Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum from the Foreign and Commonwealth Office

Foreign and Commonwealth Office's response to questions (in italics) from the Chairman of the Committee, 2 December 2003

FOREIGN POLICY ASPECTS OF THE WAR AGAINST TERRORISM

1.   In its response to recommendation 14, the Government informed the Committee that it was "carefully assessing all lessons learned from the post-conflict period in Iraq and especially those concerned with security and policing matters." The Committee wishes to receive a memorandum detailing which lessons the Government has learned so far—especially in relation to its planning of the political and governance aspects of post-war Iraq. It also wishes to receive an outline of the project on "failed states" currently being undertaken by the Prime Minister's Strategy Unit, and the FCO's contribution to this project.

  We attach at Annex A a Memorandum on how we are assessing the lessons to be learnt from the post-conflict period in Iraq. We also attach at Annex B an Executive Summary prepared by the Cabinet Office Strategy Unit on the project on "failed states". The Strategy Unit is working closely with Government Departments on the project.

2.   With respect to the Government's response to recommendation 15, the Committee wishes to know what additional measures have been taken since late July to increase the transparency of the CPA, the Interim Governing Council and the Iraqi ministries. What is the process by which ministers and officials are appointed to the ministries? How have Iraqis been informed of changes to the proposed timetable of drawing up the constitution?

  Since late July the CPA has strengthened its resources and improved the visibility of its work. The CPA now publicises more of its work through its website, although a full flow of information is limited by security constraints.

  The CPA is determined to help the Iraqi administration improve the transparency of the Governing Council and Iraqi Ministries and improve understanding among Iraqis of their aims, role and operations. The Governing Council is looking at measures to improve transparency consistent with its authorities and powers and its own security procedures. DFID is making preparations to send a governance team to Iraq to work with the Iraqi administration to look at a range of governance issues including transparency.

  Iraqi Ministers are nominated by the Governing Council and in turn are responsible for appointing Ministry staff.

  The new transitional timetable was publicly announced by Jalal Talabani, President of the Governing Council, on 15 November. Iraqi, regional and international media coverage of the announcement will have reached the vast majority of the Iraqi population soon after. The Governing Council is following up the announcement with a further public outreach explanation of the plan with provincial and local assemblies in all of Iraq's 18 Governorates.

3.   The Committee wishes to know what role the United Nations will play in the revised political process in Iraq, and in drawing up a new constitution. The Committee also wishes to know what proportion of UN staff present in Iraq before 19 August have now been able to return to the country, and what security arrangements exist to protect them as they carry out their work there.

  UN Security Resolution 1511 requests the Special Representative of the Secretary General, as circumstances permit, to lend the unique expertise of the UN to the Iraqi people in the process of political transition, including the establishment of electoral processes. This mandate builds on the vital role for the UN foreseen in resolution 1483.

  The UN's ability to carry out its mandate has inevitably been affected by the decision to relocate international staff temporarily following the 19 August terrorist attack on the UN Headquarters in Baghdad. All UN international staff other than a small number in the north of the country, have been relocated for the time being in Cyprus, Jordan or Kuwait from where they are overseeing programmes. Several thousand UN staff continue to carry out work, particularly on humanitarian programmes. The support for political process envisaged in resolution 1511 will not necessarily require UN staff to be permanently based in Iraq.

  The Secretary General commissioned an independent review following the 19 August bombing which identified serious shortcomings in the UN's security arrangements. The Secretary General is currently considering the implications of the report and reviewing the UN presence in Iraq. We have offered the UN assistance, including financial support, to put the security measures in place to allow them to return to Iraq and fulfil their mandate.

4.   With respect to the Government's response to recommendation 21, the Committee wishes to receive a progress report on international efforts to disrupt al-Qaeda's terrorist operations, planning, financing and support, including details of the recent work of the UN Security Council Counter-Terrorism Committee.

