Memorandum submitted by WaterVoice
BACKGROUND
1. In November 2004, Ofwat will set water
companies' price limits for the five year period from 1 April
2005. This will be the third price review conducted by Ofwat since
the water industry was privatised in 1989 (price limits for the
first five year period were set by the Secretary of State).
2. Ofwat is conducting the 2004 review in
an open and transparent manner. This is exemplified by the consultation
process it has adopted and by the approach taken to market research
where the key stakeholders in the water industry including WaterVoice
and Ofwat, have worked together to commission research into customers'
views. The first stage of that research was published in August
2002[1]
with the second stage due in December 2003.
3. WaterVoice benefits from a close working
relationship with Ofwat. However, we have also been encouraged
by the willingness of Defra, the Drinking Water Inspectorate,
the Environment Agency in England and Water UK to meet with us
to explain their objectives and to share information. For our
part we are publishing a series of briefing notes at key stages
of the price review to keep customers informed of the key issues.
KEY ISSUES
FOR CUSTOMERS
4. WaterVoice has identified five key customer
issues for the 2004 price review: addressing the backlog of asset
maintenance, the scale and pace of environmental improvements,
tackling sewer flooding, incentives and efficiency, and financial
issues. Underpinning all of these issues is that of acceptability
of the new price limits. Our views on whether water companies
are meeting the aspirations of customers are set out below.
THE WATER
COMPANIES' DRAFT
BUSINESS PLANS
5. On 15 August 2003 water companies submitted
their draft business plans to Ofwat. In addition to setting out
their preferred strategies, each company was required to produce
Reference Plan A which included a package of statutory drinking
water quality and environmental improvements. Water and sewerage
companies, and the two largest water-only companies, were also
required to produce Reference Plan B which included a more extensive
range of drinking water quality and environmental improvements.
6. In contrast to Ofwat, WaterVoice has,
in general, had access only to the public domain summaries produced
by each company. These summaries are of variable quality with
some companies willing to lay their proposals open to public scrutiny
whilst others have sought to guard the detail of their programme.
Over the past month we have, via regional WaterVoice Committee
meetings held in public, been able to obtain further details about
company proposals for the next five years.
PRICE INCREASES
7. In their draft business plans companies
are proposing:
An average 31% real terms increase
in the average household bill, taking it from £234 in 2004-05
to £306 in 2009-10;
Real terms price increases over five
years ranging up to 70% in the case of United Utilities whose
bills are projected to rise from £243 in 2004-05 to £416
in 2009-10;
An average first year real terms
increase of around 13% (£14) for water and 11% (£14)
for sewerage;
First year real terms price increses
ranging up to £48 for water (United Utilities) and up to
£125 for sewerage (United Utilities).
8. Of the £20.5 billion capital programme
outlined in the companies' preferred strategies the main drivers
for price increases are:
Environmental improvements
| £4.6 billion |
Drinking water quality | £2.3 billion
|
Asset maintenance | |
sewerage | £4.4 billion
|
water | £4.5 billion
|
Security of supply | £3.0 billion
|
Service improvements (including sewer flooding)
| £1.6 billion |
| |
ASSET MAINTENANCE
9. It is vital to the continuity of service to customers
that water companies avoid a backlog of maintenance activity.
We believe that previous price reviews have provided insufficient
funds for companies effectively to maintain their networks. For
example, our analysis of Ofwat's data on supply interruptions
and mains renewal suggests a broad correlation between an increse
in prolonged unplanned supply interruptions and reductions in
mains replacement and relining activity. We have therefore called
for an uplift in targeted asset maintenance over the next five
years at least.
10. We are however, concerned about the wide variation
in company proposals. For example, Bournemouth and West Hampshire
propose to replace or reline just 1% of its mains over the five
year period (taking total mains renewal since 1989 to just 5.5%).
In contrast, Northumbrian's proposal is for almost 10 times as
much activity on their mains (resulting in renewal of one-third
of their network in the 20 years since privatisation).
