Cancer incidence, survival and
mortality
17. Cancer represents a formidable challenge to the
health of the UK population. Annual death rates (deaths per 100,000
persons) from all types of cancer combined have been falling steadily
since the early 1970s. Death rates are higher for men than for
women but have been falling more quickly. Cancer is still responsible
for some 156,000 deaths each year, about one in four of all deaths.[16]
About 250,000 people are diagnosed with cancer each year, and
on current patterns of incidence, about four out of ten persons
can expect to be diagnosed with cancer at some point in their
life.[17]
As the proportion of elderly persons in the population increases,
so the number of persons diagnosed with cancer each year is likely
to increase. At any one time, there are approximately one million
cancer survivors in the UK. The most recently published data show
that survival rates for all cancers combined have been improving
steadily, but there was no improvement for cancers of the lung
or prostate.[18]
18. Cancer data for the UK are compared with those
for other countries in Europe and North America in tables 1 to
3, for all cancers combined and for the three most common cancers:
those of the lung, breast and large bowel. The tables show the
annual number of new cases (incidence) or deaths (mortality) per
100,000 population, together with the percentage of patients who
survived five years from diagnosis. Overall recorded incidence
rates in the UK are broadly similar to those elsewhere in Europe
and in Canada, but lower than in the USA. Death rates in the UK
are higher than, for example, in Finland and the USA. For most
major cancers, including those presented in table 3, five-year
survival rates are generally lower in England and Wales and in
Scotland than the European average or in the countries of northern
and western Europe.[19]
Even allowing for the difficulties inherent in such comparisons,
the Government has recognised that in cancer survival "England
and Wales generally lag behind Europe".[20]
Cancer incidence, mortality and survival rates, selected countries and regions
|
Table 1: Incidence rates
| All cancers
| Lung
| Breast
| Large bowel2
|
Number of new cases per 100,000 persons per year, by sex1
|
|
M |
F |
M |
F |
F |
M |
F |
UK, England and Wales (1988-1990)
| 261.1
| 225.5
| 62.4 |
22.8 | 68.8
| 33.9 |
23.7 |
UK, Scotland | 306.2
| 256.8
| 79.8 |
33.8 | 72.7
| 38.0 |
27.7 |
Europe - North |
Denmark | 273.9
| 261.6
| 51.9 |
25.4 | 73.3
| 37.7 |
30.3 |
Finland (1987-1992) |
251.0
| 204.1
| 54.3 |
8.2 | 65.0
| 23.3 |
18.2 |
Sweden | 240.7
| 228.5
| 23.9 |
10.9 | 72.9
| 29.8 |
24.1 |
Europe - West and South
|
France, Doubs | 323.1
| 202.6
| 50.9 |
6.5 | 67.3
| 36.6 |
23.5 |
Italy, Varese | 354.6
| 226.5
| 77.6 |
8.5 | 73.5
| 43.5 |
26.9 |
Netherlands (1989-1992)
