Select Committee on Health Minutes of Evidence



MEMORANDUM BY MR MARTYN DAY

THE TOBACCO INDUSTRY AND THE HEALTH RISKS OF SMOKING (TB 35)

A.  INTRODUCTION

  1.  I am the joint senior partner at Leigh, Day and Co, a firm of solicitors based in Clerkenwell in the City of London. My firm represented many hundreds of claimants in actions against the British tobacco companies between 1992 and 1999. I was the partner responsible for the running of the actions. I set out below:

    (a)  what the case for the claimants was;

    (b)  the tobacco companies' response;

    (c)  what we learnt of relevance to the enquiry from the hundreds of thousands of pages of documents from and related to the operation of the British industry and its relationship with the British Government read by my team during the course of the case.

B.  THE ACTION

  2.  I would not have thought the Committee will be interested in the details of what happened to the legal proceedings but an outline might be useful. I would be happy to answer questions on this if members require further information.

  3.  The legal process commenced in 1992 when, following a ruling in the Amercian courts, my firm and Bindman and Partners took the view that a claim could be made against the tobacco companies. We placed two small adverts in local papers in London and Liverpool (where we had an office) and some 300 smokers suffering smoking related illnesses came forward. We applied for legal aid and then entered a battle royale with the Legal Aid Board that lasted some four years. Legal aid was granted for a short while but was eventually withdrawn.

  4.  Many of the potential claimants were keen to continue and my firm remained of the view there was a good claim to be made against the UK tobacco companies. We decided, therefore, to pursue claims on behalf of those suffering from lung cancer, as being the strongest actions under the conditional ("no win no fee") fee scheme and legal proceedings was commenced on behalf of around 50 Claimants in November/December 1996 against Imperial Tobacco and Gallaher, referred to as the British Tobacco Companies.

  5.  The British Tobacco Companies, as one might well expect, fought the action with everything at their disposal, putting one procedural hurdle in front of us after another. Included within this was their argument that as we, the lawyers, were running the action under the conditional fee scheme we were "maintaining" the action and therefore would be responsible for their costs, if the case was lost. They further successfully applied to have the legal team "gagged". However, on this matter going before Lord Woolf in the Court of Appeal in February 1998, both matters were resolved in the Claimants' favour.

  6.  As the cases progressed toward a trial date provisionally reserved for late 1999/early 2000, the British Tobacco Companies successfully obtained an order that there be a procedural hearing on the issue of limitation. Two thirds of the 50 claimants with lung cancer had issued proceedings more than three years after their cancers were diagnosed and we were applying for the Judge to exercise his discretion to allow the claims to be pursued notwithstanding the fact they were issued outside the limitation period. We had asked that this issue be dealt with at trial, not least because the discovery process was only partially completed by the time this application was heard and, therefore, nothing like the full picture had emerged.

  7.  The two week "limitation hearing" took place in December before Mr Justice Wright who had been allocated to deal with the whole case, including the trial. In February of this year, we received his judgment on this issue. Mr Justice Wright not only refused to allow the limitation claims to proceed but additionally made his lack of enthusiasm for the whole action abundantly clear. As he had been appointed as the trial judge the Claimants' legal team were clear that our chances of success had reduced well below the point where it was worth carrying on and the claims were abandoned.

  8.  I should also, perhaps, mention the undertakings that now surround me following the conclusion of the action. In negotiating a resolution to the action the legal team was extremely anxious to ensure that the group of 50 or so claimants, (all in their 60s and 70s) were not bankrupted by the British Tobacco Companies' in their enforcing their massive costs (that were around £15 million). The only way the British Tobacco Companies would agree to release them from this burden was if myself and John Pickering of Irwin Mitchell (the other Claimants' law firm) gave personal undertakings and the two firms general undertakings, not to act in future tobacco cases. We also had to agree not to make reference to evidence the case had revealed or to campaign against the British Tobacco Companies. Although these are extremely onerous undertakings, John and I felt that our absolute duty was to protect the Claimants and we, therefore, signed them.

  9.  In being asked to give evidence before the Committee I asked the British Tobacco Companies if they were prepared to release me from the undertaking regarding my referring to evidence I have read and they confirmed their agreement to this.

C.  THE CLAIMANTS' CASE

  10.  To understand the case the Committee will have a reasonable understanding of what happened in the 1950s and 1960s as the science developed as that set the scene for the following years. Maybe it has already read this from others and, if so, I apologise for repeating it.

  11.  In the first half of this century there was a very significant rise in the number of deaths resulting from people developing lung cancer. For example between 1922 and 1947 such deaths increased in the UK 15-fold from 612 to 9,287 per annum. A number of hypotheses emerged as to what was causing this increase such as improved standards of diagnosis, atmospheric pollution and the smoking of tobacco. Prior to 1950, there had been a number of epidemiological and animal studies that suggested smoking as a possible cause of cancer but the studies were small and therefore inconclusive, albeit they all pointed to smoking being a cause of cancer (Doll R, Hill AB, Smoking and Carcinoma of the Lung Preliminary Report. British Medical Journal 1950; 2 739-48).

  12.  In 1950 two large statistical studies testing the hypothesis of an association between smoking and lung cancer by Doll and Hill in the UK and by Wynder and Graham in the USA were published. The authors concluded that excessive and prolonged use of tobacco, especially cigarettes seemed to be an important factor in the induction of bronchogenic carcinoma. In the following years Doll, Wynder and others published a number of further studies showing similar results.

  13.  In 1953 Wynder, Graham and Croninger published a paper entitled Experimental Production of Carcinoma with Cigarette Tar. This study demonstrated for the first time that mice skins repeatedly painted with cigarette tar condensate produced carcinomas. Prior to this study there had been a number of similar studies where few cancers had been produced. It was suggested by Wynder et al that this was due to technical inadequacies—in particular that the duration of the skin painting was too short. This study spawned a series of further mouse painting studies over the following few years with similar results.

  14.  The causal nature of the relationship between smoking and lung cancer was given further support by a series of pathological studies undertaken in smokers to assess the morphological changes in lung tissues which might precede the development of an overt tumour. Auerbach and his colleagues published a set of papers beginning in 1957, in which they examined lung tissue amassed at autopsy from American smokers. Certain morphological changes in the cells lining the bronchi, such as cell hyperplasia, stratification and carcinoma-in-situ, were found in smokers increasing in parallel with the numbers of cigarettes smoked.

