RUSSIAN NUCLEAR WEAPON DISMANTLEMENT
75. Arms control agreements have required Russia
to dismantle hundreds of nuclear weapons. The immense scale of
this problem was brought home to us during our discussions at
the US Department of Energy where we were told that Russia has
600 metric tons of Highly Enriched Uranium, 700 metric tons of
weapons-grade Highly Enriched Uranium and 165 metric tons of Plutonium.
In turn, this necessitates the safe disposal of nuclear materials
contained in the warheads. We heard concern about the degree of
control exercised over this material and the possibility of its
theft for subsequent use in other weapons.[134]
This echoes the anxieties expressed by witnesses during our inquiry
earlier this year into Relations with the Russian Federation.[135]
There was consensus that Russian nuclear weapons and fissile material
were inadequately guarded and that both the materials and technological
know-how were widely available to proliferators.
76. The UK has already offered some help through
the provision of secure containers for nuclear material. However,
given the scale of the problem, witnesses expressed the view that
the USA, the UK and its European allies should do more. Professor
Rogers, Professor Baylis and Colonel Taylor all agreed that three
to four times the level of current spending was needed to ensure
the safe disposal of Russian nuclear materials.[136]
British Nuclear Fuels told us that commercial funding initiatives
were also required and advised us that it was "developing
proposals to provide a system capable of dealing with all declared
surplus materials in a commercially sustainable way."[137]
The Foreign Secretary argued that the division of responsibility
between the USA and Europe has been such that "Europe has
focussed its funding which is quite substantial on nuclear safety
within Russia in terms of the civil reactor programme and the
costs there are very substantial indeed."[138]
The USA, on the other hand, has taken major responsibility for
handling the disposal of fuel from the nuclear weapons. The Foreign
Secretary thought that this was justified as "the nuclear
weapons being dismantled are a consequence of the START programme
of which the European Union is not a member."[139]
He defended the record of the EU in financing programmes, claiming
that "if you take the totality of effort to assist Russia
with its nuclear environment, Europe comes out rather well."[140]
77. The funding of the British Government's Cross-Departmental
review of nuclear safety in the former Soviet Union was announced
in the recently published Spending Review 2000, New Public
Spending Plans 2001-2004.[141]
Spending on existing programmes by the FCO and a number of other
Government Departments totalled £8 million for 2000-01. The
Government has announced that a new pooled budget will be established
in within the DTI's programme with a value of £24 million
for 2001-02, increasing to £27 million for 2002-03 and £33
million for 2003-04. The Government has said that this pooled
budget will allow the UK to participate in a "more joined
up and effective way" to international efforts to rebuild
the Chernobyl shelter; improve operational safety of nuclear plant,
regulatory systems and nuclear safety cultures across the former
Soviet Union; de-fuel disused submarines in North West Russia;
deal with surplus Russian weapons grade plutonium; retrain and
generate employment opportunities for nuclear weapons scientists;
and improve security, materials accountancy, and international
verification arrangements at FSU nuclear sites. We welcome this
increase in funding and effort to increase the effectiveness of
the contribution made by the UK.
78. At the Moscow summit in June 2000 President Clinton
and President Putin agreed to dispose of a further 34 tonnes of
weapons-grade plutonium by turning it into MOX (mixed oxide fuel)
for civil energy use. This follows a previous undertaking in 1998
to dispose of 50 tonnes of plutonium each.[142]
The Foreign Secretary told us that although the EU was looking
at making a possible contribution to the funding of this agreement,
the UK was "more hopeful that the framework of an international
financial arrangement in which we would be involved would be agreed
through the G8 mechanism."[143]
79. One specific area where greater resources would
be beneficial is support of the work of the International Science
and Technology Centre (ISTC).[144]
The ISTC was established in 1992 as a non-proliferation programme
to provide peaceful research opportunities for non-military research
for weapon scientists and engineers in the former Soviet Union,[145]
and thereby to prevent the leakage of technical know-how onto
the international black market. The EU contributed $60m between
1992-1998 (an average of $10m p.a.), but only $3.8m in 1999.
80. We are concerned that the overall level of investment
in assisting Russia to dismantle and dispose of its nuclear weapons
is inadequate for the scale of the problem and that EU funding
for the ISTC in particular appears to be declining.