  There continues to be an effective level of international and bilateral police, security and intelligence co-operation against al-Qaeda and associated terrorist groups, although we and our partners are constantly exploring new ways of increasing that effectiveness. G8 partners and others are helping to build counter-terrorism capacity in vulnerable countries, and are co-ordinating such efforts locally. Through training and assistance we have for example reduced the risk to aviation in Kenya and are increasing police capacity there to investigate and prosecute terrorist suspects within the rule of law; we are helping Yemen to build their counter-terrorism capacity, including through training security forces and coastguard; co-operation with Saudi Arabia, including encouraging better use of police forensics techniques, has increased substantially. The Saudi security forces intercepted a major attack in Riyadh this week. We and our international partners are also pressing individual states to take more effective action where there is a lack of political will to do so.

  The CTC has continued its efforts to ensure that all countries implement Resolution 1373 and the 12 UN Counter-Terrorism Conventions. The Security Council has also begun to look at how the CTC might further develop its work in improving counter-terrorism standards. But much of this work is of a long-term nature. The immediate more operational work is carried out by the Taleban and Al Qai'da Sanctions Committee. This Committee maintains a list of individuals and organisations linked to the Taleban or Al Qai'da, all of whom should then be subject to an asset-freeze, travel ban and arms embargo in every UN member state. The latest report of the Monitoring Group for this sanctions regime highlighted failure to implement fully these measures on the part of many States. We, along with the rest of the Security Council, are looking urgently at how these gaps can be filled.

  Counter-terrorism operations are making it much harder for terrorists to operate and avoid capture. Significant arrests and disruptions continue to be made. But the determination of terrorists remains strong, and, as the attacks in Istanbul demonstrate, the threat remains significant and global. We have always taken the view that there is no quick fix and that we are in for the long haul. We will continue to be at the forefront of ensuring that the international community maintains a comprehensive and effective approach to tackling international terrorism. We are vigorously pursuing the perpetrators of the Istanbul attacks through political, police and intelligence co-operation with the Turkish authorities and internationally.

5.   The Committee notes the Government's view, stated in its response to recommendation 22, that as a consequence of the Iraq war it "is likely that some groups and individuals have been encouraged to commit terrorist acts, or to support more indirectly al-Qaeda's aims and objectives [and] Within Iraq it is clear that some groups and individuals have taken advantage of the post-conflict situation to commit abhorrent terrorist acts." The Committee wishes to receive the Government's assessment, eight months after the war, of the impact of the military campaign on recruitment for al-Qaeda inside Iraq, and in the wider Middle East region.

  Many attacks in Iraq are likely to be the work of elements of the former regime. We believe that Islamist terrorists, some belonging to al-Qaeda associated groups, have been involved in some terrorist attacks in Iraq. We cannot discount the possibility that some individuals may have been motivated to join these terrorist networks as a result of coalition action in Iraq. In the wider region, extremist propaganda including from bin Laden has sought to exploit coalition action, using this as a context for encouraging Muslims to engage in violence. But although coalition action in Iraq, and other regional issues, has sustained and may have increased terrorist motivation, we have no direct evidence that it has increased al-Qaeda recruitment.

  There is however no basis for suggesting that coalition action in Iraq has caused the recent terrorism we have seen. The risk from terrorism, including to the UK, has been high for a long time and remains so, quite independently of Iraq. But I repeat my previous observation that the establishment of a stable, democratic Iraq enjoying the proper rule of law will be Iraq's best defence against terrorism and will more widely undermine Al Qa'ida's cause. I would add that the recent al-Qa'ida or al-Qa'ida associated attacks in Saudi Arabia and Istanbul have killed more Muslims, including children, than others, and have caused widespread revulsion including in the Muslim world. The fact that these terrorist groups are showing themselves in their true, indiscriminate, colours undermines their profoundly dishonest attempts to claim legitimacy for their actions from the Muslim world.

6.   The Committee also wishes to know what evidence exists to indicate that links exist between al-Qaeda and the terrorist groups operating inside Iraq, and whether there is evidence that these groups have backing from foreign governments.

  Al-Qaeda associated terrorists, for example the group Ansar al Islam, are active in Iraq and are planning attacks. We do not believe that any state has a policy of supporting these international terrorist groups, but it is possible that individual elements within countries in the region may on occasion have provided limited assistance to some of them.

