Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 780-799)

MR MARTIN IVENS, MR ALEX THOMSON AND MR MARK URBAN

2 JULY 2003

  Q780  Mr Howarth: Yes; or not being done.

  Mr Thomson: Or not being done. One of the greatest sensitivities, perhaps less front line stuff, is the treatment of POWs, the filming of POWs, for instance. I felt the military on the ground were quite astonishingly aware of Geneva Convention sensitivities and so forth in a way which certainly surprised me compared with 1991. I did not personally detect that anything was being done or not done for the cameras in terms of the assault on Basra.

  Q781  Mr Howarth: You did not feel that the presence of media folk right alongside them was in any way influential in the way they treated civilian casualties or in the way they prosecuted the campaign. They did not hold back because they knew there was somebody sitting alongside them, whereas if there had not been somebody sitting alongside them, they might have been rather more robust.

  Mr Thomson: I did not see that and actually they did not fully know perhaps that we were even there, because the only reason I went into Basra with the troops when they first went in was because we had peeled off from our embed in an armed Land Rover and just drove in with them. It was a fairly ad hoc arrangement. I am sure they had radios and they had eyes and they saw there was a white armoured Land Rover suddenly between their tanks. The best laid plans and all of that, but actually on the day that is how it happened for us.

  Q782  Mr Howarth: There have been reports of an intelligence failure in assessing the threat posed by the Fedayeen, who turned out to be more formidable than had been expected. How do you assess the reaction to a tax by the Fedayeen on coalition forces?

  Mr Urban: The media, military or public reaction?

  Q783  Mr Howarth: All. You were not there, but perhaps Mr Thomson.

  Mr Thomson: I was surprised. I saw—and you have probably seen it too—the second directive which Robin Brims sent out prior to the war and he basically says in black and white that he had no idea, they did not have any human intelligence on Iraq. This is probably the most photographed piece of desert on the planet with satellite technology, but in terms of having people on the ground prepared to live there and all the dangers which go with that, you are almost in a situation of the Americans in Afghanistan. They did not have it and Brims wrote that in his directive. I am sure you can see that. Basically they did not know what to expect. It could have been great, it could have been Kosovo, flowers could have been thrown in front of the vehicles as they went in, it could have been muted. I think Brims would have sent that message very forcefully down the line: go carefully, we have no idea what to expect.

  Mr Ivens: We found that one of the advantages of having correspondents in Baghdad, one of whom was an Arab speaker, was that quite early on in the course of the campaign, we were able to establish the presence of an Arab foreign legion, people who had already not gone as far as becoming suicide bombers, but they had gone there in one form or another idealistically to fight. So it was not entirely surprising to us and to the readers of our newspaper that such attacks might occur.

  Q784  Mr Howarth: So were you building a picture of the prospects of Fedayeen actually inflicting damage and suicide bombing likely to take place?

  Mr Ivens: We had established the fact, mostly from Syria, that there were people who were willing to fight and die in a way which was not expected of the Iraqi Army.

  Q785  Chairman: Gerald asked whether the media had any effect on the military conduct of the war in the desert. Did you discern the media had any effect on decision making in national governments, national parliaments?

