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7 Sept 2004 : Column 1205W—continued

One-parent Households

Mr. Woodward: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what estimate the Government have made of
 
7 Sept 2004 : Column 1206W
 
(a) how many and (b) what percentage of children lived in one parent households in (i) St. Helens and (ii) the UK, broken down by region, in each year since 1997. [186821]

Ruth Kelly: The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician, who has been asked to reply.

Letter from Len Cook to Mr. Shaun Woodward, dated 7 September 2004:

As National Statistician, I have been asked to reply to your recent question concerning the number and percentage of children living in one-parent households in (a) St. Helens and (b) the United Kingdom broken down by region in each year since 1997. (186821)

The attached table shows estimates of the numbers of dependent children living in one-parent families in private households, and the proportions they represent of all dependent children living in families in private households. These estimates have been derived from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), apart from the year 2001 for which that year's Census data are shown.

The LFS provides estimates for the United Kingdom, countries of the UK and Government Office regions as well as local authority data for certain variables. However, the most recent year for which estimates are available on children in one-parent families in St. Helens local authority is 2002. Estimates for this specific variable are not available at local authority level before 2001.

Number of dependent children living in lone parent families—UK Government Office Regions, 1997–2004 Thousand

Area of residence	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004
United Kingdom	2,762	2,916	2,905	2,863	3,043	3,037	3,033	3,084
North East	142	146	145	148	144	149	164	158
North West	392	428	405	397	410	464	430	411
Merseyside	116	129	116	103	107	122	125	111
St. Helens	(91)—	(91)—	(91)—	(91)—	11	12	(91)—	(91)—
Yorkshire and Humberside	241	247	242	242	260	248	249	262
East Midlands	175	174	163	162	196	195	187	170
West Midlands	240	258	251	257	279	269	254	255
Eastern	197	206	205	196	222	226	219	230
London	427	458	486	487	461	480	485	554
South East	298	289	289	285	325	325	328	315
South West	181	193	192	175	209	197	192	191
Wales	144	169	181	169	165	160	157	166
Scotland	231	250	249	246	269	233	259	261
Northern Ireland	93	98	95	100	103	94	108	110

Percentage of dependent children living in lone parent families—UK Government Office Regions, 1997–2004 Percentage

Area of residence	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004
United Kingdom	20.8	22.0	21.9	21.6	23.3	23.2	23.2	23.6
North East	24.3	24.8	24.7	26.2	26.3	27.4	30.5	30.6
North West	24.7	26.8	25.7	25.4	26.7	28.9	26.7	26.3
Merseyside	31.9	37.1	35.2	32.8	34.0	35.3	36.3	316
St. Helens	(91)—	(91)—	(91)—	(91)—	26.9	27.2	(91)—	(91)—
Yorkshire and Humberside	21.4	22.4	21.9	22.2	23.3	23.5	23.5	24.5
East Midlands	19.1	19.1	17.6	18.0	21.3	20.9	20.3	18.7
West Midlands	19.8	21.8	21.2	21.4	23.1	22.7	21. 8	21.4
Eastern	16.6	17.4	17.4	16.6	18.6	18.7	18.1	19.1
London	26.0	27.6	28.8	28.2	29.0	28.1	27.9	31.2
South East	17.3	16.4	16.3	15.9	18.6	18.7	19.4	18.1
South West	17.4	18.6	18.4	16.2	20.3	19.3	19.2	18.6
Wales	22.1	25.0	26.6	25.2	25.4	24.1	24.9	26.3
Scotland	21.2	23.1	23.8	23.7	25.3	23.0	24.9	26.0
Northern Ireland	19.3	20.9	21.1	22.6	22.9	21.1	24.0	24.9

⁽⁹¹⁾ Not available.
Source:
Labour Force Survey and 2001 Census, ONS
2001 Census Northern Ireland Statistics
2001 Census General Register Office for Scotland





 
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Pensions (Tax Relief)

Mr. Love: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what the cost to public funds was of tax relief for individuals on pension contributions in each of the last five years; and if he will make a statement. [186634]

Dawn Primarolo: Available estimates of the cost of tax relief on private pensions are contained in table 7.9 of Inland Revenue Statistics. The latest version is on the Inland Revenue website:

http://www.inlandrevenue.qov.uk/stats/pensions/table7 9.pdf These estimates are due to be updated in September 2004.

Personal Income Tax Allowance

Mr. Willetts: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what the effects would be on the incomes of households in each quintile of the income distribution of raising the personal income tax allowance to £10,000 per annum. [186783]

Dawn Primarolo: The information is as follows.
Percentage increase

Quintile	Percentage change in net equivalised household income (before housing costs)
1	1.4
2	3.1
3	4.9
4	5.9
5	5.1

These changes in household income are based on IGOTM tax and benefits model using the Family Resources Survey 2002–03.

Personal Tax Allowance

Sandra Gidley: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what plans he has to change the personal tax allowance for those of pensionable age. [186582]

Dawn Primarolo: The Government's policy is to increase the age-related personal allowances for those 65 and over at least in line with earnings for the remainder of the Parliament.

