Select Committee on Treasury Eighth Report


PROCEEDINGS OF THE COMMITTEE RELATING TO THE REPORT

Another Amendment proposed, in line 6, after the word "outset" to insert the words "Indeed the evidence points in the opposite direction, that the City benefited from Britain's current position outside the euro".—(Sir Michael Spicer.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 4Noes, 6
Mr Michael FallonMr Nigel Beard
Mr David RuffleyMrs Liz Blackman
Sir Michael SpicerMr Jim Cousins
Sir Teddy TaylorMr David Kidney
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr Brian Sedgemore


Paragraph agreed to.

Paragraph 43 read, as follows:

We commented in 1998 that the employment test, like the investment test, is likely to be satisfied if the first two tests are met. Mr Christopher Johnson has written that "it has become increasingly difficult to argue that the UK needs EMU to promote employment, since unemployment, at under four per cent, is at its lowest level for twenty years ... However, it can hardly be claimed that joining EMU would increase British unemployment. Employment levels are not much influenced by whether a country is inside or outside EMU". Business for Sterling, on the other hand, argued to us that "joining the euro in the foreseeable future would ... increase unemployment in Britain substantially" because "the Eurozone is chronically over-regulated and over-taxed".

Amendment proposed, in line 9, at the end, to add the words "That was clearly not the view expressed by BMW in considering the future of Rover, or Ford's when considering the future of motor car manufacture in Dagenham. Nor was it the view expressed to the committee by Mr Cushnaghan, Managing Director of Nissan UK, when referring to the prospects for expansion of the Nissan factory in Sunderland. Investment has come to the UK whilst there is an expectation of the country joining EMU in the near future but there could be a serious threat to manufacturing employment if there appeared likely to be an indefinite delay in Britain joining."—(Mr Nigel Beard.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 1Noes, 9
Mr Nigel BeardMrs Liz Blackman
Mr Jim Cousins
Mr Michael Fallon
Mr David Kidney
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr David Ruffley
Mr Brian Sedgemore
Sir Michael Spicer
Sir Teddy Taylor


Another Amendment proposed, in line 9, at the end, to add the words "We agree with Business for Sterling".—(Sir Michael Spicer.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 4Noes, 6
Mr Michael FallonMr Nigel Beard
Mr David RuffleyMrs Liz Blackman
Sir Michael SpicerMr Jim Cousins
Sir Teddy TaylorMr David Kidney
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr Brian Sedgemore


Paragraph agreed to.

Paragraphs 44 to 48 read and agreed to.

Paragraph 49 read, as follows:

The British Chambers of Commerce's survey showed that only 16 per cent of its members had "already made the majority of the preparations that would be needed" for UK membership of Stage Three during the next Parliament; 31 per cent had made some preparations; and 51 per cent had made no preparations at all. A number of witnesses shared the concerns of the Federation of Small Businesses that, given the uncertainty about whether or not the UK might join Stage Three in future, "the business community cannot make any long-term investment decisions in regard to the single currency and it is not surprising that small businesses in particular are unwilling to consider the potential impact that the euro could have on their business, let along actually make any preparations for it". Ms Lea, in oral evidence, did not envisage firms which had yet to prepare for possible UK membership of Stage Three of EMU "lifting a finger until they have got a definite date" of entry. Mr Sweeney thought that "ideally" banks would wish to prepare for possible UK entry, and particularly the transitional period when both sterling and euro would be legal currency in the UK, before the decision to join was taken, but "it would be very difficult for banks to justify to their shareholders expenditure of £1 billion plus ... before they are pretty confident that it is actually going to be needed because the Government is going to take a decision to go in". The BBA's written evidence described how banks mostly process euro transactions on paper at the moment and said that investment would be required to automate systems if the UK joined Stage Three. The Economic Secretary, however, perceived "no evidence of anything other than continuing progress". It is clear that many firms are waiting for the Government to decide before preparing for possible UK membership of the single currency.

Amendment proposed, in line 20, after the word "many", to insert the words "small- and medium-sized".—(Mr Nigel Beard.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 5Noes, 4
Mr Nigel BeardMr Michael Fallon
Mrs Liz BlackmanMr David Ruffley
Mr Jim CousinsMr Brian Sedgemore
Mr David KidneySir Michael Spicer
Mr James Plaskitt


Paragraph, as amended, agreed to.

Paragraphs 50 and 51 read and agreed to.

Paragraph 52 read as follows:

An important aspect of the Changeover Plans is an illustrative timetable for the steps that would need to be taken from the Government's decision to recommend joining Stage Three to the withdrawal of sterling as a unit of currency. It is envisaged that the whole transitional period would span between 34 and 40 months. The Economic Secretary told us that the timetable was "a result of the discussions that we have had with a number of bodies, both public and private sector, to map out what seemed realistic" and she said that she had received no representations that the timescale was either too long or too short. Most witnesses questioned about the timetable were content for there to be a transitional period of around 40 months. Mr Williams, of Canford Group plc, thought that "it could be done a lot quicker than 40 months. Inevitably there are going to be a large number of businesses who leave it until the last minute". BASDA concluded that the "proposed UK transition period is likely to be inadequate" without greater Government commitment, including extra funding, to public sector changeover issues.

Amendment proposed, in line 12, at the end, to add the words "The next edition of the changeover plan will need to target SMEs. The points being made by BASDA will also need to be addressed.".—(Mr Nigel Beard.)

Question put, That the Amendment be made.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 3Noes, 6
Mr Nigel BeardMr David Kidney
Mrs Liz BlackmanMr James Plaskitt
Mr Jim CousinsMr David Ruffley
Mr Brian Sedgemore
Sir Michael Spicer
Sir Teddy Taylor


Paragraph agreed to.

Annex agreed to.

Summary of Conclusions and Recommendations amended and agreed to.

Question put, That the Report, as amended, be the Eighth Report of the Committee to the House.

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 6Noes, 4
Mr Nigel BeardMr Michael Fallon
Mrs Liz BlackmanMr David Ruffley
Mr Jim CousinsSir Michael Spicer
Mr David KidneySir Teddy Taylor
Mr James Plaskitt
Mr Brian Sedgemore



Ordered, That the Chairman do make the Report to the House.

Several papers were ordered to be appended to the Minutes of Evidence.

Ordered, That the Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence taken before the Committee be reported to the House.

Several papers were ordered to be reported to the House.

Motion made, and Question put, That the Committee do hold a Press Conference on the Report on Friday 28 July.—(Mr David Ruffley.)

The Committee divided.


Ayes, 6Noes, 4
Mr Nigel BeardMrs Liz Blackman
Mr Michael FallonMr Jim Cousins
Mr David RuffleyMr David Kidney
Mr Brian SedgemoreMr James Plaskitt
Sir Michael Spicer
Sir Teddy Taylor



[Adjourned till Tuesday next at Eleven o'clock.




 
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Prepared 28 July 2000