Select Committee on Defence Written Evidence


Annex A (continued)

SWIFTSURE & TRAFALGAR CLASS UPDATE

  The Swiftsure & Trafalgar (S&T) Class Update is a two-phase incremental programme to counter sonar obsolescence and to deliver enhanced military capability to the in-service attack submarines. The Initial Phase (Stages 1 & 2) successfully achieved its in-service date (ISD) in June 1996. This phase resolved sonar obsolescence, introduced enhanced sonar capability (Sonars 2074 & 2082), integrated the new submarine command system (SMCS) and delivered an incremental improvement in weapon system effectiveness to the Swiftsure Class and older Trafalgar Class submarines. The Final Phase (Stages 3 & 4) will enhance the operational effectiveness of the four newest Trafalgar Class submarines, principally by the introduction of a new integrated sonar suite (Sonar 2076), an upgraded Tactical Weapon System (TWS) and a number of signature reduction measures.

  BAE Systems Electronics Ltd formerly BAE Systems Astute Class Ltd (BACL), as Prime Contractor for both the Astute Class and the S&T Class Update Final Phase, has selected derivatives of the main Final Phase sub-systems for the Astute Class. Co-ordination of requirements across both programmes is ensured as they are being managed within the same Integrated Project Team.

  Sonar 2076 is a software intensive system that represents a step change in both technology and military capability. The sonar contractor, Thales Underwater Systems Limited (TUSL), formerly Thomson Marconi Sonar Limited (TMSL), has experienced difficulties in meeting the required programme, in particular the major challenge of developing the signal and data processing software in the required timescale. A lower risk recovery programme has now been approved which will introduce the required Sonar 2076 Stage 4 capability in incremental stages, thereby minimising slippage to this element of the update programme.

Operational Requirement

  Nuclear powered attack submarines (SSNs) make a vital contribution to peace and security by providing conventional deterrence. In time of conflict, the SSN's qualities of stealth, endurance and flexibility afford it the freedom to operate unsupported, worldwide, whilst remaining undetected, either independently or in support of surface ship task groups or joint operations. SSNs play a vital role in our layered anti-submarine defences, without which the security of the SSBN deterrent and the deployment of joint expeditionary forces would be at significant risk. The SSN provides a capability to seek out and destroy other submarines that may present a threat to friendly forces, and can also detect and attack surface forces. By its actual or potential presence in an area, the SSN can deny the use of that area to an opposing force.

  SSNs with the capability to launch Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAM) are able to influence the strategic situation by posing a serious threat in periods of tension. In the event of hostilities, they can deliver these highly accurate and lethal weapons against important targets that might otherwise have remained relatively invulnerable. The SSN is also able to make a significant contribution to the intelligence collection effort, through its ability at close range to conduct covert surveillance and reconnaissance of opposition forces at sea or on the coastline. In support of covert operations, Special Forces can be inserted by a submarine.

  The Royal Navy's current SSN flotilla of Swiftsure & Trafalgar classes provides this range of operational capabilities. The Final Phase of the S&T Update programme will provide greatly enhanced sonar performance, TWS integration and signature reduction measures, thereby increasing the UK's ability to fulfil these operational roles.

Trade-offs

  Feasibility studies, including cost/capability trade-off investigations, were completed in November 1990. It was concluded that a phased approach, in four stages, would progressively satisfy the operational requirements in a way that would reduce technical and programme risk whilst fully exploiting the remaining submarine hull lives.

  Further trade-offs were carried out during 2001 to reduce the technical risks to the programme whilst maintaining the priority of key elements of the capability. These will result in the staged introduction of the Sonar 2076 functionality with the deferment of some capability until later in the Stage 4 programme.

Numbers

  The Initial Phase (Stages 1 & 2) introduced capability enhancements to three of the Swiftsure Class (SSN08, 09 & 10) and the three oldest Trafalgar Class (SSN13, 14 &15) submarines.

