Select Committee on Health Memoranda


2.  GENERAL EXPENDITURE ISSUES

2.2  Overall expenditure

  2.2.1  Could the Department provide an updated version of Table 2.1.1, and of the Department's commentary which accompanied it? Could it also show this data in graphical form? Could the Department provide a brief commentary, explaining what expenditure is included under each section of the table? Can the footnote to table 2.1.1 explain the measures and their applications for lines D to G? [2.2.1]

  1.  Expenditure in Table 2.2.1(a) and Figure 2.2.1(a) is shown on a Stage One Resource Budgeting basis. Table 2.2.1(a) is consistent with the presentation of the data in Figure 3.3(a) of the 2003 Departmental Report (CM5904) and with the expenditure reported in table 2.1.1(a) of last years evidence.

Table 2.2.1(a)

TRENDS IN ACTUAL AND PLANNED EXPENDITURE ON THE HEALTH AND PERSONAL SOCIAL SERVICES 1999-2000 TO 2002-03 BY AREA OF EXPENDITURE(1)(2)(3)(4) (STAGE ONE RESOURCE BUDGETING)

£ million

1999-2000
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
estimate
outturn
outturn
outturn
outturn

Central Government Expenditure
National Health Service Hospitals, community health, family health (discretionary) and related services
Current
A.Net spending
34,156
37,298
41,718
46,177
B.Charges and receipts(5)
1,987
2,250
2,164
2,378
C.Total spending
36,143
39,548
43,882
48,555
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
9.4
11.0
10.6
E.Change over previous year in input unit costs (%)(6)
3.9
5.1
F.D adjusted for E (%)
5.3
5.6
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
7.0
8.3
7.4
HChange over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
6.8
9.2
7.5
Capital
A.Net spending
871
1,220
1,747
2,050
B.Charges and receipts(5)
593
621
394
402
C.Total spending
1,464
1,841
2,140
2,453
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
25.7
16.3
14.6
E.Change over previous year in input unit costs (%)(6)
5.7
6.5
F.D adjusted for E (%)
18.9
9.2
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
22.9
13.5
11.3
National Health Service family health services
(non-discretionary)
(7)
Current
A.Net spending
4,365
4,577
4,839
5,067
B.Charges and receipts
804
845
887
919
C.Total spending
5,168
5,422
5,726
5,986
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
4.9
5.6
4.5
E.Change over previous year in input unit costs (%)(6)
2.7
2.1
F.D adjusted for E (%)
2.2
3.4
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
2.6
3.1
1.5

Departmental administration(8)
Current
A.Net spending
282
309
326
349
B.Charges and receipts
29
14
21
24
C.Total spending
310
323
347
372
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
4.2
7.2
7.4
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
1.9
4.7
4.3
F.Cost of Collecting NHS element of NI contributions
10
15
17
20

Central health and miscellaneous services
Current
A.Net spending
504
521
618
677
B.Charges and receipts
117
113
114
148
C.Total spending
621
634
732
825
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
2.1
15.6
12.6
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
-0.1
12.8
9.3

Other NHS Capital
A.Net spending
37
26
31
33
B.Charges and receipts
3
4
0
6
C.Total spending
40
29
31
39
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
-26.4
5.6
25.0
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
-28.1
3.1
21.3

NHS Total
A.Net spending
40,215
43,951
49,279
54,352
B.Charges and receipts(5)
3,531
3,846
3,579
3,877
C.Total spending
43,746
47,797
52,858
58,230
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
9.3
10.6
10.2
E.Change over previous year in input unit costs (%)(6)
4.1
4.8
F.D adjusted for E (%)
5.0
5.6
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
6.8
7.9
6.9
H.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
6.9
9.4
7.1

Central Government Personal
Social Services
A.Net spending
34
40
90
195
B.Charges
0
0
0
28
C.Total spending
34
41
90
222
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
18.4
122.4
146.1
G.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
15.8
117.1
139.0

Central Government (specific and special) grants to local authorities
A.Net spending
601
612
996
1,964
B.Charges
0
0
0
0
C.Total spending
601
612
996
1,964
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
1.9
62.6
97.3
G.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
-0.3
58.7
91.6

