Select Committee on International Development Minutes of Evidence


Annex

International Development Trust Fund: financial projection


(US$billions at current prices)
(1)(2) (3)(4)(5) (6)
YearDeveloping countries' additional receipts Disbursement
target (gov'tal +
bond market)

Increased
gov'tal ODA

Reflow +
Interest
IDTF Market borrowing and debt Annual net
borrowing
interest on
cumulative net
borrowing
Cumulative
Trust Fund
Debt
200212.50 0.0912,50.63 13.03
200325.630.00 0.2925.631.94 40.31
200439.404.41 0.5834.993.80 78.52
200553.066.95 0.9846.116.35 130.00
200654.399.72 1.3944.668.98 182.26
200755.7515.32 1.8140.4311.62 232.50
200857.1416.08 2.2341.0614.43 285.75
200958.5716.89 2.6741.6817.41 342.18
201060.0317.73 3.1242.3020.59 401.95
201161.5318.62 3.5842.9223.97 465.25
201263.0719.55 4.3743.5327.56 531.97
201364.6520.52 5.4944.1231.36 601.97
201466.2721.55 6.9544.7135.40 675.13
201567.9222.63 8.7745.2939.68 751.33
201623.76 10.2341.66 782.77
201724.95 11.7343.75 814.79
201826.19 13.2545.93 847.47
201927.50 14.8148.23 880.89
202028.88 16.4050.64 915.12
202130.32 18.0353.17 950.27
202231.84 19.6955.83 986.40
202333.43 21.3958.62 1,023.64
202435.10 23.1361.55 1,062.06
202536.86 24.9044.63 1,101.79
202638.70 25.4667.86 1,144.20
202740.64 26.0471.26 1,189.42
202842.67 26.6574.82 1,237.59
202944.80 27.3078.56 1,288.85
203047.04 27.9882.49 1,343.35

Notes

  Col 1: Additional $50 billion per annum concessional resource flow to developing countries supplied in the years up to 2015, increasing at an annual rate of inflation assumed to be 2.5 per cent.

  Col 2: Additional conventional ODA disbursements by bilateral donors, based on the indications made at Monterrey by the EU and the US, increasing annually by the rate of increase of nominal GNI, assumed to be 5 per cent per annum.

  Col 3: Interest and amortisation on all additional aid disbursements, assuming that all disbursements are on IDA terms.

  Col 4: Borrowing required to meet the disbursement target shown in Col 1, after taking account of the bilateral flows shown in Col 2, but before allowing for the servicing of debt incurred by rolling-up interest due.

  Col 5: Annual interest owed by the Trust Fund on its debt, including rolled-up interest.

  Col 6: Cumulative Trust Fund debt to the capital market, including rolled-up interest, net of reflows of and interest on disbursed aid.













 
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