Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 40-59)

THURSDAY 20 MARCH 2003

SIR DAVID OMAND KCB AND MS SUSAN SCHOLEFIELD CMG

Chairman

  40. Excuse me, it cannot be on a equal basis?
  (Sir David Omand) No, a national basis, I meant.

  41. Sure, but I would not want Mr Cran to think that mid Wales is going to be perceived as posing a similar high level target as London, Manchester or Birmingham and therefore getting equal funds.
  (Sir David Omand) It will be threat based.

  42. What principle do you work on in terms of allocation of resources to the regions or cities?
  (Sir David Omand) In these national programmes the overriding principle is the protection of the public, therefore it has to be a threat-based analysis of where are the major risks and vulnerabilities and what we know to be the threat.

Mr Cran

  43. It is very kind of you, Chairman, to rescue me in that way. I would like to move on. The question in one's mind, I suppose, could be about over-stretch, because as you have quite rightly said, the resources have to be married against likely threats and you cannot devote resources for every conceivable threat, it just is not possible, so the mean has to go somewhere. So in a situation of over-stretch, which might occur in London because it is London, are you confident that given simultaneous attacks in London, the resources are available and the manpower is available and so on to deal with those? Where does the manpower come from if you needed more or if the emergency services needed more?
  (Sir David Omand) The emergency services have well-practised arrangements for mutual aid and assistance. This is currently being exercised by the police. The arrangements that we have are adequate, we believe, to cover the circumstances which we would predict. Where Susan and I are busily engaged is in building up resilience to keep ahead of developments on the threat. Clearly, there is no room for complacency at all, which is why we need to push ahead as quickly as possible with the programmes we have under way, so that we do build up the number of trained members of the emergency services to ensure that they have even more equipment against the possibility—the very real possibility—that we may see an increase in the threat in the years to come.

  44. So that I understand that answer, if there were to be simultaneous attacks on London tomorrow, or next week, next month or whatever, are you saying to me that yes, there is manpower, equipment and all the rest of it there to deal with simultaneous attacks, or not?
  (Sir David Omand) That is not a question that is capable of a yes or no answer. You could invent a scenario which would test any system. My answer is to do with the range of circumstances against which we and the police and the security service believe we should plan. We have indeed very recently held a major exercise with the police looking at simultaneous attacks in London, that was done within the last three weeks, in order to satisfy ourselves that we knew exactly how we would operate and the assistance that would be needed. So it is very much in our minds and we do practise it.

  45. So the answer to my question is yes?
  (Sir David Omand) It is a qualified yes because I do not want to be put in a position, since I am speaking on behalf of the Government, of having said we can cope with any conceivable contingency because that is clearly never going to be the case. You will always be able to invent a set of circumstances that would stretch the emergency services. As I say, we are adequately prepared for what we expect.

  46. Wow! One last question, Chairman, and it is simply this. You have been very careful this morning to say that we are getting there, we are not there, we are not complacent and all the rest of it. On the Richter scale of measurement where are you in being able to deal with not the worst that could happen but what might happen? Are you half-way there? Are you a tenth of the way there? Where are you?
  (Sir David Omand) Again, that is not a question that is capable of a single traffic light answer: green, amber or red. We are confident that we have taken steps, including the exercising and training of those who would have to manage a major event, to make us as well prepared as we can be. When I look ahead to the years to come I do fear that we will see an increase in the type of attack that international terrorist groups may try and mount. We have therefore got to improve our national resilience well beyond where we are now and that is our determination.

  Mr Cran: I am not going to get anywhere. Thank you, Chairman.

Chairman

  47. We were told a lot about the planned exercise later this month which was cancelled. Can you tell us why it was cancelled?
  (Sir David Omand) Postponed rather than cancelled. To take up a very large amount of time of the emergency services, particularly the police, at a time when we are expecting them to move into overdrive for public protection did not seem a very sensible thing to do. So we postponed the exercise and we will fix a new date when it is clear that we do not have other competing demands on the emergency services.