Credit Approvals (LA capital)
A.Net spending
57
56
56
56
B.Charges
0
0
0
0
C.Total spending
57
56
56
56
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
-2.7
0.0
1.0
G.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
-4.9
-2.4
-1.9

Health and Personal Social Services Total
A.Net spending
40,907
44,659
50,420
56,568
B.Charges and receipts(5)
3,532
3,846
3,579
3,905
C.Total spending
44,438
48,505
53,999
60,473
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
9.2
11.3
12.0
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
6.7
8.6
8.7
H.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
6.8
10.2
8.9

Local Authority Personal Social Services Current(9)
A.Net spending
10,050
10,696
11,369
12,622
B.Charges and receipts (10)
1,998
2,152
2,229
2,475
C.Total spending
12,048
12,848
13,599
15,097
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
6.6
5.8
11.0
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
4.3
3.3
7.8

Local Authority Personal Social Services
Capital
A.Net spending
83
94
88
128
B.Charges and receipts
51
62
70
64
C.Total spending
134
156
158
192
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
16.4
1.3
21.5
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
13.8
-1.2
18.0

Local Authority Personal Social Services
Total
A.Net spending
10,133
10,790
11,457
12,750
B.Charges and receipts
2,049
2,214
2,299
2,539
C.Total spending
12,182
13,004
13,757
15,289
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
6.7
5.8
11.1
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
4.4
3.2
7.9

Local Authority, Health and Personal Social Services Total(11)
A.Net spending
50,382
54,781
60,826
67,297
B.Charges and receipts(5)
5,581
6,060
5,879
6,444
C.Total spending
55,963
60,841
66,705
73,741
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
8.7
9.6
10.5
G.  Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
6.3
7.0
7.3

GDP deflator @ 26 June 2003
92.6
94.7
97.1
100.0

Footnotes:

  1.  Figures may not sum due to rounding.

  2.  Percentages are rounded to one decimal place.

  3.  Real terms growth figures differ from those given last year because of subsequent changes in GDP deflators. Where not otherwise specified, the figures are calculated on total expenditure figures and therefore differ from the Departmental Report, where increases are calculated on net expenditure.

  4.  The measures in changes in expenditure shown in lines D to H are as follows:

Line D shows the percentage change in total expenditure.

Line E shows the level of inflation specific to each area of expenditure (where applicable).

Line F shows the percentage change in total expenditure after accounting for service specific inflation.

Line G shows the percentage change in total expenditure after accounting for inflation in the overall economy as measured by the GDP deflator.

Line H shows the percentage change in net expenditure after accounting for inflation in the overall economy as measured by the GDP deflator.

  5.  Includes NHS trust charges and receipts.

  6.  Input Cost Data is not available for years where outturn data is not available.

  7.  Figures for FHS non-discretionary expenditure between 1999-2000 and 2002-03 include resources (normally funded from FHS discretionary) to fund successive Personal Medical and Personal Dental Service pilots.

  8.  Include Trading Funds—Medicines Control Agency (MCA) and NHS Estates Agency.

  9.  Net budget figures are taken from Local Authority Revenue Accounts returns.

10.  Local Authorities do not forecast receipts for future years. It is assumed that receipts for 2002-03 form the same proportion of the net expenditure as for 2001-02.

11.  Local Authority, Health and Personal Social Services total excludes Central Government (Specific and Special) grants to Local Authorities and Credit Approvals (LA Capital) to avoid double counting. The total still does include an element of double counting (unquantifiable) with regard to joint working between hospitals and local authorities.

  2.  Expenditure in Table 2.2.1(b) and Figure 2.2.1(b) is shown on a Stage Two Resource Budgeting basis. Table 2.2.1(b) is consistent with the presentation of the data in Figure 3.3(b) of the 2003 Departmental Report (CM5904).