PREVENTIVE MEASURES

  15.  In 1952 the BMJ were already calling for preventive measures to be taken by the tobacco companies. In September 1953 they published a lecture given by Dr Doll. He warned against waiting for the attempt to isolate the carcinogens in tobacco:

    "To summarise, most of the known epidemiological facts about bronchial carcinoma are consistent with the effects of a limited number of industrial carcinogens and the presence of a carcinogenic substance in tobacco smoke—particularly in that derived from cigarettes. . . It may also prove that it will be unnecessary to await the isolation of the specific active agent before steps can be taken to halt the rapid increase in the mortality from bronchial carcinoma and to turn it into an even more dramatic decline. "

  16.  Referring to the results of his studies, he pointed to a possible route for this:

    "Users of cigarette-holders and smokers of filter-tipped cigarettes have been found less frequently among lung carcinoma patients than among patients with other diseases. The proportion of persons who have been accustomed to smoke in this way is small and the number of recorded observations is too few for firm conclusions; they are however, consistent with the observations on pipe smokers, and it seems probable that each of these methods of smoking may partly separate out an active agent before it reaches the respiratory tract.".

  17.  The BMJ supported Doll's approach in their editorial in December 1953 where they wrote:

    "The present developments (ie Wynder's 1953 study and the proposal that the specific carcinogens might be identifiable) must not be allowed to obscure the wisdom of Doll's view, that it may be unnecessary to await the isolation and identification of a specific carcinogenic agent(s) before doing something to halt the rapid increase in mortality and to turn it into an even more rapid decline . . . the question arises whether the combined weight of evidence is now so compelling as to convince the tobacco industry itself that there may be some connection between tobacco and cancer of the lung."

  18.  Some three years later Wynder, himself, in a front page article in the BMJ on 5 January 1957 entitled Towards a Solution of the Tobacco-Cancer Problem supported the BMJ's comments setting out a blue print for action by the tobacco companies. He concluded that animal experimentation had demonstrated a definite relationship between the amount and duration of tar applied to an animal and the total number of tumours and the duration of the latent period before tumours became observable. He gave his view that since both human and animal evidence indicated that the risk of developing cancer was directly related to the amount of tar exposure, filters that reduced tar yield should be introduced. He further argued that regulations should be drawn up specifying criteria for the amount of tar to be delivered in the smoke of filter cigarettes and requiring the manufacturers to state the effectiveness of the filter tips of their cigarettes.

HM GOVERNMENT'S RESPONSE

  19.  In 1951 the Government's advisory body the Standing Cancer and Radiotherapy Advisory Committee ("SCA(CR)"), a subcommittee of the Central Health Services Council ("CHSC"), reviewed the 1950 Doll and Hill study. They decided to bring the issue to the Minister's attention. Over the following three years the Committee kept the developing science under close review and kept the Minister of Health informed.

  20.  On 12 February 1954 the Minister for Health said in a statement to the House of Commons, having set out the advice of the CHSC;

    "I accept the Committee's view that the statistical evidence points to smoking as a factor in lung cancer but I would draw attention to the fact that there is so far no firm evidence of the way in which smoking may cause lung cancer or of the extent to which it does so. "

  21.  In May 1957, the MRC issued a report that reviewed the then published epidemiological evidence and the published mouse skin studies of Wynder and concluded that the statistical evidence was very considerable and that thus far no adequate explanation of all the statistical evidence had been advanced except that of direct cause and effect, namely that smoking was the principal factor in the causation of lung cancer. In the House of Commons the Parliamentary Secretary to the Ministry of Health presented the report to Parliament saying:

    "The Government feel that it is right to ensure that this latest authoritative opinion is brought effectively to public notice, so that everyone may know the risks involved in smoking"

  22.  By 1957 the epidemiological, animal and pathology studies:

    (a)  provided an animal model that strongly supported the epidemiological hypotheses set out above;

    (b)  showed that it was likely to be the tar within the cigarette smoke that was causing the lung cancer;

    (c)  indicated that tar reduction through the introduction of filter cigarettes and the selection of lower tar yielding tobacco would probably reduce the incidence of lung cancer amongst smokers.

  23.  The tobacco companies in response maintained that:

    (a)  the mouse painting experiments produced inconsistent results and did not support the epidemiological hypotheses;

    (b)  were not applicable to human carcinogenesis;

    (c)  there was not a consensus of medical and scientific opinion to support the contention that the reduction of the tar yield of cigarettes would lead to a reduction in the incidence of lung cancer.

  24.  It seemed clear to me from everything I saw during the course of the action that these reponses of the tobacco companies were entirely about them defending the indefensible and clutching on to ever finer straws.

THE CLAIMANT'S CASE IN RELATION TO REDUCTION OF TAR YIELD

  25.  The case of the Claimants was that, in the light of the foregoing material, that the Tobacco companies owed a duty of care to reduce the tar yield of its cigarettes from around 1957. More specifically the Tobacco companies could and should have achieved a reduction in tar yield to 10 mg by 1971. There were a number of steps the Tobacco companies could have taken to achieve this. The introduction of filters would have been a primary way of achieving that goal, as detailed by Doll and Wynder (the latter suggested that good filters would reduce the tar yield by some 40 per cent).

  26.  The Claimants contended that it was incumbent upon the tobacco companies to adopt a maximum tar yield for all cigarettes and reduced that tar yield progresively on the basis that:

    (a)  The Tobacco companies in fact took steps at all until the mid-1960s to reduce the tar yield of their cigarettes. One of the principal defences advanced by the tobacco companies was that they were properly engaged in the search to identify carcinogens with a view to selective removal of such agents from tobacco smoke. The Claimants' response is that whatever the value of such research, it did not excuse the failure to act on the material summarised above, and to reduce tar yields rapidly from 1957;

    (b)  From the documents it appeared clear that there was no technical difficulty in reducing tar yield in filter cigarettes to any given level although there was a dispute as to whether they could have achieved 10mg by 1971;

    (c)  the Tobacco companies argued that they placed a range of cigarettes on the market with different tar yields and that it was up to each of their consumers to choose which to smoke and that this was a sufficient discharge of their duty of care. If an individual Claimant chose to smoke a cigarette with a high tar yield then either he or she was voluntarily accepting any risk of injury ensuing or was guilty of contributory negligence.

  27.  It is worth noting at this juncture that in the mid-1950s the average tar yield per cigarette was around 30mg with the great majority of cigarettes having tar levels between 27-34 mg. A letter from Gallaher to Imperial in 1979 noted that nearly 90 per cent of cigarettes sold in 1965 still contained above 29mg tar. By 1971, although the tobacco companies were producing cigarettes with a range of 4-26 mg, the vast majority of smokers were still smoking cigarettes toward the top of this range. There was in effect "no choice" at all until 1965 as the Second Tobacco company conceded in its paper for the Tobacco Advisory Council [TAC] dated 24 July 1979.