Jim Knight

  48. Were the military going to be involved in that exercise?
  (Sir David Omand) No.

Chairman

  49. I have been very much involved over the years in election monitoring and people are quite keen in some cases and not so keen in others to let us go trawling all over their electoral arrangements to see how it works. The military, NATO in particular, were very keen to have outsiders coming in just to show how professional they are in running a major exercise, far larger than the exercise that has been postponed. Are there any facilities available for people to come and monitor an exercise, people who are not part of the system but who would then be able to give some form of judgment, maybe in private, as to how effective that operation would be? If we believe in a degree of transparency then that seems to be something that should be considered if it has not been considered already.
  (Sir David Omand) I am not aware of that having been done in the past, I may be misinformed, particularly because the exercises that I have been involved in have all had some component of sensitive contingency plans being exercised which certainly would mean that full transparency in relation to the public would be difficult. I take the thrust of your question and we will think about it.

  Chairman: If you would, please.

Mr Jones

  50. In some local authorities councils do take a role in planned emergency exercises at a local level. In terms of London, Sir David, clearly it is a priority and obviously a lot of work has been done since we last took evidence on it and even people like myself who represent constituencies in Durham recognise the need for that work be done in London. Obviously we are now into a situation where military action has started or is on-going. Has the public message or threat risk to London changed in the last 24 hours and how are you actually going to communicate that to the public without scaring people to death and trying to make sure that they know the level of risk that is there at the moment?
  (Sir David Omand) That is precisely the balance we are trying to strike. I do not know whether the Committee are aware, but the Home Secretary has made a statement this morning to the House which covers precisely that point which I think has just come out and in which he refers to the terrorist threat and the concern in the present circumstances that terrorists may seek to exploit the commencement of hostilities. I will not try and add to what he has just said, but I think he has expressed quite clearly what it is we expect. There is also a longer statement which is on the new Home Office terrorism website, www.homeoffice.gov.uk/terrorism, which went up on the web yesterday.

  51. So what is the message you are trying to send out? We were in the United States a few weeks ago and the so-called orange alert created panic amongst quite a lot of people. If you asked most Americans what the orange alert is I do not think many of them would know, but there was a heightened sense of fear from the people we talked to and there were some very silly cases of people rushing out to buying duct tape and other things. I appreciate it is a difficult balancing act to get the message across, but what is the main message now that you are trying to get out to the public in terms of both reassurance but also heightened vigilance?
  (Sir David Omand) I think you put it very well, it is that the terrorist threat is real and it is serious and it continues to be real and serious. We are not giving specific advice to the public about measures they should take beyond expecting them to be vigilant and where they have suspicions, to report those to the police. There is a section in the public guidance which covers how they could report any concerns they had to the appropriate authorities. We are not giving advice about specific domestic measures beyond what I would hope most households would think of as reasonable anyway, of having some alternative means of light and enough to drink and eat. Different nations have taken slightly different lines on how much specific guidance to give in relation to different kinds of terrorist attack. We believe that it is better to issue that guidance when we know what it is we are dealing with. In order to be effective we would have to put out very comprehensive and detailed guidance of all the different kinds of incident and circumstance. That detailed information is available, for example, through the public health website for the guidance of professionals, but as far as the public are concerned, the basic message is if something happens, go in, stay in, tune in and we will make information available through all the broadcast and other media using the emergency arrangements which we have set up on a contingency basis.

Mr Crausby

  52. In the Home Secretary's ministerial statement of 3 March, and he repeats it to some extent in his statement today, he said that the first responder is the emergency services and he mentions the major investment in equipment and training and he goes on to itemise some of the things that have been spent. Can you just tell us a basic figure as to how much has been spent on the CBRN threat? Obviously you cannot deliver everything at once, I think we all understand that from the point that you made earlier about telling people and about it being not just about equipment. What are the principal areas where significant investment is still needed in both equipment and people?
  (Ms Scholefield) If I may perhaps take the Committee through the material we referred to earlier. First of all, for the ambulance service, in this financial year we spent £5 million to purchase over 7,000 protection suits and 360 mobile decontamination units in England; Scotland and Wales are together purchasing just under 2,000 suits and 31 mobile decontamination units. Our best advice is that as of today 94% of those suits are now in place. There are only, therefore, just under 600 or so awaited. On the decontamination units and this is just the ambulance service, we understand that 70% of the units are now in place. On the police, Winterbourne Gunner has delivered command training for at least four commanders from each force and the police now have over 2,000 officers equipped and trained in CBRN response and that training is continuing. On the fire service, there is a memorandum of understanding in place with the Department of Health so that firefighters will support the ambulance service by what is called a mass decontamination capability. The fire service has secured £43 million of funding for this and the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister added an additional £13 million, so that is £56 million for a national mass decontamination capability.

