Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 60-79)

2 MARCH 2004

RT HON DAVID BLUNKETT MP, MR ROBERT WHALLEY, SIR DAVID OMAND KCB AND MS CHERYL PLUMRIDGE

  Q60 Mr Prosser: Home Secretary, there has been quite a lot of controversy lately relating to decisions to cancel flights on security grounds, albeit based on information and intelligence coming from the United States. Are you satisfied yourself that we are setting the criteria level at its correct position in making these decisions?

  Mr Blunkett: Yes, I am. I think that the operators are where the final decision must lie. The Secretary of State for Transport and myself have been very clear, as we have been over a considerable time now, that we should always exercise caution. It is always right as you, Chair, actually demonstrated about an hour ago, that we do not want to be blown up halfway across the Atlantic and, as I am flying with our major carrier in a day or two's time to Washington, nor do I, but I want us to be robust and realistic about appraising the evidence and the credibility of that evidence and that is what we are trying to do.

  Q61 Mr Prosser: At the fear of being rebuked for asking the question,—

  Mr Blunkett: I did not rebuke. I just stated very strongly the case and understood the nature of it, so have a go.

  Q62 Mr Prosser: In these circumstances of cancelled flights have you ever taken any action personally to look individually at the intelligence so that you could make your own appraisal rather than just taking the recommendations and advice from your officials?

  Mr Blunkett: If the question is have we as politicians, the Secretary of State for Transport and I, overridden advice, the answer is no. Do we ask our officials, including David Omand and Cheryl, to appraise the credibility of the sources with the Security Service? Yes, we do, and, of course, we would be remiss if we did not.

  Sir David Omand: Indeed, and it is the function of JTAC, the Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre, to produce assessed intelligence for policy makers and decision makers. The decision that is then taken in the light of that threat assessment is for ministers but the assessment itself rests on the professional judgments of those working in the Security Service and the other agencies. I think I would want to add that in the end these are risk management judgments. We cannot give absolute guarantees of security. As officials we have to advise ministers on risk management and the managing down of the risk from terrorism but there is no absolute assurance in this world. We have said we will never hesitate to issue a warning or take action if that is the best way to protect the community or a group facing a specific and credible threat, and public safety is our first priority, but we are going to have to live with a situation in which there is risk and exercise suitable fortitude.

  Q63 Mr Prosser: Lastly from me, have there been incidences (if you can answer the question) when the recommendation perhaps, if it does come as a recommendation from the USA, is that a flight should not take place and that recommendation has been overturned by officials and the local intelligence?

  Sir David Omand: It is not for the United States to make recommendations about whether flights should or should not take place. We have a close relationship with our principal allies overseas, we share intelligence, we discuss it, and then our own intelligence analysts will produce an assessment for British ministers who will then, in this case principally of course the Secretary of State for Transport in consultation with the carriers take decisions and decisions will then be taken about whether or not it is safe for a flight to continue.

  Q64 Chairman: Home Secretary, you may be aware that the Defence Committee flew to Washington on flight 223. Despite many warnings we flew the flag, arrived very safely. The Transport Committee, that knows far more about these things than we do, sought to divert and go to Baltimore, and ended up in Reykjavik and were a day late, so I am afraid I have not had the courage to talk to my colleague, Mrs Dunwoody, to slightly admonish her for her profound mistake.

  Mr Blunkett: Your fortitude and foresight I shall follow to the letter in the next few days.

  Q65 Chairman: You must not follow me, Home Secretary, because I actually proposed that we should fly to Baltimore. My committee were wiser than I was.

  Mr Blunkett: Well, Chairman, you have really disappointed me! Baltimore is a very interesting city, as I have been there recently.

  Q66 Chairman: As, of course, is Reykjavik.

  Mr Blunkett: I will take your word for it!

  Q67 Mr Singh: I would like to pursue this point about the threat to these flights, Home Secretary. What kind of threat was it—I am puzzled, and I am sure a lot of people are—that led to these flights being cancelled? If it was a bomb could we not metal detect all the luggage or take all the luggage out? If somebody was going to pull a gun on the plane could not all the passengers be metal detected? If we had information that somebody was a terrorist could they not have been arrested and the flight take place? What kind of threat is it that we cannot take other action in order to let the flight go ahead but we have to cancel it?