Table 2.2.1(b)

TRENDS IN ACTUAL AND PLANNED EXPENDITURE ON THE HEALTH AND PERSONAL SOCIAL SERVICES 2002-03 TO 2005-06 BY AREA OF EXPENDITURE(1)(2)(3)(4)
(STAGE TWO RESOURCE BUDGETING)

£ million
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
estimated
plan
plan
plan

Central Government Expenditure
National Health Service Hospitals, community health, family health (discretionary) and related services
Current
A.Net spending(13)
48,655
53,679
58,680
63,993
B.Charges and receipts(5)
2,378
2,604
2,514
2,514
C.Total spending
51,033
56,284
61,194
66,508
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
10.3
8.7
8.7
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
7.4
6.0
6.0
F.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
7.4
6.6
6.4
Capital
A.Net spending
1,929
2,856
3,351
4,332
B.Charges and receipts(5)
402
227
185
140
C.Total spending
2,331
3,083
3,536
4,472
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
32.3
14.7
26.5
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%)(total)
28.8
11.8
23.4

National Health Service family health services (non-discretionary)(7)
Current
A.Net spending
5,067
5,475
6,070
6,738
B.Charges and receipts
919
858
898
898
C.Total spending
5,986
6,333
6,968
7,636
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
5.8
10.0
9.6
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
3.0
7.3
6.9

Departmental administration(8)(14)
Current
A.Net spending
350
372
337
346
B.Charges and receipts
24
20
18
18
C.Total spending
374
392
355
364
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
4.9
-9.4
2.5
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
2.1
-11.6
0.0
Cost of Collecting NHS element of NI contributions
20
21
15
15

Central health and miscellaneous services(15)
Current
A.Net spending
703
876
905
950
B.Charges and receipts
148
119
119
119
C.Total spending
852
996
1,024
1,069
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
16.9
2.8
4.4
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
13.8
0.2
1.9

Other NHS Capital
A.Net spending
24
36
31
31
B.Charges and receipts
6
0
0
0
C.Total spending
30
36
31
31
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
20.5
-13.3
-1.9
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%)(total)
17.3
-15.5
-4.3

NHS Total
A.Net spending
56,728
63,294
69,374
76,390
B.Charges and receipts(5)
3,877
3,829
3,735
3,690
C.Total spending
60,605
67,123
73,109
80,079
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
10.8
8.9
9.5
E.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
7.9
6.2
6.9
F.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
8.7
6.8
7.4

Central Government Personal Social Services(16)
A.Net spending
195
122
193
219
B.Charges
28
33
38
46
C.Total spending
223
155
231
265
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
-30.4
48.7
15.0
E.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
-32.3
45.0
12.2

Central Government (specific and special) grants to local authorities
A.Net spending
1,964
2,018
1,836
1,871
B.Charges
0
0
0
0
C.Total spending
1,964
2,018
1,836
1,871
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
2.7
-9.0
1.9
E.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
0.0
-11.3
-0.6

Credit Approvals (LA capital)
A.Net spending
56
60
62
62
B.Charges
0
0
0
0
C.Total spending
56
60
62
62
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
6.1
4.5
0.0
E.Change over previous year in real terms (%)
3.4
1.9
-2.4

Health and Personal Social Services Total
A.Net spending
58,944
65,493
71,465
78,542
B.Charges and receipts(5)
3,905
3,862
3,773
3,736
C.Total spending
62,849
69,355
75,238
82,278
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
10.4
8.5
9.4
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)
7.5
5.7
6.7
H.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (net)
8.2
6.4
7.2

Local Authority Personal Social Services
Current
(9)(10)
A.Net spending
12,622
n/a
n/a
n/a
B.Charges and receipts(11)
2,475
n/a
n/a
n/a
C.Total spending
15,097
n/a
n/a
n/a
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%)(total)

Local Authority Personal Social Services
Capital
A.Net spending
128
n/a
n/a
n/a
B.Charges and receipts
64
n/a
n/a
n/a
C.Total spending
192
n/a
n/a
n/a
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%)(total)

Local Authority Personal Social Services Total
A.Net spending
12,750
n/a
n/a
n/a
B.Charges and receipts
2,539
n/a
n/a
n/a
C.Total spending
15,289
n/a
n/a
n/a
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%)(total)

Local Authority, Health and Personal Social Services Total(12)
A.Net spending
71,694
n/a
n/a
n/a
B.Charges and receipts(5)
6,444
n/a
n/a
n/a
C.Total spending
78,138
n/a
n/a
n/a
D.Change over previous year in cash (%)
G.Change over previous years in real terms (%) (total)

GDP deflator @ 26 June 2003
100.0
102.7
105.3
108.0

Footnotes:

  1.  Figures may not sum due to rounding.

  2.  Percentages are rounded to one decimal place.

  3.  Real terms growth figures differ from those given last year because of subsequent changes in GDP deflators. Where not otherwise specified, the figures are calculated on total expenditure figures and therefore differ from the Departmental Report, where increases are calculated on net expenditure.