Chairman

  53. What did you say it was for?
  (Ms Scholefield) For a national mass decontamination capability. That procurement is also under way. This will give a step change in the capability. At the moment the fire service have about 4,000 gas tight suits and that procurement will double the number.

  54. The press are frantically writing and cannot quite catch what you are saying.
  (Ms Scholefield) Presently there are some 4,000 gas tight suits with the fire service. That figure will double under this new dimension programme and will also bring, for England and Wales, 80 new vehicles and 190 purpose built decontamination units. Those are each capable of handling some 200 people an hour. In theory there is decontamination on-site for up to about 20,000 people, which is a real step change in the capability. In addition, the Department of Health has procured vaccines, antibiotics and specialist equipment for the treatment of infectious diseases. A national smallpox plan has been developed and that was published for public consultation in December 2002. Guidance on handling infectious diseases and chemicals such as ricin has been disseminated and is available on the Public Health Laboratory Service website. That is additional guidance, as Sir David described, from the Home Office.

  55. Is there a typed version of this information?
  (Ms Scholefield) This was what I was promising the Committee in terms of a written statement which might be easier to grasp than my reading it through. In terms of the roll out, at the moment all the fire authorities have trained personnel for the interim as opposed to that step change that I described. Some 200 of the services' senior commanders have received multi-agency training and we have discussed the importance of that; that continues. The current position is that a further £3 million has been invested by the Office of the Deputy Prime Minister for training and rescue. The fire authorities are actually quite key, they do more than putting out fires including rescuing people from collapsed buildings and that training is in place with a college in Texas. There is then a proposal to secure funding for a major national investment next year. This may be what the Committee had heard through Chinese whispers and the issue you were referring to earlier. I could go on, but perhaps it is easier in a note for the Committee.
  (Sir David Omand) Can I add one point since I am obviously anxious that the Committee should hear all sides? Susan has given an account of all the positive things, but we do have to ensure that the fire service is trained on the new equipment which is about to arrive. A large amount of money has been spent assembling the "New Dimension" equipment and from next month we will see this material being assembled centrally and then available for brigades. Up to now the Fire Brigades Union has not been prepared to participate in this as a result of their dispute. Clearly with the equipment coming on-stream it is in the interests of public safety—and it is really essential—that we have the full co-operation of the Fire Brigades Union in taking forward this important programme.

Mr Jones

  56. Are they still taking the stance that they are not going to co-operate?
  (Sir David Omand) I am hoping that the dispute itself will be coming to a resolution, but I understand there is to be a second recall conference.

  Jim Knight: There is a statement today in the House.

Mr Jones

  57. If it is not resolved, is the Government going to take measures to ensure that this equipment, which obviously will be vital in the next couple of months if we are to be on a heightened terrorist alert, is going to be used? I do not think the public would accept and I personally would not accept it if equipment that had been bought to deal with a threat is sitting languishing in stores because people will not use it.
  (Sir David Omand) That would be a very serious situation were it to develop over the next few months as the equipment becomes available. The Government is well seized of it. I cannot say more than that at the moment and you take me outside my brief.

  Chairman: Without at this moment getting involved in the conflict between Government and the Fire Brigades Union, I very much hope that they would be prepared to take advantage of the new equipment and to train up to the level necessary. I would be very disappointed and, frankly, surprised if they were not prepared to do this.

Mr Jones

  58. Sir David, as the person who is heading up our preparations that must be of great concern to you.
  (Sir David Omand) It is of very great concern to me. I am not directly involved in the resolution of the dispute itself. In terms of the implications of not having this equipment service when it is planned to enter service, that is very serious.

Mr Crausby

  59. You have given us a good idea and you will send us a note of what we have been doing. Can you tell us a little bit more about next year's budget. Some of that overall budget was announced in the 3 March statement, although I know you added to that. It was a mixed message, it was about some numbers and some figures. I think what people are really looking for is an overall number as to what is being spent on our protection of CBRN. Could you give us a figure for the next financial year?
  (Ms Scholefield) For the coming financial year?


 
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