  28.  It was the Claimants' case that it was not a sufficient discharge of the duty to minimise risk simply to produce a range of cigarettes leaving high tar cigarettes on the market. Each tobacco company had a duty to ensure that it was minimising the risk of all its products, not just some of them. Further, by in or about 1963 the Tobacco companies knew or had reasonable grounds to suspect that nicotine caused smokers to become dependent on smoking and that they needed to maintain their addiction to avoid withdrawal symptoms. By in or about 1963 they knew or had reasonable grounds to suspect that people smoked primarily to gain a dose of nicotine. Accordingly, to continue to provide high tar cigarettes where high tar also meant high nicotine yield would unreasonably deter smokers from switching to lower yield cigarettes.

NICOTINE ADDICTION

  29.  From the early 1960s it was clear to the tobacco industry in general that the main reason for people smoking was because of the nicotine dose they received and it became increasingly clear that nicotine was addictive. In cigarettes, tar and nicotine yields are reasonably closely related so as the tar yield reduces so generally does nicotine. Since the Tobacco companies knew that people primarily smoked in order to receive a nicotine dose and that nicotine might well be addictive, any policy to reduce tar yield would have to take account of those facts. It was the knowledge that people smoking primarily for the nicotine, and the knowledge that this addicted them to smoking should have led to the Tobacco companies taking steps to minimise the risks to all consumers by reducing the tar levels in all their brands.

  30.  The Tobacco companies submitted that it was a matter of choice for individual smokers as to what they should smoke and, therefore, insofar as they failed to smoke low tar cigarettes and continued to smoke high tar cigarettes they were at fault or consenting to the risk of contraction of lung cancer. The industry view seems to be personified by the following Questions and Answer strategy paper from the BAT Board:

    "Q.  A recent American study indicated that low tar brands were less harmful to smokers. Why do you continue to sell brands with high tar?

    A.  It is our policy to provide as wide a choice as possible to the consumer in the products we offer. In the light of all the knowledge available to the consumer the final choice regarding the brand he buys must be his."

  31.  It was however, the Claimants' case that no information was provided by the Tobacco companies or the tobacco industry in general about the risks of smoking, the relationship between tar yield and the risk of the contraction of lung cancer and the fact that cigarette smoking was addictive. This point is spelt out in an internal Gallaher memorandum dated December 1971, where it states:

    "The only way to make any positive impact on the news media is openly to admit to the low tar `safer' cigarette aspect which would blatantly contravene the industry's current combined attitude that it does not want to capitalise on the health issue. This attitude is not reflected in the States or in Europe—."

  32.  While in its 1968 memorandum Imperial suggested that the smoker required information as to tar yields for an informed choice to be made, it did not provide the limited information it identified as relevant. The approach was to seek to make the Government responsible for the disclosure of product information and disclosure of risk. The provision of limited information printed on cigarette packets by voluntary agreement with the Government only began in June 1971.

BREACH CAUSATION

  33.  The Claimants contended that the British Tobacco Companies' failure to reduce the tar yield of their cigarettes sufficiently had the consequence that each of them inhaled more tar than would have been the case if they had complied with their duty of care. And that this "excess" or "negligent" tar had either caused their lung cancers, materially contributed to the causation of their cancers or materially increased the risk of their contracting lung cancer.

    "The available studies indicate that a reduction in the yield of smoke condensate of a cigarette and a reduction in the amount that comes in contact with the lung will be followed by a reduction of the risk of lung cancer."

  34.  Expert's in the field such as Sir Richard Doll stated that the subsequent studies in the following decades showed that this was not only accurate but that the relative risk of lung cancer has reduced historically in the UK in broad proportion to the reduction of tar yield in cigarettes as measured by standard machine smoking methods and that the literature supports the proposition that there is a relationship between the tar yield of the cigarettes smoked and the risk of lung cancer that the smoker is exposed to that is braodly proportionate, being probably a little less than linear. It follows, from the above, that the literature supports the view that if the Tobacco companies had reduced the tar yield of their cigarettes smokers would have been at a significantly lesser risk of contracting lung cancer. This provides one of the evidential bases upon which the Court will be invited at trial to infer material contribution.

NOCOTINE AND COMPENSATORY SMOKING

  35.  Smokers primarily inhale tobacco smoke for its nicotine content. The term "compensatory smoking" is used to describe smokers' behaviour where the nicotine yield of cigarettes is reduced. It has been suggested that to compensate for the reduced nicotine, such smokes may inhale more deeply, may cover the air holes in the cigarette paper, or may smoke more cigarettes. There are a number of points to be made:

    (a)  the extent of compensatory smoking would appear to be a direct function of the nicotine yield, the level of nicotine the smoker is used to smoking, the rate of the reduction of the nicotine level and the period since the reduction took place;

    (b)  the 1965 patent application and the 1968 memorandum referred to above make it clear that the Tobacco companies were well aware of compensatory smoking from the 1960s and as a result they ensured that the nicotine levels were brought down more slowly than tar levels;

    (c)  it is clear from the literature that the process of compensatory smoking has not led to the same increase in tar as against nicotine inhaled;

    (d)  even for nicotine it is thought that compensation will only have operated as a partial phenomenon. A review of all the evidence for compensation by P N Lee for the Tobacco Research Council in 1979 concluded:

    1.   "Taken together, the evidence seems to indicate that a smoker, when switching to a brand with a lower nicotine yield, will tend to `compensate' mainly by altering inhalation patterns but partly perhaps by a small increase in consumption. This compensation however will only be partial so that reduced nicotine yield does mean reduced intake to the smoker, though the reduction will be relatively smaller than the reduction in yield."

D.  THE BRITISH TOBACCO COMPANIES' RESPONSE TO THE MOUNTING EVIDENCE

  36.  The response of the British Tobacco Companies to the mounting evidence in the 1950s implicating cigarettes in the cause of cancer and other illnesses was:

    (i)  to refuse to accept the evidence that the relationship between smoking and lung cancer was causal and to try and undermine the public messages regarding this link from the health community;

    (ii)  to concentrate on attempting to isolate and extract the carcinogens within tobacco;

    (iii)  only very reluctantly to start a programme of tar reduction which the Claimants said was too little too late.

(i)   Undermining the Health Message

  37.  in 1956 the British Tobacco Companies and the other United Kingdom (UK) tobacco manufacturers set up the Tobacco Manufacturers Standing Committee ("TMSC") to represent the interests of the industry and to co-ordinate policy. in a statement published in many of the national newspapers in May 1956, the British Tobacco Companies and other tobacco companies, wrote:

    "The evidence on the possible relationship of lung cancer and smoking is conflicting and very incomplete: much more research is needed before firm conclusions can be drawn.—Quite apart from our own chemical research into the constituents of tobacco and tobacco smoke we have assisted and will continue to assist research in every way we can; and we make this statement with a full sense of our duty to the public. The suggestion that smoking may be a contributory cause of lung cancer continues to be based mainly on certain statistical inquiries. Statistics by themselves, however, can never constitute proof of a cause and effect relationship. We have closely followed every phase of statistical and medical research on this subject in this country, and in the United States, and elsewhere; and we think it right at this time to emphasise that:

      (a)  Only a small proportion of smokers contract the disease; and the disease also occurs among non-smokers.