| 288.4
| 225.0
| 73.0 |
13.0 | 79.6
| 36.4 |
27.8 |
Spain, Murcia | 250.5
| 153.8
| 47.2 |
3.6 | 43.9
| 25.8 |
18.5 |
Europe - East
|
Estonia | 269.8
| 172.3
| 75.7 |
8.3 | 36.5
| 25.7 |
18.9 |
Slovakia | 308.6
| 188.5
| 79.1 |
8.7 | 38.6
| 40.6 |
23.6 |
Slovenia | 268.5
| 180.0
| 65.7 |
9.1 | 46.2
| 32.9 |
19.9 |
North America
|
Canada, Ontario | 325.7
| 261.1
| 62.2 |
28.2 | 78.1
| 45.1 |
31.1 |
USA, SEER areas, Whites
| 370.9
| 280.9
| 61.3 |
33.8 | 90.7
| 42.4 |
29.5 |
USA, SEER areas, Blacks
| 454.6
| 271.7
| 99.1 |
38.5 | 79.4
| 46.4 |
35.3 |
1 Incidence data are for the period 1988-92 except where shown. Rates are age-standardised to the world population.
|
|
Table 2: Mortality rates
| All cancers
| Lung
| Breast
| Large bowel2
|
Number of deaths per 100,000 persons per year, by sex3
|
| M
| F
| M
| F
| F
| M
| F
|
United Kingdom | 185.2
| 134.7
| 61.4 |
21.8 | 30.4
| 21.2 |
15.9 |
Europe - North
|
Denmark | 183.3
| 145.4
| 52.5 |
23.7 | 29.5
| 23.9 |
19.6 |
Finland | 151.5
| 93.9
| 49.4 |
7.0 | 18.0
| 12.7 |
9.9 |
Sweden | 138.0
| 106.2
| 24.4 |
10.5 | 19.2
| 15.8 |
12.7 |
Europe - West and South
|
France | 199.2
| 92.5
| 47.7 |
5.4 | 21.2
| 18.6 |
12.6 |
Italy | 188.5
| 103.5
| 57.8 |
7.7 | 21.6
| 16.3 |
11.4 |
Netherlands | 193.3
| 115.9
| 70.3 |
11.0 | 28.7
| 18.7 |
15.0 |
Spain | 165.5
| 82.0
| 46.6 |
3.7 | 17.8
| 15.0 |
10.2 |
Europe - East
|
Estonia | 208.6
| 105.1
| 69.6 |
7.1 | 16.9
| 17.9 |
12.2 |
Slovakia | 213.7
| 104.7
| 67.4 |
7.1 | 18.1
| 25.1 |
14.4 |
Slovenia | 206.9
| 109.8
| 59.6 |
8.4 | 22.0
| 23.0 |
13.6 |
North America
|
Canada | 166.8
| 113.0
| 56.1 |
21.1 | 24.0
| 17.6 |
12.6 |
USA | 171.4
| 118.2
| 58.3 |
25.2 | 23.4
| 17.4 |
12.9 |
2Colon and rectum combined.
3Mortality data are for 1990. Rates are age-standardised to the world population.
|
|
Table 3: Five-year survival rates
| All cancers
| Lung
| Breast
| Colon
|
Percentage of patients surviving five years from diagnosis4
|
| M
| F
| M
| F
| F
| M
| F
|
UK, England | 31.1
| 42.7
| 7.0 |
7.1 | 66.7
| 41.0 |
41.3 |
UK, Scotland | 28.8
| 38.5
| 6.1 |
6.3 | 65.0
| 41.1 |
41.1 |
European average | 35.0
| 47.5
| 8.9 |
9.9 | 72.5
| 46.8 |
46.7 |
Europe - North
|
Denmark | 31.8
| 44.8
| 5.6 |
5.9 | 70.6
| 39.2 |
42.7 |
Finland | 37.7
| 50.1
| 10.0 |
11.2 | 78.4
| 47.6 |
50.0 |
Sweden | 47.6
| 56.7
| 8.8 |
9.6 | 80.6
| 51.8 |
55.2 |
Europe - West and South
|
France | 37.7
| 55.7
| 11.5 |
15.9 | 80.3
| 51.8 |
54.0 |
Italy | 33.9
| 49.2
| 8.6 |
10.1 | 76.7
| 46.9 |
47.0 |
Netherlands | 34.7
| 50.7
| 11.7 |
10.8 | 74.4
| 58.7 |
55.7 |
Spain | 39.4
| 49.2
| 11.9 |
- | 70.4
| 49.5 |
49.4 |
Europe - East
|
Estonia | 22.0
| 37.5
| 5.4 |
13.9 | 59.5
| 36.5 |
38.0 |
Slovakia | 31.7
| 41.6
| 12.0 |
19.1 | 58.3
| 38.9 |
38.3 |
Slovenia | 23.5
| 40.0
| 6.2 |
6.9 | 64.2
| 33.2 |
38.1 |
4Patients diagnosed 1985-89 and followed up to 1994. Relative survival rates, adjusted for national mortality and age-standardised to the EUROCARE population for each cancer.
Sources: WHO and International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
|
7 A Policy Framework for Commissioning Cancer Services:
A Report by the Expert Advisory Group to the Chief Medical Officers
of England and Wales. Department
of Health, April 1995. (Hereafter the Calman-Hine report). Back
8 Saving
Lives: Our Healthier Nation,
Department of Health, Cm 4386, July 1999, (Hereafter Saving
Lives: Our Healthier Nation), p. 71. Back
9
Q. 2. Back
10 Deoxyribonucleic
acid is the molecule which makes up genetic material. Back
11
Ev. pp. 110-111. Back
12 Ev.
p. 25. Back
13 Ev.
p. 291; Q. 160. Back
14 Ev.
pp. 7, 11. Back
15 Ev.
p. 26. Back
16 Challenging
Cancer, Department of Health,
1999.(www.doh.gov.uk/cancer.htm). Hereafter: Challenging Cancer. Back
17 Office
for National Statistics. Cancer statistics: registrations of
cancer diagnosed in 1993, England and Wales. Series MB1 no. 26,
The Stationery Office, 1999. Back
18
Office for National Statistics. Cancer Survival Trends for
England and Wales 1971-1995, deprivation and NHS Region. Series
SMPS No. 61, The Stationery Office, 1999, pp 1-695. Back
19 Office
for National Statistics. Cancer Survival Trends in England
and Wales 1971-1995: deprivation and NHS Region. Series SMPS No.
61, The Stationery Office, 1999, pp1-695; Scottish Cancer
Intelligence Unit. Trends in cancer survival in Scotland 1971-1995,
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20 Challenging
Cancer. Back