7.   The Committee seeks a note on the extent to which Syria and Iran are co-operating with the United Kingdom and its allies towards apprehending al-Qaeda operatives and dismantling the network.

  Both Syria and Iran have strongly and publicly condemned international terrorism, including Al-Qa'ida's attacks on 9/11 and subsequent terrorist attacks, including the Istanbul bombings. We have had a dialogue with both countries on terrorism. However we remain concerned over whether Syria and Iran are sufficiently addressing other issues in countering the threat from Al Qa'ida and other international terrorist groups. We have urged both Syria and Iran to do more to stop infiltration of terrorists into Iraq across their borders, and to prevent terrorist facilitators from using their territory to organise such infiltration and plan attacks. Iran has said that it has detained a number of senior Al Qa'ida figures and has undertaken to deport these to their countries of origin. We have urged the Iranians to live up to this undertaking.

8.   The Committee wants further information on the FCO's work to promote the rule of law, increased participation of women in public life, economic reform and good governance in the Arab world under the FCO's Global Opportunities Fund—with a particular focus on its work in Syria and Palestine.

  The FCO has established a Partnerships with the Arab World Unit to take forward our strategy for encouraging reform in Arab countries.

  It has the traditional range of diplomatic tools at its disposal. In addition this year we have established a Global Opportunities Fund "Engaging the Islamic World". Funding has already been allocated for this financial year to support efforts in the Middle East and North Africa region to support Good Governance, the Rule of Law and Participation of Women. This year £1.5 million were allocated to 26 projects.

  We are now considering strategic priorities for the next financial year when the allocation will rise to £3 million and expand geographically with the potential to address Islamic countries beyond the Middle East and North Africa.

  Two projects are focussed exclusively on Syria. One is helping to develop the Syrian money market in collaboration with experts. The other is a high level conference to promote UK-Syria Dialogue. Three other projects are regional in nature and include Syria. They include journalism skills training to help promote good governance, an anti-money laundering video as part of the rule of law work and a project to air the views of young Arab women to support a discussion about their futures. At this stage no Palestinian projects have been funded through this programme. Further information is provided at Annex C.[1]

9.   The Committee wishes to receive a memorandum detailing progress in negotiations with the United States towards ensuring the fair trial of British nationals held at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.

  The Committee knows that we have strong reservations about the proposed Military Commissions. Following the Prime Minster's meeting with President Bush on 17 July, the legal proceedings against the two UK detainees designated as eligible for trial by Military Commission were suspended.

  Since then, the Attorney General, on the Government's behalf, has held extensive talks with the US Administration about the Commissions and the future of all of the UK detainees. His objectives have been to ensure that the British detainees, if prosecuted, would receive fair trials that meet generally recognised principles and to make clear our opposition to the death penalty. The Attorney General received assurances from the US that the prosecution would not seek the death penalty in the cases of the two British nationals (Mr Begg and Mr Abbasi).

  He has also received a number of other assurances. They include:

    —  agreement that Mr Begg and Mr Abbasi could be represented by US civilian counsel of their choice supported by a UK lawyers as well the military counsel provided by the US Government;

    —  agreement to unmonitored communication between the defendants and their counsel;

    —  open trials which the defendant's family and media could attend.

  Our exchanges with the US on the Commissions and the future of the other 7 UK detainees continue. The Prime Minister discussed the matter with President Bush during his visit to the UK. The position remains as the Prime Minister explained to the House and during the President's visit. There are two alternatives. The detainees will either be tried by Military Commission which is fair and consistent with international norms or they will be returned to the UK. I expect this to be resolved soon. If the detainees do return to the UK it will be a matter of the police and Crown Prosecution Service as to whether they are tried. This is the normal and correct procedure.

  It is important, however, that we remind ourselves of the context in which those concerned were detained. The detentions arouse out of the attacks of September 11 and subsequent action against international terrorism, in particular in Afghanistan. So it is right that we take full account of our national security as well as safeguarding justice when we consider how to resolve this particular issue.

  I know of the agreement between the US and Australian Governments announced on 25 November by which the latter's detainees might be tried by Military Commission. I do not think it my place to comment on arrangements agreed between the two governments or on the particular circumstances of the individuals concerned.