      (b)  The incidence of the disease per head of the population appears to be much greater in towns than in rural areas; but there is relatively little difference in the amounts smoked by town and country dweller's respectively.

      (c)  The variations in the incidence of the disease in different countries appear to bear little relation to the variations in tobacco consumption in those countries.

      (d)  The British Empire Cancer Campaign has reported that experiments in a number of research institutions to test whether tobacco smoke produced cancer in retain animals have given negative results . . . Tobacco is a great boon to many millions of people in this country and throughout the world . ."

  38.  The tobacco manufacturers made great play of the fact that they had paid the sum of £250,000 to the MRC for research following the Minister's statement in 1954. However, this sum can be compared with the fact that within five years of making this payment the advertising budget of the tobacco companies (principally the British Tobacco Companies) had increased some five fold to £11 million a year.

  39.  The note of a meeting that took place six years following their public statement (1962) showed how little the British Tobacco Companies' position had moved in the intervening period. The meeting took place between Mr John Partridge, who was at the time Chairman of the TMSC and who became Chairman of the Imperial Tobacco at around this time, and Mr Todd, who by this time was Director of Tobacco Research Council ["TRC"] (which had primarily taken over the research functions of the TMSC), and officials from the Board of Trade. The officials' note says that Mr Partridge told them that the RCP report, Smoking and Health:

    "was likely to prove when more research had been done a great oversimplification and an embarrassment to those who had too readily accepted its conclusions". The note went on to record:

    "The industry still felt quite convinced that the case against cigarette smoking was not made out .  .  . There were three areas of research:

      (i)  Individual susceptibility.

      (ii)  Atmospheric pollution.

      (iii)  Continued search for the causative agent, if any, in cigarette smoke. This work had not been pressed as fast as it should have been: it was an unpromising line for the postgraduate student and there was difficulty in getting men to do the work. The TMSC were therefore setting up a research team themselves to do the work.

  40.  In that meeting the civil servants put the proposition to Mr Partridge that if the evidence pointed to heavy smoking carrying an additional risk young people should be warned of it. The note of the meeting described how:

    "Mr Partridge disputed that view . . . he suggested that a deliberate campaign based on fear could set up a powerful reaction by spreading nervous tension, especially between children and their (smoking) parents. Create a cancer phobia and you don't know what you are doing".

  41.  In the same month Mr Partridge appeared on BBC TV's Panorama programme where he took a similar line. On being asked whether he accepted the RCP report and the Government's acceptance of the "authoritative and crushing causal connection between lung cancer and smoking" he replied:

    "we do not accept the sweeping assertions in the report, incriminating smoking. I do not accept what the government has said. There are too many gaps in knowledge, too many inconsistencies in the evidence. One of those gaps and a pretty yawning and smelly gap at that, is air pollution. "

  Finally, he commented:

    "I happen to think that neither tobacco, nor alcohol are harmful in moderation."

(ii)   Extracting Carcinogens

  42.  In their May 1956 statement, described in detail in paragraph 20 above, the UK tobacco companies made it clear that the isolation of carcinogens was a priority for them.

  43.  In 1960 the TMSC decided to set up its own research facilities in Harrogate, which were opened in September 1962. Through the TMSC the British Tobacco Companies and other manufacturers pooled their research and knowledge in relation to cigarette safety and design. At Harrogate they replicated, on a grand scale the experiments on mouse scale carcinogenicity, in an attempt to ascertain the carcinogenic properties of tar, reported by Wynder some nine years earlier and repeated in the US by researchers for Liggett and Myers some seven years earlier.

  44.  The TMSC had close working relationships with the Council for Tobacco Research [CTR] in the USA, as did its successor organisations. It was never fully clear whether the TMSC was aware of the Liggett and Myers research. It is assumed that they must have been so aware as the research was in the public domain by 1960.

  45.  It is the Claimants' case that the primary purpose of such research was to isolate the carcinogens and remove them from tobacco. At a British American Tobacco [BAT] research conference in Southampton 1962 Sir Charles Ellis of BAT explained the research policy of TMSC to, inter alia:

    (a)  carry out further bio-assays on mice at its Harrogate laboratories with a view to either demonstrating that fresh smoke condensate had less biological effect than old smoke condensate or finding the group of substances responsible for it and getting rid of them;

    (b)  fund work looking at the hypothesis that those who contract lung cancer were especially susceptible;

    (c)  support epidemiological studies to show an association between lung cancer and the environment;

    (d)  support work to elucidate the effects of nicotine as a beneficial drug;

    (e)  support work looking at viruses that could produce cancers.

  Practical research and development as to methods of tar yield reductions were not mentioned.

  46.  By 1965 it was clear to the TMSC from the results of the Harrogate experiments that it was going to be extremely difficult to isolate the carcinogens. However, the experiments had confirmed what Wynder had found 12 years earlier. In a review note by Imperial of the results, it says:

    "We can then tell them that the extremely careful and thorough work by the Harrogate scientists and staff has pointed the way for work in the Research Organisations of the Tobacco Manufacturers, as a result of which it now seems likely that we should be able to reduce the `tar' content of cigarette smoke quite substantially, while still producing an acceptable smoke for the public."

  47.  It appeared from the Defences that it was only once the British Tobacco Companies had replicated Wynder's work through the TMSC that they began to consider acting upon the results of that work. Imperial claim that they began product modification research in 1964 following their receipt of preliminary results of the mouse painting studies from Harrogate and began modifications in 1966.

  48.  The research carried on for a further dozen years before the Harrogate laboratories were closed down on the basis that their search had proved fruitless and the research facilities were eventually sold by the tobacco industry, it being said:

    "Imperial have become very weary by the fact that results of such research have been frequently and extensively used by the Industry's opponents. He, Dr Bentley, was now under strict orders to enter into no additional commitments over and above the run-down of the former TRC activities. "].

 (iii)   Reducing Tar Levels

  49.  As described above, it was not until 1966 that the British Tobacco Companies took any active steps to reduce tar levels. In a 1968 note for the newly appointed Scientific Advisory Committee, Imperial wrote saying:

    "These recommendations [ie from the RCP 1962 report]. . . had an important influence on the first experimental programmes for the TRC Harrogate laboratories. . . Taken together, the RCP recommendations and our experimental results have obliged Imperial to assume that there are now sufficient grounds to justify tar reduction in our brands; Gallaher and Carreras have confirmed their agreement with this view. . . Accordingly each of us has reduced the `tar' delivery of important filter cigarette brands during the last 18 months."

