Select Committee on Health Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 160-179)

8 JULY 2004

RT HON JOHN HUTTON MP, PROFESSOR DAVID COLIN-THOME AND MS MARGARET EDWARDS

  Q160 Dr Naysmith: I have to pick you up on community matrons. The power of the matron in the old days was that she was unique—or he, occasionally—and really respected. This is a complete sideline to this inquiry, but do you not think you are making too many matrons?

  Mr Hutton: I do not think you can ever have too many matrons! I love matrons, that is all I will say about that! It is a very serious question and I think the role of these new advanced nurse practitioners in the community is the thing that we should focus on; it is what they do that is going to count. We know from the work that we have done, which we are very happy to share with the Committee, that we have maybe up to a quarter of a million chronically ill people in the community, who make up a significant usage of, for example, A & E and inpatient resources. We obviously do not want to deny anyone access to a hospital when they need it, but neither do we want a state of affairs where that is the only option. If you ask people what they really want they will say they want to be independent, they want to be looked after properly at home. If we can get this right it is not just attendances at A & E or pressure at hospitals that we make a contribution towards, it is making a contribution here too in terms of primary care and out-of-hours services because these people make very heavy use, as you can imagine, of out-of-hours services and primary care too.

  Q161 Dr Taylor: Just briefly going back to NHS Direct, living in a semi-rural area with a first class GP co-operative, my impression is that NHS Direct is less needed in rural areas with good co-operatives than in urban areas. I put that to Mr Lester of NHS Direct previously and he felt there was no evidence that it was used less in semi-rural areas. Is that your understanding?

  Mr Hutton: I think that is our opinion.

  Q162 Dr Naysmith: Carrying on with the NHS Direct tack, you have already heard that many of our witnesses have expressed a profound lack of confidence in the ability of the NHS Direct to handle out-of-hours calls. We have heard some fairly stringent things said and the NAGPC told us that they did not believe that "without radical change in culture and organisation NHS Direct will ever be able to safely front all primary care out-of-hours calls". Is that a reasonable question? One GP co-op said that it would not use the NHS Direct in its current form, as it feared this would lead to worse outcomes for patients. The concerns seemed to centre around capacity, response times and referral levels. It is quite clear that the NHS has to improve, so how are you going to make sure that it does?

  Mr Hutton: Let me say one or two things in relation to that and maybe Margaret will deal with it in more detail. We have 34 sites across the country which cover 20% of the population, where the first point of access in primary care and out-of-hours services is through NHS Direct. Then obviously the call goes down to the local GP co-op provider and then they will make the visit. I think generally those arrangements are working well. There will be times when something goes wrong in the system, unfortunately—that is likely to happen—but I do not think that there is anything inherently wrong with the model. I agree that if we are going to extend the service, clearly by definition NHS Direct will need more capacity, and we are building that in so that by 2006 it will have the facility, the technology and the people to run a fully clinically integrated out-of-hours service, if that is what Primary Care Trusts locally want to use. But we have never said to Primary Care Trusts that they will have to have all of their out-of-hours services commissioned through NHS Direct. It is there for them to use if that is what they want. I think that is a sensible thing to do. I think Margaret will have more information in relation to the specifics about NHS Direct and its plans to expand.

  Ms Edwards: NHS Direct is doing a million out-of-hours calls at the moment, and it is doing those very successfully and, again, the evaluations that we have had done at Sheffield University, which we are happy to share, endorse that, as does the NAO report. I have a lot of evidence that we can provide on the 34 exemplar sites, and I have some quotes here. For example, a GP saying, "I am always very impressed with the professionalism of NHS Direct," and another one saying that the involvement and integration in NHS Direct has been excellent for them. So we have a large number of these exemplar sites saying that it has really worked. In terms of statistics, 25% to 40% of calls are what the exemplar sites are identifying that NHS Direct saves the GP from getting involved in. So there is real and solid evidence now that NHS Direct has reduced the pressure.

  Q163 Dr Naysmith: That is an area where the statistics are not very clear and different people say different things. So if you have good university based evidence we need to see that.

