Select Committee on Social Security Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence


Annex

PRIVATE INSURANCE

  For a private insurance market to exist a number of conditions must hold:

    —  Pure Risk—insurance is a risk transfer mechanism and thus simply provides compensation for loss; the insured is put back into the same position as they were before the event occurred—they are "indemnified'. Thus, pure risks involve a loss, or at best a break-even situation; there must be no element of financial gain should the insured event occur. Nevertheless, there are certain products available in the market, such as Critical Illness Insurance, which pay out a lump sum should a certain event occur. In the example given, to the extent that such Critical Illness insurance covers the extra costs associated with the sickness or disability, the product is an insurance product covering a pure risk.

    —  Financial Value—the risk, which is to be insured against, must be capable of financial measurement.

    —  Insurable Interest—there must be a legally recognisable relationship between the insured (the person taking out the insurance) and the financial loss. If this principle is not in place, any such contract would be akin to gambling.

    —  Particular Risk—defined as a risk that is independent across individuals in the pool; risks which arise from individual causes and affect individuals in their consequences. In contrast to this form of risk are fundamental risks, which are impersonal in origin and widespread in effect. The indiscriminate nature of fundamental risks means that they are not usually offered through the private insurance market. Examples include protection against the risk of war (which affectsevery single member of society), terrorism risks, and, in certain regions of the world, natural disasters such as earthquakes and hurricanes. Such risks are usually the remit of the state as "insurer of last resort".

    —  Pool of Risks—the insurance company must be able to attract enough policyholders for the risk to be well spread.

    —  Fortuitous—the probability of the insured incurring the loss must be less than one. The exception to this is whole of life assurance, where it is the time of the claim which is not known with certainty.

    —  Predictable—the probability has to be to some extent predictable and foreseeable for the insurance company to be able to set a price. Recent examples of where the risk has not been predictable or foreseeable can be found in both the private and social insurance market for industrial diseases. Both the state system, Industrial Injuries Disablement Benefit, and the private system, Employers' Liability, saw a dramatic increase in claims following the ratification of Noise Induced Hearing Loss as a prescribed industrial disease with adverse consequences in both markets; notably large underwriting losses in the private insurance market and unforeseen public expenditure in the social insurance market.

    —  Public Policy—the insured event must not be against public policy; that is contrary to what society would consider to be the right and moral thing to do. For example, it would be unacceptable to offer insurance against the risk of a criminal venture going wrong.

    —  Insurance markets are also liable to two particular problems, those of moral hazard and adverse selection.

  Moral hazard occurs when the existence of insurance cover alters the behaviour of the person covered, usually in a disadvantageous way to the insurer. For example, the subscriber may take less care to avoid the loss that is covered, or may commit fraud.

  Adverse selection occurs when the company cannot accurately identify individual risks, which leads to the risk pool containing predominately bad risks. The reason for this is that individuals who buy insuranceare likely to be those for whom it is the best value i.e. those who are most likely to claim. Insurancecompanies try to avoid this by rating premiums to reflect the risk of claim for each individual, but if individual risks cannot be identified then high-risk individuals will be offered premiums below their actuarially fair rate.

  Insurers try to minimise these problems. Moral hazard can be reduced by a number of devices ranging from excesses to insisting on security measures as a condition of insurance. There are also some ways of alleviating adverse selection, depending on the type of insurance. For example, exclusion clauses and waiting periods. However, if the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard are severe and there are no easy ways to overcome them, then they may be enough to prevent the existence of a private insurance market.

May 1999


 
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