Select Committee on International Development Minutes of Evidence



Examination of witnesses (Questions 197 - 220)

TUESDAY 21 MARCH 2000

MR MICHAEL BAILEY, MS CLAIRE MELAMED and MR GEORGE GELBER

Chairman

  197. Perhaps I could open by, first of all, apologising to you for your not being with us last week and for our asking you to postpone until this week because we had the opportunity of hearing from the Secretary of State for the Department of International Development and indeed the Secretary of State for Defence on the pressing issue of Mozambique, so thank you very much indeed. I did not mean to say we were not interested in what you had to say; we are indeed very interested and would like to thank you for your written submissions and we would like to talk more about your written submissions this morning. Perhaps I can begin our discussion. It is now four months since we launched our inquiry into the WTO and in that time the World Trade Organisation's General Council has agreed to initiate discussions on the in-built agenda. I do hate these terms, but I think you understand what that means. That means those things which the Uruguay Round said the next Round should look at, ie, agriculture and services. Some moves have been made towards reforming the WTO, although very tentatively. If you read the evidence that Mike Moore gave us, it was very tentative indeed, I thought. What is your assessment of the progress so far made both on agriculture and on services and on institutional reform? In particular, what is your assessment of the World Trade Organisation's decision to adopt a "case-by-case" approach to extending implementation deadlines?
  (Ms Melamed) I think, to sum up, the general progress has been disappointingly slow, despite several opportunities that have come up since Seattle. I think our basic analysis of what happened in Seattle was that the failure was due partly to the very clearly expressed issues raised by developing countries, their dissatisfaction both with the WTO processes and with the outcome of the agreements so far, and I think it came out fairly clearly in what Mike Moore said to you several weeks ago, that certainly as far as the processes of the WTO go, there has been very little progress. I think our concern is that the issue is being in some senses defined away, that, for example, the European Union's analysis of the problem is that essentially what went wrong in Seattle was simply a problem that relates to Ministerial meetings as a very specific part of the WTO's processes, and that the general kind of processes of negotiation and so on in the WTO really do not have so many problems. I think that kind of trend in trying in a sense to down-play the problem of the WTO as an institution is quite worrying and seems to be disappointing certainly in terms of what developing countries said at Seattle and since. On substance, which again was a very important issue that was raised in Seattle, I think it was a particular disappointment certainly to many developing country governments that we spoke to, and all three of us were present at the UNCTAD-10 conference in Bangkok last month, and I think that certainly developing country governments there felt extremely disappointed that some substantive issues were not on the table there, such as the proposal for duty-free market access for the imports coming from least developed countries. Now, in terms of a total share of world trade, this is tiny, this is half a per cent of all world trade, and yet the industrialised countries were not even able to make an agreement on this and to make firm commitments on this at UNCTAD or since. I think that in terms of trying to take seriously some of the concerns that were raised at Seattle and to show their willingness to listen to these concerns about the outcomes of the Uruguay Round, the industrialised countries have been, as I say, disappointing in their actions since Seattle. Specifically on the built-in agenda, I think again this was something that Mike Moore seemed to be implying from what he said to you, that although negotiations have started at least formally, progress is likely to be quite slow on those and I think the issue has been raised of the possible impacts of the American elections later on this year in terms of what the capacity of the US Government to negotiate on some of these issues is. On the case-by-case implementation, I think it rather depends on what that actually means in practice. Some of what we say on a whole variety of trade issues is a kind of plea for a more nuanced approach and an approach which does take more seriously the concerns of particular countries. On the other hand, if this becomes a reason to delay change and in a sense to be more restrictive about what is possible for particular countries, then that would be a problem, I think, on implementation, but it really depends on how it works out in practice.

  198. Mr Gelber, CAFOD said in their memorandum that "the breakdown in talks was not a disaster for the developing world". Would you like to expand on that in view of what Ms Claire Melamed has said to us?
  (Mr Gelber) Yes. I think it was not a disaster because I think one of the key moments of Seattle was when the Latin American countries, the Caribbean countries and the African countries produced their declarations saying that they were aghast at what was happening in the Ministerial meetings and threatened not to join the consensus, if one emerged. This was, in our view, a very healthy development which, whilst it was not solely responsible by any means for the breakdown of the talks in Seattle, was certainly a contributory factor. The failure of the talks also meant that there was not going to be a comprehensive Round as the EU had argued and many of the developing countries, especially the least developed countries, had argued very strongly that they were quite incapable, in terms of capacity, of negotiating on the new areas that would be in the comprehensive Round—investment, competition and government procurement—but they were still grappling with very difficult implementation issues. Now, several of them, many of them do not have permanent representatives in Geneva to follow these topics, so the breakdown of the talks gave us some breathing space probably until well after the elections in the United States to look at how we are going to deal with these issues in the future.