  4.  The measures in changes in expenditure shown in lines D to F are as follows:

Line D shows the percentage change in total expenditure.

Line E shows the percentage change in total expenditure after accounting for inflation in the overall economy as measured by the GDP deflator.

Line F shows the percentage change in net expenditure after accounting for inflation in the overall economy as measured by the GDP deflator.

  5.  Includes NHS trust charges and receipts.

  6.  Input Cost Data is not available for years where outturn data is not available.

  7.  Figures for FHS non-discretionary expenditure for years 2002-03 and 2003-04 include resources (normally funded from FHS discretionary) to fund successive Personal Medical and Personal Dental Service pilots.

  8.  Include Trading Funds—Medicines Control Agency (MCA) and NHS Estates Agency.

  9.  There are no centrally generated plan figures for local authority expenditure, including Personal Social Services.

10.  Net budget figures are taken from Local Authority Revenue Accounts returns.

11.  Local Authorities do not forecast receipts for future years. It is assumed that receipts for 2001-02 form the same proportion of the net expenditure as for 2000-01.

12.  Local Authority, Health and Personal Social Services total excludes Central Government (Specific and Special) grants to Local Authorities and Credit Approvals (LA Capital) to avoid double counting. The total still does include an element of double counting (unquantifiable) with regard to joint working between hospitals and local authorities.

13.  Less HCFHS depreciation of:
299
354
511
611
14.  Less Dept Admin depreciation of:   
15
16
16
16
15.  Less CHMS depreciation of:
8
14
17
19
16.  Less PSS depreciation of:
9
10
10
10


  3.  The NHS expenditure figures for 2002-03 to 2005-06 (in Table 2.2.1b) are different to that referred to by the Chancellor in the 2002 Budget announcement. Since the 2002 budget announcement, NHS expenditure plans have been changed and appropriate adjustments made for the following reasons;

  Change to the Discount Rate from 6% to 3.5%. From 1 April 2003.

  Pensions Indexation: From 2003-04 onwards the Departmental Expenditure Limit for the Department of Health has been increased by a switch from the Exchequer's AME spending to cover the increased cost of pensions. An addition of over £1.6 billion has been made to the NHS DEL to cover these costs from 2003-04 onwards.

  Free Nursing Care: From 2003-04 the NHS is responsible for paying for the cost of providing Free Nursing Care to those in Nursing Homes.

  Health Care in Prisons: From 2003-04 the Department of Health is responsible for paying for the cost of providing health care in Prisons. An addition of over £100 million to the DH DEL has been made to cover these costs from 2003-04 onwards.

  4.  As a result of the above adjustments, growth in NHS expenditure over 2002-03 in 2003-04 is distorted. Once these are adjusted for, real-terms growth in Net NHS expenditure in 2003-04 is 4.9%, compared to 8.7% shown in table 2.2.1(b).

  5.  NHS and PSS Expenditure figures do not include the Machinery of Government changes. They still include funding for Children's services, the responsibility of which has transferred to DFES from 1 April 2003.

  6.  Table 2.2.1(c) gives a brief explanation of the main areas of expenditure in table 2.2.1(a) and 2.2.1(b).

Table 2.2.1(c)

EXPLANATION OF MAIN AREAS OF EXPENDITURE IN TABLE 2.2.1a and 2.2.1b

Area of ExpenditureDescription

NHS Hospital and Community health
Services and discretionary family health
services(HCHS)
This covers hospital and community health services, prescribing costs for drugs and appliances and discretionary General Medical Services (which include reimbursements of GMS GPs' practice staff, premises, out of hours and IM&T expenses). It also includes other centrally funded initiatives, services and special allocations managed centrally by the Department of Health (such as service specific levies which fund activities in the areas of education and training and research and development).

CapitalCapital expenditure is that used on the acquisition of land and premises, individual works for the provision, adaptation, renewal, replacement or demolition of buildings, items or groups of equipment and vehicles etc.