11. We have similar concerns about the level of activity
on the sewer network where some companies, such as Severn Trent
and Wessex propose a doubling of expenditure on critical sewer
renewal while South West propose to reduce their already limited
expenditure by three-quarters. These differences in approach are
not entirely explained by the history of companies' serviceability
(the ability of assets to maintain services to customers.)
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPROVEMENTS
12. In the 15 years since privatisation the water industry
will have invested £50 billion in programmes to improve drinking
water quality, the water environment and customer service. This
investment has been funded entirely through customers' bills.
There has been no contribution from government grants or European
subsidies. As a direct result of this investment:
Coastal bathing waters meeting mandatory standards
have increased from 77.1% in 1992 to 97.8% in 2002[2];
Ninety five per cent of rivers were of good or
fair biological quality and 94% had good or fair chemical quality
in 2002 compared to less than 90% for both measures in 1992[3].
13. Over the past 15 years, the water industry has taken
action to reduce its impact on the environment. Sewage treatment
works have been upgraded to meet tighter standards for the discharge
of effluents. Most, but by no means all, storm water overflows
have been decommissioned. The reduction in pollution of the environment
by water companies was recognised by the Environment, Food and
Rural Affairs Select Committee in its inquiry into the Water Framework
Directive, when it concluded that agriculture was now the biggest
polluter of the water environment.
14. WaterVoice supports further environmental improvements
that give value for money but we question whether in view of what
has been achieved to date, the same rate of expenditure is appropriate
for 2005-10.
15. We suspect that several companies may have overstated
both the need for additional environmental schemes and its associated
expenditure. But we are nevertheless alarmed at the potential
costs (£4.6 billion) outlined in the companies' preferred
strategies. As a corollary, we are aware that most companies have
not included the costs of compliance with new designations under
the Freshwater Fish Directive within their preferred strategies.
Defra has estimated the water industry's share of the cost of
compliance at £700 million over the five years to 2010 (although
Yorkshire Water has suggested that its costs would be £347
million alone). Furthermore, the prospect of designation of the
North Sea, North East Irish Sea and the Solent, among other water
bodies, as sensitive waters under the Urban Waste Water Treatment
Directive has the potential of at least doubling the proposed
environmental programme.
16. In September the Environment Agency stated that its
"programme will contribute a modest portion of the household
bill for water and sewerageno more, on average, than the
cost of a can of fizzy drink in the weekly shopping for each household"[4].
We question this claim as 22 million households in England and
Wales each paying an extra 50p per week for five years equates
to £2.86 billion, well below the current proposed expenditure
on environmental schemes. Instead the costs seem to equate more
to a bottle of premium lager each week.
17. In January 2003 Dieter Helm, Director of Oxera, suggested
at an Environment Agency seminar on costing environmental benefits,
that general taxation could be used to fund the wider public goods
associated with bathing water, special environmental areas or
other national assets. This is an idea that is worthy of serious
consideration to ease the burden on customers' bills. It is arguable,
for example, that as the Lake District and the Cornish coast are
areas of national importance further environmental improvement
should be funded centrally by tax payers rather than locally by
customers.
DRINKING WATER
QUALITY
18. In the 15 years to 2005 water companies will have
spent £8.2 billion on new works and processes designed to
improve drinking water quality. This level of expenditure has
bought its rewards. Of around three million water quality tests
carried out in 2002, 99.87% met required standards. The number
of water quality tests failing a standard was less than one-twelfth
of that in 1992[5].
19. Companies are proposing to spend an additional £2.3
billion over the next five years on a range of schemes designed
to maintain or improve drinking water quality. We broadly support
those schemes that will tackle issues of discoloration (a sizeable
portion of the complaints we receive from customers), taste and
odour and microbiological contamination. Together these schemes
account for around £1.5 billion of expenditure. We have yet
to be convinced that proposed schemes on nitrate and pesticide
removal from raw water sources (£400 million) shoud be met
from customers' bills in preference to effective application of
the `polluter pays' principle.