  Mr Urban: Both types of question, the parliament and the military one, require us to get inside the decision-making loop, as I believe the military types call it. I will not say "of the enemy", but they require us to get inside someone else's decision-making loop and clearly your general from PJHQ or Chief of Defence Staff or someone else is much better able to say whether a specific report caused questions to be asked by the Secretary of State, statements to be issued and some alteration to happen on the ground, than we would be. Similarly being in the lobby and feeling the mood of parliament yourselves, you might be better equipped to know whether some specific report changed the atmosphere here in a very dramatic way. If we throw back to 1991, one of the very difficult things about trying to make an honest assessment—they are key questions after all about whether the conduct of a campaign or a political atmosphere has been changed by coverage—is that you will always get the issue of, in the 1991 context for example, whether it is the Scud threat that causes the change in the pattern of the campaign or whether it is the reporting of it. A certain type of reporting which was going on, particularly from Israel, that the missiles were coming in, was engendering a feeling that the whole thing was on the edge, what if the Israelis strike back, etcetera. In the context of the 1991 Scud threat, I remember two weeks into the war Schwarzkopf gave a press conference in Riyadh, which I attended. Basically he described the Scud threat as "a non-militarily significant weapon" at one point. Then he went on to point out that over 2,500 sorties had been devoted to Scud hunting. So I put my hand up and gave him what I naturally assumed was the killer question, which was to say "You just said you have devoted more sorties to `a non-militarily significant' item than any other type of target. How does that square with what you said before the war started, that you do it by military principles alone?". Of course he did not say "You've got me there". He just said "Well, it was a military target and that is all that matters" and he moved onto the next question. From his perspective, he could justify the activity in terms of the military significance of the Scud and clearly it was highly politically significant. How far the coverage played in, is a very complex question. If you bring it up to this year, okay, attacks going in, particularly on American supply echelons, Nasiriyah, Najaf, as they were moving up towards Baghdad. How far those altered the conduct of the war because of the military circumstances of losing a couple of dozen troops, having people captured, all very difficult questions for them in trying to secure their lines of communication, and how far it was the coverage itself of those issues is a very, very tough one and clearly you would almost have to have someone who was inside the war to make an assessment on that.

  Q786  Syd Rapson: The Committee has received consistent reports about equipment shortages. In your capacity you have to choose which information coming in you put out to the public. How significant were the shortages of equipment reported to you at the time? Were they significant? Some people say we have always been short of toilet rolls, short of this, short of that, but some concerns were being raised and there are even more now. How significant was the reporting of those equipment shortages at the time? Did it appear to be interesting or relevant?

  Mr Thomson: It was not particularly relevant. I got there a week or two before the invasion. I think I was just post loo rolls actually, if I might put it in non-military terms. There had been a number of those sorts of stories. You got there, you poked around to see whether there was anything really significant to any of this and in all honesty, I do not think there was. The greatest concerns were around the calibre of the equipment, the radio equipment and, amongst soldiers and officers particularly, concerns about friendly fire. Those were pretty much in the forefront of people's minds rather than actual equipment. My understanding is that although an awful lot of equipment did arrive there very late, it did actually arrive. I am only talking about the parts of the British Army with whom I had contact.

  Q787  Syd Rapson: So there was no real difference between this campaign and others as far as shortages are concerned and the relevance of it to you? There seemed to be quite a lot of interest at one time when it was being reported in the newspapers and seemed to get out of hand. After the event we are now getting more positive stories about bullets not being right and flak jackets not being available, but at the time it was apparently not significant.

  Mr Thomson: No. They all thought our flak jackets were better than theirs were and wanted to swop. Apart from that I cannot honestly say, in terms of being on the ground, that was of enormous significance. Friendly fire was a much bigger concern.

  Q788  Syd Rapson: May I ask your opinion? How well do you think the British were able to handle the transition from war fighting to peace keeping? There is a general feeling that we did reasonably well compared with the Americans but what is your opinion on how we coped with that transition?

  Mr Thomson: It is too early to tell. On the day the tanks went in on the Sunday, the paras went in on foot the next day. I cannot actually remember, but they were probably wearing helmets the first morning and then they came off. As tanks went past on the main route into Basra, people were queuing for buses; normal Basra life simply went on without so much as a blip.

  Q789  Syd Rapson: From the information you got, would you know whether the troops were prepared psychologically for the transition or whether they were going in to fight and to win the battle and had no understanding of what was to be done afterwards? I am talking about the British forces. Do you have any knowledge of that at all from what you were picking up?

