Select Committee on International Development Written Evidence


7.  Supplementary memorandum submitted by Christian Aid

  1.  Since Christian Aid submitted its Memorandum to the Committee on 15 May, some developments have occurred which alter the detail of our assessment of the situation in Iraq. These developments and Christian Aid's response to them are explained below. Christian Aid stresses that the points raised in our earlier submission remain relevant. We would therefore ask the Committee to consider both our original Memorandum and the following Addendum:

SECURITY

  2.  Christian Aid staff who have visited Iraq over the past two weeks confirm that poor security remains the overriding concern for the majority of Iraqis we have interviewed. But Christian Aid acknowledges that crime levels in Baghdad have improved since the increased deployment of US troops in the city from the week beginning 19 May. It appears that US military personnel are now starting to adopt methods used by British military personnel that have proved relatively successful in Basra. These include foot patrols, proactive face-to-face contact with civilians in the streets, and attempts to engage with local committees and traditional leaders.

  3.  On the other hand, there is little room for complacency. Violent incidents involving arms and resulting in loss of life are still occurring on a daily basis. Concern remains about the security provided to key civilian installations. The World Food Programme reports that they now have pipelines and transport ready to deliver fresh supplies of foodstuffs to warehouses across Iraq in preparation for the WFP's reactivation of the Oil for Food Programme in June. But food distribution could be delayed because of WFP's continued dissatisfaction with the level of security provided by the US/UK Forces to food warehouses.

  4.  The decision taken by the US Office for Reconstruction and Humanitarian Affairs (ORHA) on 24 May to dismantle the Iraqi army and dismiss 500,000 soldiers is particular cause for concern. There appear to be no rehabilitation/reintegration or employment programmes for these soldiers, the absence of which could quickly create frustration and disaffection.

  5.  Moreover, it appears that no effort was made to disarm these soldiers of their rifles before they were dismissed. Indeed, in spite of the earlier announcement of an arms amnesty, ORHA recently ruled that Iraqis (including ex-soldiers) are now expressly permitted to keep rifles, including powerful, automatic AK47 assault rifles of which there are plenty amongst the Iraqi civilian population.

  6.  In Christian Aid's view, the Iraqi army must be reconstituted, reformed and retrained with the utmost speed. The possible consequences of not doing so are vast, given the proliferation of arms in the population at large. There is also an urgent need for an integrated Demobilisation, Disarmament and Reintegration (DDR) programme which would provide rehabilitation, retraining and employment opportunities for those soldiers not reinserted into a new army.

CIVIL ADMINISTRATION

  7.  ORHA's decision announced in mid-May to dismiss the top four layers of Ba'ath Party personnel in public positions could also have a destabilising impact on Iraq's security. It is already having a paralysing impact on the administration of basic services. The removal of the top tiers of management in a highly centralised state administrative structure and the failure to replace these tiers with experienced personnel are proving a major obstacle to the rehabilitation of Iraq's basic services.

  8.  It is essential that the Occupying Powers address the impact of their deba'athification strategy and resist relying on international NGOs to get Iraq moving again. UN and humanitarian agencies have played a key role in providing emergency humanitarian relief in recent weeks and NGOs will play a major role in the future in promoting devolved, community-based development/reconstruction. But NGOs have neither the capacity nor the coverage to substitute for the State in the provision and wholesale reconstruction of Iraq's dilapidated electricity, water, sanitation, education, and health services.

CHRISTIAN AID'S RESPONSE TO THE UN SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION 1483

  9.  Christian Aid welcomes the fact that UNSC resolution 1483 on Iraq was finally passed on 22 May. This will enable the UN to engage more effectively in rehabilitation and reconstruction efforts, and will help reduce the authority vacuum as well as the blockages in civil administration that have plagued Iraq's recovery since Saddam was removed. Nevertheless, Christian Aid questions whether on its own and without the necessary action proposed above, the resolution will give the UN the "central role" to which the Prime Minister had publicly committed himself. We trust that the UNSC Resolution 1483 will at least allow for effective cooperation between the US government's Office for Reconstruction and Humanitarian Affairs (ORHA) and UN agencies—cooperation which has been absent in past weeks. But this cooperation will depend on ORHA's willingness to actively engage the UN Secretary General's new Special Representative and UN agencies in its plans.

