Select Committee on Health Written Evidence


APPENDIX 36

Memorandum by Dr David Ashton (OB 66)

SUMMARY

  —  As a result of a longstanding interest in obesity and its co-morbidities, I* have developed an innovative, evidence-based treatment programme, the primary focus of which is the reduction of obesity-associated health risks. The experience acquired from this work has a national resonance and, in my view, points the way forward to addressing an increasing national problem.

  —  The treatment model I have developed is relatively inexpensive, has excellent outcomes and could be replicated. Whilst more data are needed, there is considerable potential to adopt such a model as a standard approach to the treatment of obesity and its co-morbidities.

  —  There has been an alarming increase in the prevalence of obesity in the UK population and this is likely to continue for the foreseeable future. Between 1980-1998 there was a three-fold increase in obese males and a 2.5-fold increase in obese females. Currently, more than half the UK population is overweight or obese. Similar trends are observable in many European countries.

  —  Obesity causes much human suffering and is an important risk factor for a number of serious diseases which constitute the principal causes of death in the UK. These include heart disease, stroke, certain forms of cancer and, in particular, type II diabetes. Indeed, the looming epidemic of diabetes is a potential public health catastrophe which threatens to destabilise existing healthcare budgets.

  —  Estimates suggest that obesity accounts for 30,000 deaths per year in the UK and a shortening of life by nine years on average, at an annual cost to the nation of some £2.6 billion.

  —  The growing prevalence of obesity amongst children is also of major concern. Recent studies suggest that obese children and teenagers have a health-related quality of life as low as that reported by some young cancer patients.

  —  Evidence suggests that the marked decline in physical activity levels in the UK population may be the most important single factor underpinning the current epidemic of obesity.

  —  Despite a plethora of mass-market weight loss programmes and gimmicks, there is a growing awareness on the part of both public health specialists and politicians, that what is now needed is an approach to the management of obesity that reflects its importance as an individual well-being and a public health issue, rather than simply as a cosmetic problem.

  With the above observations in mind, and as a physician with an active practice and front-line experience of managing obese patients, I recommend that:

    —  Careful patient selection is essential if optimal outcomes are to be achieved. Individuals who are not ready for change should not be recruited into active weight-loss programmes and should not be prescribed anti-obesity drugs.

    —  Government policy to tackle obesity must place much greater emphasis on physical inactivity as a key determinant of weight gain. Simple, inexpensive forms of activity should be promoted. More attention should be paid to achieving moderate levels of activity across the whole population (young and old), than to the sporting achievements of a tiny minority of elite, competitive athletes.

    —  Individuals who undertake courses in sports science and leisure studies should be trained in exercise prescription for obese patients and for those with pre-existing co-morbidities such as angina and diabetes. Individuals with appropriate training could then be attached to GP practices.

    —  No drug currently available, can overcome the obesogenic effects of the environment. Prescribing expensive anti-obesity drugs should be limited to those patients who are genuinely committed to long-term lifestyle and behavioural change.

    —  The media and fashion industry should be encouraged to adopt a more responsible approach to the problem of obesity and eating disorders, by recognising that many of the images they present in their promotional advertising could be harmful.

    —  The government should try to do more to curb the activities of the growing number of operators and organisations making completely unsubstantiated claims about "miracle" slimming aids and gadgets. Obese patients are vulnerable to such claims and deserve better protection.

    —  Schools should be more actively engaged in teaching the skills required to achieve and maintain a healthy weight. These skills should be a core part of the curriculum—not an optional add-on.

    —  Food manufacturers should be encouraged to develop a standardised approach to food labelling which can be easily understood by all.

    —  Surgery for obesity should be made more widely available than at present and should be used much earlier in the natural history of the disease.

    —  The independent sector can meet a significant proportion of the future need for bariatric procedures in the UK.

1.   INTRODUCTION

1.1  Definition

  Obesity can be defined as a disease in which excess body fat has accumulated such that health may be adversely affected1. The measure of obesity most commonly used in clinical practice is that of relative weight, or Body Mass Index (BMI), defined as weight (kg)/height (m2).