  199. Mr Bailey, would you like to contribute?
  (Mr Bailey) Those two contributions reflect Oxfam's assessment as well.

  Chairman: Then perhaps we can move on to WTO's relations with other multilateral organisations.

Ann Clwyd

  200. Both Oxfam and CAFOD argue for greater linkages between the WTO and the UN system. Oxfam state that "in order to ensure that multilateral agreements on human rights, development, the environment and health take precedence over WTO rules, WTO members should consider establishing mechanisms to involve specialist agencies, such as UN bodies, in WTO trade disputes". CAFOD, in the same way, is saying that the WTO should be made "development compatible", suggesting that it should be subordinate to the UN system to which it theoretically belongs. You argue that "when disputes arise which involve the environment, development or other on-trade concerns, the WTO should defer to the relevant specialist agencies of the UN". Now, I would like you to expand on how you would see that co-ordination between the WTO and the UN developing in practice.
  (Mr Bailey) Well, I will start off with a general point, that I really do see a need for there to be greater co-operation between all the multilateral institutions, and that extends beyond the UN agencies to the Bretton Woods institutions as well. And we would obviously like to see greater coherence in terms of the policies adopted by that range of multilateral institutions. That coherence and co-operation is clearly made easier to the extent to which they have shared objectives, and we would like to see, as Oxfam, understandably enough, poverty reduction as being fairly central to their objectives, and certainly sustainable development as being explicitly what they are about. I think there has been progress in getting the IMF, for example, out of its box, saying that it actually accepts poverty reduction as being one of its objectives, and that it is not merely about short-term assistance to countries' balance of payments problems. And I think we would like to see the WTO go further in getting out of its box and not seeing its role as being reducing trade barriers and not judging its success by the extent to which average tariffs fall. However, clearly that coherence and that co-operation at the international level does depend on coherence and co-operation within national governments which they then take to those multilateral institutions. I think the extent to which we get joined-up government at the national level, we will get more of it in the multilateral institutions and in that regard I'd say that the British Government has been, I think, good in the sense of not leaving the WTO to DTI, although the DTI may lead, but also bringing Environment and DFID and FCO into the management and determination of our relationship and our role within that multilateral body. Specifically on WTO rules taking precedence or not, I think we have all seen problems with the WTO finding itself in a position of making rules and decisions on matters which are not really within its competence, whether it is human rights or notably the environment, and cases where it may indeed be overruling what are agreed multilateral policies on key issues. There are something like 200 multilateral environmental agreements and I do not think anyone is clear what the relative status of those agreements is in relation to WTO rulings. We would clearly like to see the saving of the planet or fundamental issues like human rights take priority over commercial issues and concerns, and I think we would all agree on that. I think there are very practical ways, coming on to the more institutional part of your question, in which the WTO can be better linked to the family of UN agencies. Certainly on the labour rights issue, it could work more closely with the ILO as has been covered already, and on environmental issues there could be closer co-operation with UNEP. This co-operation could extend to the participation of UN agencies in the disputes settlement process. On these issues, if they involve environment or labour, why not bring in environmental and labour organisations to contribute to the process? There are the trade policy reviews which the WTO carries out which analyse individual countries' trade policies. Again, traditionally, that has been just a look at the narrow trade policies and issues, but why do we not broaden out those reviews so that the WTO is looking at a country's trade policies, but looking also at the impact on poverty, the social dimension, environmental issues and so on? And those reviews could be done jointly with other UN agencies. I think it is regrettable that to date the WTO has not established a mechanism for giving inter-governmental organisations consultative status with it. The ILO does not have consultative status as an intergovernmental organisation with the WTO. Now, I do not think there are any particular political obstacles to that; I think it is just a reflection of the fact that it has not been a priority with the WTO to create that space with that co-ordination. So it is not a sort of conspiracy to keep them out, but I think it has just been a cultural thing almost, that "the WTO is about trade, so why do we need these other people near to us?"
  (Mr Gelber) I would just add that I think the concentration on the WTO is because it is an organisation with teeth and whereas the UN rule-making bodies do have teeth in that they do not have enforcement mechanisms and however worthy or good the treaties and agreements that are signed, there are no sanctions against countries which violate them. For that reason, we think that it would be a very good thing if there were some mechanism for relationship between the WTO and the WHO on health issues, the ILO, and I am repeating now what other people have said, and to bring them in, partly because they do tend to spend a lot more time in a more consultative way looking at the issues that they are dealing with.
  (Ms Melamed) One point which is, I suppose, specifically related to the work of this Committee is that I think there are various ways in which the WTO institutionally could ensure that it is more complementary to other institutions, but I think at the very least we should ensure that the WTO is not undermining agreements that have been reached in other fora, and I think particularly with relation to the international development targets, there is the risk that that is happening at the moment. Some research that has come out of the World Bank in preparation for the next World Development Report seems to indicate that in circumstances where trade has been liberalised, it tends to be the poorest 40 per cent of the population who suffer most or who, at the very best, gain least from the process of trade liberalisation, and this is based on evidence from trade liberalisation that has already happened, so I think that certainly and specifically in relation to the international development targets, there are concerns there that what is happening already is actually undermining existing obligations under the international development targets.

