers, as primary co-ordinators. The two tricky issues are those in (iv) and (v).

  6.  Do these reforms add up to a coherent and productive way forward? Do they address some of the challenges of improving the governance of the EU? Would they equip the EU better to deal with the undoubted challenges of a much enlarged membership? It is hard to answer any of these questions positively. To situate this "not convinced" point of view in context, a few remarks are needed on the current functioning of the institutions. The college of Commissioners was not designed as an institution to "represent" states, but as an institution to provide collective and independent guidance on EU policy development and management. The Council of Ministers does not explicitly vote all that often. Implicit voting is much more the practice, as a tool of building consensus and persuading individual governments to consider the collective concerns of the EU as a whole. There is simply no evidence for small member states ganging up on large member states; coalitions are built on issues and approaches which cut across the membership of the EU. As the British Government now regularly notes, it is extremely unusual for the British Government to be outvoted in the Council. There may well be a few areas where QMV could be introduced to replace current unanimity provisions, but there are only a very few where this is likely to be persuasively advocated, though taxation issues represent a particularly controversial example. Hence it is not evident that the Amsterdam left-overs make for an agenda that addresses all that much of the working reality of the EU institutions.

  7.  Indeed it can be argued that this declared agenda might cause more problems than it resolves. Thus, for example, the proposal to accept that each member state should have one and "its" Commissioner risks distorting the role of the Commission and pushing it towards being a body in some sense "representative" of the member states, the core function of the Council. This might well neither help the Commission to reform itself into a high-quality collective agency nor facilitate the work of the Council as the core representative body.

  8.  Similarly the proposed alterations to voting weights in the Council (whichever of the various formulae emerges as the favourite) might serve more to polarise views in the Council than to facilitate constructive consensus-building. It seems rather obvious that all member states need to be reassured that the system works equitably and even-handedly, rather than by the pressures of the larger countries to coral the smaller. This issue becomes even more important as and when new countries join the EU.

  9.  Thus as regards the composition of the Commission and the reweighting of votes in the Council, it is hard to conclude that these would add up to qualitative improvements other than at the margins. And on some readings the "nationalisation" of the Commission and a more polarised practice of vote-taking in the Council could be harmful.

  10.  Possible extensions to QMV take us on t different territory. There are relatively few areas of EU policy-making that lend themselves to QMV, beyond those where QMV is already the established rule. Disputed areas include taxation and parts of the subject matter of the area of freedom, security and justice. Both are tricky for the UK and concern areas where there are current and/or recent examples of controversy. In both areas we should note that some other governments also have inhibitions about QMV, and hence that there is no reason to suppose that the British need to be isolated. As a broad operating principle one might commend that framework decisions on new policy areas remain subject to unanimity, while in well-established areas QMV might be acceptable for detailed policy implementation.

  11.  However, two different considerations need to be brought into play. One concerns how far the EU agenda should be loaded with new policy commitments at all, beyond those currently in view. There are strong grounds for arguing that the malfunctioning of both the Council and the Commission are the result of overload in both institutions. In any event in a much enlarged EU (whenever that occurs) the case will be even stronger for not overloading the system while trying to incorporate successfully new member states. The other consideration concerns the currently expanding areas of EU policy. Most of these (EMU, CESDP, JHA and the Lisbon agenda) are subjects that do not fall into the traditional Commission-Council format of decision-making. On the contrary they rely on the careful building up of new areas of expertise and linkages for both institutions, whether to take on delicate new functions (CESDP or JHA), or to take on the benchmarking role envisaged for employment and social policies. In both of these sets of domains, non-treaty reforms seem much more relevant than treaty changes.

  12.  The poisoned chalice in the offing is flexibility. This has two potential sets of difficult consequences, quite apart from the evident difficulties in the Amsterdam, IGC in finding formulae that could be made to work sensibly. One danger is that flexibility becomes a vehicle for extensive opting out of collective regimes by one government after another. Thus a reform ostensibly designed to facilitate initiatives might turn out to be the driver of a large wedge between the real insiders and the rest. The UK has no interest in the development of mechanisms that create first and second class member of the EU. The second danger is that flexibility is used as a tool to deny the new member states a real voice in the EU process. This is not a good basis on which to accept new member states unaccustomed to the give-and-take of constructive consensus-building. The much-quoted argument that the central and east European countries will not be fully operational members of the EU risks becoming in a counter-productive way a self-fulfilling prophecy. Mechanisms of inclusion seem much more important than mechanisms of exclusion. In this context the Commission proposal that enhanced co-operation might be pursued with as few as a third of the member states seems an improvident suggestion.

  13.  The discussion of the Charter on Fundamental Rights is still at too early a stage for its shape to have become clear. Given both developments in and vis-a"-vis Austria and the envisaged arrival of central and east European member states in the EU, we should expect a lively discusssion on ways of embedding fundamental rights more thoroughly into the ET treaty framework.

  This subject therefore needs a more extended discussion within the UK.

  14.  More generally as regards enlargement, the Amsterdam left-overs do not provide a prescription for managing better a much enlarged EU. Indeed it could be argued that some versions of their potential consequences (eg on flexibility) might work with the opposite effect. On the other hand, those who support enlargement have no interest at this stage in a protracted institutional debate around inappropriate and ill-thought out propositions. Hence a very modest set of reforms this year is probably the least worst outcome, and indeed it would be no disaster if some of the Amsterdam left-overs continued to be left aside.


 
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