  Commonly used cut-points for BMI and the risk of associated diseases are:


2.   TRENDS IN OBESITY

2.1  World Trends

  In 1998 the World Health Organisation designated obesity as a global epidemic2. Indeed, obesity is one of today's most blatantly visible—yet most neglected—public health problems. Paradoxically coexisting with undernutrition, an escalating global epidemic of overweight and obesity—"globesity"—is taking over many parts of the world. In 1995, there were an estimated 200 million obese adults worldwide and another 18 million children under five classified as overweight. From 2000, the number of obese adults has increased to over 300 million3. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the obesity epidemic is not restricted to industrialised societies; in developing countries, it is estimated that over 115 million people suffer from obesity-related problems. If concerted action is not taken, millions will suffer from an array of serious health disorders.

2.2  US Trends

  In the US, results from the 1999-2000 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), show that 31% of U.S. adults 20 years and over—nearly 59 million people—are obese and an estimated 64% are either overweight or obese4,5. Meanwhile, the percent of children who are overweight (defined as BMI-for-age at or above the 95th percentile of the CDC Growth Charts) also continues to increase. Among children and teens ages 6-19, 15% (almost 9 million) are overweight according to the 1999-2000 data, or triple what the proportion was in 19804,5. Estimates suggest that 300,000 deaths each year in the U.S. are attributed to obesity (compared with around 400,000 deaths attributable to smoking)6. The economic cost of obesity in the U.S. in 2000 was some $117 billion7.

2.3  UK and European Trends

  In the UK there has been a rapid increase in the prevalence of obesity in the population, such that between 1980-98 there was a three-fold increase in obese males and a 2.5-fold increase in obese females. The most recent data show that around one fifth of all adults in England are obese (21% men and 21.4% women), while 66.5% of men and 55.2% of women are either overweight or obese—around 27 million adults8. Indeed, in the UK we have some of the highest rates in Europe and recent estimates suggest that the prevalence in the UK by the year 2020 may be as high as 30—40%9. In Europe overall, around 10 to 20% of men and 10 to 25% of women are obese10.

2.4  Trends in Childhood Obesity

  The growing prevalence of obesity amongst children and adolescents in the UK is also a major concern11. Data from a recently published nationally representative sample of 2,630 English children show that the frequency of overweight ranged from 22% at age six years to 31% at age 15 and that obesity ranged from 10% at age six to 17% at age 15 years12. Other studies have shown a similarly worrying increase in children under the age of four13.

  The stark reality is that overweight children are twice as likely as normal children to be obese as adults14. In addition, obesity in childhood is associated with a variety of health problems and co-morbidities that may persist into adulthood (see below).

3.   THE HEALTH CONSEQUENCES OF OBESITY

3.1  Obesity and Disease

  Obesity causes much human suffering. It is an important factor in a number of serious diseases that constitute the principal causes of death in the UK. These include heart disease, stroke, certain forms of cancer and type II diabetes. Obesity is also associated with an increased incidence of respiratory complications (obstructive sleep apnoea and asthma), back pain and premature osteoarthritis of large and small joints9,15-17.

3.2  Obesity and Diabetes

  The strong association between obesity and diabetes ("diabesity") is of enormous public health importance18. There are around 2.4 million diabetics in the UK—one million of whom are undiagnosed—and the diabetic population is projected to double in the next 10 years. This looming epidemic of diabetes threatens to destabilise healthcare budgets, by increasing the prevalence of blindness, end-stage kidney failure, cardiovascular disease and amputation. The impending catastrophe is made all the worse by the appearance of type II diabetes among adolescents, a phenomenon not seen a decade ago. In some adolescent clinics, type II diabetes now represents up to one half of the new cases of diabetes19.

3.3  Obesity and Mortality

  Overall, estimates suggest that obesity accounts for 30,000 deaths per year in the UK and a shortening of life by 9 years on average20. Furthermore, the adverse effects of excess weight tend to be delayed, sometimes for ten years or longer21.

3.4  Psychosocial Consequences

  In addition to physical symptoms, the psychological and social burdens of obesity can be significant: social stigma, low-self-esteem, reduced mobility, unemployment and a generally poorer quality of life are common experiences for many obese people2. Adolescents and children may experience social isolation, depression and under-achievement at school. Indeed, a recent report suggests that some obese children and teenagers have a health-related quality of life as low as that reported by young cancer patients22.

4.   ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF OBESITY

  The health risks associated with obesity also have an important economic impact. Conservative estimates suggest that obesity in developed countries accounts for 2-7% of total healthcare costs, which represents a significant expenditure of national healthcare budgets23. In England in 1998, obesity accounted for 18 million days of sickness absence and 40,000 lost years of working life. The combined direct and indirect (represented by loss of earnings) costs of obesity were £2.6 billion or 0.3% of the UK Gross Domestic Product20.