Chairman

  201. The opposite end of that argument is that protectionism would help them. Do you believe that?
  (Ms Melamed) I do not. Taking up the point that was made in your earlier evidence, I think that it is wrong always to say, "If you are not in favour of liberalisation as it is currently happening, then, therefore, you must be an out and out protectionist". I would certainly resist having to fall into either of those two camps.

  202. How would you modify it then?
  (Ms Melamed) I would say that perhaps we should look at liberalisation sector by sector and that perhaps one could look at liberalisation in terms of the development of industries and to revisit perhaps some of the infant industry arguments that were made at the time of the development of the East Asian economies. I would say that what is appropriate for one country may not always be appropriate for another. There are all sorts of ways in which one can divide up the case to look for a more nuanced approach to trade policy to try to escape this either/or framework.

  203. It sounds rather close to "case-by-case", does it not?
  (Ms Melamed) Yes. I would think that hopefully one could arrive at a more general situation where one was somewhere in between saying that the same policy fits all and saying that one has to have a different kind of policy for every sector, for every company in every country because clearly that is a difficult basis for policy-making.

  Chairman: There is a compromise somewhere, yes.

Ann Clwyd

  204. I wanted to talk about the responsibility of the ILO for core labour standards. Is the ILO a strong enough organisation actually to assert itself? When we went to visit the ILO, I got the impression of a fairly laid-back organisation, to put it mildly, and the WTO, whenever we raised core labour standard issues, kept saying, "Well, that's for the ILO", but I never got any feeling in the ILO that the ILO felt particularly energetic on some of these matters. I just wondered what your assessment was. Surely the ILO should be making an aggressive case for handling core labour standards and we should be hearing more from them than we do at present?
  (Mr Gelber) I think Mr Somavia would say that it is quite difficult to handle a tripartite organisation where you have representatives of government, employers and unions and although he is very receptive to the issues of core labour standards, I think it is quite difficult for the ILO, as such, as you suggest, to welcome this with open arms. I would add that I think that what we say about the United Nations is that it is desirable for the specialised agencies of the United Nations, but they are probably not ready themselves, to welcome the WTO with open arms. I think when we say that the WTO should relate to the United Nations agencies, we say that this is a desirable medium-term aim and it is not something certainly that could happen easily tomorrow.
  (Mr Bailey) I would like to see a somewhat more, I was going to say "aggressive", but that is not the word I want, let's say combative ILO that was prepared to do, perhaps at the minimum, more naming and shaming of countries where labour rights were systematically violated. Sometimes I think they are a bit coy. On whether they should actually have powers of enforcement or of imposing sanctions, I think we have a problem there and I do not think we have a clear view on that. We do feel, and this may set us apart from some of the NGOs, that there is in the long run a need for a social clause within trade agreements which refers to at least core labour rights, by which we would mean collective bargaining and freedom of association, being the key enabling rights which enable workers to negotiate better conditions independent of the level of development of the country. We realise that it is a political minefield and that practically such a clause would not be viable. We do, though, say that if there were a labour clause in a WTO agreement, it should not be just the WTO disputes settlement system that deals with any problems that arise through that, but the ILO have to be involved and there could be possibilities of joint panels, say; but these are areas that need work and we would certainly encourage the WTO and the ILO to work constructively on that.

