Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Tenth Report


JANUARY-JUNE 2003: ADDRESSING THE THREAT FROM IRAQ

THE DEBATE OVER IRAQ IN OTHER INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATIONS

  92.  The international debate over Iraq, and failure to reach agreement over how to address the threat it posed, was addressed most prominently in the UN Security Council. During the first half of this year, the Iraq crisis also had a profound effect on the United Kingdom's relations with its allies in the European Union and NATO.

THE DEBATE WITHIN THE EUROPEAN UNION

  93.  In our December 2002 Report, we noted that differences had emerged between some EU leaders and the United States over the overall conduct of the war against terrorism. These differences, we argued,

We noted that during his re-election campaign, German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder had publicly ruled out Germany's participation in any US-led "adventure" in Iraq. We also noted France's opposition to US policies towards Iraq, in the United Nations Security Council and elsewhere.[101]

  94.  On 10 December 2002, we asked Dr Denis MacShane, Minister for Europe, whether he believed that the EU would produce a united front in dealing with Saddam Hussein. He replied "I am sure the EU will provide a united front."[102]

  95.  Dr MacShane's optimism proved unfounded: by the end of January, deep divisions were emerging within the European Union. In the Government's view, the breakdown of consensus in Europe was initiated by France and Germany, on the occasion of the fortieth anniversary of the Elysée Treaty on 22 January 2003. At a press conference in Paris to mark this event, President Chirac declared that France and Germany have "the same point of view" on the Iraqi crisis. The French president said their mutual stance was based on two ideas:

    The first is that any decision belongs to the Security Council and the Security Council alone, which will address the issue after having examined the latest inspectors' report … Secondly, as far as we're concerned, war always means failure. Everything must be done to avoid war.

Chancellor Schröder, standing beside President Chirac, said he had nothing to add to these comments.[103]

  96.  Dr MacShane argued that by acting in this way, France and Germany were declaring unilaterally "what they thought the position of Europe would be, which clearly was not acceptable to a number of other European countries."[104]

  97.  Five days later, on 27 January 2002, the EU General Affairs Council agreed to send "an unambiguous message that the Iraqi Government has a final opportunity to resolve the crisis peacefully" and reiterated

    its confidence and full support for Dr. Blix and Dr. El Baradei to complete their mission in accordance with UNSCR 1441 [and] underlines the fundamental importance of preventing the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in accordance with the relevant international instruments.

It further concluded that "The responsibility of the UN Security Council in maintaining international peace and security must be respected."[105]

  98.  On 30 January, however, the leaders of eight European countries—Britain, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Denmark, with Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic—published an appeal to European governments to support the United States, and reminded Jacques Chirac and Gerhard Schröder that they had also signed up to UN resolution 1441—itself a victory for European attempts to keep the crisis on the multilateral track. Jan Peter Balkenende, the Netherlands prime minister, was asked but refused to sign; a number of other leaders were neither invited to sign, nor informed of the initiative.[106]

  99.  The message of this 'Gang of Eight' was that, despite strains, Europe and America have to continue to work together. "The transatlantic relationship must not become a casualty of the current Iraqi regime's persistent attempts to threaten world security," they wrote.[107] The letter divided the eight from France and Germany, however. Dr MacShane described the initiative as direct response the Franco-German statement of 22 January: "a Newtonian diplomatic process in action, to every statement there comes an equal and, in this case, opposite reaction."[108]

  100.  The 'Gang of Eight' initiative disrupted the weak but unified position established on 27 January. The Greek Presidency then called an extraordinary General Affairs Council meeting to discuss the question of Iraq. The meeting was held on 17 February.

  101.  At the 17 February meeting, EU Foreign Ministers asserted their determination "to deal effectively with the threat of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction." They expressed commitment to ensure that the United Nations remained "at the centre of the international order", and recognised "that the primary responsibility for dealing with Iraqi disarmament lies with the Security Council." They further agreed that UN inspectors "must be given the time and resources that the UN Security Council believes they need. However, inspections cannot continue indefinitely in the absence of full Iraqi co-operation".