  Mr Blunkett: Let me just reassure you that if there was any evidence of a specific individual being suspected of terrorism, they would, of course, be dealt with accordingly. It is totally impracticable to go through the process that would be necessary in terms of the disruption of that flight in a way that would be acceptable in a free society, and the judgment has been taken, and I have talked at some length with Alistair Darling about this because we were dealing with it all the way over Christmas and New Year, with the carrier's common sense that it was better that the carrier had that flight cancelled and was able to operate other flights rather than the nature of the surveillance of the individuals required, and of their luggage and of the flight itself, which would immediately cause even more worry and deterioration in confidence, and we hold to that judgment.

  Q68 Mr Singh: Can I just pursue that: by cancelling, are we not encouraging the terrorists?

  Sir David Omand: I think that comes back to the point, if I may, about risk management. When there is specific information relating to a flight then clearly the first thing we do is to review the nature of that intelligence and what it might say about a possible threat to see what counter-measures and additional security measures can be taken. Such measures are regularly taken on the basis of intelligence but there can be occasions on which prudence dictates that it is safer for the flight not to proceed at all. These are rare but when it happens it happens for good reason. I am afraid I really do not think we can go into the sort of cases that would give rise to this.

  Q69 Mr Blunt: Recently flights have been cancelled to Riyadh and warnings given about the situation surrounding those in Saudi Arabia which have caused considerable offence in Saudi Arabia and have been strongly rejected, I think, by the Saudi Arabian Government as damaging to Saudi Arabia given what the United Kingdom is saying. Who does, in the end, make these judgments taking into account advice presumably received from the Foreign Office post in Riyadh and advisors on the Middle East desks in London?

  Mr Blunkett: It would not be solely a Foreign Office decision, it would be one relating to security and those charged with security here would have to meet—as they did on each occasion when there was a concern—to go through that assessment and analysis process and then to advise both the Government and the operator of the best approach. I do not want to comment about the reaction of the Saudi Government, except to say we have had to cancel a number of flights over the last three months to Washington. Flights have been cancelled to Nairobi and elsewhere. We honestly do not believe that there is any reason why any government should take offence at taking sensible security measures which are in the best interests of passengers but also, I would have thought, of the destination country.

  Sir David Omand: We do take care, of course, to discuss the position with the foreign government concerned, in the case you cite with Saudi Arabia. You will be aware that the Saudi authorities themselves have very recently been issuing warnings about the danger of specific forms of terrorism within Saudi Arabia. I do not think I would want to place too much emphasis on there being a problem between the United Kingdom Government and the Saudi Government because I think there is a great deal of understanding about the need for public safety on the part of both governments.

  Q70 David Winnick: Surely, as far as passengers are concerned, mindful of the acute terrorist threat, they are not likely, Home Secretary, are they, to start complaining because their flights are cancelled? Presumably they put their lives before any inconvenience.

  Mr Blunkett: People have been remarkably sensible and understanding.

  David Winnick: I would hope so.

  Q71 Mr Taylor: Home Secretary, this question is perhaps an extension of the same line of questioning, though it is perhaps a doom watch variant. May I ask you in general terms how do you balance security considerations against the public right to know that they are at risk? For instance, if there is a credible threat to a particular building you might tell the occupants to evacuate but what if the threat is equally credible but to a whole city or town?

  Mr Blunkett: If there was a threat to a town or city that we were unable, through the use of the security and intelligence services' counter-terrorism branch to be able to thwart, which is obviously the whole objective of being able to intervene at a point where you can disrupt or deter—and I used a public example earlier like Heathrow deliberately because it is a known example—then you avoid having to cause the enormous massive disruption and dislocation which in itself would be an advantage to the terrorists. It is not simply taking life; it is the disruption of and dislocation of the economy and of our way of life and of commerce that people seek. At all costs you try and avoid that taking place. As you are aware, evacuation plans are part of preparing under the resilience programme and we would have those plans in place but they have to be balanced in relation to what would happen if panic ensued and the way in which you would then be faced with a very different and more impossible problem. Cheryl, seeing that the Chairman is desperate you should say something, do you want to comment?

