Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 1340-1359)

RT HON JACK STRAW MP, MR PETER RICKETTS, CMG AND MR WILLIAM EHRMAN, CMG

27 JUNE 2003

  Q1340  Mr Chidgey: No trace elements whatever?

  Mr Ehrman: There is nothing confirmed.

  Q1341  Mr Pope: This is a brief point that follows on about chemical weapons. In the 45-minute claim what we are talking about here is artillery, for example, which can be deployed fairly quickly, but we did hear evidence before that it is not safe to keep the chemical elements of a missile in the missile, they have to be assembled forward as it were. It struck me as being quite surprising. I am sure we have come across the delivery systems, you can find the rocket launchers and mortars and so on, but we have not found any of the chemicals and I wanted a confirmation of whether or not we have found the chemicals or is it the case that the Iraq Survey Group is keeping it to themselves to disclose it all in one go, or is it just the case they have not found anything yet?

  Mr Straw: I will ask Mr Ricketts to answer.

  Mr Ricketts: No, the Iraq Survey Group are not keeping back a mountain of material to produce all at one time. I have no doubt that if they were to find some physical chemical weapons munitions that would become public pretty quickly.

  Mr Illsley: I would have thought so as well

  Q1342  Mr Pope: That is not necessarily the case. I can see why you would say that but there is also a case for not providing a running commentary on each small discovery that you make.

  Mr Straw: Can I just say this: the most likely evidence would come from interviews and information provided by scientists. In their case it is highly probable that the Survey Group will decide to hold back on any kind of running commentary because if you do an interview with one person you will want to measure that against what others are saying. Let me say there is no decision of which I am aware that everything is going to be held back to the last minute.

  Mr Pope: I have got other questions, I will come back to them.

  Q1343  Richard Ottaway: It a question you said you would rather deal with in private. Are you still standing by the uranium statement, and what is the source?

  Mr Ehrman: Yes, we certainly do not have a problem in standing by the uranium statement. If I can find the relevant page—We stand by the fact that the intelligence referred to in the dossier drew on information from more than one source and we remain confident in it. It is different from the information which the IAEA said later on was a forgery.

  Mr Ricketts: Could we follow that up, just to go a little further in response to Sir John Stanley's questions about the reporting.

  Mr Straw: We used the coffee break to try and find the answer.

  Mr Ricketts: ***

  Q1344  Andrew Mackinlay: *** ?

  Mr Straw: ***

  Mr Ehrman: ***

  Q1345  Sir John Stanley: *** ?

  Mr Ehrman: ***

  Q1346  Richard Ottaway: I am happy for them to wrap up uranium because I have got one more question.

  Mr Straw: Can I say this to Sir John, and it is on this, ***

  Q1347  Richard Ottaway: This is an unrelated question. Did at any time the Government receive reports from intelligence agencies that Iraq was not an immediate threat?

  Mr Ricketts: No, I do not recognise that as anything we have ever seen from the intelligence agencies.

  Mr Straw: We have been over the ground about was the test an immediate threat and we have dealt with that pretty thoroughly and the adjective "imminent" has even been used. No one has ever suggested that there was a threat from Iraq that they were about to start a war the next day or the next week necessarily. That was a point made in the House of Commons by the Prime Minister on 24 September. We tried to present as balanced and comprehensive picture of the level of the threat as we could and, to repeat myself, that was also shared by the Security Council. In fact, I was, and so was Mr Ricketts, completely immersed in negotiations on 1441 and the idea that the other 13 countries were somehow patsies is a total reversal of the truth. ***

  Q1348  Richard Ottaway: The suggestion is that in March 2002 a report was received that Iraq was not an immediate threat.

  Mr Ehrman: No.

  Q1349  Richard Ottaway: That question was on the radio the other day.

  Mr Straw: Let me just say, do not forget The Guardian

  Q1350  Richard Ottaway: There was a report on the radio.

  Mr Straw: I know there was a report on the radio, but we have had to put up with all sorts of complete nonsense. The Guardian ran a lead story saying there were transcripts of a private and secret meeting that I had with Colin Powell on 4 March. We have to be aware of the fact that disinformation round here has been huge. They ran that story, we told them it was untrue. We told them I was not with Colin Powell on 4 February in New York, I was with Dominique de Villepan in Le Touquet on 4 February.