  102.  In the 17 February conclusions, the General Affairs Council also recognised the role that the US was playing in pushing the Iraqi government towards compliance. They stated

    that the unity and firmness of the international community, as expressed in the unanimous adoption of resolution 1441, and the military build up have been essential in obtaining the return of the inspectors. These factors will remain essential if we are to achieve the full cooperation we seek.

The 17 February statement concluded:

    The unity of the international community is vital in dealing with these problems. We are committed to working with all our partners, especially the United States, for the disarmament of Iraq, for peace and stability in the region and for a decent future for all its people.[109]

  103.  The row also affected the candidate countries due to be admitted in 2004. On 18 February, French President Jacques Chirac attacked Eastern European states for their "childish" support for Britain and the US, and warned ten states due to join the EU in 2004 that their stance could be "dangerous", as the decision to admit them had not yet been ratified.[110]

  104.  In December 2002, we concluded that

    Britain can work constructively with European Union partners on some areas of foreign policy—such as development, the ICC and Iran—while aligning itself more closely to the United States on policy towards Iraq.

We recommended that,

    in the war against terrorism and elsewhere, the Government continue to judge each of its major partners' policies on their own merits: the experience of the past year has demonstrated the extent to which Britain can work with both the EU and the US, without damaging its relationship with either.[111]

  105.  We conclude that the disagreements that surfaced within the EU over Iraq have raised serious questions about EU member states' capacities to resolve differences over matters of foreign policy and of the feasibility of a CFSP on matters of controversy among the members of the EU.

  106.  We conclude that it is now more important than ever for the United Kingdom to work with partners in the European Union and the United States, and to demonstrate that there is no need to chose between these valued and long-standing partners.

THE DEBATE WITHIN NATO

  107.  The Iraq question also provoked one of the most severe crises in the history of NATO. In January, the United States asked NATO to provide Patriot missile batteries and airborne warning and control system (AWACS) aircraft to protect Turkey in the event of a possible attack from Iraq, in the event of war. It also requested that forces from other European nations replace US troops, currently committed in the Balkans and around the Mediterranean, to free them for military action the Gulf. France, supported by Belgium and Germany, objected to this move. They used their vetoes in the North Atlantic Council to block any such deployment, arguing that such moves would lock the Alliance into a "logic of war", at a time when the UN was still seeking a peaceful resolution to the crisis.[112] To impose a preliminary condition to any request for military assistance from a NATO member strikes at the very heart of the key aim of NATO to provide collective defence.[113]

  108.  The crisis was eventually resolved when the wording of the resolution was amended slightly and the decision moved to the Military Planning Committee, in which France is not represented. On 20 February, three Patriot batteries and two AWACS planes were despatched to Turkey.[114]

  109.  The US Permanent Representative at NATO, Ambassador Burns, described the behaviour of the three nations as "inexcusable" and of having created a "crisis of confidence" in NATO.[115] After the resolution of the crisis, Lord Robertson admitted that "Damage has been done to our credibility and to relations between the US and other countries they see as having blocked the process."[116]

  110.  Despite the ill-will between Alliance members earlier this year, substantial progress has been achieved in the evolution of NATO structures. The Military Committee has now endorsed the military concept of the new NATO Response Force (NRF), in accordance with United Kingdom objectives. This will now be submitted to the North Atlantic Council for approval. The Government has informed us that "Work on a comprehensive concept of the NRF, including political-military issues is making good progress." The new NRF

    will significantly enhance the Alliance's ability to act quickly; it will improve interoperability and it will provide a further stimulus to the current work to reform the NATO Command Structure.[117]

NATO leaders have also endorsed an outline of the Minimum Military Requirements for the new NATO Command structure.

