Select Committee on Health Memoranda


Memorandum by the Department of Health

PUBLIC EXPENDITURE QUESTIONNAIRE 2001

Table 4.4.1

REVIEW BODY PAY SETTLEMENTS 2001




PRICES

  6.  The GDP deflator is used as a proxy for underlying non-pay inflation in the NHS. This needs to be adjusted for assumptions about the level of procurement and other efficiency savings that the NHS is expected to make.

CAPITAL CHARGES

  7.  At national level, the cost of capital charges paid by the NHS is a circular flow of funds. The total of the capital charges estimates made by NHS Trusts forms part of the total cash resources available through Health Authority allocations.

  8.  Indices for land, buildings and equipment are produced for the Department each year by the Valuation Office, in order that the NHS may calculate capital charges in advance of the financial year.

  9.  The aggregate index used to uplift capital charges to 2000-01 levels was 3.0 per cent.

  4.4b  Could the Department provide a breakdown of the components of the health specific inflation indices for revenue spending on HCHS and Family Health Services respectively, together with capital spending on HCHS, for 1998-99 and 1999-2000, together with estimates for 2000-01? The tables for the HCHS should show separate inflation indices for Review Body staff and non-Review Body staff pay, and whatever other breakdowns of staff are available.

HCHS PAY AND PRICES INFLATION

  10.  Increases in the cost of goods and services, ie the non-pay components of inflation are measured by the Health Service Cost Index (HSCI). The HSCI weights together price increases for a broad range of items used by the health service—for example, drugs, medical equipment, fuel, telephone charges—using weights derived from expenditure on these various goods and services reported in financial returns.

  11.  Table 4.4.2 gives details of pay and non-pay components used in calculating HCHS pay and price inflation.

Table 4.4.2

INFLATION FOR SPECIFIC ITEMS OF HCHS REVENUE EXPENDITURE




  12.  The increase in the earnings of Review Body staff over that of non-Review Body staff may be explained by the larger increase in the consultant grades (6 per cent+) than that of junior doctors (less than 2 per cent). This gives a richer skill/grade mix for those staff covered by the Doctors and Dentist Review Body, which when combined with the Review Body awards has led to a higher average increase.

  4.4c  Would the Department state what the increase in expenditure on the NHS has been since 1992 in cash terms, real terms (GDP deflator) and real terms (NHS deflator)?

  13.  Between 1992-93 and 1999-2000, the latest year for which NHS specific indices are available, net NHS expenditure has increased by:

    43.0 per cent in cash terms

    17.4 per cent in real terms adjusted by the GDP deflator and

    14.1 per cent after accounting for NHS specific inflation.

  14.  Between 1999-2000 and 2003-04, net NHS resources increase by:

    41.6 per cent in cash terms and

    29.1 per cent in real terms adjusted by the GDP deflator.

  15.  Tables 4.4.3 and 4.4.4 below show the year on year increase in Net NHS expenditure in cash, real terms and after adjusting for NHS specific inflation up to 2000-01.

Table 4.4.3

CHANGE IN NET CASH NHS EXPENDITURE 1992-93 TO 2000-01




Table 4.4.4

CHANGE IN NET NHS RESOURCES 1999-2000 TO 2003-04




  4.4d  Would the Department provide a table showing the construction of the NHS inflation index from main sub-indices of pay and other factor costs since 1992, and comment on the assumptions underlying this construct? Would the Department provide the weights used for each sub-index, for each year?

  16.  The NHS inflation is constructed using 5 sub-indices. These are:

    —  HCHS pay index: This measures the change in average paybill per head of those employed within the HCHS;

    —  HCHS price inflation: This measures the change in the price of goods and services supplied to the HCHS, it is measured by the Health Service Cost Index;

    —  HCHS Capital Inflation Index: This reflects the changes in prices experienced in HCHS capital projects and is calculated using a mixture of the construction price index and the GDP deflator;

    —  FHS Index: This is produced using different assumptions for each of the main groups. For general medical services and general dental services, inflation is calculated as the increase in the average cost per practitioner. For both services, the change in unit costs includes volume and quality effects as well as pure price effects. For pharmaceutical services and general ophthalmic services, service inflation is assumed equal to movements in the GDP deflator;

    —  The "other" Index: This comprises of the revenue and capital expenditure on Central Health Miscellaneous Services (CHMS) and Departmental Administration (including the Medicines Control Agency and NHS Estates). The GDP deflator is used in the absence of service specific deflators.


Year
HCHS
Pay
HCHS
Prices
HCHS
Capital
FHS
Other
NHS
Total
%
%
%
%
%
%

1991-92
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
1992-93
107.9
104.7
97.5
104.3
103.3
105.8
1993-94
112.4
106.2
99.2
104.9
106.0
108.7
1994-95
116.3
107.1
104.1
107.3
107.5
111.5
1995-96
121.4
110.5
108.8
110.0
110.6
115.6
1996-97
125.4
112.2
112.3
113.7
114.1
119.0
1997-98
128.5
112.7
117.0
117.1
117.4
121.5
1998-99
134.8
115.5
121.3
120.6
120.7
126.2
1999-2000
144.0
116.8
125.8
123.5
123.5
131.8


  17.  The weights attached to each of the elements for each of the years are shown in the table below.


Year
HCHS
Pay
HCHS
Prices
HCHS
Capital
FHS
Other
NHS
Total
%
%
%
%
%
%

1991-92
49
21
6
21
3
100
1992-93
49
21
6
21
3
100
1993-94
49
21
5
22
3
100
1994-95
49
21
6
22
3
100
1995-96
49
21
5
22
3
100
1996-97
50
21
4
23
3
100
1997-98
47
25
3
23
2
100
1998-99
48
26
2
23
2
100
1999-2000
46
30
2
20
2
100


  18.  A change in the allocation of weights for HCHS current expenditure between pay and prices took place in 1997-98. Prior to this HCHS current expenditure was allocated on a 70:30 pay : price split, based on the ratio of pay to non-pay expenditure. In 1998-99, this was reassessed to be 65:35 in favour of pay and in 1999-2000, the ration was 61:39 pay : prices.

4.5  Hospital and Community Health Services Allocations and Distance from Targets.

  4.5a  Could the Department provide a table showing for each health authority:

    (ii)  2001-02 Distance From Targets (DFT) in cash and percentage terms;

    (iii)  growth for each HA in percentage terms;

    (iv)  net adjustment (cash) for Primary Care Groups and Primary Care Trusts;

    (v)  net adjustment for out of area treatments.

  4.5b  Could the Department include a commentary explaining the key factors that determined those percentage growth increases shown in the table?

  4.5c  Could the Department update the Committee on recent developments in allocations of HCHS resources and provide the timetable for any planned changes?

  4.5a  Could the Department provide a table showing for each health authority:

    (i)  allocations for resident populations for 2000-01 (cash) and 2001-02 (cash and at 2000-01 prices);

    (ii)  2001-02 Distance From Targets (DFT) in cash and percentage terms;

    (iii)  growth for each HA in percentage terms;

    (iv)  net adjustment (cash) for Primary Care Groups and Primary Care Trusts;

    (v)  net adjustment for out of area treatments.

  1.  The information requested is contained in table 4.5.1.


 
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