Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1-19)

15 OCTOBER 2003

MR SIMON WEBB CBE, DR SARAH BEAVER AND MR PAUL JOHNSTON

  Q1  Chairman: Mr Webb and colleagues, I am sorry for the slight delay in having you in. Welcome. We will try to finish at five o'clock, which will impose obligations on questioners. I will start off with a long first question. Colleagues, the first question is that we received the Food for Thought paper prepared in late August. It appears the Government's main concern is that constitutional changes should promote the development of capabilities but the IGC is focussed on reaching agreement on a new Treaty—not directly on developing capabilities. What specific institutional provisions in the Treaty will act as an incentive to Member States to develop their military capabilities?

  Mr Webb: Thank you, Chairman. Perhaps I could introduce my colleagues. On my left is Dr Sarah Beaver, who is the director for the EU and the UN in the Ministry of Defence and on my right Mr Paul Johnston is the head of Security Policy Department of the Foreign and Commonwealth Office. You are quite right, Chairman, that we have approached the Convention and now the IGC very much with an eye to capabilities and there is one part of it where the UK has actually been pretty pro-active in looking to make some progress and this is in relation to the agency. I use that word because there are various titles around but as in Mrs Gisela Stuart's original submission to the Convention of last autumn it was very much described at that stage as a defence capability development agency. I think this reflected some discussion, particularly in London, that we needed a stronger mechanism to ginger and encourage the development of capabilities in ESDP and that although some of the existing mechanisms that we have been working with for the last few years have had their place we needed something a bit more permanent and with a strong political dimension to it. So we have been very much promoters of the agency to that extent and in fact we are pretty much happy with the clause in the Treaty about this. I am afraid we are going to spend a lot of time this afternoon referring to particular clause numbers. The best exposition of it is in Article III-212, if you have that available to you.

  Q2  Chairman: Yes, we have got that. Have you had any success in persuading them to make any amendments which might lead to a greater focus on capabilities?

  Mr Webb: We have, Chairman. We are actually happy with the general thrust of Article III-212 in terms of the coverage of capabilities and what it purports to do. The only thing we were less comfortable with, oddly enough, is the title but help   was at hand because at the Thessaloniki council this spring a different title was proposed. The  same idea was promoted but with a different title. At Thessaloniki they talked about an intergovernmental agency in the field of defence capabilities development, research, acquisition and armaments. So that put capabilities at the front of the title, which is very much how we see it. We see the issue as being to develop capabilities within ESDP and that research and acquisition and the armaments issue are in support of that. So we have been doing well with this debate and actually on the internal paperwork, which currently we are working on very hard, about setting up the agency .The Thessaloniki title is in there. So I think this has been a useful step forward and we are pretty confident that we will get this agency up and running, possibly even ahead of the Treaty.

  Q3  Chairman: It looks like a bit of a sop to me, Mr Webb, just to keep the Brits happy. Throw them a few sprats and they might not be so worried about the content as laid out?

  Mr Webb: No, not at all. It cannot be a sprat since we proposed it.

  Mr Howarth: That is a non sequitur, Mr Webb.

  Q4  Chairman: I am not entirely convinced by your own satisfaction.

  Mr Webb: We have been working very hard on this. Myself and Dr Beaver were at a gathering last week, there was another one yesterday, there is another one at the end of this month and we are trying at the moment to see if we can get a decision out in the Italian presidency. I think that is a bit optimistic but that is the sort of pace we are going at. We are very specifically talking about an organisation which would actually get into the business of identifying capability objectives, evaluating and observing the ability of capability commitments. That takes you into the area of assessment, evaluation and in other more detailed paperwork scrutiny. So we are looking towards something which is actually saying, what objectively is the capacity of the ESDP and then to move on from there to look at the tasks that the organisation is trying to undertake and from there into operational needs, harmonisation requirements and then projects. So we are absolutely determined to try and make progress in this area and I think it would be fair to say we have had a very good consensus on this. I think there is a consensus running at 25 on this subject. There are some structural points. I mean, people have views about structural issues, which is why we have so many meetings to deal with it, but we are nonetheless making good progress. So this is a part of the treaty that I think we can very warmly welcome and I would really commend it to the Committee, perhaps with a change of title.

  Q5  Chairman: NATO has been trying for years to get some of our colleagues to do rather more and that has failed miserably. Do you honestly think the promise of an agency or a change of wording is going to generate greater commitment to their own defence and to collective defence than hitherto has been achieved?

