Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 84-99)

DR LEWIS MOONIE MP, MR COLIN BALMER AND MR MARTIN EARWICKER

TUESDAY 21 JANUARY 2003

Chairman

  84. Thank you for being so tolerant but we could not miss the opportunity of discussing these issues with the DERA people—I refuse to call them anything else. Is there anything you would like to say to start? We cannot wait to ask Mr Balmer to explain what none of the witnesses earlier on were able to do.

  (Dr Moonie) I think we can go straight to questions. Perhaps I can introduce my team, Colin Balmer is the Director of Finance and Martin Earwicker is the head of DSTL. I shall be relying on them heavily.

  85. Yes. Minister, when the MoD chose Carlyle as the QinetiQ strategic partner in what way was it better than other applicants to pick up the role? Who else was there? Can you tell us who the others were?
  (Dr Moonie) I do not know whether I can tell you that because of restrictions on these things. There was a large field of initially something like forty applicants, which were whittled down to 6 on a short list and then after very careful selection, looking at prospects for the company and the return expected from the deal we chose Carlyle as the best option. It was as a result of a very careful sifting process.

  86. What criteria did you have in mind when evaluating whether to accept?
  (Dr Moonie) It was not just the size of the cheque, although that obviously had some bearing on it, and the way we saw the value of QinetiQ growing with it. Basically it was the bid that we thought overall was the best option for allowing the company to grow and prosper in the way that we would like to see it doing.

  87. Who was on the selection panel? Who decided?
  (Dr Moonie) On the advice of our financial advisers ultimately the Secretary of State and myself decided.

  88. Who were the financial advisers?
  (Dr Moonie) UBS Warburg.

  89. We heard from Dame Pauline that it is a British company. BAE Systems were allowed by the MoD to slip into majority foreign holding. How long is it going to be before QinetiQ becomes international rather than British?
  (Dr Moonie) We do own 62% of the equity just now, certainly not until that were to change. We have safeguards in place, Mr Chairman, if you like, to ensure that the company retains its identity as we would wish.

Rachel Squire

  90. Perhaps yourself and Mr Balmer can throw some light on the complexities of the transaction affecting Carlyle and QinetiQ.
  (Dr Moonie) We shall do our best.

  91. I live in hope. Can I, first of all, ask whether you can clarify what the financial transactions will be when the deal with Carlyle is finalised later this month? What exactly will the MoD get financially from the transaction?
  (Dr Moonie) I shall pass this without further delay.
  (Mr Balmer) Thank you, Minister. There will be three components of our receipt. The first is that we will have repaid to us the debt which was vested into the company to the tune of around £40 million, plus a bit of interest. The second component will be a continuation in a slightly different form of some of that debt, about £60 million worth, which will be a loan note contingent on the sale of some properties, particularly the property at Chertsey. Those two notes between them replace the £100 million of debt which the company still owes us, which was part of the £150 million that we vested in the company on 1 July 2001. So we will be receiving in cash of the order of £40 million and as a further loan note a further £60 million or so. The timing at which that will be turned into cash will depend on the negotiations for the sale of the Chertsey site and the point at which cash flows from that, and that could happen over the next year or two. The third component will be a cheque from Carlyle, the exact size of which will depend on the completion accounts which we will be going through with both QinetiQ and with Carlyle over the next few weeks and we expect to be of the order of £40 million or so, so that the total we receive will be somewhere between £140 million and £150 million, which were the figures that were contained in the Minister's statement.

  Mr Howarth: The £150 million is the £140 million you lent them.

  Chairman: Let Rachel unfold her question first and immediately afterwards you can come in, Gerald.

Rachel Squire

  92. That leads me neatly on to the next question which was what that £140 million, £150 million expected from Carlyle would actually cover and whether, in fact, Carlyle are paying more than the face value of the shares or are they paying less than the face value of the shares? I suppose the fundamental question is who is actually gaining from this?
  (Mr Balmer) In a sense the face value of the shares has no particular relevance, what matters is the value that is being attached to them. The value that is attached to them is whatever someone is prepared to pay for them. This is the first time we have had an opportunity of establishing what a market value is for these shares. Previously we have only been able to look at the balance sheet of the company and things like the asset base. We now have a market driven assessment of the value of the shares and that means that we are able to expect from the company of the order of £140 million to £150 million in exchange for having parted with around a third of the equity. Carlyle are only paying a certain amount in cash and that some of it is coming in loan repayments to us simply reflects the balance of debt and equity in the company. Had we not vested debt into the company then we would now be getting the same amount of money for the equity, because that is what the company is worth. We would still be getting about £140 million to £150 million. We chose to vest some of it as debt. We did not lend the company the money, we never parted with any cash to the company, we simply parted with the assets to the company when we vested them and in exchange we said "You owe us £150 million and we will have the shares". In realising a value for those, it is the total value that matters and the total value has been £50 million repaid already, which was paid a year ago, and now another £150 million or thereabouts, subject to the final completion accounts.

