Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 200 - 219)

TUESDAY 4 MARCH 2003

RT HON JACK STRAW MP, MR PETER RICKETTS CMG AND MR ROB MACAIRE

  200. Finally, concerning the nature of the evidence going to be presented to the Security Council, we discussed earlier Colin Powell's evidence which did not seem to convince Dr Blix about the sites at Taji, and I wondered if you could say something about whether or not there will be extra evidence presented by the US and the United Kingdom to the Security Council. In particular, is there extra evidence linking Iraq with al Qaeda? I note that our Prime Minister said that we do not rest our case against Saddam on the basis of links with al Qaeda: however, it would also be wrong to say that there is no evidence of any links with al Qaeda, and I wondered if you could tell this Committee whether or not it is our intention to be able to present any more evidence to the Security Council about links between Saddam and al Qaeda?
  (Mr Straw) We in the United Kingdom have got no current plans to present evidence to the Security Council; indeed, we have not done so at any stage. I was present for Secretary Powell's presentation on 5 February and I thought it was very impressive. There was one point raised by Dr Blix about these overheads; the United States Secretary of State suggested Iraq had prepared for inspection by cleaning up sites of evidence of the proscribed weapons programme, and Dr Blix makes some comment on that. He finishes by saying: "Our reservation on this point does not detract from our appreciation of the briefing". The briefing was really very important and I thought very compelling. Of course, if people do not want to hear what the evidence is you are not going to be able to convince them, but the transcript of the intercept of one officer saying to another, "Don't ever use the word `nerve agent'"—I think it was "nerve agent"—in itself was rather chilling testimony about what they have. Why would they be talking about that? It really was powerful stuff so far as I am concerned. I am not aware of any current plans, however, by Secretary Powell for a further such evidence session. You asked me about what we know about relationships between al Qaeda and the Iraqi regime: to repeat, Mr Chairman—

  Chairman

  201. Briefly, if you would.

  (Mr Straw)—neither the Prime Minister nor I have seen any evidence which links the Iraqi regime with the events of September 11 before September 11. There has been some evidence of Iraq creating a more benign environment in which al Qaeda operatives may be able to operate but, as the Prime Minister has said, that is not the burden of the case against Iraq so far as its weapons of mass destruction are concerned.

  202. But, Secretary, you must have been very embarrassed by the so-called "dodgy dossier"; the way of, without specific attribution, lifting elements from a PhD thesis; the lifting of sentences and making them more extreme. You must have felt like sacking somebody as a result of the damage which was done to the credibility of the government's regime. How many ministers saw that document before publication? Who authorised it?
  (Mr Straw) My embarrassment threshold is very much higher than that, Mr Chairman; it would take a huge amount to embarrass me! The important thing about this dossier is that it is accurate. Its provenance should have been made clearer, and I have made that clear in itself. On the issue of which ministers approved it, it was approved by the Prime Minister.

  203. Did you see it yourself?
  (Mr Straw) No, it was not an issue. It was partly drafted in the Foreign Office and partly—

  Andrew Mackinlay

  204. Who commissioned it?

  (Mr Straw) The Prime Minister's Office.

  205. The operative word is "Office", is it?
  (Mr Straw) Well, I cannot say for certain.

  206. The point is this was damned irritating to your friends in Parliament as well, frankly, was it not?
  (Mr Straw) And I count you as one of them, Mr Mackinlay!

  207. Absolutely, and there are these people at No 10 Downing Street who are unelected, unknown to people, acting freelance reading between the lines, and basically this is what happened. One of these bright sparks, who plainly do not know, commissioned it; the poor Prime Minister does not know what is put before him, and it is signed off. Let's be candid and frank—that is what happened, is it not?
  (Mr Straw) I do not think so, and there are plenty of people whose identity is not particularly well known in the Foreign Office; I am responsible for what happens in the Foreign Office and the Prime Minister is responsible for what happens in the Prime Minister's Office. The crucial thing about it is it is accurate. No one has been able to deny its accuracy.

  Andrew Mackinlay: That is not the point, is it?

  Chairman: Can I move on? We hope to cover a little on Palestine, Israel and North Korea, but first I am going to appeal to colleagues to be crisp on this. Sir Patrick?

  Sir Patrick Cormack

  208. Two crisp questions, certainly—and doubtless the answers will be even crisper. What would the Foreign Secretary say to those who are alleging that the increase in air strikes is the softening up, the beginning, of the war, and that has been alleged even by colleagues in the House of Commons?

  (Mr Straw) I refer you to what the Defence Secretary said which is that it is not the case, and he made a pretty full statement about it yesterday in Questions.