Mr Khabra

  205. CAFOD argue that many developing countries, along with the US, see the Common Agricultural Policy as one of the greatest obstacles to ensuring developing nations benefit fully from globalised trade since it both limits access to European markets and dumps artificially cheap food on other countries. However, CAFOD also seem to be arguing for a narrow Round. Do you consider that a broad Round would not maximise the chances of a reduction in agricultural tariffs which would benefit developing countries?
  (Mr Gelber) Yes, I think we do and in our contacts with developing country governments, especially least developed countries, they were saying that they are concerned primarily with the implementation of current commitments and, to repeat the point that we made earlier, they do not have the capacity to negotiate a broad Round and they are struggling with implementation. For them, it is difficult to see in a broad Round what the trade-offs are, how and in what way they are going to benefit from the new issues of a comprehensive Round, namely competition, government procurement, and investment, and how they could make trade-offs there which would actually benefit them to secure the lowering of these restrictions and subsidies in the European Union. It has been our opinion that the European Union is advancing this argument really because it does not see eye to eye on agriculture with the United States and the Cairns group and that we find it very difficult to understand the argument that all countries, especially the least developed countries, would benefit from a broad Round in this way.

Chairman

  206. Have you got views on a broad Round, Ms Melamed?
  (Ms Melamed) I think a lot of what I would want to say on the broad Round was said by my colleagues earlier on this morning. I think that the key issues are the problems of capacity of developing countries actually to effectively defend their interests in a broad Round. That seems to me to be fairly key along with the question of what it is we actually want the WTO to be covering anyway and whether some of the issues that were proposed for a new Round would be appropriately dealt with in the WTO in any case.

  207. Many NGOs have been assisting developing countries with their delegations to Seattle and indeed in preparing themselves for these Rounds and for membership of WTO which many of them have recently taken up. Could you not help them technically with these problems so that the capacity to negotiate was built up and, therefore, developing countries need not fear the negotiations because of a lack of capacity? I think you all have such capacity within your ranks, so why do you not make it available?
  (Mr Bailey) You flatter us, Mr Wells! I think it would be great if we did have the capacity to do that. I think our concern as non-governmental organisations is to try and strengthen civil society groups in developing countries, be they farmers, unions or urban community groups or whatever, to understand some of these broader international issues and to play a more active role within their own societies and in influencing their own governments in their interests. I think that is where we do our capacity building, if you like, with our non-governmental counterparts in the developing countries. That said, I think we would all very much welcome it if particularly the UN agencies had a heightened role in providing those capacity building services, and that does mean resources obviously and that does mean, therefore, that northern governments need to put their hands in their pockets to some extent. I think it would be wrong to suggest that the problem with the comprehensive Round is developing countries' negotiating capacity. I think, in our view, there is a more fundamental problem in that the political balance, if you like, is such that we would not necessarily get development-friendly agreements out of multilateral negotiations at the WTO. Oxfam's view is that we would love to see an international agreement against corruption, that would be great, but we are not sure that if we had a WTO agreement on procurement that that is what we would get, because it looks like an agreement on procurement would be more to do with market access than dealing with corruption. I think the same is true of competition policy, for example. I think we would all welcome an effective trust-busting international organisation or international agreement, but we are not sure that the political balance is such that we would get that, if competition policy was on the WTO agenda. Again we might get an agreement which is much more about market access than it is about trust-busting. I think we would be happy to see these issues on the international agenda at some point, but at a time when we could be more confident that they were development-friendly, if you like, rather than about market access. So perhaps it is not a question of principle, but it is a question of realpolitik, if you like—where the balance is at the moment and to what extent are the industrialised countries prepared to make concessions in the interests of fairness, rather than just pursue hard-nosed commercial interests. All the signs are at the moment that the northern countries are pursuing hard-nosed commercial interests.

