Conclusions and recommendations
100. The last three issues dealt with in the White
Paper, expansion of higher education, fair access, and funding
for universities and student support are intimately linked. Expansion
in the proportion of those aged 18 to 30 participating in higher
education to 50% will mean more people coming into higher education
from non-traditional backgrounds, and the factors that will determine
whether that target is achieved do run wider than the issues addressed
in this section. In its proposals for expansion, the Government
concentrates on foundation degrees as the primary work-focused
qualification, and so do we; but much of the section on access
also addresses issues that relate to expansion of the sector.
101. The 50% target is, so far as we can judge, an
arbitrarily chosen Government target. Indeed, if one looks at
participation in higher education over a lifetime and not just
between 18 and 30, then the proportion is already over 50%[135].
Nevertheless, there is scope for growth in higher education because
there is a need in the economy for more highly skilled people.
A number of our competitor countries already have participation
at the 50% level, as does Scotland.
102. The Government has created problems for itself
by insisting that it wishes to see expansion from 43% participation
to 50% participation mainly by an expansion in foundation degrees.
This has generated some scepticism, with foundation degrees being
seen in some quarters as a means to ends other than the opportunity
to study for a potentially valuable new qualification. Dr Brown,
for example, described foundation degrees as "a solution
looking for a problem"[136]
and speculated that they were being promoted because the Treasury
considered that achieving 50% participation in higher education
through honours degrees would be prohibitively expensive.[137]
It has also given rise to the concern that the Government hopes
to encourage those from non-traditional backgrounds to undertake
foundation degree courses regardless of whether that is the most
appropriate form of study for a particular student's interests
and abilities.
103. Another problem for the Government in pursuing
its stated aim of expanding the higher education sector though
the medium of foundation degrees is that it is not in a position
to control demand in the way the White Paper implies. If students
wish to do honours degrees rather than foundation degrees then,
as Sir Howard Newby told us, the funding will go to honours degrees.
104. The Secretary of State described the establishment
of foundation degrees to us as "the single biggest challenge
we have to implement the White Paper
having a credible foundation
degree programme is exceptionally important".[138]
He also told us that
"Foundation degrees have to be attractive and
wanted and desired rather than a requirement that people are forced
down that course. If it ends up that people are forced to go down
that route, then I think it would have been a failure. From what
I have seen of the early foundation degrees
I do not think
we need be in that position at all."[139]
He added that he thought "there are students
currently going to do a three-year honours degree, who, if we
had good quality foundation degrees
might enjoy and do better
to go for a two year foundation degree".[140]
105. Given that the Government wants expansion to
happen through foundation degrees, and given the Government's
widening access agenda, there is a danger that foundation degrees
will become degrees solely for students from poorer, non-traditional
backgrounds, thus reinforcing social stratification in higher
education, not weakening it. The Secretary of State clearly
would not welcome that outcome, but if expansion is to be achieved
solely through foundation degrees, that may be the reality.
106. In any event, we believe that it is unnecessary
for the Government to attempt to force the achievement of the
target. There is a momentum driving applications which will mean
that the 50% will be met. A recent paper from the Higher Education
Policy Institute suggests that the proportion of 18-year-olds
with two or more A levels will continue to increase and may reach
46% by 2010. That, coupled with population increases, means that
demand for undergraduate places will rise by between 180,000 and
250,000 by the end of the decade.[141]
The report concludes:
"If increased undergraduate demand proves to
be as high as 250,000, then this alone will bring the [Initial
Entry Rate] close to the Government's 50% target, without any
further action on the part of the Governmentthere would
be no need for a policy of 50% or any other figure, as natural
demand will ensure achievement of this figure".[142]
107. This potential explosion in demand sits uneasily
with the Government's plans for expansion in student numbers to
2005-06. The grant letter from the Secretary of State to HEFCE
in January provided for 14,000 more places this year, 19,000 in
2004-05 and 23,000 in 2005-06, but with the proviso that all those
places should be for foundation degree courses.[143]
Unless the Government allows the funding of more honours degree
places, there is going to be considerable unmet demand for places
in higher education from people with a minimum of two A level
passes.
108. We believe that it is a mistake for the Government
to have made such a strong link between the move to 50% participation
and foundation degrees. It appears to be another illustration
of the Government's tendency to over-prescriptive management of
higher education.
109. Foundation degrees may go on to be popular
and successful with students and employers, particularly if they
are relevant to particular jobs and careers and if they improve
employability. However, the association being made between the
ambition to grow to 50% participation and the expansion of foundation
degrees could undermine their credibility. Foundation degrees
should be allowed to take their place in the portfolio of higher
education qualifications without being burdened with the achievement
of this target.
110. We look forward to the Government's detailed
proposals for the development of foundation degrees which the
Secretary of State told us should be available in the summer.[144]
111. It is clear from the evidence we heard that
the contribution of further education colleges will be important
to the success or otherwise of foundation degrees. The Government
should help the expansion of higher education in further education
colleges by simplifying funding procedures and ironing out anomalies
in the funding mechanisms, and in inspection and assessment regimes.
112