81. We recommend that the Government use its influence
with both Russia and the USA to achieve the maximum negotiable
reduction in nuclear warheads in START III. We further recommend
that the Government use its position in both the G8 and the EU
to accelerate progress in helping the Russian Government to destroy
its surplus nuclear materials or convert them to civil use.
UK Nuclear Posture and Disarmament
82. The five nuclear weapon states, including the
UK, have given an "unequivocal undertaking to accomplish
the total abolition of their nuclear arsenals." Mr Hain regards
this as a strengthening of the Government's commitment under Article
VI of the NPT.[146]
Nevertheless, this commitment has no deadlines attached to it.
The Secretary of State for Defence told the House that "the
non-proliferation treaty agreement¼
is an aspiration; it is not likely to produce results in the short
term."[147]
In the Strategic Defence Review (SDR) the Government made clear
that it would include the UK's nuclear weapons in strategic arms
talks "when we are satisfied with progress towards our goal
of the global elimination of nuclear weapons."[148]
It was stated in the SDR that "while large nuclear arsenals
and risks of proliferation remain, our minimum deterrent remains
a necessary element of our security"[149]
and that the UK will continue to deploy its nuclear forces at
a level necessary "to deter any threat to our vital interests."[150]
This position was reaffirmed by the Secretary of State for Defence
who told the House that:
"In the strategic defence
review, we carefully set out the importance of nuclear weapons
to the United Kingdom, as long as other countries retain them.
Nothing has changed in the interim."[151]
83. The UK's nuclear arsenal now comprises a single
systemTrident Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles
(SLBMs). As part of its Strategic Defence Review, the present
Government made further reductions to its predecessor's deployments:
The ceiling of 96 warheads per boat was cut to an
exact deployment of 48 warheads on each operationally available
Trident submarine;
The total stockpile of operationally available warheads
was cut to less than 200 from a ceiling of 300;
Only one submarine is now on patrol at any one time
and is on a reduced state of readiness.
84. The FCO's memorandum pointed out that the UK's
"nuclear holdings are now considerably lower than those of
any other nuclear weapon state."[152]
This point was amplified by the Foreign Secretary in his evidence.
He made it clear that the Government had already made progress
on all four of the specific steps which the Final Document of
the NPT Review Conference committed the nuclear weapon states
to take:
"First of all, further
efforts to reduce nuclear arsenals. As you will be aware, we halved
the number of planned warheads on the Trident submarines and are
now operating at reduced level of warheads. Second, increase transparency.
We are now the most transparent and most open of any of the nuclear
weapon states about the declared number of nuclear warheads. Third,
the further reduction of non-strategic nuclear weapons. I think
I am right in saying that we do not have any non-strategic nuclear
weapons now. Our only nuclear weapons are those on Trident. We
have eliminated all others. Finally, concrete measures to reduce
the operational stages. We have made it clear that we have reduced
the state of alert of our submarines and we are much more transparent
about what that state of alert is than anybody else. We are very
much in conformity already with what has been outlined in the
Review Conference document. Further progress must depend on progress
by other nuclear weapon states. We remain ready to consider further
steps we can take but it is difficult to see, having done as much
as we have in the past three years, what more we can do unilaterally."[153]
Sir Michael Quinlan, former Permanent Secretary at
the MOD, stated that the significant unilateral changes announced
in the SDR has "had a wry incidental effect, in that there
now remains little that could be put on the table, other than
the complete abandonment of the capability, were we to be included
in some wider START-type arms-reduction negotiation."[154]
85. We acknowledge and commend the positive steps
taken by the Government with regard to the UK's nuclear posture.
However, a number of academics submitting evidence to us commented
on the lack of ideas within the international community about
how to proceed to global nuclear disarmament. Some questioned
whether global disarmament was being pursued seriously at all.
For example, in Professor MccGwire's view, "in theory, the
present government espouses the goal of a nuclear weapons free
world, as did its predecessor. Lip service is paid to the commitment,
but there is no evidence that the concept is taken seriously in
practice and it gathers dust in the bottom drawer, along with
the commitment to general and complete disarmament." [155]
Professor Baylis told us that "the interesting question is¼whether
we have any long term objectives in terms of trying to take the
process of minimum deterrence to the next stage."[156]
The Government should think creatively about how to proceed towards
minimum deterrence for all nuclear weapon states and not focus
its attention solely on existing arms control agreements and negotiations.