Mr Khabra

  208. Both Oxfam and CAFOD have called for the implementation of the Marrakesh Decision on Least Developed and Net Food-Importing Developed Countries. The Government, in evidence, stated that they do not see this as a well-conceived decision because food aid would undermine domestic agricultural production as prices fell still further. The Government preferred to address any potential rises in food prices at the broader level of balance of payments, especially given that, as Mike Moore stated, food prices have not increased for developing countries, and this is partly because agricultural subsidies have actually risen. Given that food prices do not seem to have risen and given that food aid can have similar consequences to "dumping", is it really necessary to implement the Marrakesh decision?
  (Mr Gelber) I think my colleague from ActionAid pointed out that food prices had in fact risen even though the cost of commodities was continuing to fall and also that the Marrakesh decision was about technical assistance as much as it was about the needs of net food-importing countries for compensation. I think there are mechanisms by which the disincentive to local produce can be minimised when one makes available food for importing countries and those have to be studied. There are programmes, such as Food for Work, which do not mean that you just take food and distribute it automatically.

  Chairman: Can we hurry on again then to Special and Differential Treatment, which is another piece of jargon which we like to use in these discussions.

Ann Clwyd

  209. The Government has stated that there is ". . .a certain oddness in a sense in Special and Differential Treatment for one hundred or so members of an organisation of 135". They went on to question the benefits of it and warned against the danger of the WTO developing into a two tier system. Since then the Government, I understand, have forwarded a copy of a review they commissioned into SDT which concluded that "SDT provisions seem to be little used and applied in often limited and tokenesque ways" and that ". . . these provisions are in reality little more than symbolic compensation to developing countries" First of all, would you agree with that assessment and, secondly, how can Special and Differential Treatment measures be developed so that there is not a two tier system so as to ensure that they actually properly benefit developing countries?
  (Ms Melamed) First of all, I think certainly we welcome the commitment of DFID to base their trade policy on evidence in this case and certainly perhaps feel that this commitment to evidence is lacking in other areas of trade policy making. That aside, I think that we might agree the Special and Differential provision since the Uruguay Round agreement has been applied in perhaps a very limited way. I do not think that this would lead us to the conclusion that Special and Differential Treatment as a concept is necessarily the problem, it is more a question of how it has been implemented so far. I think that Special and Differential Treatment originated with the understanding that there are real economic differences between countries and these have to be reflected in some way in agreements. In practice, particularly in the Uruguay Round, what this has actually meant is simply longer time periods to implement what are essentially the same policies. I think really that is the crux of the problem, that it is not Special and Differential Treatment per se but it is how it is formulated. You talked about the jargon, I think perhaps part of the problem is Special and Differential Treatment is a bit of a misnomer. Special and Differential Treatment implies that we are talking about a kind of norm and very occasionally under a few particular circumstances countries should be allowed to deviate from that norm. I think we want to turn that around and say what are the kind of trade policies that are relevant, in fact, for particular countries at particular phases of their development? Clearly when, for example, all of the least developed countries taken together have a share of world trade which is less than that of Belgium and where the structure of economies is totally different, some are dependent on primary agricultural exports, others derive most of their GDP from services and so on, there is a good case for treating countries that are so unlike differently. We have seen that in a sense in the implementation of trade policies so far but when we do try and treat countries that are very unlike the same what you get in many cases is, in fact, more inequality. I think the case for Special and Differential Treatment is fairly clear. In a sense the failures of Special and Differential Treatment so far indicate that what we need is more Special and Differential Treatment more broadly defined than that.

Chairman

  210. Would you like to add to that?
  (Mr Bailey) I think that it is particularly important to defend this principle of treating different countries in different ways given that, at least for the foreseeable future anyway, the WTO is going to work on the basis of the so-called single undertaking. The single undertaking, if the Chairman will forgive another piece of jargon, is the idea of a negotiating method where everybody has to agree to everything, sign up to it. You cannot opt out. Clearly if developing countries are going to sign up to a package of things there have to be special provisions that enable them to have longer periods, possibly indefinite periods, to conform, if you like, to what is required of them through the package. We would actually question whether the single undertaking is the best way to approach multilateral trade negotiations. Arguably it has been one of the complicating factors for the WTO. It has driven many developing countries to sign up to agreements where they did not really understand what they were signing up to, what the implications would be five or ten years down the road. The broader, more comprehensive Round is more problematic, with the idea of the single undertaking.