  209. That not being the case, and I totally accept that—and I am one of those who does not think that there is massive public opinion against the Government; I think there is a degree of unease—but at the time of the first Gulf War I was one of those who advocated giving Saddam a 72 hour ultimatum to get out, otherwise press on to Baghdad, and that was an argument squashed at the time by those who thought they knew much better. Would the Foreign Secretary consider giving Saddam an ultimatum before beginning hostilities in earnest? I think if that were the course that were adopted it might have quite an effect on public opinion. Would the Foreign Secretary like to comment?
  (Mr Straw) First of all on your preliminary point, it is worth bearing in mind—not for you but for critics of the United States—that the reason the United States did not continue on to Baghdad was because the United States and the other coalition allies felt they did not have a legal mandate for this; the legal mandate they had was to free Kuwait and then to deal with WMD, not to take over the state of Iraq. They showed very commendable respect for international law which they continue to do. On the idea of some kind of ultimatum to Saddam to leave Iraq, that is a suggestion which has come from some Arab states. I have said, and I think Secretary Rumsfeld also has said for the United States, that we consider that the provision of some exile for Saddam Hussein would be a small price to pay for a peaceful resolution to this, albeit quite bluntly that we all have to hold our noses that we were not going to have this man arraigned before an international criminal court, but that remains our view.

  Mr Chidgey

  210. Foreign Secretary, have you received assurances from Turkish Government that, in the event of military action against Iraq, Turkey would not seek to secure parts of Iraqi Kurdistan?

  (Mr Straw) I have not directly received those assurances; I can write to the Committee[6], Mr Chairman. What is the case is that Turkey, as a member of the United Nations, has to respect 1441 and its predecessors which make very clear the commitment of the United Nations to the territorial integrity of Iraq, and that is spelt out in one of the preliminary paragraphs of 1441 on page 44 of this White Paper.

  211. I am being very crisp, Chairman, and I will not go on any further on that. According to the US administration's official testimony before the United States' Senate Foreign Relations Committee, the US is planning for a two-year military occupation of Iraq, the military and civilian administrators of which would report to US General Tommy Franks. What plans is the government making for post-war Iraq? Do you not feel that a multinational peace-keeping mission supported by a UN administered transitional authority would be less likely than a US military occupation to exacerbate suspicions in the Arab world that the United States has imperial ambitions to pursue in that region?

  (Mr Straw) There are discussions taking place at different levels at the moment about the administration, humanitarian relief, reconstruction of post-conflict Iraq, if there is a conflict, and no final decisions have been made. We want to see the United Nations fully involved in any post-conflict Iraq and we are sure that is the appropriate route.

  212. Do you share the views expressed by President Bush last Wednesday about the prospects for transition to democracy in post-conflict Iraq?
  (Mr Straw) I have not got the exact text of President Bush but I think he was talking about the fact that any government whom one can think of in Iraq would be a lot better and more representative than the existing regime, and I think I also recall that he said that it is offensive to imply that that one fifth of the world's population which is Muslim is incapable of having democratic governments, and I share that view.

  213. If I can help you slightly because I do not want to delay matters one of the things he said was: "The United States has no intention of determining the precise form of Iraq's new government".
  (Mr Straw) Exactly. Do I think that it would be a better government and more representative and over time become democratic? Yes. I remember people saying the most appallingly condescending things about Afghanistan—that the Taleban were all they deserved, which is not true—and although it has been a difficult transition it is far better in Afghanistan than ever it was before, and that is my profound belief as far as Iraq is concerned.

  Mr Pope

  214. One of the things the Government has argued is that terrorists could get weapons of mass destruction from Iraq. Can I put it to you that Iraq obviously is not the only possible source of those weapons of mass destruction for terrorist organisations, and that there is a real concern that the former Soviet countries could be a source of weapons of mass destruction? I understand that the G8 fund to safeguard nuclear facilities in the former Soviet Union is $6 billion short. Could you briefly tell us what steps the government has been taking to safeguard that position?

  (Mr Straw) I have not got the figures in my head. To a degree I think the fund is short but there is also an issue of the spending of the money and I do know, so far as the Russian Federation is concerned, that the problem in terms of the money Britain has put in has not been the amount but getting it spent, and so it is a problem of capacity by the Russian Federation. Yes, of course it is possible for weapons of mass destruction and associated material to come from a variety of sources which is why we sought to strengthen international non proliferation regime. It is also why it has been so important through the European Union and the OSCE[7] to build up representative democratic governments because, other things being equal, such governments are far less likely to spend their money on such kit and possibly to use it.

  (Mr Ricketts) The programme adopted at the G8 summit last summer, the so-called global partnership, was to have $10 billion in the US and $10 billion from other members of the G8 to which the British government pledged $750 million. We are still waiting to finalise the details with the Russians of the legal arrangements to get that programme going but there is a great deal of money ready to be spent as soon as we can sort out the framework.