  The Final Phase (Stages 3 & 4) will be limited to the four newest Trafalgar Class submarines (SSN16, 17, 18 & 19) as the other in-service SSNs have insufficient remaining planned service life for further updating to be cost-effective.

Strategic defence review

  The SDR confirmed and highlighted that the nuclear-powered attack submarine is an extremely potent weapon system with an important role to play in support of a wide range of operations. These findings are consistent with the SDR New Chapter.

Military capability

  The S&T Update is designed to shift the balance of operational capability further towards the UK by enhancing the submarines' sonar performance and reducing the chances of counter-detection.

Equipment to be replaced and in-service date

  The programme involves the upgrading of existing equipment. The ISD for the Final Phase will be declared once HMS TORBAY, the first boat to receive the Update, successfully completes her sea trials with the Stage 4a increment, following her first Revalidation Assisted Maintenance Period (RAMP). HMS TORBAY was accepted back into the operational fleet in November 2002 with the Stage 3 equipment fit, and the ISD is planned to be achieved in 2004. The Final Phase update will be introduced progressively to the remaining submarines during their first refit and second commission.

Acquisition approach

  Approval for Full Development and Initial Production for the Final Phase was given in January 1994. Final Phase procurement was initially being undertaken through eight separate contracts with various equipment suppliers, including the Sonar 2076 contract with TUSL. These contracts were novated in 1997-98 to the prime contract with BAE Systems Electronics Ltd (GEC Marconi Astute Class Ltd at that time) as part of a risk reduction strategy embracing both the S&T Class Update and the new Astute Class. As part of the Sonar 2076 recovery programme, approved in November 2002, a common product approach to the Sonar 2076 will be taken across the S&T Update and the ASTUTE class submarines. This approach will significantly reduce the risks to the ASTUTE class combat system programme.

Crewing

  The current complement of the submarines will be unchanged as a result of the update.

Alternative procurement options

  Alternative procurement options were considered in mid-2000, in the light of the difficulties experienced on the Sonar 2076 programme. These were discounted due to their unacceptable impact on the timescales and costs of both the S&T Class Update and Astute programmes.

Export potential

  Export potential is constrained by the high performance and sensitive nature of the technologies involved, particularly in respect of Sonar 2076. There are no export plans for these technologies.

Industrial factors

  TUSL is a major supplier of cutting edge military sonars. This company currently employs around 350 personnel on the Sonar 2076 programme at locations in Cheadle Heath (Manchester), where the bulk of the system design, software development and systems engineering work is performed, and in Church Crookham (Hampshire) and Templecombe (Somerset) where hardware production is carried out.

Smart acquisition

  The inception of this project pre-dates the Smart Acquisition Initiative. Nevertheless, Smart Acquisition principles have been adopted where appropriate. This has resulted in a more incremental development programme and the formation of an integrated management team, in partnership with industry, to exploit the benefits to be derived from a common product fitted in both S&T and Astute class submarines and the associated integrated programme.

Key milestones

  The Key milestones and their expected dates are as follows:

Milestone
Criteria
Date
ISD for First of Class (HMS TORBAY), providing an Initial Operating Capability (IOC) Stage 4a increment accepted into service
2004
Second Stage 4 increment installed and operating in HMS TORBAY Stage 4b increment accepted into service
***
Final Stage 4 increment installed and operating in HMS TORBAY Stage 4c increment accepted into service
***
Fleet Weapon Acceptance (FWA)he full required Stage 4 functionality accepted into service in HMS TORBAY
***
Final Operating Capability (FOCThe full required Stage 4 functionality introduced into service in the last of the four Trafalgar-Class SSNs)
***


Costs

  The Major Projects Report for 2001 reported estimated total programme costs of £687 million (on a resource basis at outturn prices) for both the Initial and Final Phases (Stages 1 to 4). Of this total, some £615 million was attributable to the Final Phase. The current expected cost of the Final Phase is £727 million and is in line with the latest project approval in November 2002. The increased costs reflect the impact of programme delays brought about by software development problems and slippage in the submarine refit programme, together the new Sonar 2076 Stage 5 programme and the attribution of funds for the S&T Final Phase sea trials. A recognition of the remaining technical risk also contributes to this increase.