5.   THE CAUSES OF OBESITY

  At the population level, the current epidemic of obesity is attributable to an obesogenic environment that promotes excessive food intake and discourages physical activity24. At the individual level, obesity results from a complex interaction between genetic, environmental and psychosocial factors, mediated by a variety of chemical neurotransmitters which influence appetite regulation. Whilst genes determine individual susceptibility to weight gain, the obesity epidemic is not attributable to genetic factors, since the increase in the prevalence of obesity has occurred over too short a period for the gene pool of the population to have changed substantially25.

  There is a widespread assumption that obesity in affluent societies is largely a matter of greed, encouraged by a highly palatable diet backed by persuasive advertising and available at ever diminishing cost relative to average income. Clearly, the food intake of obese people must have been excessive relative to their energy needs during the dynamic phase of weight gain. However, survey data suggest that average energy (calorie) intake has actually been declining during the last two decades. We, therefore, have an apparently paradoxical situation in which the proportion of overweight and obese individuals continues to rise at an alarming rate, against a background of a reduction in average calorie intake. This strongly suggests that it is the decline in energy expenditure through physical activity which has played the dominant role in the current obesity epidemic26. This observation clearly has implications for public health strategies aimed at reversing the current trends in overweight and obesity in the UK. It may, however, also indicate that the remedy is simpler and more affordable than originally anticipated.

6.   TACKLING OBESITY—KEY ISSUES

6.1  An Integrated Approach

  The most effective population based interventions are likely to adopt an integrated, multidisciplinary, and comprehensive approach and involve a complementary range of actions that work at the individual, community, environmental, and policy level. These various elements have been extensively reviewed in the recent literature and do not require detailed examination here17, 27. The following are meant to provide specific additional comments in relation to a number of well recognised strategies.

6.2  Patient Selection

  It is essential to recognise that those who are overweight or obese, may not yet be ready or willing to make changes. This seems such an obvious point, yet it is so often overlooked when planning health education and treatment programmes, which tend to assume that behavioural change is a defined event which happens at a given point in time. This is incorrect. Behavioural change is a process which evolves gradually through five well recognised stages28 (see Fig 1).

  Therefore the correct approach to management will vary, depending upon where the individual happens to be in terms of his or her readiness to change. If these stages are disregarded, it will result in the patient actually becoming more resistant to change rather than the reverse. There is, for example, little point in talking about what action is required to lose weight, in a setting where the patient is still in pre-contemplation or contemplation. Failure to recognise the need for flexible approaches to management depending upon the individual's readiness to change, is the source of much frustration on the part of health professionals and patients alike.

Figure 1 STAGES OF CHANGE


  More importantly, it can lead to inappropriate deployment of expensive resources to individuals who are unlikely to succeed. There is good evidence to suggest that patients in contemplation, do not do well in weight-management initiatives, because they have not sufficiently overcome their ambivalence to making behavioural changes—even though they can, at a rational level, appreciate the benefits. Moreover, many patients will stay in contemplation for a long time—in some cases years. They should not be recruited into weight loss programmes and they should not be prescribed weight loss drugs. Only when they have progressed to the point where they are ready for change and willing to engage in a therapeutic process, should they be considered for treatment. At our treatment unit, we do not accept patients onto our programme who are in Stages 1 or 2, because we know they will not succeed. Our strategy with such individuals is to practice "watchful waiting" by remaining in contact and providing information and support at a distance, until we are satisfied that the individual has progressed beyond Stage 2.

  Accordingly, in my view, only patients who are in Stages 3 or 4 should be offered treatment for obesity—including pharmacotherapy. This is not just an issue of scarce resources. It is because recruiting patients into a weight-loss programme when they are simply not ready for it, will result in failure. And repeated failure actually makes it less likely that they will succeed in future.

6.3  The Role of Physical Activity

  There is good evidence that physical inactivity is a key factor—perhaps the defining factor—underlying the obesity epidemic. We are more sedentary now than at any other time in our evolutionary history. Studies suggest that in order to equate our daily physical activity with that of our ancestors, we would need to be walking an additional 12 miles per day29.