  Mr Thomson: I saw, for instance, the surrender documents which they were dropping in the desert; I am sure you have seen a copy too. They were bending over backwards to go over the border and have a cup of tea with people and persuade them it was not a good idea to fight. Very considerable effort was put in to doing that. Clearly, if it came to a fight, they were prepared to give people a fight and the people who wanted one certainly got one. In terms of speaking to soldiers on the streets of Basra, the paras that afternoon were jumpy but frankly amazed and very pleased. They did not particularly want to be in a situation . . . Well, I am sure there were some who did want to be in a situation where they could have a bit of a fire fight and some did say that, but most were astonished. Only 24 hours before, the tanks, the Challengers, had been on the streets and there they were, walking up and down; one or two people were waving but mostly they were ignored.

  Q790  Syd Rapson: I watched the television, as did everyone else, and collectively I cannot remember who reported what, but I always watch Newsnight and probably they covered it very well. There appeared to be a lot of looting and criminality and that still carries on. We did not seem to react to that as fast as we could. From a layman's point of view, there seemed to be a feeling of letting them get the anger out of their system and that they wanted to get their own back. The troops did not appear to be prepared to stop the looting as fast as they could or to protect specific critical facilities and the criminality continued. Do you have any collective views on that? Was the appearance of a lack of reaction from our troops real, as suggested by the pictures we were given?

  Mr Thomson: Damn right it was; absolutely inaction. What could they do? Basra, depending on what you believe, has anything up to two million people, who have been completely deprived. This is a place which has the two things the area most needs: oil in abundance and water in abundance. The pavements should be made out of marble and you know what Basra looks like from the TV images. When there has been a kleptocracy in place for that long, which has been thieving from the people and depriving them of what they need, then one afternoon a very small number of heavily armed soldiers comes in tanks and sits in a compound, of course people are going to set fire to things and steal everything and remove everything—and I mean everything—that can be removed. We had a shot of somebody with a flatbed truck dragging a cruiser along the road, everything which could be got was got. The British Army's attitude, not unreasonably, was "Let `em get on with it. We can't stop them" which they could not. Probably they had no orders to stop them; their orders were to go in and to secure their lodgements, the first places they could secure in the town, and go from there and in a few days it would burn itself out. In a few days, on that sort of scale, it did burn itself out.

  Q791  Syd Rapson: So it was an acceptable way for it to happen.

  Mr Thomson: Criminality is the wrong term to use.

  Q792  Syd Rapson: It did appear to be an unexpected way to deal with it, but perhaps we could not have done more as a country to prepare to shore up that part of the peace keeping faster and to gain the support of the people and not lose it. I think we gained a great deal of credibility by coming in and taking over and then that suddenly dispersed when we were unable to protect their hospitals and their supplies of electricity as well as we should. We seemed to have won the battle and lost the hearts and minds. It is very easy for us after the event and I am not trying to be smart, but could we have done more, should we have been more prepared and should we have been trained to be aware of the transition which could happen? We did not appear to be.

  Mr Urban: There are some interesting questions, both this one and the question about the Fedayeen which related to internal communications within the armed forces and the people who were planning this operation. It is certainly the case that a contact said to me a few weeks before the war that the main thing they were trying to get their heads round at the moment was what they were calling in Whitehall "catastrophic collapse". I asked what that was. He said it was a planning assumption that because of the nature of the state, the whole thing just implodes and there is absolutely no authority, no order or whatever. Clearly from that evidence you can say that in some department of MoD or cell of the forces or wherever there clearly were some people thinking about that. Equally, one can say with looting, one saw how the Iraqi army left Kuwait City in 1991; one saw trucks driving up the [Mutla] ridge towing steps to aircraft from the airport behind them. Quite why they were taking those home ...? Clearly in that sense one can say that there was some form here as to what might happen in a power vacuum situation, if you allowed a lot of armed people to be let loose on a modern urban centre. On the Fedayeen, I certainly know from conversations I have had, that as soon as you understood from your intelligence gathering methods that the Iraqis did not intend to attempt a conventional defence of their borders—and that was pretty clear a week or two before the operation began—you then began to ask yourself what their strategies were for defending themselves. It was calculated to be a three-tier [ring] of an inner defence in the Baghdad area, the so-called red zone, by the Republican Guard, a guerilla style defence—and I certainly had discussions about this with contacts and it was reported in a piece we did a week before the war started that a guerilla defence was one of the main options—and the possible use of WMD, which was talked about a lot but clearly did not happen. It is interesting in that context that General McKiernan, made his famous remark about not having war-gamed that option, which was carried by the American press and caused a bit of a stir in Washington about ten days into the war. It is curious, because clearly some people were considering the possibility of the Fedayeen or guerilla type resistance. I am sure of it and it was reflected in some of the coverage even before the war started that this was one of the principal options open to the Iraqis. Similarly the catastrophic collapse was definitely being thought about and discussed and planned for by some people. The question of why these things did not get down to the soldiers on the ground is an interesting one.