PFI/PPP Contracts

Matthew Taylor: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer how many contracts his Department had with (a) Barclays, (b) the Royal Bank of Scotland, (c) UBS Warburg and (d) the Bank of Scotland for advice on private finance initiative and public private partnership contracts in each financial year since 2001–02; and what fees were paid in each case. [186662]

Ruth Kelly: None
 
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Mr. Cousins: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what level of costs for insurance is included in PFI/PPP schemes agreed in the last two years; what review of insurance costs has been undertaken; and what conclusions have been reached. [186845]

Mr. Boateng: The contractor in a PFI consortium is responsible for procuring the necessary insurance for a PFI scheme. The costs will vary depending on the nature of the project as well as the conditions in the insurance market at the time the insurances are taken out.

There has been no official review of PFI insurance costs by HM Treasury. However, guidance on the treatment of insurance costs is contained in the HMT Standardisation of Contracts Version 3 (SOPC3) and OGC Business and Operational Guidance "PFI Contracts: Insurance Costs". SOPC3 states that the risk of increases in insurance costs should be borne by the contractor, while recognising that it will not represent best value for money if bidders price in worst case scenarios for future insurance premium levels in to their bids. The OGC guidance therefore sets out a mechanism for sharing insurance cost increases should there be exceptional circumstances in the international insurance market.

Population Changes

Mr. Hayes: To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer what estimate he has made of the change in population arising from changes in (a) net indigenous population and (b) net immigration in each decade to 2050, broken down by region. [187335]

Ruth Kelly: The information requested falls within the responsibility of the National Statistician, who has been asked to reply.

Letter from Len Cook to Mr. John Hayes, dated 7 September 2004:

As National Statistician I have been asked to reply to your question concerning the change in population arising from changes in net indigenous population and immigration in the decades to 2050, by region. (187335)

The attached table shows population projections at Government Office Region level for the years 2000, 2010 and 2020. These figures are 1996-based and are the latest basis on which long-term subnational population projections are currently available. These projections have a 25 year "horizon" and so only figures to 2020 are available at this geographical level.

The projected natural population change (number of births less number of deaths) and the assumed level of net international migration, for each region, are also shown in the table. It should be noted that these two components are not independent, and that the level of natural change projected for the future is itself partly dependent on the assumed level of net migration.

The figures shown in the table for England are not the latest 2002-based projections produced by GAD but are 1996-based to be consistent with the subnational projections shown. Please note that these include a lower assumption for international migration than the latest set which can be found at: http://www.gad.gov.uk/Population/index.asp

A note considering the overall impact of assumed net migration on future population growth is available from the Government Actuary's Department website at: http://www. gad.gov.uk/Population/2002/methodology/mignote.htm. This is a UK level analysis from GAD's latest (2002-based) national projections. Comparable analysis is not available for the 1996-based projections.

 
7 Sept 2004 : Column 1209W
 

The Office for National Statistics will publish 2003-based subnational population projections on 16 November. Information about this release can be found at:

http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme population/Subnational/Projections-22July2004.pdf

Projected Population by Government Office Region for Decades—Total population for Government Office Regions as shown, 2000, 2010, 2020 Thousand

		Year
Area	Population	2000	2010	2020
England	Total population	49,730.2	51,031.6	52,361.2
	(10-year change)		1,301.5	1,329.6
	Net natural change		640.8	669.0
	Net international migration		658.6	658.6
North East	Total population	2,584.0	2,539.4	2,511.8
	(10-year change)		-44.7	-27.6
	Net natural change		-18.7	-16.5
	Net international migration		10.9	10.9
North West	Total population	6,875.4	6,823.7	6,809.4
	(10-year change)		-51.7	-14.3
	Net natural change		25.5	36.5
	Net international migration		-5.3	-5.3
Yorkshire and	Total population	5,065.2	5,122.9	5,193.5
the Humber	(10-year change)		57.7	70.6
	Net natural change		43.1	56.1
	Net international migration		34.3	34.3
East Midlands	Total population	4,217.0	4,369.4	4,510.4
	(10-year change)		152.4	141.0
	Net natural change		25.2	20.2
	Net international migration		41.7	41.7
West Midlands	Total population	5,338.5	5,369.2	5,407.5
	(10-year change)		30.7	38.3
	Net natural change		53.3	47.5
	Net international migration		42.4	42.4
East	Total population	5,418.8	5,678.4	5,918.1
	(10-year change)		259.6	239.8
	Net natural change		63.2	44.5
	Net international migration		58.2	58.2
London	Total population	7,191.6	7,442.6	7,712.3
	(10-year change)		251.0	269.7
	Net natural change		422.8	480.8
	Net international migration		310.0	310.0
South East	Total population	8,088.6	8,496.5	8,869.5
	(10-year change)		407.9	373.0
	Net natural change		81.8	67.2
	Net international migration		113.5	113.5
South West	Total population	4,951.0	5,189.6	5,428.7
	(10-year change)		238.6	239.1
	Net natural change		-55.4	-67.3
	Net international migration		53.0	53.0

Source:
Office for National Statistics

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