NHS Family Health Services (FHS)
(non-cash limited)
This covers "demand led" family health services, including the remuneration of General Medical Practitioners for demand led items of service payments such as capitation payments, health promotion and basic practice allowance, the cost of general dental and ophthalmic services, dispensing remuneration and income from dental and prescription charges. For comparison purposes, the FHS non-discretionary figures in figure 2.2.1a and 2.2.1b also contain FHS discretionary expenditure on Personal Medical Services (PMS) and Personal Dental Services (PDS) spend.

Departmental AdministrationThe administrative costs of running the Department of Health.

Central health
and miscellaneous
services (CHMS)
These are a wide range of activities funded from the Department of Health's spending programmes whose only common feature is that they receive funding direct from the Department and not via health authorities. Some of the services are managed directly by Departmental staff; some by non-departmental public bodies, or other separate executive organisations.

Other NHS CapitalIncludes the capital elements of Departmental administration and CHMS.

NHS TotalThe sum of HCHS current and capital expenditure, FHS, Departmental administration, CHMS current expenditure and other NHS capital.

Personal Social
Services
Personal care services for vulnerable people, including those with special needs because of old age or physical or mental disability, and children in need of care and protection. Examples are residential care homes for the elderly, home help and home care services, and social workers that provide help and support for a wide range of people. From April 2003, responsibility for children's services has transferred to the Department of Education and Skills.

Central Government (specific and special)
grants to local
authorities
Cash grants targeted at services which require a higher priority, where pump priming is appropriate or where the service is needed in only some authorities.

Credit Approvals
(LA capital)
Central government permission for individual local authorities to borrow or raise other forms of credit for capital purposes.

Local Authority Personal Social Services Personal care services for vulnerable people, including those with special needs because of old age or physical or mental disability, and children in need of care and protection. Examples are residential care homes for the elderly, home help and home care services, and social workers that provide help and support for a wide range of people. From 1 April 2003, responsibility for children's services transferred to the Department of Education and Skills.

Health and Personal Social Services Total The sum of NHS total, central Government personal social services, central Government (specific and special) grants to local authorities, credit approvals (LA capital), and civil defence.

Local Authority, Health and Personal
Social Services Total
The sum of Health and Personal Social Services Total and Local Authority Personal Social Services Total.


  2.2.2.  What is the Department's assessment of each programme's performance in 2001-02 against plans for that year, and anticipated performance in 2002-03 against plans for that year and outturn in 2001-02? [2.2.3]

  1.  Table 2.2.2 outlines the significant changes (ie over £10 million) between estimated outturn reported in last years evidence (HC1210) and outturn expenditure in table 2.2.1(a) of this years evidence for 2001-02.

  Table 2.2.2 also shows the significant changes (ie over £10 million) between Planned expenditure in last years evidence (HC1210) and estimated outturn expenditure in table 2.2.1(a) of this years evidence for 2002-03.

Table 2.2.2

COMPARISON OF NET EXPENDITURE PLANS FOR 2001-02 AND 2002-03 WITH THOSE ON PAGES 19-22 OF LAST YEAR'S HEALTH COMMITTEE WRITTEN EVIDENCE (HC 1210)

The main areas of change (£10 million or over) to the spending plans for various parts of the programme other than LAPSS are as follows. The grant to local authorities for central government is unhypothecated. Local authorities determine their own expenditure.

£ million

Difference
2001-02

HCHS current
-781
-624
Transfer to FHS Non Discretionary for
revised presentation of PMS and PDS
Expenditure in 2003-04 Questionnaire
-157
Provisional underspend due to slippage in
programme spending
HCHS capital
47
39
Additional Capital Underspend
FHS Current
649
624
Transfer from HCHS for revised presentation
of PMS and PDS Expenditure in 2003-04
Questionnaire
25
Higher than expected demand on GMS
resources, partially offset by lower than
expected volume of NHS dentistry
Departmental Administration
-8
No Changes over £10 million to report
CHMS current
-21
-21
Final expenditure was less than granted
through unanticipated savings on public
education campaigns, welfare foods and The
Family Fund partially offset by increased
expenditure on research and development
projects and contributions towards the
welfare foods scheme
Central Government PSS
-25
-16
Underspend in the National Care Standards
Commission capital programme
PSS Grants to Local Authorities
-7
No Changes over £10 million to report
PSS Credit Approvals
-1
No Changes over £10 million to report