  50.  I note that Imperial appear in this document to be saying that two events led it to the conclusion that it should start reducing tar yield, ie

    (a)  the RCP recommendations;

    (b)  the Harrogate replication of the Wynder studies.

  51.  As far as (a) is concerned, having reviewed all the evidence regarding the link between smoking and cancer the RCP had proposed three "Preventive Measures", the first of which was the removal of harmful substances through the filtration of cigarettes and the modification of tobacco.

  52.  The RCP report and recommendations were saying nothing more than the statements by Doll and Wynder and then the MRC in the period leading up to 1957. Indeed the TMSC statement following the publication of the RCP report in 1962 said it did not progress matters from the MRC statement in 1957. It is the Claimants' case that there was ample scientific evidence upon which the British Tobacco Companies should have acted by 1957; and that any uncertainties that existed at that time were still present in 1962, as witnessed by the RCP's recommendation that "firm claims" regarding the health effects of lower tar cigarettes should not be made.

  53.  As far as (b) is concerned, waiting for the Harrogate studies begs the question: why, if the British Tobacco Companies had felt that Wynder's work needed to be replicated to give them the assurance they wanted, had they waited until 1962 to start those experiments where the results were not finalised until 1965? The TRC said to the Minister of Health on producing their results that they had been concerned about the scale of Wynder's experiments, which had left a number of questions unanswered. If that was the case why had they not taken the course adopted by Liggett and Myers, in the USA, and had them replicated, in the early 1950s, ie 10 years earlier?

  54.  Finally, in relation to the 1968 Imperial memorandum it is suggested that Carreras had just agreed to take steps to reduce tar. However, it can be seen this was not the case from its statement on 5 April 1962:

    "The Report [ie 1962 RCP report] states that:

    `the harmful effects of cigarette smoking might be reduced by efficient filters.'

    Our group has been much concerned with research into tobacco chemistry and filtration and our policy is now to extend considerably our work in this field. The modern type of filter cigarette which we manufacture is a new product introduced over the last few years.

    Meanwhile although there is no proven case that smoking causes lung cancer, cognizance must be taken of the Royal College of Physicians' Report and because of our belief in filter cigarettes, which is borne out by the increasing World-wide preference for them, we intend in future to concentrate even more fully on the production of filter cigarettes for the United Kingdom market."

  It would appear that Carreras/Rothmans were prepared to act from 1962, rather than waiting for the Harrogate results.

THE RATE OF TAR REDUCTION

  55.  The following examples illustrate the British Tobacco Companies' approach to tar reduction:

    (a)  even after they had accepted the argument for reducing tar levels, in the mid-1960's, the British Tobacco Companies with other tobacco companies, sought to ensure they were not forced into reducing tar levels more speedily than suited their commercial interests;

    (b)  an internal industry memo in 1979 referred to a meeting of the tobacco companies with Lord Hunter the Chairman of the Independent Scientific Committee on Smoking and Health (the first of the Government advisory committees). The memorandum says:

    "They still feel Gallaher is in favour of total capitulation to Hunter, of course this the industry cannot tolerate. The TAC plans to support the position stated by Herbert Bentley of ITG [Imperial Tobacco] as follows:

      (1)   They are opposed to mandatory tar limits established by the government.

      (2)   They prefer the tar limits to be established by a free choice in the market place with no imposed government regulations."

  56.  In 1984 there was a similar meeting with Dr P Froggatt, the expert who had taken over Lord Hunter's position as Chairman of the advisory committee. The note of the meeting of the industry representatives that preceded that with Dr Froggatt (at which the British Tobacco Companies were represented), says:

    "In the ISC 3rd report [ie the advisory committee's report] it was suggested that further research was necessary on `other noxia' which are found in the vapour phase of smoke.

    Detailed discussions led to the conclusion that in respect of virtually every component of "other noxia" cited in the ISC 3rd report, past research over the last 20-30 years suggests that there is little scientific opportunity to identify and then selectively eliminate any specific component that could be unequivocally linked with the alleged smoking associated diseases. It was felt, however, that if this view were to be communicated as such to the ISC the possible consequences could be:

      (a) - -

      (b)  the ISC would accept the argument, but would then press for a faster reduction in sales weighted tar levels than covered by the latest Voluntary Agreement.

      (c) - -

    Since neither of the latter possibilities would be welcome to the industry, it was felt that some proactive stance must be argued,—"

  57.  A statement of BAT's Chairman A D McCormick, at the company's 1962 research conference, exemplifies the tobacco industry's concern that to produce safer cigarettes implied that the others were unsafe with consequences for sales. The head of research, Dr Green, asked the company to consider manufacturing cigarettes that conformed with published health information. Mr McCormick said:

    "if it did so it would be admitting that some of its products already on the market might be harmful. This would create a difficult public relations situation."

The British Tobacco Companies' Knowledge of the Significance of Tar Reduction

  58.  In the 1920's and 30's it was suggested that nicotine was responsible for the compulsive use of tobacco products (Armstrong Jones Tobacco, its use and abuse from the nervous and mental aspects Practitioner 1927: 118: 6-19; Dorsey Control of the Tobacco Habit Ann Int Med 1936: 10: 628-31 48. In 1963 Knapp et al in a paper entitled Addictive aspects of heavy cigarette smoking (Am J Psychiat 119 966-72) demonstrated withdrawal effects with blind substitution of low nicotine cigarettes.

  59.  In a May 1963 report called The fate of Nicotine in the Body produced by Batelle for BAT it was stated that:

    "There is increasing evidence that nicotine is the key factor in controlling, through the central nervous system, a number of the beneficial effects of tobacco smoke, including its action in the presence of stress situations. In addition the alkaloid (nicotine) appears to be intimately connected with the phenomena of tobacco habituation (tolerance) and/or addiction".

  60.  It is the Claimants' case that the work of the Batelle group was available in 1963 to the Executive Commitee of the TRC. Senior officers of the British Tobacco Companies were members of that committee. This report and the Batelle research exploring the pharmacokinetics of nicotine was sent in or about June 1963 to the Tobacco Research Council where it was evaluated by a team of TRC medical experts and passed on to the UK companies through their Executive Committee representatives on the TRC. It follows that the British Tobacco Companies had actual knowledge of this report.

  61.  Imperial has admitted that it had knowledge of this type of research in its defences in these actions, albeit that it has made no admission as to the date of its knowledge or its source. Hergall's pleaded case is that it was aware by in or about 1963 that some researchers suggested that nicotine was addictive or could cause dependence, but rely on the US Surgeon General's conclusion in his 1964 report that smoking was not an addiction but a habituation. However, the US Surgeon General's conclusion was not based on the Batelle research. The report of the Batelle research was subsequently suppressed to prevent public disclosure.