In-service support

  The current planning assumption is that the in-service support responsibilities for the equipment will be transferred from the Attack Submarines (ASM) Integrated Project Team (IPT) to the appropriate IPT within the Warship Support Agency, who will manage the required support using existing arrangements where possible. However, other options are being considered, particularly for common equipment such as Sonar 2076, where there may be an opportunity to provide support more cost effectively by exploiting the Contractor Logistic Support arrangements being established for the Astute Class submarines.

"Front Line" numbers

  The Initial Phase Update is currently operational in three Swiftsure Class submarines and the three oldest submarines of the Trafalgar Class. The Final Phase Update will be implemented in the four newest Trafalgar Class submarines. At any given time, some of these submarines are in the repair and maintenance cycle and are not immediately available for operational deployment.

Interoperability

  There are no interoperability issues for the S&T Class Update programme.

Disposal of equipment replaced

  There are no equipment disposal issues which arise as the programme involves either the fitting of additional equipment or the upgrading of existing equipment.

In-service life

  The six Swiftsure and Trafalgar Class submarines that received the Initial Phase update are due to remain in service until their planned decommissioning towards the end of the decade. The first submarine to receive the Final Phase update (1st increment at Stage 4a) is planned to be in-service in 2004 and will provide the Initial Operating Capability. The last submarine in the programme to receive the full Stage 4 update is planned to be in service by ***. The four Final Phase submarines are planned to remain in-service until they are progressively decommissioned from the end of the next decade onwards.

Development potential

  An additional programme of work (known as Stage 5) is currently being pursued. The aim is to develop and de-risk the enabling technology that would allow a more affordable, timely and cost effective means of sustaining and upgrading Sonar 2076 in the longer term. This could lead to a wider use of commercially available technology to enable future capability insertion and the potential re-use of common modules (software and hardware) from other UK submarine combat system projects. Additionally it may facilitate the sharing of advanced signal processing algorithms with collaborative partners.

ASTUTE CLASS SUBMARINES

  The Astute Class of Submarines (formerly known as the Batch 2 Trafalgar Class) are a derivative of the Trafalgar Class nuclear powered attack submarines (SSNs), incorporating the Swiftsure and Trafalgar Class Update tactical weapon system capability and the nuclear reactor based on the Pressurised Water Reactor 2 (PWR2) design deployed in Trident SSBNs.

  Ministerial approval was given in December 1993 for a prime contract to design and build three submarines with options for a further two. Approval for Full Development and Production of three submarines (HMS ASTUTE, HMS AMBUSH and HMS ARTFUL) was given in March 1997.

  The Astute Class will progressively replace existing Swiftsure and Trafalgar Classes later this decade.    

Operational Requirement

  Nuclear powered attack submarines (SSNs) are a key component of the Royal Navy force structure and make a vital contribution to peace and security by providing conventional deterrence. In time of conflict, the SSN's qualities of stealth, endurance and flexibility afford it the freedom to operate unsupported, worldwide, whilst remaining undetected, either independently or in support of surface ship task groups or joint operations. By comparison with conventionally powered submarines, they have unlimited endurance; a high strategic deployment speed; and carry more weapons. SSNs play a vital role in our layered anti-submarine defences, without which the security of the SSBN deterrent and the deployment of joint expeditionary forces would be at significant risk. The SSN provides a capability to seek out and destroy other submarines that may present a threat to friendly forces, and can also detect and attack surface forces. By its actual or potential presence in an area, the SSN can deny the use of that area to an opposing force.

  SSNs with the capability to launch Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAM) are able to influence the strategic situation by posing a serious threat in periods of tension. In the event of hostilities, they can deliver these highly accurate and lethal weapons against important targets that might otherwise have remained relatively invulnerable. The SSN is also able to make a significant contribution to the intelligence collection effort, through its ability at close range to conduct covert surveillance and reconnaissance of opposition forces at sea or on the coastline. In support of covert operations, Special Forces can be inserted by a submarine.