  111.  Work is also under way to increase NATO's ability to prevent or respond to a terrorist attack in the Prague Capabilities Commitment. Five Nuclear, Biological and Chemical (NBC) Defence Initiatives are under development; and the preparation of both the military and comprehensive concepts for the NATO Response Force should also prepare the Alliance for more effective responses to terrorist attacks.[118]

  112.  We conclude that relations between member states of NATO have been severely strained by the Iraq crisis. We are, however, encouraged by recent initiatives to develop new roles for NATO in the prosecuting the 'war against terrorism'. We recommend that the Government persist in its efforts to restore good relations among Alliance members, and to push for implementation of the important initiatives agreed at Prague in November 2002.

Post-war Iraq

The immediate post-war period

  113.  On 9 April, the US achieved its long-planned objective of regime change in Iraq. In Baghdad, statues of Saddam Hussein were pulled down, and scenes of excitement and chaos on the streets were broadcast around the world. Mohammed Aldouri, Iraq's ambassador to the UN, admitted that he had lost contact with Saddam Hussein's regime.

  114.  Relief at the overthrow of Saddam Hussein soon developed into looting and chaos, however. In addition to the widespread theft of commercial goods, other private property and hospital equipment, it was reported that Baghdad's museums and the national library had been stripped bare, and centuries of Mesopotamian cultural heritage lost.

  115.  Some of the cultural artefacts reported stolen have since been found, hidden in bank vaults and other safe hiding places. Others remain missing, perhaps irretrievably. Hospitals, schools and other public buildings have been gutted. In Basra, one of the worst effects of the looting has been the destruction of the water and the electricity system: copper wiring within the electricity system has been stolen, and will take time and money to replace.[119] Countless individuals—many of them already impoverished—have suffered loss of private property.

  116.  Jane Corbin told us that she had found, on visiting Basra, that "the British were unable to control" the looting.

    British troops told me very freely they were frightened by the way in which the scale of the looting threatened to overwhelm what had been a victorious entry in to the city … it was impossible for that number of British troops to effectively police the city.

She argued that

    One of the reasons this had not been given adequate thought beforehand was there was a hope right up to the last minute that there would be an uprising from within, both in Basra but also in other major cities, like Baghdad. Perhaps there was a forlorn hope that somehow a strong regime would arise from within that would extend outwards so that the troops could come in and would then find some degree of control within the city, that did not happen, there was a vacuum. The regime fled, the Americans and the British had not quite reached the centre and looting was the end result of that.[120]

  117.  In our December 2002 Report on this subject, we analysed the possible outcomes of war in Iraq and concluded that

    the establishment of the rule of law … in Iraq after a war would pose formidable challenges … We recommend that, in its considerations, the Government bear in mind the necessity for country-wide peacekeeping, civil policing [and] transitional justice.[121]

  118.  We note that Amnesty International, in a report published shortly after the end of the conflict, pointed out that although

    Much planning and resources seem to have been devoted to securing Iraqi oil fields … there is scarce evidence of similar levels of planning and allocation of resources for securing public and other institutions essential for the survival and well-being of the population. The response to disorder has been shockingly inadequate.[122]

  119.  Jane Corbin described to us how the looting had affected Basra, "a city which has been systematically starved by the regime of infrastructure" during the years of Baathist rule. The looting was

    a pathetic and sad sight [which] will set that city even further back because they had nothing to start with and now they have less than nothing. It will take some time for it to be built up.[123]

  120.  Fergal Keane, who arrived in Baghdad soon after the Saddam statues were pulled down, has been "in many, many wars and [has] seen worse looting." The difference with the situation in Baghdad was that

    the most modern military force and the most powerful military force in the world had arrived in a relatively sophisticated city and that under the noses of this powerful force the city had been reduced to the most extraordinary scenes: we witnessed heart monitors being ripped out of hospitals; hospitals being stripped bare; patients being turned away; nurses carrying assault rifles to keep the looters away from hospitals, everything that could be taken being taken.[124]

  121.  The post-war destruction in Iraq could, of course, have been far worse. Large scale urban warfare, widely predicted before the conflict, did not materialise. Fergal Keane said that he had "been in many cities which were bombed in a much more severe way than Baghdad was [and] have seen a great many more civilian casualties."[125] Coalition forces managed to secure Iraq's oil fields from possible sabotage by Saddam Hussein's retreating troops. Furthermore, some public buildings in Baghdad—notably the oil ministry—were carefully guarded by US forces as soon as the regime fell.