  Ms Edwards: There are two lots of statistics, looking at previous evidence, which we need to be clear about. One is normal NHS Direct calls and what proportion of those end up getting referred to a GP, through the normal work of the NHS. And when people ring up the 0845 number and ring up NHS Direct, as opposed to ringing up their out-of-hours GP service, what happens is that about 6 to 10% of patients get referred to A & E or to an ambulance, so those are groups of patients who may not otherwise have had appropriate care. So one of the things that NHS Direct certainly does is to pick up people who might have had unmet needs. Sometimes they need an ambulance. So there is a whole piece of work where NHS Direct is very successful. The NAO report suggested that about 50% of the NHS' costs were being offset by the savings it made to the rest of the Health Service. Again, there is a lot of evidence that the 0845 number is working really well and has for a long period. The out-of-hours is obviously a newer service. The evidence we have there is the exemplar sites. We are due to have a full report on the exemplar sites at the end of July, but the early evidence is saying that 25% to 40% of the pressure is what they take off the GPs who are using it. So, again, very solid. The next stage is to go from one million calls to six million calls ultimately in 2006, and that is the big step that the Minister was referring to that we need to gear up the NHS Direct to do. So what it is doing now it is doing well, and the next big challenge is to escalate that up with a very significant increase in the number of calls and attendances.

  Mr Hutton: We will share with the Committee the research into the exemplar sites.

  Q164 Dr Naysmith: It is a bit of a chicken and egg argument here because you want to expand NHS Direct and improve various aspects of it, but at the same time, as we heard this morning from Hull and East Anglia, there are alternative solutions being laid out, and these people are not going to want to transfer back to NHS Direct if you have these centres as well.

  Mr Hutton: They will not have to.

  Q165 Dr Naysmith: At the same time you are pouring resources into NHS Direct to make it better for everyone and at some stage you have to get that balance right.

  Mr Hutton: I do think we need to get the balance right, but if people are happy with the call centre and call managing service that the local Ambulance Trust might be providing as part of a local out-of-hours service, then they are perfectly free to stick with it. What we know from the exemplary sites is that NHS Direct can provide a very, very good service and we are trying to make sure that it can do that for everyone who wants to use it.

  Ms Edwards: Just to add to that, the money that we are pouring in we are pouring in via the PCTs, so PCTs are holding the budget to purchase NHS Direct. Obviously if it decides it does not want to go down the NHS Direct solution it can, via that money—

  Q166 Dr Naysmith: They can use it on something else?

  Ms Edwards: The only criteria are that the organisation they employ has to meet the national quality standards and has to be within reasonable costs. That would be our criteria for them. But if they chose to use their money differently and it was more appropriate, subject to the SHA and those criteria, they can do that.

  Q167 Mr Amess: Just to sort of spoil this rosy picture, the British Association of Emergency Medicine has expressed concerns about GP out-of-hours services, and they have said: "The impact on Emergency Departments could be very serious and may well affect us achieving our 4-hour target times unless the re-provision of out-of-hours services is handled swiftly. The view from our members across the country is that the provision of GP out-of-hours services is patchy and may be inadequate to cope with the numbers of primary care attenders." Then another witness has said that the increases in A & E attendances are very hard to reverse—"As yet, there has been no initiative, as has been shown, ever to decrease attendances at emergency departments." There we have Victor Meldrew, no doubt!

  Mr Hutton: I thought we had partly addressed the issue about the figures about A & E attendances. I think we need to treat them very carefully. As I explained, the reason for this is very largely attributable to the adding into the figures of people who are attending Minor Injuries Units and Walk In Centres. I think where I agree with the Association is this, that of course if we do not get the provision there is always going to be a risk that people, because they need the care and treatment, will turn up somewhere else in the system. So we have to manage that risk and make sure that we anticipate it and deal with it. I agree with them too, as you would expect, and as I made clear earlier, of course it is true to say that now, leaving on one side the new arrangements, that we have all, as Members of Parliament, have had concerns and complaints from our constituents about the existing service. So it is not part of my argument today to say that the existing service is as good as it can be; that is absolutely not my argument. I think we can make out-of-hours services significantly better if we take the advantages that the new contract provides, the additional resources and the strategic planning focus on developing new services and involving skills and talents of other members of the healthcare community—nurses and others as well—and providing a more tailor-made and better service. We are trying to build up services during the hours we would say are not out of hours, and we have talked about community matrons. Yes, of course there are risks, but I do not see any evidence at all—and I have to say this bluntly—to suggest that that is what is happening today, and I do not accept that. If you or anyone else has any evidence to suggest to the contrary I would be very interested to see it.

  Q168 Mr Amess: Would you just say something about how witnesses have been adamant that the best way to counteract all this is through a concerted public education campaign? How could this be done and do you think that is the right approach?