86. We accept the Government's statement that,
with the reductions in nuclear capability it has made, the UK's
deterrent "is the minimum necessary to provide for our security
for the forseeable future and smaller than those of the major
nuclear powers."[157]
We recommend that the Government make every endeavour to bring
about reductions by all nuclear weapon states to genuinely minimum
deterrent levels.
92 As they are committed to do under Article VI of
the treaty. Back
93
Ev. p. 167. Back
94
Q62. Back
95
Brazil, Egypt, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, South Africa and
Sweden. Back
96
Q52. Back
97
Ev. p. 46. Back
98
Ev. p. 99. Back
99
Ev. p. 130. Back
100
HC Deb 8 June 2000, col. 306w. Back
101
The Trilateral Initiative was created in 1996 to fulfill the commitments
made by Presidents Clinton and Yeltsin concerning IAEA verification
of weapons origin fissile material. Back
102
Principles and Objectives for Nuclear non-proliferation,
agreed at the 1995 NPT Review Conference, available at: www.acronym.org.uk/a11app3.htm. Back
103
Q229. Back
104
Q130. Back
105
Ev. p. 12. Back
106
Ev. p. 12. Back
107
Ev. p. 3. Back
108
Q214. Back
109
Ev. pp. 6-7. Back
110
Ev. p. 105. Back
111
Ev. p. 106 Back
112
Ev. p. 106. Back
113
52 states had signed the additional Protocol and 14 states had
ratified it as of 12 July 2000-information at: http://www.iaea.org/worldatom/Programmes/Safeguards/sg_protocol.shtml. Back
114
Q135. Back
115
Ev. p. 2. Back
116
As of June 2000, at http://www.ctbto.org/cgi-bin/ctbto_states.cgi?List=Required. Back
117
China, which has signed but not ratified the treaty, cites the
decision of the US Senate as the reason for its own delay in ratification. Back
118
Sino-British statement of 9 October 1998, following the visit
of Mr Blair to Beijing. Back
119
Ev. p. 99. Back
120
Ev. p. 3. Back
121
Ev. p. 3. Back
122
Ev. p. 4. Back
123
Q238. Back
124
Ev. p. 100. Back
125
George Bunn, Disarmament Diplomacy, No. 42, December 1999, p.
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126
Ev. p. 100. Back
127
Ev. p. 206. Back
128
Acronym Institute web-site, http://www.acronym.org.uk, Special
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129
Q180. Back
130
Q11. Back
131
Ev. p. 147. Back
132
Third Report of the Foreign Affairs Committee, Session 1999-2000,
Relations with the Russian Federation, HC 101, paras. 51-52. Back
133
See, for example, Ev. pp. 210-217. Back
134
Ev. p. 30 and Ev. pp. 206-207. Back
135
Third Report of the Foreign Affairs Committee, Session 1999-2000,
Relations with the Russian Federation, HC 101, paras. 53-56. Back
136
Ev. p. 29 and p. 27. Back
137
Ev. p. 207. Back
138
Q219. Back
139
Q219. Back
140
Q219. Back
141
Spending Review 2000, New Public Spending Plans 2001-2004,
HM Treasury July 2000, Cm 4807, p 143. Back
142
Ev. p. 128. Back
143
Q220. Back
144
Ev. p. 31. Back
145
Ev. p. 128. Back
146
HC Deb, 8 June 2000, col. 306w. Back
147
HC Deb, 5 Jun 2000, col. 12. Back
148
Strategic Defence Review, Supporting Essays, p5-1. Back
149
Strategic Defence Review, Cm 3999, para. 60. Back
150
Strategic Defence Review, Cm 3999, para. 61. Back
151
HC Deb, 5 June 2000, col. 12. Back
152
Ev. p. 99. Back
153
Q210. Back
154
Ev. p. 156. Back
155
Ev. p. 170. Back
156
Q41. Back
157
Strategic Defence Review, Cm 3999, para. 70. Back