  62.  The importance of nicotine was clearly recognised so that, for example, in a patent specification by the Imperial Tobacco, taken out in 1965, looking at enhancing the level of nicotine in cigarettes, they stated:

    "Nicotine in the smoke is thought to contribute substantially to the satisfaction traditionally associated with smoking and it is undesirable to remove it. It is thought that about 1.5 mg of nicotine in an average cigarette is a desirable quantity."

  The length of time it would have taken Imperial to develop a process for increasing nicotine content by adding nicotine salt to tobacco, prior to the patent application, suggests that the industry may have been aware of the significance of consumers obtaining their full dose of nicotine even before 1963.

  63.  In a memorandum in 1968 Imperial made clear not only their understanding of the importance of the nicotine level in the cigarette but also that reducing the level may lead to smokers compensating:

    "It is not technically difficult to reduce the `tar' yield of a filter cigarette—filter plugs can be made as efficient as may be desired if limitations imposed by consumer acceptance are disregarded. In a situation where smokers are free to choose, however, regard must be paid to maintaining flavour and `satifisaction' in low `tar' brands. If that is not done, it is possible that:

      (a)  few smokers will accept the modified brands; cigarettes with an attenuated flavour and `satisfaction', have never secured an important market share, either in the UK or abroad,

      (b)  smokers of modified brands might increase their consumption or alter their mode of smoking in order to restore flavour and `satisfaction' and thereby nullify any advantage to their health that might accrue from lower `tar'.

    In Imperial's experience the most important determinant of flavour, `satisfaction' and consumer acceptability in UK filter cigarettes is an adequate deliver of nicotine to the smoker. .  .  .A number of techniques are available to reduce `tar' delivery in filter cigarettes without reducing nicotine delivery pro rata."

  64.  In a Gallaher memo dated 30 November 1971, it was stated:

    "If . . .the active principles lie in the vapour phase then, because of evidence that smokers do compensate for nicotine, we can expect health statistics to get worse, either because more cigarettes will be smoked or they will be smoked in a different manner. . . .If one reduces PM [tar] one must reduce nicotine, giving rise to the practical and legal problems of nicotine addiction.".

  65.  In 1973 Hall and Morrison, two scientists working at the TRC laboratories in Harrogate published a paper Tobacco Smoking, Nicotine Dependence and stress [Nature 243: 199] which accepted the basic premise that many smokers become dependent on the nicotine content of tobacco smoke.

  66.  In a letter from Gallaher to Imperial, in 1979, the problem of dependence on the nicotine content of high tar yielding cigarettes was recognised:

    "It is evident . . .that a third of all cigarette smokers (irrespective of tar category) are interested in trying a cigarette that is thought to be less hazardous. The question remains why smokers do not change to a lower tar cigarette?. . . .a large number of trialists do not remain with the product. . . .Among those smokers who have tried and rejected a low tar product, the reason usually given for rejection is its lack of satisfaction and taste."

E.  THE STATEMENTS MADE BY THE BRITISH TOBACCO COMPANIES AND OTHER TOBACCO COMPANIES

  67.  I set out a number of statements made by the British Tobacco Companies and the other tobacco companies, publicised in the British media:

    (a)  the UK tobacco companies issued a statement saying: "The link between smoking and the disease is suggested only by statistics. There may be other factors—pollution of the atmosphere for example." (Daily Mirror, 13 February 1954);

    (b)  "Sir Robert Sinclair, Chairman of the Imperial Tobacco Company in a statement . . . on smoking and lung cancer, says that nothing in the way of proof in this matter has emerged during the past year". (The Times, 25 February 1954);

    (c)  a statement by leading tobacco manufacturers (including Gallaher and Imperial) said "The evidence on the possible relationship of lung cancer and smoking is conflicting and very incomplete". (The Times, 8 May 1956);

    (d)  "The presence in tobacco of dangerous quantities of two suggested cancer producing substances is discounted, and the statistical validity of estimates linking lung cancer with different forms and levels of smoking is questioned in the first annual report of the Tobacco Manufacturers Standing Committee issued yesterday". (The Times, 18 June 1957);

    (e)  "The Tobacco Manufacturers Standing Committee stated yesterday, after considering the statements by the Minister of Health and the Medical Research Council, that it had not been established with any certainty and to what extent there might be a causal connection between smoking and cancer of the lung". (The Times, 28 June 1957);

    (f)  the Tobacco Manufacturers Standing Committee gives "six grounds for doubting whether smoking is a significant factor in lung cancer". (The Times, 13 December 1957);

    (g)  the Tobacco Manufacturers replied by pointing out that the report [ie the RCP report] added little to the 1957 investigation, and did not fully take into account the part played by air pollution. (Daily Mail, 8 March 1962);

    (h)  report of TMSC statement "There is growing evidence, says the Committee, that smoking has real value to smokers by stimulating their brains when they are tired, reducing tension and keeping blood pressure down." (Daily Herald, 8 March 1962);

    (i)  Gallaher report: Do you agree that low tar/nicotine cigarettes are safer? We do not make judgments about medical matters. (Sunday Times, 15 April 1973);

    (j)  Dr Wakeham, Vice-President of Philip Morris said:

    "You must be trying to get me to admit that smoking is harmful. Anything can be considered harmful. Applesauce is harmful if you get too much of it.

    Q.  I don't think many people are dying from applesauce.

    Dr Wakeham.  They're not eating that much, I think that if the company as a whole believed cigarettes were really harmful, we would be out of business. We're a very moralistic company." ("Death in the West", Thames TV, 1976);

    (k)  report of Alan Long, President of BAT subsidiary, saying:

    "The medical evidence, as far as I am aware, is of a statistical nature and it is, as you know, the industry's view that no evidence has been produced to establish a causal relationship between smoking and any of the diseases with which it is associated." (BBC TV's Panorama "A Dying Industry", 14 April 1980);

    (l)  letter by Richard Duncan from BAT subsidiary saying "The company does not believe that cigarette smoking is harmful to health." (Sunday Times, 3 May 1990);

    (m)  "Chief executives of seven American tobacco companies launched a counter-attack on the anti-smoking lobby yesterday rejecting the allegation that they "spike" cigarettes with extra nicotine. They denied that nicotine is addictive, contradicting an earlier report by the Surgeon General" (The Times, 15 April 1994);

    (n)  "Mr Ian Birks, head of corporate affairs of Gallaher Group (UK) told the committee that smoking was a habit which people could take up or give up. It was not an addiction, he insisted, . . . Mr Birks did not accept that smoking caused lung cancer, bronchitis and heart disease." (Irish Examiner, 10 July 1998);

Failing to Accept Smoking/Cancer Link

  68.  I have set out above a number of instances where the industry have publicly rejected the findings of bodies which have confirmed that the smoking/lung cancer link is causal. It was clear to me on reviewing the documents that this was a public relations exercise rather than a serious attempt to assess the strength of the evidence independently. Examples of this are:

    (a)  in 1958, Dr Bentley, a leading research scientist for the Imperial, accompanied two other British tobacco experts on a trip to meet a number of scientists from the US tobacco industry and other independent experts. In their report of the meeting to the Imperial they said:

    "with one exception . . . the individuals whom we met believed that smoking causes lung cancer."