Ann Clwyd

  211. That is something the EU already do. When countries accede, are candidates for accession to the European Country, there is usually a five year run-in. One of the things they negotiate, of course, is concessions for their particular industries which the EU want to see run down. There is nothing really unusual in having a two tier system, is there, because it exists in the EU itself?
  (Mr Bailey) Yes.

Ms King

  212. You might be aware that we put your point previously to the Government that in order to have a credible pro-development policy then it needs to be based on impact assessment and empirical evidence. You might have seen the Government's response to that suggestion which was essentially, and we have heard some more of this this morning from your colleagues previously, that if an agreement has not been implemented its empirical effects cannot be fully assessed firstly, and, secondly, transitional agreements mean that it is very difficult to establish a causal relationship. What is your response to that?
  (Mr Gelber) I think this is a very purist approach to impact assessment. In development work impact evaluations are done when the project is finished and you are actually able to sit back and look at how the impacts, intended and unintended, have been made on people in a community or an area. This is such a huge area, agricultural trade for instance in the Uruguay Round, that it is important to make interim judgments and to see how things are going. Of course, trade is not the only factor affecting people's lives. Trade has come on top of a long period of liberalisation, especially in most indebted countries in which you have to undergo a lot of structural adjustment. Nevertheless, we think it is very important to attempt to set up mechanisms to look at impact. The Food and Agriculture Organisation has already done that and has produced some interim findings which are of real concern to us. They took 16 countries and found that only one had actually been able to take advantage of the export opportunities opened up by the Uruguay Round and all of them had experienced what they call import surges, which is agricultural exporting nations being able to export immediately into those countries, so there was a balance of payments effect. This is part of the asymmetry that we are talking about in terms of global negotiations between rich, powerful countries and poor, vulnerable ones. A common reported concern across a wide number of countries was the concentration of land ownership which was accelerating and this has produced the contradictory result of increased productivity and competitiveness but without safety nets it has led to the marginalisation of small producers and added to unemployment and poverty. This, for us, is the developmental or anti-developmental effect that the World Trade Organisation should be looking at. My colleague from Christian Aid mentioned the finding of the World Bank, that trade liberalisation and openness in economies actually does not seem to benefit the poorest 40 per cent of people, and this again is a huge concern to us. If these are interim findings, they are extremely alarming because who knows then what the final finding is going to be.

  213. I just wonder, given that we have been hearing how you almost need a case-by-case study and it is virtually impossible to synthesise these changes to see what the cause and effect is, if we did have these studies done, would you accept them, would we accept them, would anyone accept them because there are so many differentials involved? I wonder how in practical terms you take it forward, seeing as the people we have spoken to and DFID have put forward many objections and they have said that it takes several years of data to find statistical regularity in the evidence to be able to measure empirically the outcome, and indeed with the transitional arrangements, with a lot of it you cannot even see an outcome yet. I do have sympathy for what you are saying and of course we want evidence-based analyses, but I just do not see how we are going to reach that point.
  (Mr Gelber) I think that the statistical approach has to be complemented by a sort of dynamic, qualitative approach and this is possibly where some non-governmental organisations and civil society can help by looking at the actual effects on particular communities of a number of factors because of course there are national factors to measure alongside the international ones, but I think in places we would be able, with our overseas partners, to produce quite compelling results. Sometimes, I suppose, we would actually say, "Well, the fact that this community has become more impoverished is not related to international trade, but is related far more to national circumstances", but I think that more evidence can be gathered.

  Chairman: Well, can we now move on to trade-related aspects of intellectual property rights and trade-related investment measures.