10.   In its last Report on this subject, the Committee asked that the Government set out in detail the lessons that can be learnt from the experience of UN weapons inspections in Iraq for the future monitoring of BW programmes. The Committee now requests a memorandum setting out the lessons learnt from the Iraq Survey Group. It also wishes to learn how the past year's weapons inspections process will contribute to developing policy towards monitoring and addressing the threat of WMD from Iran, Syria and other states of concern.

  The Iraq Survey Group is part of an ongoing operation. I do not believe it would be appropriate at this stage to divert resources away from the ISG's operational role or to attempt to present lessons learnt from an incomplete process.

  Her Majesty's Government, in common with other national Governments, has not been given access to UNMOVIC's records of its inspection activities in Iraq. It is not, therefore, possible to carry out any full analysis of what lessons have been learned. The UK has, both in the Security Council and through its UNMOVIC Commissioner, encouraged UNMOVIC to carry out such an exercise. If UNMOVIC does conduct an analysis, it is by no means certain that we would have access to the results.

  What has become clear from the experience of weapons inspections in Iraq since 1991 is the need for intrusive inspection regimes to generate confidence that no illegal activities are taking place. Dr El Baradei, the Director General of the IAEA, noted in his recent report on the implementation of safeguards in Iran that, if the Agency was to be able to conclude that Iran's nuclear programme "is exclusively for peaceful purposes", "the Agency must have a particularly robust verification system in place. An Additional Protocol, coupled with a policy of full transparency and openness on the part of Iran, is indispensable for such a system." This is why the Government is committed to supporting the universalisation of the Additional Protocol.

11.   The Committee requests a memorandum on the Proliferation Security Initiative, detailing how it relates to existing international arms control and non-proliferation measures.

  A further memorandum is attached, at Annex D.

Foreign and Commonwealth Office

December 2003

Annex A

Memorandum on lessons to be learnt from the post-conflict period in Iraq

  The conflict in Iraq came to end only a few months ago and we are still engaged in the post-conflict period. As an occupying power, the UK's contribution to the reconstruction of Iraq has been considerable and multi-faceted. Our efforts have been principally channelled through our contribution to the Coalition Provisional Authority. They include the maintenance of security through our armed forces, the provision of experts to advise on infrastructure reconstruction and administration and related issues, and our involvement in assisting the Iraqis to develop the political process which is now well underway. As we mentioned in our reply to the Committee of September 2003, we are still assessing the lessons to be learnt from this extensive and wide-ranging exercise.

  As a result of a meeting on 16 September between the Secretary of State and his counterparts from MoD and DFID, officials from the three departments are looking closely at policy and planning for post conflict situations. It is clear that:

    —  We need to look at lessons learnt from Iraq and situations wider than Iraq to avoid the danger of planning for the next crisis based solely on the last.

    —  There are a number of generic issues (security, justice and reconciliation, governance and participation, economic and social) which arise in most post conflict situations, irrespective of the regional background to the crisis. These can be further broken down into specific tasks that need to be tackled in establishing an effective administration governing a stable, secure state.

  We have to be realistic. We cannot guarantee success however much the UK reorganises structures, planning procedures and deployment of resources. Much will depend on the environment in which we are working. We should be looking at the art of the possible: an integrated international response, the rapid deployment of appropriately skilled and trained personnel, backed up by adequate resources, planned well in advance to deliver rapid and sustainable improvements to the quality of life of those we are seeking to help.

  To this end officials are looking at the creation of a pan Whitehall mechanism that can:

    —  Decide where the UK's priorities for intervention lie;

    —  Engage with the international community and within the multilateral fora to ensure maximum support and resources for an integrated post conflict reconstruction effort;

    —  Bring together the right resources from across Departments;

    —  Plan well in advance for the appropriate time and extent of our intervention;

    —  Meet the possible training needs of those who may be deployed in the field.

  Officials are also talking to other government departments that are likely to be involved, as well as the private sector and NGOs. As part of the process DFID, supported by the FCO and MoD, are sponsoring a conference at Wilton Park in early December on Managing the Transition from International Military Intervention to Civilian Rule.