    (b)  the public position adopted by the British Tobacco Companies is difficult to reconcile with the records of internal discussions. It will be recollected that in 1953 the tobacco companies asked the Government to consider the statistical critique of the Doll and Hill studies by Mr Todd, who at the time was an Imperial employee, and that a Panel of experts was set up to consider his comments and advise the Minister. By the early 1960s Mr Todd had become the Director of the TRC. He gave a speech to tobacco company executives, when he made a number of interesting comments, opening with the words:

    "We all like to think of ourselves as men who have the moral strength to face facts, even if they are unpleasant facts."

  He went on to review the statistical evidence regarding the smoking/lung cancer association:

    "It is quite obvious that the simplest explanation of the association between smoking and lung cancer is that smoking causes lung cancer."

  He went on to describe what must be the characteristics of what he called the "Unidentified Common Factor" if this association was not truly causal and that there was some other such cause. He concluded:

    "is it inherently likely that an Unidentified Common factor with all these very detailed characteristics exists, waiting to be discovered as a result of some lucky experiment? Speaking in terms of probability, as a statistician should, all I can say is that it is most improbable that such an Unidentified Common factor Exists."

  He then went on to review what had happened in the tobacco and health controversy over the previous few years:

    "Back in 1953 I was very disappointed by the report of the Panel [ie the Government Advisory Panel set up to consider Todd's arguments, and the strength of the Doll and Hill work] but I soon came to see that the Panel had reached the right conclusion. . . . The report by the Royal College of Physicians initiated a new situation in Britain. As a result, it became extremely unwise for the tobacco industry in this country to continue to assert that it had not been proved that smoking caused lung cancer. If the manufacturers in this country were now to take this line publicly, their views would be written off, even more than before, as dictated solely by their commercial interests. The manufacturers would be regarded as being dangerously irresponsible and all connected with the industry would suffer serious loss of respect in government, medical and public opinion."

  It is surprising the British Tobacco Companies, on receiving this advice from the head of research of the joint industry body, did not make such advice available.

    (c)  in 1970 the results of experiments where beagles smoked cigarettes in laboratory experiments were made public showing a high level of lung cancers. In a memorandum from the General Manager of Research for Gallaher Ltd to their Managing Director reviewing the results he said:

    ". . . we believe that the Auerbach work proves beyond reasonable doubt that frest whole cigarette smoke is carcinogenic to dog lungs and therefore it is highly likely that it is carcinogenic to human lungs.

    . . . the research would appear to remove the controversy regarding the causation of the majority of human lung cancers."

    (d)  in a memorandum by Dr S J Green, the head of research at BAT, in 1978 he said:

    "There has been no change in the scientific basis for the case against smoking. Additional evidence of smoke dose-related incidence of some diseases associated with smoking has been published. But generally this has long ceased to be an area for scientific controversy."

    (e)  the reason for at least some companies refusing to accept publicly what they may have been accepting privately is suggested by this memoranda, in 1976 from Dr Green of BAT who said:

    "The public position of the tobacco companies with respect to causal explanations of the association of cigarette smoking and diseases is dominated by legal considerations. In the ultimate companies wish to be able to dispute that a particular product was a cause of injury to a particular person. By repudiation of a causal role for cigarette smoking in general they hope to avoid liability in particular cases."

Sowing Seeds of Doubt

  69.  The rationale behind the strategy being adopted by the British Tobacco Companies and the other tobacco companies is, perhaps, indicated by a statement in 1972 by the President of the USA's Tobacco Institute ["TI"]:

"[for nearly 20 years this industry has employed a single strategy to defend itself on three fronts—litigation, politics and public opinion. While the strategy was brilliantly conceived and executed over the years helping us to win important battles, it is only fair to say that it is not—nor was it intended to be—a vehicle for victory. On the contrary, it has always been a holding strategy, consisting of:

      —  creating doubt about the health charge without actually denying it;

      —  advocating the public's right to smoke without actually urging them to take up the practice;

      —  encouraging objective scientific research as the only way to resolve the question of health hazard.

    In the cigarette controversy, the public—especially those who are present and potential supporters—must perceive understand and believe in evidence to sustain their opinions that smoking may not be the causal factor."

  70.  Although this statement by the TI's President was clearly referring to the US tobacco industry there can be little doubt that the UK industry was adopting a very similar strategy as seen above.

  71.  The failure of the tobacco industry to acknowledge the scientific evidence for the link between smoking and health is not just of historic relevance. In the report of the Scientific Committee on Tobacco and Health, the UK Government advisory committee, published on 11 March 1998, the authors' comment:

    "The Government should require of the tobacco industry:

      (a)  reasonable standards in the assessment of evidence relating to the health effects of the products it sells;

      (b)  acceptance that smoking is a major cause of premature death; and

      (c)  normal standards of disclosure of the nature and magnitude of the hazards of smoking to their consumers, comparable to that expected from other manufacturers of consumer products.

    Independently of specific governmental regulations, tobacco manufacturers should comply with these requirements."];

Smoking and Addiction

  72.  The British Tobacco Companies argued in their Defences that smoking is not addictive. There are many documents to show that tobacco companies, including the British Tobacco Companies, have been aware of the addictive properties of nicotine for 35-40 years and have concealed that knowledge from their consumers and from the medical community. For example, the work carried out by Batelle on nicotine, described above was made available to the British Tobacco Companies, by BAT in 1963. Despite this almost certainly being the most extensive work on nicotine that had been carried out at that time, it was not released to the scientific community or the wider public. The British Tobacco Companies quoted in their Defences the fact that the US Surgeon General came to the view the following year, ie in his 1964 report, that smoking was a habit and not addictive. Yet the British Tobacco Companies were party to the withholding of the Batelle report from the Surgeon General and, to quote his view, therefore lies ill in their mouths.

  73.  In the USA the first of the so-called Medicaid claims, whereby the individual states were suing the tobacco companies for the costs of treating smoking related diseases was heard. In that case a Special Master, Mark W Gehan, was appointed to review the claim of privilege by the British Tobacco Companies in relation to a large number of documents. In considering the position he looked at various issues including the evidence as to what the companies knew about nicotine and addiction. His review was made publicly available on 7 March 1998. In it he says:

    "[The] Claimants have also demonstrated to a degree of unrebutted probability that the defendants were aware of the addictive or habit forming nature of nicotine, that the defendants experimented with `dosages' of nicotine and that the defendants did not reveal to their consumers the extent of their knowledge. (p 116)"

  At another point he says:

    "I find that the foregoing documents reasonably lead to the conclusion that the defendants internally discussed the addictive qualities (or arguably addictive qualities) of smoking while at the same time they intentionally denied or minimized this health risk to the public."