  122.  The looting was significant, according to Mr Keane, because it

    had two very, very profound impacts, one was clearly a physical one, the population was left in a situation where all essential and vital services has disappeared … There was a second psychological consequence, which was certainly unintended from the American point of view, people watched American troops at checkpoints looking very frightened a great deal of the time, unable, in most cases that I came across, to speak the local language because they did not have interpreters with them. The message a lot of people I suspect took from that, because they said it to us, was that this army was in some way scared, it was not going after the looters, it was not going after the armed gangs because it was frightened.[126]

Mr Keane argued that

    When people look back at the history of this time they will regard those [five or six days after the fall of Baghdad] as one of the great missed opportunities… there was a real opportunity missed in those days to stabilise the situation and to allow people the thing they have wanted to feel all of their lives, and that is to feel safe.[127]

  123.  We asked the Foreign Secretary to explain why such extensive looting had occurred after the fall of the Iraqi regime. He explained that some looting had been expected, but that the coalition had been surprised by the speed at which the Iraqi regime had collapsed:

    The working assumption had been that the Iraqi Government, particularly their regular forces, the revolutionary guard and the special revolutionary guard, would be better organised, have better command and control and put up much more of a fight than they did.[128]

  124.  According to the Foreign Secretary, "No one is at fault" for failing to prevent the looting;

    it is just an inevitable consequence of that kind of warfare. … If anybody is at fault, it was the fault of the Saddam regime for there being so little consent and natural law and order in the country. You smile at this but it happens to be true because the reason we are, as were other Western democracies, able to police ourselves with such a light touch is because people on the whole police themselves.[129]

  125.  The Ministry of Defence noted in its 7 July report Operations in Iraq: first reflections that "Although the regime's power has been swept away, pockets of resistance remain in some areas."[130] On 24 June, six Royal Military Police officers, who had been training Iraqi police officers, were killed in the village of Majar al-Kabir, 25 kilometres (16 miles) south of Amara in South Eastern Iraq. According to the Ministry of Defence, these "tragic incidents … have underlined the continuing risk of localised violence." [131]

  126.  Policing in the immediate post-conflict period is undoubtedly very difficult, and the deaths of these Military Police indicate that problems are likely to persist. We note the Ministry of Defence's statement that "calls for coalition forces to do more to protect Iraqi civilians, keep order and prevent looting had to be weighed against the demands of continuing operations to overcome resistance to Iraqi forces, both regular and irregular." [132] However, much time and goodwill may have been lost by the coalition's failure to re-establish order in the immediate post-conflict period, and this may have made the task of occupation more difficult in the medium term. Lessons should be sought from this experience: the military campaign in Iraq had been planned over a long period, and was expected to end in regime change. The more rapid establishment of law and order after the end of armed conflict would have improved material conditions for the Iraqi people, and would also have ensured that the US-led intervention was perceived more positively among Iraqis and elsewhere in the Arab world.

  127.  We are relieved to learn that the US and the United Kingdom are now working to establish a "multinational stabilisation force in Iraq", with US command in Baghdad and the central sector and the United Kingdom command in the south,[133] and we hope that this will help to increase the security of the country for its inhabitants and for British personnel serving in Iraq.

  128.  We commend the British armed forces and their coalition allies for securing Iraq's oil fields and installations, and for protecting some government buildings in the capital.

  129.  We recognise that a breakdown of law and order immediately following the fall of the regime was highly probable. We conclude, however, that the failure of the coalition to restore order more quickly was deeply regrettable, and hindered progress towards one of the central objectives of the intervention: to improve the lives of ordinary Iraqis.