  Within the FCO we are also reviewing the need to adjust structures and working methods to improve response and performance on post conflict issues. This may include setting up of databases of staff with the appropriate skills, background and experience of working in difficult conditions.

  We shall be happy to make the outline conclusions of these reviews, as they relate to lessons learnt from Iraq, available to the Committee when they have been completed.

Annex B

Weak and Failing States—Scoping Note

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  The scoping note sets out the rationale for the Strategy Unit-led project on weak and failing states (Section I); its proposed aim and objectives (Section II); and its methodology and possible outputs (Section III).

The rationale for the project:

    —  Areas of instability have long been a concern of British foreign policy. International trends such as globalisation, new security threats and a greater emphasis on sustainable development have increased both the importance and complexity of their impact on the UK. The expression "weak and failing states" tends to be modern shorthand for those parts of the world that lack strong and legitimate governance—but there are multiple and contradictory definitions of the term. The problems usually associated with weak and failing states, including the operation of criminal and terrorist networks, are a common risk factor across a range of UK international and domestic objectives—from counter-proliferation to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals, from drugs trafficking to asylum seekers and refugees.

    —  Key allies and international institutions (US, UN, World Bank, European Union) are increasingly concerned with the problems of weak and failing states—but there is little international consensus on the effectiveness and legitimacy of external interventions at each stage of the "cycle of failure". The international community often struggles to agree on when and how to intervene, and often lacks the capacity to implement agreed policy. The division of responsibilities between states, institutions and others is unclear. And we are insufficiently aware of the extent to which gaps in the governance of the developed world—or deliberate policy choices by developed nations—can exacerbate weakness and failure elsewhere.

    —  The Strategic Audit suggested that the UK would benefit from a strategic overview of weak and failing states. Policies and resources across Government are not yet coordinated to best effect. Beyond the Conflict Prevention Pools, there are few ringfenced resources. Departments have different priorities and criteria for intervention, and interventions are not often based on rigorous analysis of best practice and UK comparative advantage. There is an artificial divide between "international" and "domestic" policy-making.

  Government Departments are increasingly conscious of these weaknesses as a hindrance to effective policies, and are experimenting with methods of joint working. But no single Government Department has overall strategic responsibility for addressing the "cycle of failure". The aim of the Strategy Unit-led project will be to answer the question: "How can the UK improve its strategic response to the challenges of weak and failing states?"

The objectives of the project will be to address some key issues:

    —  Developing a common language. Every Department and international organisation has its own subjective definition of "weak and failing", and makes its own assumptions about risk. We need to consider the relative impact on the UK as a whole of various forms of weakness and failure in territories, states, regions and in systems of policing and broader governance. To set common priorities, the UK needs a common language to describe the problem.

    —  Mapping the problem. What are the geographical and systemic threats around the globe? What relationship do weak and failing states have with international criminal networks? To what extent are the values and policies of the developed world contributing to the problem? Looking across the range of UK domestic and international objectives—from security and sustainable prosperity to global development—which threats should be prioritised?

    —  Interventions. What evidence is there for the relative effectiveness of interventions at each point of the cycle of failure? What are the resource requirements for each intervention? Is there any evidence that we can "spend to save"? Where are there problems of capacity and legitimacy—and what can the UK do about them?

    —  Whitehall co-ordination and collaboration. How can we best combine UK and global analysis in support of our policies? How can we achieve better policy coherence, and how do we deal with tensions as they arise? How do we create and embed robust mechanisms across Whitehall to allow common language and shared priorities to emerge? What types of national co-ordination and inter-Departmental collaboration have been shown to work at each stage of the cycle? What can we learn from experiences of the Africa and Global Conflict Prevention Pools? What kind of new mechanisms can best support post-conflict interventions? Which will be needed to support the UK's efforts to improve national and international capacity to tackle weak and failing states and criminal networks?

    —  The role of the UK within the international community (including bilaterals and international institutions such as EU/UN/G8/World Bank/IMF). The UK will seldom act alone to tackle the problems of weak and failing states. We need to ask:

    —  What are the UK's comparative advantages/niche roles, and should we develop them further?