  74.  The basis for the Special Master's decision arose from the review of a vast number of documents. To quote four:

    (a)  in a Tobacco Institute [USA] document in 1980 it said:

    "Shook Hardy [US tobacco company lawyers] reminds us, I'm told, that the entire matter of addiction is the most potent weapon a prosecuting attorney can have in a lung cancer/cigarette case. We can't defend continued smoking as `free choice' if a person was addicted. (p 79)"

    (b)  in 1959 a BAT memorandum suggested that if the nicotine level was lowered too far:

    "[it] might end in destroying the nicotine habit in a large number of consumers and prevent it being acquired by new smokers. (p 69)"

    (c)  in a 1969 Philip Morris memorandum it said:

    "I would be more cautious in using the pharmo-medical model—do we really want to tout cigarette smoke as a drug? It is of course but there are dangerous FDA [Federal Drug Administration] implications to having such conceptualisation go beyond these walls. (p 67)"

    (d)  in a 1978 Brown and Williamson [US subsidiary of BAT] document it says:

    "very few consumers are aware of the effects of nicotine, ie its addictive nature and that nicotine is a poison."

  75.  It may be argued that these documents give an incomplete picture of what was actually happening. The Special Master said in relation to this:

    "In response to the evidence of defendants' internal knowledge that nicotine is an addictive drug, the defendants' argue that Claimants have `cherry picked' from defendants' documents. I conclude, however, that this response does not adequately account for the more than 80 documents, spanning more than 40 years, presented by the Claimants. I also note that the defendents have not disputed the content of these documents. It is also noteworthy that these documents were written primarily by senior scientists and research officials at Defendant companies. Finally, the defendants have failed to present evidence from their own internal files to support their allegation that Claimants' selection is unrepresentative of defendants' actual knowledge regarding addiction. (p 84)"

Research

  75a.  We have already seen how the interests of the British Tobacco Companies, when it came to research was primarily to disprove the link, and then to try and extract the carcinogens from within tobacco. Any effort to try and minimise risk by reducing tar levels seems to have come a very poor third in the British Tobacco Companies' list of research priorities.

  76.  The commitment of Imperial to their responsibilities to undertake research and publish their findings seems to have dramatically diminished when their early objectives were found to be baseless. A Philip Morris memorandum in 1978 describes a meeting to consider the future of the UK industry body, the Tobacco Research Committee in 1978. The meeting was between Philip Morris, BAT, Carreras-Rothmans, Imperial and Gallaher. These companies are responsible for close to 100 per cent of the manufactured cigarettes in the UK and directly or through subsidiaries for around 60 per cent of the manufactured cigarettes in the USA. The memorandum reports that:

    "Imperial have become very weary by the fact that results of such research have been frequently and extensively used by the Industry's opponents. He, Dr Bentley, was now under strict orders to enter into no additional commitments over and above the run-down of the former TRC activities.

    Dr Derek Wilson on behalf of Gallaher's, who was accompanied by Dr Field, took the opposite view. In a very rambling talk which sounded more like a PR statement than a statement of intention, he expressed his company's view in the sense that Industry was morally obliged to conduct research and they felt that a programme similar to the former TRC programme should be supported.

    On behalf of Philip Morris, I joined ranks with Imperial and BAT.

    It was agreed, with reluctance on behalf of Gallaher's and Carreras-Rothmans, to re-appoint sub-committees only when and if needed."

  77.  We have seen how the tobacco companies failed to publish critical new research into nicotine and addiction. We have also seen how the companies' researchers internally adopted a far more realistic position regarding the strength of the evidence facing the industry than was ever publicly accepted.

F.  CONCLUSIONS

  78.  Standing back from the case and trying to be as objective as I can I would make the following points in conclusion:

    (a)  The British Tobacco Companies responded extremely slowly to the scientific evidence that emerged in the early 1950s to show their products were so harmful. They put all their efforts in trying to refute the evidence rather than making a full assessment and responding by trying to make their products safer.

    (b)  In that period between 1950 and 1965 they were involved in a campaign of disinformation to try and protect their markets. However, from that time, with the odd exception they have taken a more "dead bat approach" refusing to make any comments about the scientific evidence. That is clearly far better than what happened in the US where the companies continued to pursue the "misinformation route" for decades after this time. However, I fully agree with the 1998 Health Committee view that the British Companies should be urged to accept, in the way that Philip Morris now have, the scientific evidence re the health risks and smoking and the addictive nature of cigarettes.

    (c)  The British Tobacco Companies having tried to produce research through the TMSC and TRC that would make a safer cigarette in a way that would not impact on their markets clearly decided not only to give up in the late 1970s but also realised that the pressure was in many ways off and that an easy equilibrium had been reached between them and the regulators.

    (d)  The British Tobacco Companies have benefited from there being disagreements in the scientific community as to exactly what they should do to reduce the health risks. The only options that I am aware of were and are:

      (i)  take cigarettes off the market—not a politically viable option—no-one wants to enter a prohibition phase such as seen in the US with the prohibition of alcohol;

      (ii)  reduce tar levels—this was our case, and I remain clear that the British Tobacco Companies could have taken a leading role in achieving this which would have led to a great reduction in the level of lung cancers. However, it is also clear that once the tar levels reach those of today, compensatory smoking greatly reduce the benefits of this once the tar level is down to the 10 mg sort of level;

      (iii)  reduce nicotine levels—there is disagreement between the British expert Russell and Jarvis and their counterparts in the US Benowitz and Henningfield. The former have, since the early 1970s argued for maintaining the nicotine levels and reducing the tar. The latter have argued for steadily reducing the nicotine with the reducing tar. Having spent the last seven years reviewing the position I would stand strongly in the US expert camp. I take the view that a steadily reducing nicotine level, albeit a major problem for todays' smokers would greatly benefit the new smoker and is the only way of trying to have a real impact on the cigarette market in the long term. The Tobacco Companies have undoubtedly benefited from the uncertainties resulting from these disagreements.

  79.  It is a great shame that the decision made by Mr Justice Wright meant that the Court case never went to a full trial. In the USA the prospect of a full trial has forced their industry into settling claims to the tune of $250 billion. In this country the industry, protected by the more conservative British judiciary, have probably escaped ever being put into the witness box and will probably never have to pay out a penny for all the suffering caused by their products.

  80.  Having said all of this I need also to say that much of this evidence was before Mr Justice Wright at the limitation hearing and he was totally unmoved by it. I take the view it is a powerful indictment of what they have been up to over the last 50 years. The Judge clearly begged to differ.

November 1999


 
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