20. We also have concerns about the extent of the lead
pipe replacement programme (£160 million) and believe that
a continuation of orthophosphate dosing programmes in those zones
where lead pipe replacement is proposed could yield the same results
for a fraction of the cost.
TACKLING SEWER
FLOODING
21. Flooding from sewers is one of the most distresssing
service failures that customers can face. Its prevention is one
of customers' top prioritieseven amongst those who do not
know anyone who has experienced sewer flooding. WaterVoice has
called upon Ofwat to allow the funding so that companies can:
Resolve exisiting sewer flooding problems by 2010;
Address new sewer flooding problems through normal
operational cycles of maintenance and improvement.
22. WaterVoice accepts it is likely that (because of
severe practical difficulties or excessive cost) a residual number
of properties may remain at risk of sewer flooding beyond 2010.
Nevertheless, we believe that the programme of work we advocate
will benefit both customers (by removing the risk of internal
and external flooding from sewers) and the environment (by reducing
pollution of the land and watercourses caused by sewer escapes).
23. Companies are proposing to reduce the number of properties
at risk of sewer flooding by around three-quarters in the period
2005-10. This will still leave over 2,600 properties (13 per 100,000)
at risk of flooding once in ten years or greater. We are pleased
to note the progress being made by most companies but believe
that more could be achieved by some companies, most notably Severn
Trent and South West. And while the main problem of internal flooding
is at last being given greater emphasis it seems likely that several
decades will elapse before external flooding is properly addressd.
SECURITY OF
SUPPLY
24. Despite an increase in the number of metered households
and more active promotion of water efficiency measures, demand
for water is slowly rising. For those companies in the drier east
and south east of England this position is exacerbated by the
Government's proposals to sanction the building of 200,000 new
houses in areas where water resources are already under stress.
25. In their preferred strategies, many companies have
expressed deep concern that their overriding duty to supply water
to customers is being compromised by the environmental regulators'
desire to reduce or terminate companies' abstraction licences.
Several companies have suggested that they will need to extend
existing or build new reservoirs to meet projected shortfalls.
Folkestone and Dover is seriously considering desalination as
a means by which to meet peak demand.
26. We accept that there must be a balance between customers'
needs for water and ensuring that wildlife is not adversely affected
by over-abstraction. We are, however, not convinced that the Environment
Agency has explored all available options with the water companies
concerned. The last price review amply demonstrated that a willingness
to think laterally could deliver broadly the same results for
limited cost. [6]
INCENTIVES AND
EFFICIENCY
27. The extent to which companies can and should achieve
continuous improvement in ther capital and operational activities
lies at the heart of regulation of the utilities sector. The past
15 years have seen water companies repeatedly outstrip the efficiency
targets set by Ofwat. Whilst we do not doubt that savings are
becoming more difficult to achieve there remains scope to improve
efficiency, particularly through technological advancement, improved
procurement activities and partnership agreements. The phrase
"the low hanging fruit has already been picked" is fast
becoming a water industry cliché. History has shown us
that companies have been able to meet, and beat, challenging targets
set by Ofwat.
28. In their preferred strategies, companies have tended
to adopt a very conservative approach to setting themselves efficiency
targets. The extent to which additional efficiencies can be stripped
out of company operations over the next five years should be illuminated
by the London Economics report on capital and operational efficiencies,
commissioned by Ofwat and due to be published later this year.
FINANCE AND
TAXATION
29. The water industry is a low-risk industry. The companies
have licences that have recently been extended from 10 to 25 years'
notice and their prices are regulated by Ofwat which has a primary
duty to enable efficient companies to carry out and finance their
functions. Conventional private sector companies do not have that
level of security. It is our view that well-managed water companies
should attract a cost of capital consistent with the bond/annuity
end of the market. If this is achieved then it should help to
keep prices down without necessarily limiting the ability of companies
to deliver their commitments.