  
  
  
£ million

Difference
2002-03

HCHS current
-553
531
Take up of End Year Flexibility (EYF)
350
Transfers from HCHS capital
-277
Transfers to FHS non discretionary
-1,112
Transfer to FHS non discretionary for
revised presentation of PMS + PDS
Expenditure
242
Reclassification of NHS Trusts Depreciation
-200
Transfers to Personal Social Services
-79
Transfers to CHMS
HCHS capital
-317
-350
Transfer to HCHS Revenue
43
In year addition from Treasury Capital
Modernisation Fund
154
PFI schemes taken on balance sheet as a
result of FRS5
59
Take up of EYF
-227
Estimated Underspend
FHS current
1,389
277
Transfer from HCHS Current
1,112
Transfer from HCHS for revised presentation
of PMS + PDS Expenditure
Departmental Admin Current
16
No Changes over £10 million to report
CHMS current
75
79
Transfers from HCHS revenue
Central Government PSS
14
10
Transfer from HCHS for Social Care Change
Agents (Modernisation Agency)
PSS Grants to Local Authorities
187
190
Transfer from HCHS for the Building Care
Capacity Grant
PSS Credit Approvals
0
No changes over £10 million to report


  Note: Changes less than £10 million are not listed and may slightly affect totals.

  2.2.3  Could the Department provide a breakdown of what the additional NHS expenditure in 2002-03 as compared with 2001-02 has been spent on? The impacts on expenditure of additional staff, increased pay levels, medicines, capital and other expenditures should be distinguished where possible. [2.2.6]

  1.  Total NHS expenditure in 2002-03 rose by £5.1 billion, of which £4.8 billion was increased revenue expenditure and £0.3 billion increased capital expenditure.

  2.  In Summary, of the additional £5.1 billion in 2002-03 was accounted for in the following proportions:

Extra staff, Drugs and goods and services
42%
Pay accounted for
32%
Capital and Training
19%
Cost Pressures
7%

  3.  This extra cash has been used to:

    (i)  improve access and quality of services. More than £2.2 billion of the increase has been used to employ additional staff, increase prescribing and purchase more goods and services. Approximately £1.3 billion was spent on additional staff and £850 million on increased prescribing. As a result hospital inpatient activity will increase by 4.5% and outpatient activity by 2.5%. The number of prescriptions will rise by nearly 30 million (5%). This will be accompanied by significant reductions in waiting times across the NHS and improved quality and outcomes in priority areas (section 2.2);

    (ii)  invest for the future. To achieve world class service standards the NHS needs to invest in people and infrastructure. Investment in training, capital and research is expected to increase during the year by almost £1.0 billion (20%). This has helped amongst other things to enable the completion of six major hospital schemes and increased nurse training places by 5.5%, allied health professional training by almost 17% and medical school intake by over 12% (section 2.3);

    (iii)  ensure that pay levels are sufficient to attract and retain staff. Needed to continue to provide sustained improvements in NHS performance. Around £1.6 billion has been invested in pay and this is having a direct impact on staff numbers. The number of staff employed is expected to increase significantly, especially amongst nurses (section 2.4);

    (iv)  to meet unavoidable cost increases (section 2.5) such as inflation on goods and services.

IMPROVING ACCESS AND QUALITY OF SERVICE

  4.  Extra staff, drugs and goods and services account for 42% of the increase in NHS expenditure. These are key to improving access and quality of NHS services.

MORE STAFF

  5.  Delivery of the NHS Plan depends critically upon increasing staff numbers. Since September 2001 total NHS staffing rose[4] significantly including increases of:

      (a)  17,000 more qualified nurses;

      (b)  2,000 more therapists;

      (c)  400 additional GPs; and

      (d)  1,200 more hospital consultants.

  6.  These staff have been deployed to help, amongst other things:

      (a)  treat an additional 30,000 in-patients in hospitals;

      (b)  deal with an additional 240,000 out-patient attendances; and

      (c)  deliver an additional 5,000 revascularisations (heart operations).