  The Department of Health (DoH) recently issued guidelines to all GPs in England, encouraging them to refer patients to a fitness instructor at a local leisure centre or gym. However, experience suggests that whilst instructors in most health clubs are very good at prescribing exercise to improve fitness and sporting performance, they know very little about exercise prescription in older individuals who may be limited because of obesity, arthritis or some other medical problem, or by taking medication. About 40% of men and 50% of all women in this country are taking prescribed medication of one form or another and there is a steep rise in drug use from the age of 45 years onwards. The obvious danger is that some patients may be recommended forms of activity which are at best inappropriate and at worst frankly dangerous, by fitness instructors who have not had the relevant training. A further complication is that obese patients are often much too self-conscious and embarrassed to attend health clubs which are populated by younger, slimmer people.

  A practical approach to solving this problem would be to make exercise prescription to older patients—with pre-existing medical conditions—part of the university syllabus for those studying sports science who are intent on pursuing a career in the leisure industry. Appropriately trained graduates with expertise in prescribing exercise to obese and overweight people and others with recognised risk factors, could then be attached to GP surgeries to receive "in-house" referrals.

  Of course attending a gym is not the only—or necessarily the best—form of exercise for weight control. Walking is an extraordinarily effective and much under-valued exercise, which is safe and does not require expensive equipment or membership fees. If the government were to spend money on promoting this sort of activity across the whole population, it would have an enormous return on its investment in terms of health gain.

  Unfortunately, the government seems more concerned to foster sporting excellence among a small group of elite athletes, rather than promote moderate physical activity for all. The decision to bid for the 2012 Olympics may be an excellent PR ploy, but it is obscenely irrelevant to the public health of an increasingly sedentary UK population.

6.4  Pharmacotherapy

  Newer drugs such as sibutramine (Reductil) and orlistat (Xenical) have an important adjunctive role to play in the treatment of obesity and have been approved for use by the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE). However, experience suggests that these drugs are frequently regarded by patients as a "magic bullet" and are too often prescribed by GPs as a first-line treatment, without the requirement for sustained behavioural and lifestyle modification. This has important implications for scarce healthcare resources and—in the longer term—may result in such drugs being less readily available to those who will genuinely benefit from them. No anti-obesity drug currently available can override the influence of the external environment. This means that, unless the drug prescription is provided in parallel with sustained changes in behaviour and lifestyle, weight loss will be short-lived. Furthermore, a history of failure is likely to make patients less willing to attempt weight loss in future, hence (indirectly) reinforcing negative health behaviours.

6.5  Media and Advertising

  Historically, the obesity issue has been largely dominated by a media and fashion industry whose agenda emphasises the cosmetic rather than the health benefits of weight loss. The situation is made more complex because society gives us powerful but conflicting messages. One the one hand, super-size servings of fattening (energy-dense) food are more abundant than ever and the explosion of TV programmes about food and cooking help to fuel our national obsession with food. On the other hand, celebrities and fashion models continue to shrink, promoting what many experts say are unrealistic body images. Industry pressure means that fashion designers are not interested in the plus-size market because it would stray from the idealised beauty image. These pressures to conform can lead some women to take extreme measures in attempting to lose weight, thus making them prey to a burgeoning and unregulated slimming industry (now worth billions) and possibly placing their health at risk.

  This is an important public health message. Many overweight or obese people have abandoned weight loss efforts because they have tried, and repeatedly failed, to reach what they have been told is a "desirable" weight, when a more modest but achievable weight loss goal could reduce their risk of heart disease and other obesity associated conditions30,31. Accordingly, the first goal of our treatment programme is to reduce health risks, ie to encourage the patient to achieve a healthier weight.

  The fashion industry could do far more to foster a healthier perspective on body image and weight, by recognising that promoting a particular "image" to which many women will aspire, is potentially harmful. The initiative provided by government several years ago, in which an attempt was made to encourage fashion and magazine editors to adopt a more responsible stance, seems to have come to nothing. This should be revived with a more clearly defined agenda for change.

6.6  The Problem of "Junk-Science"

  Obese patients are vulnerable to exploitation by any number of unscrupulous operators making completely unsubstantiated claims about "miracle" slimming aids and a bewildering array of gadgets and alternative remedies. These include weight-loss earrings; slimming slippers; weight-loss patches; weight-loss body cream; various pills and potions and even weight loss soap. Such advertising on the internet is, of course, completely unregulated, but there is also a lack of effective control of advertisements in the popular press and media. Whilst it is understandable that patients want to find the easy solution to their problem, they can often spend hundreds of pounds on products which do not work. I would like to see the government become much more active in curbing the activities of such organisations, by insisting that they produce proper evidence to substantiate their claims.