  215. So there are issues about the shortfall?
  (Mr Ricketts) No. The issue is about the arrangements in Russia that will allow the programme to get running.

  Mr Maples

  216. Foreign Secretary, I am sure you would agree that in the medium term stabilising the Middle East, finding a solution if there is one to the Israeli problem, would be a pretty essential ingredient, and it is difficult to see stabilisation of the region without finding some way forward to this problem. Given that Prime Minister Barak and President Arafat were unable, with all the effort that the United States administration and President Clinton put into it, to agree the deal that was on the table at Taba, what makes you think the so-called Quartet group can achieve anything?

  (Mr Straw) Because the imperatives for agreement are becoming stronger. I think we have to be realistic about the situation but the grim reality, Mr Maples, is that these 6 million people living in Israel and the 3.5 million living in the Occupied Territories have only a future if they live in peace, and we have seen in other situations terrible years and years of conflict ultimately being resolved. I know it involves fewer people but take Northern Ireland, which has been less terrible but not much. In the Northern Ireland conflict there were periods certainly in the 70s and 80s when I wondered whether it was ever going to be resolved. To take a situation which I think has led to a higher number of casualties even than between Israel and the Occupied Territories, Sri Lanka, off the top of my head I think 60,000 people have been killed there, and I certainly thought this was going to go on and on and on in a spiral of killing and destruction. There is now a reasonably stable, robust, peace process so I work on the basis that to secure the political route to such a solution is what people want. Things have improved; I think a lot of lessons have been learned from the failure of the Camp David and Taba talks; if you talk to participants there seems to have been, amongst other things, a lack of understanding about what was on the table and the time lines and all the rest of it, so the process is now very much more robust and we are giving a lot of encouragement to the Palestinian Authority to build up its own infrastructure so that it works in a better way.

  217. The Quartet group has been in existence for two or three years now and has produced an outline two-page road map—not even a detailed road map. I put it to you that it is not going to achieve the objective and you are going to have to approach this problem in a different way. If Barak and Arafat could not agree the deal that was on the table at Taba, nothing that the Quartet group or any member of it can do is going to persuade Sharon and Arafat to make a deal?
  (Mr Straw) I do not accept that. Of course I acknowledge the difficulties in terms of relationships between President Arafat and Prime Minister Sharon which are well known, but is there a desire amongst Israelis of all political persuasions for peace and security? Yes. Is there an equivalent desire amongst Palestinians? Yes. You then have to have the political process to put it together, and that is what we are seeking to do. Now, we could just wash our hands of it but I am not willing to do that. I would like also to add in answer to Mr Hamilton that one of the things that certainly sours understanding of what we are seeking to do with respect to Iraq's disarmament is the unresolved crisis between Israel and Palestine. It needs resolving anyway, but if we can resolve that it takes away a running sore in terms of international relations.

  218. Of course I agree with that which is why I raise it in this context, but I put to you my point that this is not going to result in peace and also another proposition which is that we all know what the terms of the settlement are going to be. Give or take the odd square mile of territory here or there or which settlements are included or are not included, we all know what the deal is going to be—well, we do pretty much and let me outline it. It is going to be a two-state solution with Jerusalem as the capital of each of those states; it is going to involve some limited right of return for refugees; it is going to involve some security considerations for Israel—these are the issues that were on the table at Taba—and I would suggest to you that the parties, certainly under their present leaders, are never going to agree the settlement and maybe the way to approach this is for the rest of the international community to seek to impose it through a Security Council resolution, laying out the terms of the settlement and saying, "There it is, you can argue about whether you implement it but if we do this under Chapter 7 you can no longer argue about what the terms of the settlement are going to be", because the complication of getting to Taba always gave each party a way out of the deal because they would say, "Oh, we cannot possibly accept this; we cannot possibly accept that", but if the terms of the deal were set by the United Nations, the terms of a two-state solution, then what the Palestinians and Israelis would have to decide is whether they are going to implement it or not, not whether or not this square mile of territory should be in or out?
  (Mr Straw) It is an interesting idea and it begs various questions about how you get to that point and get agreement inside the Security Council. I also say, Mr Maples, that it is not something I rule out but there are many steps you have to take before you get there. Even where you had a mandatory solution you seek to impose, you still face difficulties unless there was consent to the parties. Let us take the issue of Cyprus—

  Chairman

  219. Can I stop you at this point, because I think it is important? Mr Maples has written on this point and I would like a considered reply, please, to Mr Maples' point.

  (Mr Straw) Of course[8].



6   Ev 67. Back

7   Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe. Back

8   Ev 67. Back


 
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