Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 217 - 219)

WEDNESDAY 25 JUNE 2003

LORD BACH, SIR PETER SPENCER KCB AND LIEUTENANT GENERAL ROB FULTON

  Q217  Chairman: Gentlemen, thank you very much for coming. I can recall once a team from MoD admitting that on procurement issues their "A" team was going to the Public Accounts Committee. They did not quite state it as boldly as that. However, we cannot complain on this occasion on procurement issues. Minister, we are very grateful to you and to Sir Peter Spencer and Lieutenant General Fulton. Thank you for coming. We have an interesting and demanding agenda. Perhaps, Lord Bach, you have a few opening remarks?

  Lord Bach: I have a few remarks, if I may. I am delighted to be back before the Committee to discuss progress on delivering our equipment programme, and of course the MoD very much welcomes this Committee's continued and valuable interest in the critical element of our overall defence capability. May I briefly introduce the other witnesses? I am joined today by Sir Peter Spencer, the new Chief of Defence Procurement, whom you have in the very recent past already questioned, and by Lieutenant General Rob Fulton, who took up his post as Deputy Chief of Defence Staff (Equipment Capability), in other words the equipment customer, at the beginning of June. Chairman, when I was here in May last year, and as part of your Committee's 2002 survey of major procurement projects, I was very much the junior member among the witnesses before you. One year on, I find myself in the opposite position and to this extent, that compared to the witnesses who were also here, I am the witness longest in post. But this is a strong and expert team that I have with me. You know, I think, already the considerable experience in the acquisition area that Sir Peter brings to his new portfolio; he has a lot of experience in the procurement field. General Fulton is also known to this Committee from his previous role with the Equipment Capability Customer area as Capability Manager (Information Superiority) and for his work in particular in shaping and articulating the concept of Network Enabled Capability. This is a particularly interesting time perhaps to review where we have got to in a range of key equipment projects and in our acquisition and industrial policies. Much has happened in the last year. There have been a number of important developments in the projects covered by your survey, including: the adoption of an "Alliance" approach to the future aircraft carriers; contract signature on two collaborative projects, Meteor and A400M; and the agreements reached with BAE Systems earlier this year on the way forward for Nimrod MRA4 and Astute. I have some encouraging news to report to you on Typhoon. There is also a number of broader factors which today together provide an unusual context for this year's review. Let me very briefly highlight two key issues. First, of course, the UK's armed forces have just taken part in decisive war-fighting operations in Iraq. Our servicemen and women have of course again demonstrated those qualities of professionalism, courage and humanity for which they are renowned. The battle-winning quality of their equipment also made an important contribution to the rapid success of the campaign. We are now, as you know, in the process of identifying and learning the lessons from Operation TELIC. Emerging findings will be published next month before the summer break. The more detailed points will take a little longer to digest. I do not want to pre-empt that work, but I have no doubt that we will want to discuss the issue with you to some degree today. Obviously, I must emphasise that operations in Iraq are continuing. The appalling and tragic events of yesterday bring home the challenges and risks that our service personnel still face. May I place on record my admiration for them and my deepest sympathy for the families of the six Royal Military Policemen killed yesterday and the 37 other members of the armed forces who gave their lives during offensive operations. In addition, my thoughts, and I am sure the thoughts of all those here, are with those from the 1st Battalion of the Parachute Regiment who were wounded yesterday at Al Amarah and their families. Going back to procurement issues, we have been working over the past year to flesh out and give effect to the findings of the SDR New Chapter in the forward defence programme. Plans for investment in new equipment capabilities, including the further development of the network, have formed an important part of this work. We are currently in the process of producing a formal response to your own report on the New Chapter. As the Secretary of State said to you when he gave evidence in March, we intend to bring together progress on the New Chapter and a number of other threads of defence policy work in this autumn's Defence White Paper. Therefore, whilst I cannot give you all the details of our plans today, I hope we can, nevertheless, provide some reassurance that we are taking this issue forward with the urgency that it deserves. All in all, there is lots of material to consider. Sir Peter, General Fulton and I stand ready to attempt to answer your questions.