6.7  The Role of Schools

  The potentially important role of schools in promoting a healthy lifestyle is clearly set out in the recent National Audit Office publication "Tackling Obesity in England"17. I welcome this and endorse the wide ranging recommendations which are detailed in that document. The stated objective of personal, social and health education is to provide a foundation for the personal development of young people in preparing them for adult life. This subject became part of the core curriculum in September 2000.

  However, whilst the curriculum includes the various elements of a healthy lifestyle, such as diet and physical activity, it does not specifically address the skills required in the context of weight management. Experience suggests that children are not merely able to learn these skills, but actively enjoy doing so. By emphasising that maintaining a healthy weight in today's environment is a skill to be learned and teaching some of these skills, schools could do a great deal to encourage behaviours that will hopefully be lifelong.

6.8  Food Labelling—"At a Glance"

  Several of the larger supermarket chains have attempted to introduce some form of food labelling, in an attempt to support customers who would like more help in making healthier food choices. Whilst this is clearly a positive step forward, because the systems used vary, many people still find making sense of food labels a difficult process. It would be helpful if food manufacturers could agree amongst themselves as to the clearest and simplest way to label foods according to calorific value, fat content etc. A simply grading system is required, since even the most determined among us may find talk of mono-unsaturates, trans fatty acids and glycaemic index confusing. One system—applied across the board as a legal requirement—would make an enormous difference to those who wish to choose healthier options.

7.   OBESITY SURGERY

  In recent years there have been remarkable developments in obesity (bariatric) surgery and this now offers an alternative intervention for patients who are morbidly obese (BMI >40 kg/m2). It important to remember that, if left untreated, patients who have a BMI >40 kg/m2, have only a one in seven chance of reaching their normal life expectancy32.

  Since the advent of obesity surgery in the 1950s, techniques have been developed and refined, whilst others have been discarded entirely. Today, data from more than 14,000 patients on the International Bariatric Surgery Register, show that at 12-months vertical banded gastroplasty and gastric bypass result in a mean loss of 53% and 72% of excess weight respectively, with operative mortality of 0.17%. Moreover, 93% of patients experience no morbidity33.

  New technology has increased the range of procedures; the latest technique, laparoscopic gastric banding (LGB), results in patients losing some 50-60% of their excess weight and maintaining that loss for at least 6 years34. Two recent studies involving 500 and 625 severely obese patients respectively, reported a very low (1%) risk of peri-operative complications and no deaths. These data show that LGB is a safe and effective intervention in the morbidly obese35-37.

  Thus, if the patient is well motivated and given lifelong support, surgery is a highly effective intervention resulting in permanent weight loss. As a consequence of this weight reduction, patients experience an enormous improvement in their quality of life, with better control of hypertension, reduced risks of diabetes and heart disease, together with increased mobility, less joint pain and improved respiratory function38. The risks of surgery are, in general, orders of magnitude less than the risks entailed by morbid obesity. It is, therefore, clear that —in (but only in) carefully selected patients, obesity surgery is both life-transforming and life-saving. Moreover, there is good evidence to suggest that surgery provides a cost-effective approach to the management of severe obesity39, 40. In the next decade, there will be a significant growth in demand for bariatric surgery and, with excellent long-term results now available, the intervention will be used earlier in the natural history of the disease.

  The National Institute of Clinical Excellence (NICE) has published recommendations on the use of surgery in the seriously obese38. The problem is that the sheer numbers involved make service provision within the NHS a formidable problem. The NICE report estimates that there are 1.2 million people in the UK who are eligible—at least theoretically—for some form of surgical intervention. However, this number is currently growing at an estimated 5% (60,000) per year. At present there are around 200 bariatric procedures performed in the UK each year, many of them in the private sector. The NICE report recommends that the NHS should develop surgical capacity over the next eight years, towards a goal of 4,000 bariatric procedures annually. However, the serious lack of NHS resources—both in terms of equipment and appropriately trained staff—makes achieving even this (modest) goal very unlikely. The independent sector has sufficient capacity to provide a range of services for the treatment of the morbidly obese—including bariatric surgery. By ensuring careful patient selection, post-operative care and long-term monitoring, optimal clinical and cost-effective outcomes can be achieved.