  Q72 Chairman: Please do, otherwise Sir David will dock you half a day's salary if you do not give a long answer.

  Ms Plumridge: Thank you, Chairman. I think the only thing I can add to what the Home Secretary has said is really that mass evacuation is one of the things that we plan for but is not a panacea in itself. We have to aim, also, for the circumstances in which mass evacuation may not be recommended but perhaps people start to self-evacuate. It is something we are very aware of and do plan for but it is fraught with difficulties.

  Sir David Omand: Could I just add too that the only absolute that I can see here is that public safety should be our priority. The responsibility that any government is going to have to carry is what is the best way to protect the community or a particular area or venue when there is a specific and credible threat. You cannot say in advance what the answer to that will be.

  Q73 Mr Taylor: Could I just develop that very slightly, Chairman. If I might ask the Home Secretary whether he thought there might be a case for a kind of hierarchy of alerts, frequently colours are used, so that the public could evaluate their own vigilance?

  Mr Blunkett: I think earlier we acknowledged the different forms of alert and that we would use them only to describe an alert where people were in a position to aid their own protection and assist in their own security so that people did not make individual entrepreneurial decisions which led to panic. Without being facetious some of us remember Orson Welles—

  Q74 Mr Taylor: Yes.

  Mr Blunkett: Yes, and you just have to be very careful that you do not trigger anything like that.

  Q75 Mr Taylor: Yes.

  Sir David Omand: Perhaps I might also put on record for the Committee distinctions that I have found helpful in working practically in this area and that is between public information provided so that we have an informed and supportive public, alerting information which is aimed at specific sectors and at those who carry responsibilities for public safety and public warnings which we should only give when we are clear what advice we accompany a warning with so that the public can help put themselves out of the way of danger. Clearly the more public information we can provide the better; the Home Office website is a good example. Alerting information should be given to those who really understand what it is they have to do when they receive it, and public warnings, as I say, should be given when we are clear what the best way to protect the community is and provide the appropriate advice.

  Q76 Mr Cameron: Home Secretary, you have mentioned Heathrow a couple of times, I wonder whether you could just tell us a little bit more about how the decision making takes place when you have a Heathrow situation, the respective roles of Sir David and yourself and how decisions are made in that sort of situation?

  Mr Blunkett: The official group would meet and the analysis would be done. The Prime Minister would call senior ministers together and a decision, as I described earlier, would be taken. The operational activity would then click into play and it would be entirely, therefore, in the hands primarily of the police, in conjunction with and advised by the security service on an on-going basis to decide whether they needed to call, for instance, as they did on that occasion, for the defence forces to be involved. They would then repeat the exercise in terms of stepping down once the deterrent effect in this case had been successful.

  Q77 Mr Cameron: The planning for all eventualities along a sort of Heathrow scale or maybe a little bit less or maybe a little bit more always involves the Prime Minister making the political decision?

  Mr Blunkett: No, that would be where the police believed that it would be necessary to call on the wider defence forces. It is that decision which is the political one, not the decision to mobilise. Obviously operational decision to mobilise would be taken immediately by the police.

  Sir David Omand: What we have 24 hours a day, seven days a week is the capacity to bring together the key officials in Government departments together with the police and other emergency services and the intelligence and security services to assess very quickly a situation should it develop and provide advice for ministers. We would expect the Home Secretary to take the chair unless, as the Home Secretary has indicated, the scale of the event was such that it was appropriate for the Prime Minister himself.

  Q78 Mr Cameron: Those sound slightly different answers.

  Mr Blunkett: No, they are not. Let us not mince words because the press speculate on it. The gathering of those people is these days usually shorthanded to COBRA, actually it is the room people meet in but it is associated with that. The security advice will have been provided. If it is an on-going operational activity the counter-terrorism branch will get on with it. If it requires political clearance and pulling in the defence forces, authorising them it is not calling them in, it is authorising the counter-terrorism branch to draw down on them, to call on them, it is authorised by us as politicians.

  Q79 Mr Cameron: Yes, but there was a slight suggestion from Sir David that the Home Secretary would be expected to take the chair, those were his words, and I thought in your first answer to me you said this would be a matter for the Prime Minister.

  Sir David Omand: The Home Secretary is the chair.


 
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