  Q218  Chairman: Minister, thank you very much. Of course we would follow on from your tributes to those who died yesterday and during the campaign. It was particularly poignant for us, Minister, because we learnt about that event when travelling back from Fallingbostel, where we had gone on a visit to talk exclusively to cavalry regiments that were involved in the conflict. Coming back and finding that some of our valued military personnel had been killed and wounded was deeply saddening. The first question I would like to ask relates, and you may think it is rather unfair starting off with this, but the Nimrod MRA4 maritime patrol and antisubmarine, antiship aircraft and the Astute attack submarine programmes have not so far been shining successes or examples of Smart Acquisition. May I ask first what particular lessons you believe you have drawn from the Nimrod and Astute programmes so far?

  Lord Bach: I think we have learnt lessons from both programmes. Both programmes, I want to emphasise, are of crucial importance to our defence capability requirements and so it is essential that we obtain those capabilities at the earliest possible time we can, but you are right, of course, and it is common knowledge, that both these procurements have not run successfully insofar as we would like them to have done. One of the lessons I think we have learnt as far as Nimrod is concerned, and I start with that first, is that the balance of risk and reward may not have been perfectly judged. We need to be anti-costs but not anti-profit and we need to choose contractual pricing mechanisms that best reflect the degree of risk in our major development and production programmes. We think therefore that a target cost incentive fee is right for the restructured Nimrod programme. Firm and fixed pricing arrangements of course very much have their place in our procurement strategy, but they need to be targeted judiciously. The first answer is: balance of risk and reward. Secondly, risk reduction: what is called engineering concurrency has its place but the danger is that there is a wasteful overlap of design and engineering with production. So the production pause, which I know is painful to many people working on this programme, will allow, we believe, the design to reach an appropriate level of maturity before embarking on the main production programme. What seemed to be happening was that because there was such an overlap between development and production, the danger would be that as production continued, the development work would also be continuing, and costs would be added to make the planes better and time would be wasted. We thought that the only way of stopping this was to make sure there was this production gap. The general issue of project management also of course arose here, and I have no doubt that the company itself can talk about that in due course. That is shortly what I would say about Nimrod. On Astute, I would like to concentrate on the risk issue. The introduction of computer-aided design was much more difficult, much more troublesome, than we had expected, either by the contractors or by us at contract award. Transferability from a surface ship design has been of less benefit than expected because of the much more demanding component density and placement accuracy in a submarine. We now know, but we could not have known before, that the US Navy was having a similar experience with CAD with the design of their Seawolf submarines ten years ago in the early Nineties. In response, we have facilitated the assistance of General Dynamics Electric Boat Company to provide key design management expertise. Industrial capability is another point I would like to raise in regard to Astute. It is a long time since a submarine was completed at Barrow. The last submarine was Vengeance and the last were four Tridents. So key skills were lost in the gap before Astute commenced production. I think that has been one of the difficulties, too. Hopefully, in the whole shipbuilding field, those key skills being lost will be something that will no longer prevail. That would be my perhaps rather too long answer to the question. It may be that my colleagues have something to add to that.

  Sir Peter Spencer: What you have just heard from the Minister, Chairman, reflects the points that I made in response to a similar question when I first appeared in front of you, and so I do not think there is anything to add, apart from the fact that we are taking all of those factors into account as we move forward to completion of these two programmes.

  Q219  Chairman: Do you think, Minister, that both the MoD, DPA and the company are going to put their hands up and claim some responsibility, and hopefully where there were mistakes—and clearly there were—they have been properly identified?

  Lord Bach: I think you have got to separate the two different procurements, if I may say so, before coming to a clear answer on that. I think on Astute we both misjudged, as I say, the influence of the CAD system and I think that is demonstrated by the amount that the Ministry is paying in order to make sure that this does not happen again compared to what the company is paying. I think on Nimrod it may be a slightly different story.

  Sir Peter Spencer: For completeness, I ought to record the point that both of these two programmes predate Smart Acquisition reforms when contracts were originally placed. Although to some extent you could retrospectively apply some of the "smart" principles, as I mentioned last time, you cannot really re-engineer it in reverse very satisfactorily. The Nimrod MRA4 design challenge was hugely underestimated by industry. You will remember that we thought we were adapting an existing aircraft. The sort of figure which is now used is that some 95% of the aircraft is new. In both cases these two programmes, having let highly incentivised contracts in good faith and believing both in industry and in the Ministry that "eyes on hands off" here was the way of getting them to get on with it, we discovered, with the benefit of hindsight, that that did not give us enough visibility shape of progress. The new arrangements which are being put into place have a much more integrated management process with both parties working more closely together, which is easier to do with the target cost incentive arrangements, which were described by the Minister just now, than if you have a highly-incentivised, fixed or firm price arrangement.


 
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