  The ASTUTE class submarine will play a key enabling role in the future concept of maritime warfare with its ability to:

  Project maritime power inland from both the open ocean and in littoral operations.

  Rapidly provide a maritime presence worldwide.

  Integrate its sensors, command and weapons systems fully in the maritime battlespace.

Numbers

  We have an order with BAES covering the design and build of the first three boats and a commitment to contracting for further boats.***

Strategic Defence Review

  The SDR (and subsequent studies of future capabilities requirements) confirmed and highlighted that the nuclear-powered attack submarine is an extremely potent weapon system with an important role to play in support of a wide range of options. These findings are consistent with the SDR New Chapter.

Military Capability

  The military capability specified for Astute builds on that of the current in-service Trafalgar Class, but with greater emphasis on land attack, intelligence gathering and special forces operations. These attributes require a new submarine combat system and a greater weapon load. An enhanced sonar system will reduce the chances of counter-detection and is a key part of the Final Phase Update of in-service submarines currently in progress. Designed to contribute to network-enabled capability (NEC), the Astute class submarine is planned to have improved communications facilities to integrate with other joint assets. Availability will also be improved by the Vanguard Class reactor plant, which will be fuelled for life and hence lead to cost savings.

Equipment to be Replaced and In-Service Date

  The Astute Class will progressively replace the Swiftsure and Trafalgar Classes of SSN which first entered service in the 1970s. The approved In Service Date for Astute was 2005, but delays in the Astute programme will result in the first of class coming into service by 2008 as announced in February by the Secretary of State for Defence.

Acquisition Approach

  The prime contract for full Development and Production of three submarines was placed in March 1997. The prime contract with GEC Marconi, which subsequently merged with BAe to form BAE Systems (BAES), the contract is incentivised through a Fixed Price Incentive Fee arrangement, with a shareline arrangement which allowed the company and MoD to share cost under/over-runs up to a maximum price. However, this contract is currently in the process of renegotiation.

  The Prime Contractor is responsible for the design and build of the vessels and provision of all equipment, including the combat system, demonstrating functional performance, and supporting the submarine during an initial period of in-service life.

Further Orders of Astute

  On current plans we intend to place orders for further Astute class submarines which we expect to enter service from the next decade onwards.

Programme Delays and Agreement on the Way Ahead

  Following BAES' disclosure of significant delay and projected cost overrun in the Astute programme during 2002, MoD entered into discussions with BAES about arrangements which would address those difficulties and, in parallel, commenced interdepartmental consideration about the extent to which MoD would contribute to the resolution of the difficulties.

  Whilst MoD said it was not prepared to protect BAES from its failure to perform, it did acknowledge that it would discuss the exceptional difficulties which may have arisen from the introduction of the CAAD 5 design tool. This formed the basis on which MoD entered high level negotiations. These negotiations took place throughout January and February 2003, culminating in an agreement ratified by the Government on 19 February 2003. Under the agreement, the design and development and production of the First of Class (FOC), HMS ASTUTE, will be separated from the production of the second and third submarines. Full scale production work will resume once confidence in BAES's ability to undertake the work has been established and the design substantially completed. The Design and FOC elements will be priced through continuance of the existing Target Cost Incentive Fee (TCIF) format of the Astute contract but with new share lines above and below the newly established Target Cost. It is the aim to agree fixed prices for the second and third submarines and BAES is incentivised to submit timely price quotations. The agreement also contains incentives on BAES to reduce construction man-hours and to shorten submarine build periods.