  Mr Webb: This may be a slightly controversial remark and we in Defence are a bit new to the EU but I think it is fair to say the EU has developed a lot through its institutions and institutions particularly when you get a good political dynamic in them, can actually have an effect on the development of the Union. So I think we do see it actually as a step forward. That would not work in NATO; NATO is a very differently structured organisation. I might say that we work just as hard on pushing capabilities in the NATO arena, particularly now in the context of the NATO Response Force and in looking at new  ways of exploiting Allied Command Transformation. So there is a lot going on on that scene too. But in terms of the EU, I think the agency could be the sort of prod for further activities that the EU needs but in EU terms. It is a different type of structure.

  Q6  Chairman: Are the capabilities that the EU will need to acquire to carry out a crisis management operation compatible with those sought by NATO to carry out higher intensity war fighting operations through, as you mentioned, the NATO Response Force or are we really asking Member States to spend on a diverse range of capabilities which they probably would be reluctant to do?

  Mr Webb: It is a very good point and we obviously want to have harmonization and it has always been a British cry to avoid duplication. How we do that is  through something called the Capability Development Mechanism. At the same time as we agreed the Berlin Plus arrangements, just in parallel with that, we produced a document which actually links the NATO and the EU capability planning systems in a coherent way and in particular promotes complete transparency and there is actually a working group which meets regularly to have a look at that. That has had some useful progress already and in particular I would just like to mention two areas where I think things have been going well. One is on Air Lift and another is on Air-to-Air Refuelling. I do not need to explain to this Committee the importance of both of those. In those cases it turned out that there was something in the Prague capability commitments conference about both of those and within ESDP there were European Capability Action Plan panels working on both of those, which have become projects. Correct me if I am wrong but I think we have now managed to pretty much get those two things to come together and indeed on one of them we surrendered our chair to the Germans so that they could chair both and make sure you got that coherence. So actually things are going reasonably well in that direction. None of this produces instant money but you may have noticed that last week, for example, when we were all in Colorado Springs for the NATO meeting there were actually further commitments made on the Air-to-Air Refuelling side by a range of countries. So it is not an instant solution but I think we have got the basic geography heading in the right direction.

  Q7  Mr Howarth: Is the harmonization on the Air-to-Air Refuelling going to be reflected in the Government's position on the two competing bids which are before your department at the moment, Mr Webb?

  Mr Webb: Do you know, I cannot see that on the agenda this afternoon, Chairman, but perhaps I have missed something!

  Q8  Mr Howarth: The point I am making is that if we   are talking about capabilities, about non-duplication of harmonization, here you are faced with an imminent decision on two proposals. How is all this new structure feeding through to ensure that when we take that decision others maybe will follow suit and follow our decision? Are we being influenced by their thoughts?

  Mr Webb: Not in terms of the specific competition. I have to say I am not an expert on that end of it. But one thing is sure, which is that if we can harmonize the requirements and we can harmonize the timescales either through the NATO defence planning process or through the EU Headline Goal but now we think reinforced by the Agency that gives you the chance of having a bigger market and of allowing more sensible acquisition decisions which can exploit the bigger scale of purchase to mutual benefit. So that is certainly, I think, a longer term possibility. I cannot comment on the relevance of that to this particular project immediately in front of us but in the longer term I think it is definitely the right way to go.

  Q9  Mr Cran: Mr Webb, it seems to me, having read what was said to the House of Lords Committee last week, the Government's vision for the ESDP is all about crisis management outside the European Union but it seems equally clear to me—maybe you disagree—that other states of the European Union have a very different view about this whole scenario, have a much broader view of what it should be and what it should encompass. Is that something you agree with and without going into too much of a panegyric could you tell us if I am correct in my analysis? Which are the countries which are looking for something very much broader than we are?

  Mr Webb: I think the way I come at this is to say that we have always been pretty clear that we see the principal role of ESDP being in relation to crisis management in the Petersberg tasks. You will see that actually there is a proposal in the Treaty to expand the Petersberg tasks and I will talk about that a bit later, but that is where we see the responsibilities of ESDP being concentrated. That has been a consistent British line under successive governments for many years. We have been very careful—and you will have seen us repeat that on numerous occasions—not to try to take over roles that we feel are best fulfilled by NATO. Perhaps this point needs to be made in general. There is negotiation going on about this Treaty and defence is only one part of it, but subject to that caveat I think it is clear and the Government is clear in its own White Paper about what our position is on that. Of course you get people who have other ideas but that is not new either, so I do not see there is any great change of position in front of us here. There is one clause in here which you will have seen, which is clause 40(7), which proposes something which goes a bit further than that and where I think our reservations have been made clear already.

  Q10  Mr Cran: So the answer to the second part of my question would be that I was actually wrong in saying that some other members of the European Union had a very much broader view?

  Mr Webb: No. I was confirming that. There certainly are.

  Q11  Mr Cran: Could you just expand on that? Are we talking about the French, the Greeks?

  Mr Webb: I do not think it is helpful in negotiation to identify other people.