30. We have therefore been taken aback by the extent
of companies' proposals for financing their business. These include:
cost of capitalmost companies have assumed
a post-tax weighted average cost of capital at or close to 5.75%
plus 0.95% small company premium (from the Water UK commissioned
report by NERA) rather than adopt Ofwat's reference assumption
that the cost of capital is 5.0% for existing assets and 4.75%
for new assets (plus 0.75% small company premium);
financeabilitysome companies are seeking
additional revenues to bolster their financial ratios, including
maintenance or improvement in credit ratings;
taxationan additional 3% on bills because
of changes in the treatment of capital allowances from 1 April
2005.
ACCEPTABILITY OF
PRICE INCREASES
31. WaterVoice has consistently argued that customers'
willingness to pay more for water and sewerage services should
not be assumed. As the joint stakeholder research undertaken by
MORI in August 2002 identified, there is high satisfaction with
both drinking water quality and sewerage services, and general
satisfaction with the water environment. Where there is support
for additional expenditure this is restricted to:
Maintaining the quality of coastal and bathing
waters;
Maintaining the quality of rivers;
Protecting important areas of wildlife and plants;
Tackling sewer flooding;
Improving the taste and smell of tap water.
However, customers were divided on the amount they were prepared
to pay (if anything). Only 1 in 8 customers were willing to pay
an extra £5 per year.
32. Against these results it is impossible to reconcile
customers' willingness to fund a modest programme of water quality,
environmental and customer service improvements with the proposals
outlined in companies' preferred strategies. Even if the impact
of taxation (circa £9 on the average household bill over
the five years) was accepted as a fait accompli, companies are
still proposing real terms price increases that, on average, amount
to £12 per year, well above the amount most cusomers are
prepared to pay.
33. The concept of affordability in relation to water
and sewerage charges is a real one. In September 2003 Ofwat released
figures showing that unpaid bills in 2002-03 totalled £781
million, an increase on £115 million on 1998-99. Revenue
outstanding, as a proportion of total household revenue, increased
from 13% to 17% in 2002-03. Of this, some £432 million had
been outstanding for 12 months or more[7].
Even in a relatively benign economic environment this is a hugh
debt burden for companies to carry, with the costs being borne
by the wider customer base.
34. Affordability is most likely to affect those at the
bottom of the socio-economic ladder, particularly those reliant
upon the social security system. A good example of this is in
the South West which has an above average population of pensionable
age and, in Cornwall, the lowest level of average earnings across
England. But it is in the South West that the average water and
sewerage charge has more than doubled from £147 in 1989-90
to £342 in 2003-04. Water and sewerage charges in the South
West are now currently on a par with the average standard gas
bill from British Gas and around 50% higher than the average standard
domestic electricity bill. [8]
35. Those in the South West are not alone in finding
it increasingly difficult to make ends meet when presented with
large water and sewerage bills. This was recognised by DETR in
2000 when it stated:
"Water and sewerage bills have risen steeply since
privatisation . . . There has been an increasing burden on customers.
This is a particular problem for those on low incomes, for whom
water charges represent a larger than average proportion of disposable
income and who may face difficulties where payment is required
in sizeable instalments'[9]
CONCLUSION
36. Customers know that they have to pay for reliable
and good quality water and sewerage services, and are prepared
to contribute to the cost of improving and protecting the water
environment. But price increases of the magnitude seen in water
companies' preferred strategies risk being counter-productive
by turning customers against the industry, against the environment
and against the Government, and resulting in a further increase
in debts and financial hardship.
17 October 2003
1
The 2004 Periodic Review: Research into Customers' Views; MORI,
August 2002. Back
2
Bathing Water Quality: Annual Report 2002; European Commission
(June 2003). Back
3
River Quality: General Quality Assessment; Enviroment Agency (September
2003). Back
4
"A good deal for water"; Environment Agency (September
2002). Back
5
Drinking Water Quality 2002; Drinking Water Inspectorate (June
2003). Back
6
Hampshire Avon low flow alleviation scheme; Wessex Water (2000). Back
7
RD32/03; Ofwat (September 2003). Back
8
Domestic Electricity and gas prices; Ofgem (September 2002). Back
9
Water Industry Act 1999: Delivering the Government Objectives;
DETR (2000). Back
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