  The original contract was based on a single source supplier (GEC-Marconi) as the only UK provider of this capability. The MoD sought to establish a fair price, given the economic conditions, and agreed joint assumptions on an open book basis at the time of contract signature in March 1997 on how the project would be delivered. These assumptions related, in part, to the benefits to be derived from the first comprehensive application of computer aided design (CAD) techniques to UK submarines. CAD will deliver significant advantages in the future but its benefits have proved more difficult to realise on a programme of this complexity than either the MoD or the company had assumed. It is now clear that the introduction of CAD requires more time and effort than had originally been anticipated. As a result, the Government have agreed to increase its funding by around £430 million, subject to final negotiations, as against an increased contribution by the company of £250 million. Significant additional MoD expenditure will not begin until 2008. The cost increases reflect the Government's acceptance of a share of the responsibility along with BAES for the underestimate of the required effort and the consequent design delays. They also cover costs incurred through restructuring and other revisions to the project and will result in the first of class coming into service by 2008. In the light of what is now known about the costs and benefits of CAD, the MoD is confident that the agreement represents a good deal for the taxpayer. It will provide an outstanding class of new generation attack submarines for the Royal Navy, and will maintain important UK industrial capability. Subject to the necessary arrangements being agreed, it is intended that BAES will call upon short term assistance from the Electric Boat Division of General Dynamics to help strengthen BAES skills in CAD management.

  The exact details of how the Astute contract will be restructured to reflect the agreement is being worked up in a joint implementation plan being developed with BAES. Work on this will continue apace and is expected to take several months to complete.

Crewing

  Crew numbers will be the minimum possible consistent with maintaining operability and skill levels. The crew will be smaller than for the Swiftsure and Trafalgar Class and the contractor is incentivised to keep total numbers down to a maximum of 84, excluding trainees and sea-riders.

Collaboration

  Given the sensitive nature of the technologies and capabilities concerned, a collaborative approach is generally inappropriate for SSN procurement. However, it is planned that US expertise in Computer Aided Design (CAD) processes will be brought into the programme.

Export Potential

  Export plans for the technologies associated with Astute are limited because of its sensitivity, not least to the SSBN connection. Only the United States would be a source of information exchange on any aspect of propulsion, but weapon systems—such as periscopes or weapon discharge systems—would be export candidates as they have been in the past.

Industrial Factors

  The Astute Class is critical to maintaining the nuclear submarine industrial base. The Barrow shipyard is the only UK facility capable of undertaking the design and build of nuclear submarines. BAES have announced their intention that Barrow is to continue to be a centre of excellence for submarine building. As far as the MoD is concerned, Barrow has the assurance of a continuing submarine programme which will provide work for some years yet and current assumptions are that the RN will have a need for further submarines.

Smart Acquisition

  This is a legacy project whose Main Gate equivalent approval pre-dates the (then) Smart Procurement Initiative. Nevertheless, Smart Acquisition principles have been adopted and applied where appropriate.

Key Milestones

Milestone
Criteria
Date
Entry into serviceInitial trials of HMS Astute completed
2008


Costs

  We have previously reported an estimated total cost for the programme of some £2.7 billion on a resource basis at outturn prices. The cash addition to the programme resulting from the latest Agreement is some £430 million. Taking this into account, together with the overall impact of three years' programme slippage (including increased cost of capital of some £150 million), the current estimated forecast cost of the programme is some £3.6 billion in resource terms. These costs will be refined during the course of negotiations and subject to re-approval when the detailed programme is reset in the Summer.

In-Service Support

  The original Astute contract included an initial period of Contractor Logistic Support for three boats. The division of responsibility between MoD and Industry is being reviewed to establish whether risk management and financial liability has been appropriately allocated. Discussions to agree a way forward on a longer term strategy are in progress.

Interoperability

  The Astute Class will be capable of participating in joint operations with allies and providing capability such as land attack (via TLAM) and Special Forces insertion. The planned communications system will be key to enabling interoperability with the US Navy and other allies and reflects the continued priority afforded by the MoD to NEC.

Disposal of Equipment Replaced

  Astute will progressively replace Swiftsure and Trafalgar Class submarines which are planned to begin decommissioning towards the end of the decade.

In-Service Life

  The Astute Class submarines are due to remain in service for 25 years.

Development Potential

  Capability enhancements are under consideration. Their implementation will be subject to approval once we have received satisfactory commercial proposals from BAES.



 
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