8.   A NEW TREATMENT MODEL

  The standard of care for obese patients in the UK has, historically, been extremely poor. Obese patients are not regarded as a priority and there is an all-pervasive climate of therapeutic nihilism when it comes to medical treatment. This means that countless thousands have effectively been abandoned to dubious weight loss clinics, whose sole treatment approach is to dish out dangerous and unlicensed drugs, or a slimming industry which has grown to become a multi-billion pound enterprise.

  For the past three years or so, I have been working with colleagues to develop a more effective treatment model for obesity and its co-morbidities. This work began with a review of the scientific literature, to understand which approaches appeared to hold the best prospects for future development. I then consulted widely and visited a number of programmes in Europe and North America. Based on this extensive preparatory work and the model which eventually evolved, we began active treatment of obese patients at our centre some two years ago. Our approach to the diagnosis and management of obesity is based upon the following fundamental principles:

    —  Obesity is a primarily a health issue—not a cosmetic one.

    —  The environment—not the individual—is the problem.

    —  Weight management in today's environment is a skill to be learned.

  We implement three main treatment strategies:

    (1)   Medically Supervised Weight-Loss Programme

    Patients undergo careful medical and behavioural evaluation and then enter a 12-week programme. Briefly this consists of weekly classes built around a behavioural core, providing intensive lifestyle education and behavioural strategies for change. Key elements of the programme include portion control, nutritional education, environmental management, increased physical activity and patient accountability.

    (2)   Pharmacotherapy

    Patients who require pharmacological intervention are carefully assessed prior to treatment. This ensures that drug therapy is adjunctive—ie it is supportive of behavioural and lifestyle change, not instead of it.

    (3)   Obesity Surgery

    A small proportion of seriously obese patients are referred for specialist surgical intervention, but then return to the Centre for further monitoring and care. Post-surgical lifestyle management is even more important for these patients.

    (4)   Programme Results

    To set the results in context, it is important to remember that most experts regard a weight loss of 5-10% of baseline weight as a successful outcome. Preliminary data from our programme are as follows:

    —  Average BMI at the commencement of the programme was 36 kg/m2.

    —  Average weight loss over 16 weeks is 35.75 lbs representing 15.7% of baseline weight.

    —  Patients improve coronary risk factors, lower blood pressure, and decrease or discontinue diabetes and hypertension medication.

    Data from specialist NHS weight loss programmes suggests a loss of 17 lbs in 30 weeks weeks. Therefore, our data suggests that—compared with specialist NHS programmes—we are achieving twice the weight loss in half the time. Although the social class mix of our patients is broad, it might still be argued that there is a significant selection bias in our programme, because we only recruit patients who are clearly ready for change. However, this actually supports the point made earlier—that only those individuals who are truly ready to making long-term behavioural changes should be recruited into weight-loss programmes.

9.   CONCLUSION

  Obesity is a serious, chronic medical condition which is strongly associated with a range of debilitating and potentially life-threatening conditions. It imposes a great and growing financial burden on the NHS and on the wider community. The fact that the recent dramatic increase in obesity has occurred in such a short time and within the same genetic pool, suggests that biological factors are not the key determinant of the current epidemic. On the contrary, the evidence points overwhelmingly in the direction of environmental factors (low-cost, energy- dense foods, increasing portion sizes and sedentary lifestyle). To confront this enormous public health challenge will require concerted action at both the population and the individual level.

  Because the average weight of the population determines the proportion of overweight or obese individuals, the first aim should be to halt the year-on-year increase in average weight, which we have seen over the past several decades. To achieve this will require an integrated, multi-level approach encompassing initiatives at individual, community, environmental, and policy level.

  At the individual level, we need to provide relevant information and identify those most at risk for early, targeted intervention. We must direct scarce resources to those who are ready for change, recognising that poor patient selection invariably means poor outcomes. We also have to move away from the blame culture which has to date hampered our understanding of this complex and serious disease. We need to promote a positive attitude among health professionals, many of whom persist in believing that obesity is the visible expression of gluttony and sloth. We will also need to provide programmes which focus on health outcomes, recognising that even modest weight loss may result in significant health gain and reduced healthcare costs downstream. The model we have developed may well provide a blueprint for the future.

  We have to accept that this problem will not go away. This is a public health time bomb. Unless we take concerted action now, we will condemn large numbers of people to a future marred by ill-health and disability and a bankrupt health care system.

May 2003

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