  93. So that links in then, am I getting this right, with what I understand the Minister told the House last month, that around £200 million would have been received by the MoD from the PPP which appears to include the £50 million previously received from QinetiQ? Am I understanding that correctly?
  (Mr Balmer) That is correct because when we vested the company we vested £150 million of debt, they owed us that much and we had shares. In two separate transactions we have taken £50 million of cash out in repayment of part of the debt and we will now take in a mixture of repayment of debt and a loan note for the site still to be sold and a cheque from Carlyle and we will be expecting another £140 million to £150 million, so the total is of the order of £200 million at this stage. We will still then own nearly two-thirds of the equity so that in due course when the company has increased in value and we judge it is the right moment to exit we will sell our remaining shares for, I hope, a considerably larger sum of money.

Mr Howarth

  94. Basically what you are saying is that there was no cash transfer when you vested the company and you said in exchange for all these assets that QinetiQ was taking a portion but in the parliamentary answer I received it said that in its current state it is valued at £342 million. You said that would be funded, the assets of the company would be funded, by way of partly equity and partly debt and that the debt would be represented by these loan notes which QinetiQ would pay to us in due course.
  (Mr Balmer) That is correct.

  95. You have had £50 million so far.
  (Mr Balmer) Correct.

  96. However, I have to say, whether deliberately or otherwise, the perception the public has is that the Government is raising some £50 million, at least £50 million, from the sale to Carlyle, if not £150 million, but that now does not seem to be the case. Mr Youngkin told us a moment ago, as you heard, that his group is paying £42 million for a third of the equity. If I can ask you the question that they were not able to persuade us of the answer to. If the net assets of the company are £312 million, that is net of liabilities, which presumably includes the £140 million owed to you under those loan notes, therefore the free capital, if you like, is £312 million, can you explain to us as laymen why is Carlyle paying £42 million for a third stake in a company which has a capital value net of debt of £312 million?
  (Mr Balmer) Can I take this question in two parts. First, Carlyle will be paying us in the order of £40 million, as I said the exact figure will depend on the completion accounts, but they are also allowing us to be repaid by the company the debt that I have described, so Carlyle are in effect paying us £140 million to £150 million but they are not having to provide cash from their own shareholders for all of that. The company will be worth less because we have taken our money out. As regards the balance sheet value of the assets—

  97. I am sorry, I am going to stop you there because they will not have taken their money out because the figure of £312 million is net of the debt, the liabilities are in the accounts at £251 million as creditors falling due in one year, so that is already accounted for, is it not? We know that the company has been valued at £500 million but after you deduct the liabilities, of which the £140 million to £150 million due to you in the loan notes is a part, the net result is that we have still got assets on the books of £300 million where you have got two-thirds of the action and Carlyle, plus the employees with their, in my view, rather small stake in privatisation, they have got the rest. Therefore, they have paid £42 million for assets worth £117 million.
  (Mr Balmer) The asset values on the books are recorded in the company's accounts. From the figures you have correctly quoted and as was disclosed by the Minister in a Parliamentary question the net asset value is £312.5 million as at 31 March last year, those are the closing accounts for the company at that stage. The directors of the company made clear in a note to those accounts that the valuation of the assets was done on a depreciated replacement cost basis, a perfectly normal process, which is not the open market value of the assets. Had an attempt been made to assess the open market value of those assets the director's view was that the assets would have been worth substantially less than that, by more than £100 million. The view at that point in time of the net assets of the company was £312.5 million less a substantial amount if you tried to sell the assets in the market place. That is the asset position. What Carlyle have done—

  98. That is phoney accounting, is it not?
  (Mr Balmer) No, that is perfectly normal accounting and those were the notes disclosed by the company in its accounts and passed by their auditors. The figure for the opening balance sheet that year had previously been agreed by the National Audit Office but the closing accounts were agreed by the company's new auditors KPMG. The figures have all passed normal audit processes. The question about what Carlyle or whoever we sold these shares to should pay is a different question. Clearly an asset value is one consideration that one would take into account. Other things to take into account, and this will clearly weigh very heavily with Carlyle are: What happens to this company in the future? What will the future performance be? What future requirements are there going to be for capital investment? What future liabilities might arise in other circumstances and what cash can the asset base be expected to generate in normal trading? The amount of cash that the company should generate over a longer period discounted back to today's value is a more normal way of valuing companies at a point of sale and our own advisers suggested that is probably how Carlyle or anybody else would have valued the company. I do not know what value Carlyle did put on any of those calculations, that is their business, they simply gave me the enterprise value at a figure of about £500 million on the assumption there was neither debt or cash in the company. The underlying value is about £500 million. Clearly there was a mixture of debt and overdraft and cash holding so at any point in time the working capital movements would mean that the actual value would be less or more than £500 million, probably less than £500 million taking account of those liabilities. If you work that calculation through and you take account of what we think the working capital balance will be and we take account of the debt the company owes that is how we get down to a number which generates a flow to us of about £140 to £150 million.

  99. You start off by saying there is an underlying value of 500 million, the balance sheet shows net assets of £312.5 million but you say that the directors reckon that an open market would be about 100 million less.
  (Mr Balmer) More than £100 million less, they actually said £113 million.


 
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