Ann Clwyd

  214. From now on I will call them TRIPs and TRIMs. The Government, in its memorandum, states that developing countries were, even prior to the date at which they had to apply the TRIMs Agreement, abandoning compulsory domestic procurement measures and that the loss of this instrument would, therefore, not be of serious consequence to them. Do you agree with that?
  (Mr Bailey) That is quite a difficult question. Our understanding is that TRIMs prohibits a number of policy instruments, if you like, that developing countries might like to adopt to regulate direct foreign investment to make sure that it is as pro-development as possible. We would argue that foreign investment does have a positive role to play in development, but that it does have to be regulated to make sure that positive benefits are maximised. Amongst those regulatory instruments, we think that the requirement on local content, on having domestic inputs into production, is important, and we believe that the policy of export performance requirements is also desirable and necessary. Those are both ruled out by TRIMs. Now, some developing country governments, I think, have bought the liberalisation, non-regulatory message to the extent that they have been prepared, if you like, voluntarily to abandon those, although there has been some considerable political pressure on them, and a lot of economic leverage, to get them to do so as well. But I think the evidence shows that those policy instruments have been crucial for the industrialisation process, and I think the East Asian case shows us that, where the Tigers regulated foreign investment quite tightly and tried to ensure that as much as possible it was export-oriented, employing precisely the measures that TRIMs would currently prohibit. So I think one has to look at why individual governments may have surrendered some of these policy options. We think that probably those that have are not wise to do so. Our problem with TRIMs is that it obliges them to do so. I could expand on the local content argument and the export performance argument if you wish, but I think those are the two policy areas where we think that developing countries should continue to have the right to make their own policies, essentially.
  (Ms Melamed) I wanted to add that one of the justifications in a sense for having a TRIMs agreement specifically and investment agreements more generally is that developing countries in particular need to have investment agreements in order to liberalise their investment regimes in order to attract more foreign investment, and this is always in a sense the big justification for TRIMs and for other kinds of investment agreements. I think that that link in a sense between investment liberalisation and more investment is not one that necessarily holds and certainly UNCTAD have done studies into countries which have bilateral investment treaties and found that there is really little, if any, relationship between countries that have bilateral treaties and countries that receive foreign investment and that signing a bilateral investment treaty does not lead to any increase in foreign investment, so I think there are serious questions there also in the kind of logic which says that we all need to have investment agreements of this type.

  215. In the same memo, the Government also says that it believes that the TRIPs Agreement does not restrict developing countries from obtaining necessary drugs at affordable prices. Do you agree with that?
  (Mr Gelber) That is technically and absolutely true. Article 31 of the TRIPs Agreement allows countries to undertake compulsory licensing not only of drugs, but of any patented product in situations of national emergency. I think that this illustrates a difficulty that the WTO has where agreements are flexible in that powerful countries can still bring enormous bilateral pressure on less powerful ones to interpret those flexible agreements in certain ways and certainly in the case of South Africa, I think that pressure was brought to bear on the South African Government not to go ahead with certain permissions, licensing, legislation which would have enabled them to do compulsory licensing of drugs believed to combat HIV/AIDS, so yes, Article 31 is a very wide-ranging Article which gives, on paper, a lot of scope for compulsory licensing.

  216. Christian Aid argue that in any future agreement, the rights of multilateral companies must be balanced by obligations to make essential goods, such as medicines, available to poor communities. How would you like to see that principle being enforced and would it not adversely affect the incentive for pharmaceutical companies to conduct research and to produce drugs relevant to the needs of developing countries?
  (Ms Melamed) To take the second point first, I think that the current regime that we have of intellectual property is not conspicuous in its success in getting the kinds of drugs that developing countries need to them certainly, and I think there are some figures that I saw at the time of the latest pharmaceuticals merger which was that of the total R&D in the world, about 1 per cent is going to research and development of drugs which are likely to address the kind of illnesses that affect poor people in developing countries, so I think that the kind of incentives we have now are not necessarily actually leading to the kinds of results we might want. In terms of a more general point about the need to have incentives for companies to invest in new technology generally, that is certainly something that should be given consideration and the question is more about the balance between the needs of companies to make profits out of their investments and other social needs, particularly in relation to medicines. I think our concern with the TRIPs Agreement is that in a sense it pushes the balance over in the wrong direction and perhaps it is needed to push it back again. Further to that, although certainly the majority of development of new drugs happens within pharmaceutical companies, particularly the kinds of medicines that are needed in the poorest countries, a lot of the research actually goes on in publicly funded institutions. There are lots of different kinds of researches going on here and in a sense one should not direct more than one policy effort funding one kind of research because there are other ways of developing new medicines. In terms of implementing the rights and obligations of TNCs, I think that has to happen at a number of different levels. Certainly where agreements confer very specific new rights on trans-national companies it is conceivable that within those agreements obligations could also be built into those agreements. For example, to come back to the TRIPs agreement and patenting, where companies seem to be getting a very specifically defined set of new rights as a result of particular agreements, it could be within that agreement companies are given obligations to provide new drugs cheaply to developing countries. One can imagine how that might happen within that specific agreement. There is also a very, very important role for national governments. National governments need to retain the powers that they already have to impose their own nationally defined obligations on the TNC. That has already been covered in the discussion of the TRIMs agreement. Also, I think perhaps we should investigate obligations being exercised through countries where trans-national corporations are based. For example, the different kinds of support that European countries, the US, give to their own trans-nationals to operate overseas could perhaps become conditional on particular kinds of obligations that would be expected of TNCs in relation to environmental labour standards, technology transfer and so on. At present we have a problem with this in the WTO. It is quite well documented, the way that WTO agreements are giving specific kinds of new opportunities to corporations, but WTO agreements only apply to countries, so it is impossible at the moment for the WTO to specifically impose obligations through its agreement on companies except through countries. Although I think it could possibly do more through countries there is still that central problem. This comes back in a sense to what was being talked about earlier, looking at new kinds of institutions, new kinds of agreements. I would support what was said earlier about certainly the possibility of some kind of global competition authority being a very interesting one and one which would, in fact, have authority over companies rather than always working through countries. In the future when we are talking about rights and obligations we need to think about different institutional ways to balance those two internationally as well as nationally.
  (Mr Bailey) If I could just add something on intellectual property, because this is a growing concern of our's in Oxfam too—the increasing scope and duration of protection, which is a restrictive practice. It is paradoxical that often the proponents of liberalisation also argue for more and more restrictive intellectual property rules. The key thing here is the context, that we are increasingly in a knowledge based economy. It is a cliche to say that but it is true. If developing countries are going to be able to compete they need access to knowledge. If that knowledge is becoming more expensive for them, or they simply do not have access to it, then that is going to be one more reason for growing inequalities between, or possibly within, countries. The high price of access to technology and know-how is something that should concern us increasingly. On that basis we would say that the balance has certainly gone too far in favour of corporate interests over the interests of the public good or development.