    —  What are the priorities for improving the capacity of the international system?

    —  How can HMG work more effectively to achieve needed reforms and initiatives?

    —  What are the implications for UK resource allocation?

    —  Can the "Responsibility to Protect" agenda be taken further?

  The first two of these issues have been identified as key priorities. Work will begun on these issues with the aim of feeding into the 2004 Spending Review process. The project methodology will be based on close cooperation with Government Departments. The aim will be to add value to existing work, and to facilitate shared language and priorities across Government. The project will be broken down into workstreams, each of which will consult and involve relevant Departments and other stakeholders. Departments will have an important role in shaping the project towards specific outputs.

Proposed outputs of the project include recommendations on:

    —  an integrated Whitehall system of analysis and prioritisation, based on a robust risk assessment methodology;

    —  structures of Whitehall coordination and collaboration;

    —  pooled targets and coordinated resources;

    —  knowledge management tools such as a shared intranet site and skills database;

    —  improved policy coherence across Whitehall;

    —  capacity-building and policy initiatives at UK, European and international level, including recommendations for the UK's agenda during its presidency of the G8;

    —  taking forward the "Responsibility to Protect" agenda.

Timescale

  The scoping note for the project will be finalised in November. Recommendations on pooled targets and resources will be made in close consultation with departments concerned and in time to inform work on SR2004. The key milestones will be:

    —  January: circulation of "emerging findings" in those workstreams given priority for Spending Review reasons.

    —  April: circulation of full Interim Report including detailed work for Spending Review.

    —  Summer: final Spending Review work.

    —  Autumn: circulation of Final Report. The timing will depend on the nature of the follow-up and implementation work agreed at the Interim Report stage.

  At each milestone the project team will take stock with the Advisory Group and other Whitehall stakeholders to agree the detailed content of the next phase of work.

Annex D

Memorandum on the Proliferation Security Initiative

  1.  In their letter to the Foreign Secretary of 19 November, the Committee requested a memorandum on the Proliferation Security Initiative, detailing how it relates to existing international arms control and non-proliferation measures.

  2.  The Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) was launched by President Bush during a speech in Krakow, Poland, on 31 May 2003. It aims to help prevent trafficking in Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and related material, through enhanced interdiction efforts.

  3.  The initiative was originally taken forward by 11 countries: Australia, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Spain, UK and US. However, participation is open to any state or international body that accepts the PSI Statement of Interdiction Principles (agreed at a PSI meeting in Paris at the beginning of September), and is willing to make an effective contribution to the Initiative's goals.

  4.  The Statement of Interdiction Principles sets out the aims and scope of the Initiative. In particular, the Statement underlines that the PSI will be "consistent with national legal authorities and relevant international law and frameworks, including the UN Security Council". It also makes clear that the PSI aims to build on and reinforce the existing tools to prevent the proliferation of WMD, such as the existing international arms control and non-proliferation measures, not in any way to supplant them. Following the Paris meeting, over 50 countries from around the world have expressed political support for the Statement of Principles.

  5.  The subsequent meeting of the PSI, 9-10 October in London, agreed that participation would vary according to the activity taking place, and the contribution participants could provide. Some countries had particular experience, assets or expertise relevant to all PSI activities; other countries or organisations could be expected to contribute according to their particular capabilities. All relevant fora and international organisations should be kept informed of significant developments under the Initiative.

  6.  There are currently three main strands of ongoing work:

    —  Policy, outlining the broad direction of the Initiative.

    —  Operational, focussing on the practical mechanics of interdiction operations. At the end of July the UK hosted an operational experts' meeting which agreed a programme of interdiction exercises. The first maritime exercise was led by Australia, and took place in the Coral Sea (12-14 September). The UK hosted the first air interception (tabletop) exercise on 8 October, to prepare the ground for a live exercise (led by Italy) in November.

    —  Intelligence, establishing a mechanism to share timely and actionable information, and sharing analysis.

  7.  The next PSI meeting will be in mid December, and will focus on operational issues. The next Plenary meeting will be in Lisbon, in early Spring.





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