  Mr Thomson: Although some clearly did, to protect the Al Faw peninsula oil installations in the south and at the other end of the infrastructure the gas oil separation plants (GOSPs) in the desert in the Rumaylah field was an absolute military priority from the word go. There was some thinking along those lines, but frankly they thought "Looting? Civil unrest? Let it go".

  Q793  Mr Cran: One of the novel aspects of this particular war was the whole concept of embedded journalists. There have been different views about how successful it has been. I am getting the impression from you that you thought it was successful. I was just looking at a quote from Air Marshal Brian Burridge, and all he was able to say was ". . . on balance . . . the use of the embedded media was just positive". That is not a ringing tone. Could you answer against the background of one other point, which is this. It seemed to me that the embedded journalists were bogged down by a mass of tactical detail, which they were unable to assess and put into a bigger strategic context. Is all of that fair? Against that background was the embedding principle successful?

  Mr Ivens: It is half and half, is it not? In Gulf War 1 the embedded journalists had a rather tough time of it and often found themselves locked up either at sea or on land in quarters where they could observe nothing at all. Embedding in this war to a certain extent gave them an opportunity to see things and report on things which would otherwise never have been reported. Speaking in the interests of print media, we found it useful to have both, both the embedded and the unembedded. The MoD and soldiers on the spot were not always very happy with unembedded forces, given the system that they chose to operate, but we would like to have both systems.

  Q794  Mr Cran: Mr Thomson, you were embedded, you must have a view on whether the whole thing was successful. Do you have any reservations?

  Mr Thomson: Yes, I have plenty of reservations. Of course in some senses it suits the military to have people at the front end—or the second front end, because nobody was at the very front end, let us disabuse ourselves of that from the word go. Being an embed on a spoke means you were probably in the second run of people going up the Al Faw or on the west of Az Zubayr or whatever it was. In a sense, having people there who, when it is going well, can give you, in television terms, all the pictures, because television is a crude beast, it needs the pictures, we live or die by that and frankly whether there is a journalist behind who can understand what is going on is in some senses not the major thing. You need the pictures and at least under this system the pictures can be brought in either to London or to the hub where we were, where we have someone like Chris Vernon or Robin Brims, who can take us on one side and tell us what is going on. It does not matter that there are X hundred people there, what matters is what they are doing and you cannot use that because it is future intent. Do you see what I mean? They did try very hard to put this future intent into context so that we could see what was happening today in the context of what would be happening tomorrow. That was what you had in this hub in the strategic sense, but clearly there are problems and one of the many problems was in fact that you had somebody out on one of the spokes whose material would simply be sent with a track and a commentary, straight back into London, turned round, edited together, bang it is out and it bypassed any kind of process of setting it in context and strategy and detail. I guess if you want a lot of that you would probably read a newspaper.

  Q795  Mr Cran: Do you accept that one of the weaknesses of the embedded principle is that the pressure is to get the stuff into a twenty-four-hour media, a lot of tactical detail gets broadcast but no context. Do you accept that?