PRESCRIBING

  7.  The increased spend on drugs reflects an 11.2% growth in GP and nurse prescribing and 12% growth in hospital drugs. Within the total spend on drugs, we estimate that implementing NICE guidance has cost around £250 million extra in 2002-03. The estimated increased cost of treatments referred to NICE include:

       (a)  £55 million on Ribavirin and Interferon Alpha for Hepatitis C which will benefit around 7,000 people;

       (b)  £25 million Cox IIs for osteoarthritis and Rheumatoid Arthritis which will benefit around 1.4 million people; and

      (c)  £39 million on zyban and nicotine replacement therapy for around 1.4 million people.

  8.  The growth in GP and nurse prescribing spend on drugs this year includes:

       (a)  £208 million on drugs for Coronary Heart Disease (ie lipid regulating and anti-hypertensives) equivalent to over nine million more prescriptions;

      (b)  £50 million on drugs for diabetes or over two million prescriptions;

      (c)  £32 million on drugs for depression equivalent to writing two million more prescriptions;

      (d)  £31 million on drugs for healing ulcers equivalent to over 1.5 million more prescriptions; and

      (e)  £27 million on drugs for respiratory problems or 400,000 more prescriptions.

INVESTING IN THE FUTURE

  9.  Delivery of further improvement in the NHS beyond 2002-03 will depend upon investment for the future in staff, buildings, equipment and information technology. In 2002-03 the additional investment allowed, amongst other things:

INVESTMENT IN TRAINING

      (a)  an increase in Nurse and midwife training places 1,540 (7.0%);

      (b)  an increase of around 1,620 (22%) of therapists and other key professional training places;

      (c)  an increase in Specialist Registrars training places of 300;

      (d)  an increase in pre-registration house officers of 160;

       (e)  an increase of around 200 in the number of GP Registrars, bringing the total number of extra funded GPR posts to 350;

      (f)  an increase in the overall number of clinical placements of 4.4%; and

      (g)  an increase of intake of medical students of 580 (12.3%).

INVESTMENT IN BUILDINGS, EQUIPMENT AND INFRASTRUCTURE

       (a)  a 16% increase in the level of general capital allocations (to around £1.5 billion) to maintain and improve the NHS estate;

      (b)  six new hospitals opened in 2002-03 with a capital value in excess of £474 million;

      (c)  five medium sized schemes completed, worth in excess of £70 million;

       (d)  14 new Diagnostic and Treatment Centres opening during the year with annual capacity totalling in excess of 40,000 cases. Two new walk in centres and the improvement of 13 others. IT investment across all 42 walk in centres;

      (e)  expanding and modernisation of services for Coronary Heart Disease £100 million;

       (f)  central purchase of major Cancer equipment, including 11 new MRI scanners, 12 Linear Accelerators, 35 CT Scanners and over 180 items of breast screening equipment, all delivered since April 2002; and

       (g)  various improvements for Mental Health patients including improvements to the physical environment in psychiatric in-patient wards, improved security at high secure units and development of facilities to accommodate patients with Serious Personality Disorder—Total £77 million.

  10.  Work has begun on conversion of 236 nightingale wards for older people—to be completed by April 2004.

PAY INCREASES TO RECRUIT AND RETAIN STAFF

  11.  The NHS is a labour intensive organisation and pay accounts for roughly 55% of total spend (60% of revenue expenditure). Consequently pay increases absorb a significant part of the additional spend. The main elements of the total increase in paybill are:

      (a)  pay awards for NHS staff worth, on average, 4.0%: £1,120 million;

      (b)  change in occupational and grade mix: £325 million; and

       (c)  extension of Cost of Living Supplements for staff living in high cost areas in London and parts of the South East: £40 million.

  12.  Investment in pay is, of course, vital both to recruit and retain staff.

PRICE INCREASES

  13.  As well as investment in staff and additional activity the NHS, faces day to day price rises in goods, services and drugs. We estimate that these cost the NHS around an extra £370 million in 2002-03. Of this, £70 million was to cover the increase in payments for Clinical Negligence awards and the rest was inflation on the cost of goods and services purchased by the NHS.

EFFICIENCY

  14.  In 2002-03 we estimate that efficiency in the NHS improved by around 1%. This is an initial estimate for 2002-03 and is subject to change, final estimates of efficiency will not be available until the audited accounts for 2002-03 are published in the autumn.