  130.  We recommend that the Government consider carefully the lessons from the immediate post-conflict period in Iraq, and specifically from the tragic deaths of the six Royal Military Police, who were killed in the village of Majar al-Kabir on 24 June. We further recommend that the Government consider whether the United Kingdom should further develop its capacity for post-conflict civil policing, and should encourage its allies to do likewise.


101   Second report from the Foreign Affairs Committee, Session 2002-03, Foreign Policy Aspects of the War against Terrorism, HC 196, para 30 Back

102   Minutes of Evidence from the Foreign Affairs Committee, The Copenhagen European Council, 10 December 2002, HC 176-i, Q 8, available on the Committee's website at: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm/cmfaff.htm Back

103   'France, Germany stand firm on Iraq', CNN, Wednesday, January 22, 2003, available at: http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/01/22/sproject.irq.schroeder.chirac/ Back

104   Minutes of Evidence from the Foreign Affairs Committee, Developments in the European Union, 1 April 2003, HC 607-i, Q 3 (yet to be published), available on the Committee's website at: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm/cmfaff.htm Back

105   General Affairs Council conclusions, 17 February 2003, available at http://ue.eu.int/pressData/eu/ec/74554.pdf  Back

106   'European leaders rally behind US', BBC 30th January 2003, available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/Europe/2708023.stm Back

107   Leaders statement on Iraq: Full text', BBC 30th January 2003, available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/Europe/2708877.stm Back

108   Minutes of Evidence from the Foreign Affairs Committee, Developments in the European Union, 1 April 2003, HC 607-i, Q 2 (yet to be published), available on the Committee's website at: http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm/cmfaff.htm Back

109   General Affairs Council conclusions, 17 February 2003, available at http://ue.eu.int/pressData/eu/ec/74554.pdf  Back

110   Romanian Prime Minister Adrian Nastase played down Chirac's remarks, saying the French president's real target was the United States. Polish Foreign Minister Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz expressed the hope that Chirac's comments were not meant to "mix" enlargement with differences of opinion between the candidates and some EU member states. Slovenian officials described Chirac's comments as "unusual". Slovenia regretted Chirac's comments, but put them down to the wider tensions within the EU. Estonian Foreign Minister Kristiina Ojuland adopted one of the toughest stances, saying Estonia should not be seen as a "punching bag," and asserting that, although the country aims at EU membership, it also proceeds from its own national interests, one of the most important of which is the preservation of transatlantic ties. Back

111   Second Report from the Foreign Affairs Committee, Session 2002-03, Foreign Policy Aspects of the War against Terrorism, HC 196, para 36 Back

112   'Split looms for Nato over Iraq', BBC 10th March, 2003, available at: http:// news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/Europe/2743433.stm Back

113   Ibid Back

114   'Nato approves Turkey Mission', BBC 19th February 2003, available at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/2776277.stm Back

115   Nato crisis over veto on plans to defend Turkey. The Guardian, 11th February 2003, available at http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,893069,00.html Back

116   Nato damaged by row with US, admits Robertson, The Guardian 19th February 2003, available at: http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,898318,00.html Back

117   Ev 69 Back

118   Ev 69 Back

119   Q 343 [Jane Corbin] Back

120   Q 342 Back

121   Second report from the Foreign Affairs Committee, Session 2002-03, Foreign Policy Aspects of the War against Terrorism, HC 196, para 191 Back

122   'Iraq: Responsibilities of the Occupying Powers', Amnesty International, April 2003 Back

123   Q 343 Back

124   Q 341 Back

125   Q 341 Back

126   Q 341 Back

127   Q 342 Back

128   Q 227 Back

129   Q 228 Back

130   Operations in Iraq: first reflections, Ministry of Defence, 7 July 2003, available at: http://www.mod.uk/linked_files/publications/iraq2003operations.pdf  Back

131   Ibid  Back

132   Ibid  Back

133   Ev 124 Back


 
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Prepared 31 July 2003