Select Committee on Treasury Eighth Report


PROCEEDINGS OF THE COMMITTEE RELATING TO THE REPORT

Paragraph 19 read, as follows:

The primary objective of monetary policy in the euro-area, stated in the Maastricht Treaty, is price stability. The ECB has defined this as being the "year­on­year increase in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro area of below 2%" over the medium term. The CEPS argued that this was vague on two accounts: no lower boundary is stated, and the timeframe referred to in the phrase "medium term" is not determined. Additionally, Mr Forder cautioned that the ECB's "exclusive primary focus on inflation", together with a desire to gain credibility, may lead it to set an "excessively counter-inflationary" monetary policy. In order to achieve price stability, the ECB has adopted a "twin pillar" approach: the first pillar refers to broad money supply growth (M3), which has a reference value of 4.5 per cent annual growth; the second pillar consists of a broadly­based assessment of the outlook for price developments and the risks to price stability in the euro area, which Mr Barty described as a "very sensible, pragmatic" approach to monetary policy. Professor Buiter was critical of the need to target money supply, however, believing that the ECB had decided to use this target out of "nostalgia" for the Bundesbank. Instead, he preferred that the ECB should "dethrone the monetary reference value and come out of the closet with their inflation target". While admitting there were some difficulties with the money supply pillar of monetary policy, Commissioner Solbes said that it was "very useful" and had been used by the ECB in its policy assessment.

An Amendment made.

Another Amendment proposed, in line 17, at the end, to add the words "The ECB's asymmetrical inflation target carries risks of a bias towards deflation. Adoption of a symmetrical target would clarify the Bank's objectives, while reducing this risk and adding clarity to the relationship between the two pillars, which refer to money supply growth and a broadly-based assessment of the outlook for price stability.".—(Mr James Plaskitt.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 3Noes, 7
Mr Michael FallonMr Nigel Beard
Mr James PlaskittMrs Liz Blackman
Mr David RuffleyMr Jim Cousins
Mr Edward Davey
Mr David Kidney
Mr Brian Sedgemore
Sir Teddy Taylor


Paragraph, as amended, agreed to.

Paragraph 20 read and agreed to.

Paragraph 21 read, as follows:

In the first eighteen months of Stage Three of EMU, euro-area inflation has remained stable, an achievement for which the ECB can take some credit. However, there exists a broad consensus that the ECB's communications with the financial markets and the presentation of its policy actions could be improved. While the differences between the structure of the ECB and the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England might mean that it is unrealistic to expect the ECB to adopt the same procedures used by the MPC to enhance transparency, scope exists to improve the presentation of information by the ECB and the transparency of its operations.

Amendments made.

Another Amendment proposed, in line 4, to leave out from "improved" to the end of the paragraph and add the words "There is also considerable scope for the ECB to enhance its transparency and accountability, for instance by considering publication of more detailed minutes, and of voting, should that occur in future. The lines of accountability are at present remote, although it would require a treaty change to strengthen them to a position more akin to those applying to the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England in the United Kingdom."—(Mr James Plaskitt.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 3Noes, 7
Mr Michael FallonMr Nigel Beard
Mr James PlaskittMrs Liz Blackman
Mr David RuffleyMr Jim Cousins
Mr Edward Davey
Mr David Kidney
Mr Brian Sedgemore
Sir Teddy Taylor


Another Amendment proposed, in line 8, at the end, to add the words "Using broad money supply growth (M3) as an indicator of price stability, alongside the target of 2 per cent inflation rate or lower, leads to confusion as to which target the ECB is pursuing at any one time.".—(Mr Nigel Beard.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 3Noes, 7
Mr Nigel BeardMrs Liz Blackman
Mr Edward DaveyMr Jim Cousins
Mr James PlaskittMr Michael Fallon
Mr David Kidney
Mr David Ruffley
Mr Brian Sedgemore
Sir Teddy Taylor


Paragraph, as amended, agreed to.

Paragraphs 22 to 25 read and agreed to.

Paragraph 26 read, as follows:

Structural reform has assumed a greater importance for euro-area member countries because of the loss of monetary policy independence and the limitations placed on fiscal policy (see paragraph 28). Professor Buiter was confident that the pace of structural reform within the euro-area was progressing well. The Economic Secretary said that progress was being made in the EU on supply side reform and cited the positive role of the UK in promoting such policies. The pace of reform, she hoped, would be "at least maintained and possibly accelerated" following the Lisbon summit; she argued that the flexibility of the EU economy was important in order for it to be able to compete globally in the future. In Germany, we were briefed on the German Government's plans for tax reform, which are now coming to fruition, although we were told that further progress in structural reform was required. The OECD, however, recently noted that "the benefits of product and capital market integration in facilitating the conduct of macroeconomic policy may remain limited unless the process of integration spreads to labour markets". In relation to labour market flexibility, Business for Sterling said that "only 1.5 per cent of EU citizens even live outside their own country, despite free movements of persons under the EU Treaties", and, in oral evidence, witnesses debated the extent to which there now existed a free market in managerial staff in the EU. Mr Barty argued that while such microeconomic reforms can increase an economy's flexibility and its ability to adjust to macroeconomic problems, it may not necessarily lead to greater convergence or stability, citing the example of financial market liberalisation. There are indications that the commencement of Stage Three of EMU has had an effect on the introduction of structural reform in the euro-area. For the euro to prosper, the pace of structural reform must be accelerated.

Amendment proposed, in line 19, after the word "liberalisation", to insert the words "Evidence taken from witnesses in Germany did not suggest that significant labour market deregulation was deliverable. The German Finance Ministry were remarkably reticent about identifying specific policy measures to be put forward in pursuit of labour market reform. More revealing was evidence given by Members of the Bundestag who suggested that trade union resistance to reform of employment law would prevent meaningful deregulation".—(Mr David Ruffley.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 4Noes, 7
Mr Michael FallonMr Nigel Beard
Mr David RuffleyMrs Liz Blackman
Sir Michael SpicerMr Jim Cousins
Sir Teddy TaylorMr Edward Davey
Mr David Kidney
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr Brian Sedgemore


Amendments made.

Another Amendment proposed, in line 20, to leave out the words "For the euro to prosper, the pace of structural reform must be accelerated" and add the words "We agree with the Treasury, who said that the pace of structural reform in the euro-area should be 'at least maintained and possibly accelerated'."—(The Chairman.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 7Noes, 4
Mr Nigel BeardMr Michael Fallon
Mrs Liz BlackmanMr David Ruffley
Mr Jim CousinsSir Michael Spicer
Mr Edward DaveySir Teddy Taylor
Mr David Kidney
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr Brian Sedgemore





 
previous page contents next page

House of Commons home page Parliament home page House of Lords home page search page enquiries index

© Parliamentary copyright 2000
Prepared 28 July 2000