  Mr Thomson: I accept that entirely, yes. To go back to Brian Burridge's comment, that is a senior officer commenting in a situation where, by and large, it went pretty well. You have only to imagine what it would be like if things went badly; material simply would not get out. We did not have many examples, but one was when we did a food distribution in Az Zubayr, as I am sure you are aware, and material was held over by at least 24 hours because the food distribution had gone badly, there was a mini riot, somebody let off a few rounds and it was all a bit chaotic and the Brits pulled out. That was basically censored, quite against the censorship rules, but it was censored and that was a very, very minor incident; nobody got hurt, it just did not look particularly good. It looked rather chaotic and it looked as though hearts and minds had not been won. If Brian Burridge said that on a war which went like this did, I think he would tell you pretty clearly what he felt if it had gone badly.

  Q796  Mr Cran: Mr Urban, you were back here and I guess you are the individual to whom all of us would look to give context to the material you were getting. Did you feel you succeeded or partially succeeded?

  Mr Urban: That really is in the eye of the beholder. Certainly I felt I had quite a lot of good material from the embeds. If you look at the system which was created and the numbers of journalists involved, I do not think you can be left in any doubt—and I am talking now about the central planning, the central command, the American planning rather than any MoD or British aspect of this—that getting the message out or allowing people a window into the military action was deemed more important than operational security. They would not have crafted a system like the one they created, if operational security had been a higher issue on their list of concerns than, call it what you will, information. That is perfectly clear. When I was preparing my presentations each night and assessing where the 1st Marine Division was and the Brigade of the 82nd Airborne had become committed, I had a mental list of which embeds were with which unit of the American Army. I would check the website of the Boston Globe, the New York Times, whoever it was, I would listen to Voice of America, whatever was necessary to find out what the 82nd Airborne Division were doing today. Despite the restrictions about not saying exactly where they were, I was normally able to gain a very good idea both of their activity and their location. It became a daily routine for me to collate all the information which was available, almost all of it, just through the obvious expedient of using the net, or just consuming the media, whether video media, ABC, Fox, whoever, and just by knowing who was embedded with the 2nd Brigade of the 3rd Infantry Division, checking their output, seeing where they were, it was always pretty obvious. In that sense, you could see that the whole way the operation was crafted assumed in a way, rightly, that you were not operating against an enemy who would have sufficient military power and cohesion to respond to that information quickly and effectively and say if they are there, then we can attack at points A and B. That was a safe assumption on the part of the American planners, but it was certainly possible to pull that information together and to do so on a daily basis. There were unanswered questions for example, about certain Special Operations Forces or certain squadrons of the Air Force. Apart from that it was pretty clear where everybody was on any given day and what they were doing.

  Q797  Mr Cran: I think I am speaking more about the visual media than I am about Sunday heavyweights, which have time to work out the context. Would it be fair to say that in programmes like yours, where at the end of the day you have had time to think about it, you have had time to make the calls and so on, there you do get the context? Where it may go wrong is where you have BBC2 or BBC1 or whatever devoting a whole morning to the war and there is no context at all, it is just moving from one pinprick to another. That is fair, is it not?

  Mr Thomson: Yes; if you are saying Newsnight and Channel Four News are so much better than twenty-four-hour news, that is entirely fair.

  Q798  Mr Cran: No, I was not saying that at all.

  Mr Thomson: I jest. Of course, there is the time to check things and actually make phone calls and check what we think is about right and that can be done in the context of in-depth one-bulletin-a-day news programmes. It cannot always be done in the same way in terms of twenty-four-hour news. That is not to denigrate twenty-four-hour news; twenty-four-hour news is simply doing a different job. I think that they are both perfectly valid.

  Mr Urban: Absolutely; it is horses for courses. Clearly in any rolling output there will be an immediacy which has a value to the viewer and what one can say at the end of it all is that for all that output and the angst it causes in some quarters in government, it leaves people much better informed. Generally speaking the results one got from soundings of the audience were generally that it is a mistake to underestimate the intelligence of the audience.

  Q799  Mr Cran: I was not implying anything other than the opposite of what you said.

  Mr Urban: It is horses for courses. The analytical function of Newsnight or Channel Four News is clearly different to the immediacy type of material and the value of immediacy that you get, whether it is Sky, News 24, whoever, from those networks.


 
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