Chairman

  217. One of the problems we face with these two instruments, is it not, is again implementation and capacity within these countries? In order to implement them they have to first of all pass laws which would enable their implementation to take place and then there is the question of whether they have the capacity to implement them in any event either administratively or indeed through the courts. It is a very difficult issue I think.
  (Mr Bailey) True.

  218. Perhaps we could just end, because it is the same problem, on the question of dumping. Is it likely that developing countries will ever be able to bring dispute settlement procedures against dumping? Again, this is a capacity building problem. Not all of them, of course. South Africa probably could do it.
  (Mr Bailey) I think one does need to differentiate here between different developing countries. Clearly the capacity of, say, Brazil to bring an anti-dumping action is much greater than Chad.

  219. Yes.
  (Mr Bailey) I think it is factually the case that most of the complaints that have been brought to the dispute settlement procedure have been brought by the large and more sophisticated developing countries, and the ones that have applied duties on allegedly dumped products have been, again, the more sophisticated larger economies. It is extremely difficult for the poorer developing countries to apply countervailing tariffs when they think they are being dumped on. It is partly because of the political power and economic power of the countries that are doing the dumping. It is quite hard for Chad to stand up to the European Union. Also, if they want to take measures against dumping they know that they risk being taken through the dispute settlements process, which is very complex, very time consuming and very expensive, so there is a major deterrent there. I think we also have to be honest and accept that the rural communities that are particularly prejudiced by the dumping of the agricultural products do not necessarily have great political weight within their countries, so their capacity to mobilise their Government to take action is limited. The developing country government may also be responding more to urban consumer interests, which might be to obtain cheap food, and they may not be so sympathetic to the farmers whose livelihoods are disappearing. It is a complex issue. Certainly we would feel the system does militate against the poorer countries using anti-dumping legislation. Similarly, and this is probably an even greater concern, there is a lot of evidence that the industrialised countries are using anti-dumping legislation to keep out imports from the developing countries.

  220. Yes.
  (Mr Bailey) The number of cases where tariffs are levied on the grounds that there have been dumped products has been increasing very much. There is definitely a lot of closet protectionism behind these anti-dumping measures by the northern countries. That is one of the things meant when the developing world talks about "implementation issues". They would like to have the anti-dumping agreement looked at again, so that there are stronger provisions against protectionist exploitation of that provision.

  Chairman: Yes, indeed. Thank you very much indeed, that has deepened our understanding of this difficult question that we have got to deal with. Thank you very much indeed for coming and for helping us this morning, it was very welcome. Thank you very much.


 
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