  Q12  Mr Cran: You are not negotiating with me. I am just a seeker after knowledge. All I am asking is what are the other key players about?

  Mr Webb: If you look at clause 40(7) you will see that there is a proposal which obviously came from somewhere—

  Mr Cran: But you are not prepared to tell us where?

  Q13  Chairman: You are being very challenged now. Your diplomatic skills are letting you down miserably. It is a very simple question. If you do not give the names give the approximate numbers with a plus or minus three. Are we going to be on our own?

  Mr Webb: No.

  Q14  Chairman: Is some of the nonsense contained within the documentation going to be implemented in toto? Are we going to have some concessions thrown to us? Just putting it slightly differently, are there other people in the European Union who do not want to see some of the kind of stuff which is before us at the present stage?

  Mr Webb: Let me just say I believe there to be a substantial majority of countries within the European Union who share our view.

  Chairman: I can sleep well in my bed tonight knowing, Mr Webb, that you have said that. We will come back to that later.

  Mr Cran: Could I at least know who they are?

  Chairman: I will tell you afterwards. Mr Webb is not going to name names, that is pretty obvious, but he has said a substantial majority, which is pretty reassuring.

  Mr Cran: It depends who is in the substantial majority of course, Chairman, does it not?

  Chairman: He is not going to tell us.

  Q15  Mr Cran: All right, even though you are not going to say that, just for the ordinary citizen, of which of course I count myself to be just one, and just so that they can understand and so can I, how does the concept that we are talking about fit within the context of what the Prime Minister said in the preface to the White Paper published in September when he said: "The Government could only accept a final text that made it clear that issues like defence remain the province of the nation state"? So that the citizen can understand what we are talking about, how do the two propositions sit together?

  Mr Webb: That is, if I may say so, on a different point.

  Q16  Mr Cran: But I am entitled to make the point.

  Mr Webb: Yes, of course. I was just going to explain why. The feature of the Treaty is that it preserves the intergovernmental nature of the Common Foreign and Security Policy and within that, European Security and Defence Policy. One could construct an EU in which the sort of role played by, for example, the European Commission of a different type of constitutional structure could apply and I think one of the reasons why the Government has overall found a great deal of this Treaty very attractive is because it does preserve precisely that point, the intergovernmental nature of the Foreign Security and Defence Policy arena. So I think that is what the Prime Minister was referring to in that respect. It is a slightly different point to what the roles of ESDP should be.

  Q17  Mr Cran: Going back to the point I asked you about the different visions—and at least we got out of you that there are different visions, albeit that we might get agreement at the end of the day—do you think that denying these unnamed countries the vision that they have in front of them will in fact loosen their commitment to the whole principle we are talking about and indeed to improving European capabilities, defence capabilities?

  Mr Webb: No. In fact some of the strongest proponents for expansion are also some of the strongest performers both on capabilities and on operations.

  Q18  Mr Cran: We must place that remark against what happens so maybe on a future occasion we can compare what you said with what happens. The last thing I want to ask is, has the Government's views on ESDP in any way been influenced by the fighting in Iraq? I simply ask that question because, as you yourself said, the original Petersberg tasks are being added to in terms of a number of things but post-conflict stabilisation is one of them. Did the one lead to the other or not?

  Mr Webb: No, not specifically because I think actually the proposal to expand the Petersberg tasks was actually made last autumn, in November 2002, but the mindset point is similar. Let me put it in this sense. We have found ourselves in the international community (whether you are talking about NATO, ad hoc coalitions or the ESDP operation, all of which occurred in the last three or four years) very often facing this issue, that a military intervention, particularly into a state which has in some sense failed, leaves a question about post-conflict stabilisation. So we have been very happy—we were associated with the drafting of this—to see stabilisation included just to make it clear that that was a valid role. Actually, I think it is role where the EU has a lot to offer because, if I may put it like this, the civil instruments are nearer to you than they are in NATO. There is a very big EU machine which has a big aid budget, which has lots of expertise in things like courts, schools, borders, economic regeneration and all that kind of thing and it is very close on hand. So I think one of the attractive features about ESDP and something we certainly proselytize for within the EU is to sort of bring together the civil and military instruments together, which of course we are quite used to doing in British practice, though not perfect, in ways which exploit the EU's strengths. So that is a long way of saying it was not specifically about Iraq but Iraq is a good example of the sort of situation which it would be helpful for.

  Q19  Mr Hancock: Hang on, Mr Webb, does that not actually make it potentially more difficult to get a military solution into play in an EU scenario where the competing pressures to go down other routes would be far too compelling for anyone to really want to settle on a military solution to an issue easily?

  Mr Webb: That cuts both ways, does it not? It might be right not to have a military solution.


 
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