  10.  Christian Aid's specific concerns about the UNSC resolution are as follows:

    —  It provides little concrete detail with regard to the processs for the formation of an Iraqi interim administration, prior to the longer term goal of establishing a democratically elected government. For example, it contains no timeframe for when such an interim administration will be created and gives little indication as to how. It merely says that it will be formed by the "people of Iraq with the help of the Authority [Occupying Powers] and working with the [UN] Special Representative." Christian Aid staff on the ground confirm that in many towns, Iraqis have formed their own local committees and are vesting legitimacy in local political leaders. These initiatives could provide the basis for transferring interim political power to Iraqis at local and national levels.

    —  It gives little explicit authority to the United Nations in administering the reconstruction of post-war Iraq. On the contrary, the leading role is given to the Occupying Powers with the role of the UN limited primarily to that of coordinating the humanitarian and reconstruction activities of UN agencies and NGOs. The resolution states that the UN's Special Representative will "work[ing] intensively with the Authority [occupying powers] . . . to restore and establish national and local institutions for representative governance" and that the UN Special Representative will "work[s] with the people of Iraq" over the formation of a transitional administration. But this is far from giving the UN a central role in the political transition process.

    —  It passes control of the disbursement of oil revenues from the UN to the Occupying Powers, reducing the role of the UN to representation on the International Advisory and Monitoring Board of the Development Fund for Iraq (into which oil revenues are to be paid). Christian Aid believes that giving such pivotal decision-making powers to the Occupying Powers in both controlling Iraq's oil revenues and in shaping the future of the industry is likely to reinforce a widely held perception in the Middle East that US/UK policies in Iraq are being informed and crafted by their own interests in accessing Iraq's enormous oil reserves. Christian Aid believes oil revenues should be managed by the UN until a legitimate Iraqi authority is in place.

    —  There is no explicit recognition of Iraqi representation on the International Advisory and Monitoring Board. Moreover, the resolution obliges the Occupying Powers to do no more than "consult" the Iraqi interim administration on the allocation of oil revenues. In Christian Aid's view, the Iraqi interim administration should have some decision-making power in the use and allocation of oil revenues. It is also essential that decisions about these revenues should be taken transparently—whoever is responsible for managing Iraq's oil revenues—so that the Iraqi population can be assured that oil revenues are being used to benefit the Iraqi nation as a whole and can hold those in control of oil revenues to account if revenues are not being used for these purposes.

OIL FOR FOOD PROGRAMME

  11.  Christian Aid welcomes the provision in the 22 May UNSC resolution for the extension of the UN's Oil for Food Programme for another six months (after which point all funds in the UN-controlled escrow fund will be transferred to the Development Fund created by the UN resolution). Unemployment is high and most Iraqis, especially poorer people, remain dependent for their sustenance on food rations and other essential items. However, it is essential that ORHA and UN agencies make viable plans for meeting the population's food needs after this six month period, given that many Iraqis will still not have the means to support themselves by that point. In the longer term, a future comprehensive rehabilitation plan should include incentives to expand the domestic production of basic foodstuffs to replace the high level of dependence on external food aid.

RECOMMENDATIONS

    —  In the short term, there is an urgent need for the Occupying Powers to fully address the ongoing problems with security and law and order on which Iraq's rehabilitation and reconstruction depends.

    —  An integrated demobilisation, disarmament, and reintegration (DDR) programme must be drawn up and the Iraqi army reconstituted and reformed to reduce the destabilising threat posed by the recent wholesale dismantlement of the army.

    —  UN agencies and ORHA must draw up plans for ensuring Iraqis' basic needs are met after the Oil for Food Programme comes to an end in six months' time. In the longer term, a strategy is needed to reduce Iraqis' dependency on external food aid and stimulate local agricultural production.

    —  The tone (if not the substance) of the UNSC resolution of 22 May implies that the UN will play a more active and central role in Iraq's political transition and reconstruction from now on. The UK government must do everything in its powers to facilitate such a role for the UN. The UN not only has extensive experience of transitional processes but is also seen as a more neutral body by Iraqis than the Occupying Powers.

    —  The US and UK governments must make public their plans for the creation of an Iraqi Interim administration made up of a broad spectrum of Iraqis who have legitimacy amongst the Iraqi population.

    —  Once an Iraqi interim administration is created, it should be given representation on the International Advisory and Monitoring Board of the Development Fund into which oil revenues are to be paid. Both the UN and the Iraqi interim administration should have decision-making powers over the allocation of oil revenues. Decisions over the use of oil revenues should not be confined to the Occupying Powers.

2 June 2003


 
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