  Q1351  Richard Ottaway: We have heard you on that.

  Mr Straw: The fact it is on the radio or in the newspapers does not make it true.

  Mr Ehrman: I think that what may be happening is a whole of lot of stories are getting conflated. There was a story that there was a report suppressed in March 2002 and some of the press reported it as a JIC assessment suppress; it was not. There was a JIC assessment on the Iraqi programmes that month and it was not suppressed, it was put up in the normal way. There was work that was being done on a public document which was not proceeded with and then I suppose that could got conflated so that this showed that Iraq was not a threat, but that is not the case.

  Q1352  Mr Pope: In the September dossier there is a reference to the al-Hussein missile which has a range of 650 kilometres and could clearly reach our sovereign bases in Cyprus. I am sure I was not alone in thinking that was quite a shocking revelation, that our sovereign bases could be attacked, possibly with a chemical weapon. Was that assessment in the original JIC assessment? By the original JIC assessment I think I mean the one at the end of August.

  Mr Ehrman: There was not one at the end of August, there was one on 9 September and one back in March.

  Q1353  Mr Pope: September.

  Mr Ehrman: Yes, that has been in all the JIC assessments.

  Q1354  Mr Pope: Okay. At any stage did officials complain about pressure being put on them by special advisers or ministers or Number 10 in the drafting of these documents? One thing we have heard is that there was widespread concern in the intelligence community about the pressure that was put on the people doing the drafting.

  Mr Ehrman: I have spoken to John Scarlett and he is absolutely clear that he was put in charge and he was put in charge on the basis that nothing was going to be published that he and the JIC were not happy with, and he is not aware, I think he said publicly he is not aware—

  Q1355  Mr Pope: People have not complained verbally about pressure being put on them?

  Mr Ehrman: No.

  Mr Straw: It was a proper process. I have received no complaints whatever. Let me say that I have a direct relationship with the head of SIS and the head of GCHQ. I see them regularly. I see the head of SIS much more often than I see the head of GCHQ because it is a different operation, but they both report to me. As far as the head of SIS is concerned, I have seen him very regularly indeed in a variety of settings and he is not somebody who hides his light under a bushel. He does tell you things and what he feels about things and if there had been any suggestion there had been pressure on his staff that would have come to my notice through him and ditto with the JIC people who again we were seeing, and William and Peter would be very quickly through my door if they had felt that there was unacceptable pressure being put on X or Y?

  Q1356  Chairman: What was the response of John Scarlett and his colleagues about the allegations that have been made about political interference?

  Mr Ricketts: He does not accept them.

  Q1357  Chairman: The printable response is that these allegations are untrue and, of course, they not only imply misconduct by politicians and special advisers but they also imply a dereliction of duty by him and by his colleagues, and neither are true.

  Mr Ricketts: I entirely agree with that, but as a supplementary point I believe that the dossier was considered twice, on 11 and 18 September, in the full JIC, and from my open personal knowledge of the JIC it is not a body that would accept political interference in its judgments and assessments.

  Mr Ehrman: John Scarlett is quite clear when he signed off that draft on 20 September it went to the printers then and he remained in charge of it through the printing process and he was quite happy with it.

  Mr Straw: Can I make this point about the role of this Committee and the ISC, and this is a difference between now and 50 years ago, the level of accountability of ministers has increased phenomenally over this kind of detail. 50 years ago the only chamber was the House. Now we have to be conscious all the time, and absolutely rightly (I believe in this system) that if you do things for the wrong reasons or with inadequate information this will come out and come out quite quickly. The idea that we would have had in mind publishing something that was not supportable by the best available evidence and assessment is mad because this would be have been us entering voluntarily into a suicide pact at a political level.

  Chairman: Eric did not have any chance in the first part of the session.

  Q1358  Mr Illsley: I want to follow on firstly to what you have just been saying. Do you completely dismiss Gilligan's accusations? Do you think there is no intelligence source or do you think—

  Mr Straw: No, I think he has a source. I do not know this, I am offering you my belief, not evidence, he is somebody who obviously has *** contacts particularly with the MoD. I think he has a source and I think he spoke to somebody, I think that much is evident, but I do not know the nature of the conversation. I do know that some journalists sometimes slightly embroider what they are told.

  Q1359  Mr Chidgey: A bit like politicians!

  Mr Straw: I am talking about journalists.


 
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