  15.  As set out in Delivering the NHS Plan, we have developed a better, more rounded measure of NHS efficiency. This new measure of efficiency, which replaces the Cost Weighted Efficiency Index, is an improvement over the old measure as it takes into account case mix changes and investment in quality improvements.

  2.2.4  Could the Department provide information on net NHS expenditure in England on a consistent basis, including taking into account the switch to resource accounting, from 1970 to the latest plans?

  1.  It is not possible to provide information on Net NHS expenditure on a consistent basis, as the information is not available.

  2.  Table 2.2.4 shows Total NHS Expenditure in England between:

       (i)  1971-72 and 1999-2000 on a cash basis.

       (ii)  1999-2000 and 2002-03 on a Stage 1 Resource Budgeting basis.

      (iii)  2002-03 and 2005-06 on a Stage 2 Resource Budgeting basis.

  3.  Table 2.2.4 also shows a continuous run of annual growth rates in NHS expenditure.

Table 2.2.4

TRENDS IN ACTUAL, ESTIMATED AND PLANNED TOTAL EXPENDITURE ON THE NHS (ENGLAND)1971-72 to 2005-06


Year
Net NHS
Expenditure(4)
£ billion
% real terms
increase(5)

Cash
1971-72
Outturn
2.0
1972-73
Outturn
2.3
5.5
1973-74
Outturn
2.5
2.6
1974-75
Outturn
3.3
11.1
1975-76
Outturn
4.4
5.6
1976-77
Outturn
5.0
0.4
1977-78
Outturn
5.6
-2.9
1978-79
Outturn
6.3
1.7
1979-80
Outturn
7.4
1.6
1980-81
Outturn
9.7
10.2
1981-82
Outturn
10.9
2.2
1982-83
Outturn
11.8
1.8
1983-84
Outturn
12.5
1.2
1984-85
Outturn
13.4
1.9
1985-86
Outturn
14.2
0.3
1986-87
Outturn
15.2
3.7
1987-88
Outturn
16.7
4.2
1988-89
Outturn
18.4
3.5
1989-90
Outturn
19.9
0.6
1990-91
Outturn
22.3
4.3
1991-92
Outturn
25.4
7.0
1992-93
Outturn
28.0
6.9
1993-94
Outturn
28.9
1.0
1994-95
Outturn
30.6
4.3
1995-96
Outturn
32.0
1.7
1996-97
Outturn
33.0
0.0
1997-98
Outturn
34.7
1.9
1998-99
Outturn
36.6
2.8
1999-2000
Outturn
39.9
6.4
RB Stage 1(1)
1999-2000
Outturn
40.2
2000-01
Outturn
44.0
6.9
2001-02
Outturn
49.3
9.4
2002-03
Estimated
Outturn
54.4
7.1
RB Stage 2(2)
2002-03
Estimated
Outturn
56.7
2003-04
Plan(3)
63.3
8.7
2004-05
Plan
69.4
6.8
2005-06
Plan
76.4
7.4

Footnotes:

1.  Expenditure figures from 1999-2000 to 2002-03 are consistent with table 2.2.1a.

2.  Expenditure figures from 2002-03 to 2005-06 are consistent with table 2.2.1b.

3.  NHS expenditure figures for 2002-03 to 2005-06 have been adjusted for classification changes by HMT. As a result, growth in NHS expenditure in 2003-04 is distorted. Once these are adjusted for, real terms growth in NHS expenditure in 2003-04 is 4.9%.

4.  NHS Expenditure figures do not include the Machinery of Government changes (ie they still include funding for Children's services, responsibility for which has transferred to DFES).

5.  Based on the GDP Deflator series as at 27 June 2003.

  2.2.5  Could the Department provide information on NHS income from charges over the last 10 years by type of charge?

  1.  Table 2.2.5 shows the breakdown of NHS income from charges over the last 10 years (1992-93 to 2001-02) by type of charge.



4   Based on provisional figures 2002. Back


 
previous page contents next page

House of Commons home page Parliament home page House of Lords home page search page enquiries index

© Parliamentary copyright 2004
Prepared 5 January 2004