  Mr Hutton: I think it is very important—and again I said this earlier—that whenever there is a change in the way the service is organised, and particularly against the background of some of the very unhelpful comments that have been made in the Press about this, that we have to deal with a concern that many people will have that, somehow, from 1 April or some time later this year, there will be no out-of-hours services and they will not be able to get a GP. We have to deal with that and we have to deal with that by telling people clearly that the arrangements are continuing; that if they need to see a GP out of hours they can see one. I think it is the responsibility on behalf of the local NHS and everyone who works in it, to make sure that patients use the most appropriate service. That is a job that we have to discharge, that is one of our responsibilities as an organisation, and I think that every effort that we put into doing that and communicating that sense of what is the appropriate service for patients to use, is a good thing for us to do. Yes, there will be some expense around that, but if that helps us make more efficient use of our services then it is money worth spending.

  Q169 Mr Amess: Are there any plans for TV advertising on this, or is it going to be done through leaflets, word of mouth, speeches?

  Mr Hutton: I do not think we are planning a big TV advertising campaign because I know what you guys would make of that—that it is all propaganda! There are campaigns locally and nationally and we have a Use The Right Services campaign, and we will continue to do that, but we are not planning any big TV-based campaign advertising what the new services are.

  Professor Colin-Thome: We have that campaign, but also it is quite rare for people to access these services, so what they need is access to something when they need it. Just learning all this stuff about the change in the Health Service does not impact on people who need it. So the issue is that things like NHS Direct are a good place to signpost them when they may need the service.

  Q170 Jim Dowd: Just briefly, on looking at the impact on other parts of the Service, you mentioned in the Memorandum, "An integrated system of out-of-hours provision, covering all unscheduled care services would have the potential to reduce patient demand for in-hours services." The other side of that is that if it is not established, if they are not effective services, then the reverse of that could also be true; is that right? It would not just impact on A & E; it would actually reverberate back to the GP service itself?

  Mr Hutton: My personal view is that there is a risk of that. Remember that the big picture has various bits of it to make up the whole. Automatically, if one part of that service is not working properly the negative impact is going to show and can show across another range of services in our Primary Care, Walk In Centres and A & E. Whereas our argument is that if we get it right it can have a positive effect, but, of course, if we do not get it right, if the service is not sufficiently comprehensive, then it will show up in different parts of the Service. When someone makes the call, they want treatment and care, they need it from someone, they need it from somewhere in the system, and our job is to make sure that they get it at the right time from the right person. The demand is there, that is the fundamental issue here, and it is a question of how you deal with it.

  Q171 Jim Dowd: But it is extremely unlikely that it would just hit the balance where it had a benign effect, where it did not impact positively on anything?

  Mr Hutton: I think that is right.

  Q172 Mr Jones: Minister, I am meant to ask you some questions about community hospitals, but before I do can you tell us what community hospitals are?

  Mr Hutton: It is one of the odd things about the Department, that we do not have a definition of a hospital, and until recently I do not think we knew how many hospitals we had. I think it was under the previous administration that we stopped counting hospitals because they kept closing them! A community hospital obviously is a local service that is not providing a full range of trauma and surgical facilities. There may well be some inpatient, outpatient facilities there, and a combination of any minor surgery and medical beds, and there will either be operating staffed by doctors from the hospital or a mix of hospital doctors and GPs. I think it was Churchill who said that none of us could define what a rhinoceros is but we know one when we see one! I think that is the best I can do for a definition of a community hospital.

  Q173 Mr Jones: That is a shame really because that does not help us define where the problem lies. If I could try and narrow the range? Those hospitals that are working almost entirely with the doctor support being from primary care, that is the area that is of concern.

  Mr Hutton: The contractual arrangements there are not part of a doctor's primary care contract. So, if a GP is providing medical cover in one of those sorts of units, that is paid for through the Acute Trust, through the hospital; the hospital doctors have contractual arrangements and they will be paid separately, in other words outside of their own contract as a GP, to do that. So there is nothing in the new contract, either in substance or specifically to out-of-hours that has a direct effect on the work that GPs do in community hospitals. They get paid for that work over and above anything that they are paid for in terms of their contract.

  Q174 Mr Jones: The BMA tell us, absolutely full of doom and gloom, on community hospitals that it is meltdown; that you have to get a grip of it and if you do not then the whole community hospital problem will get out of control. The new out-of-hours arrangements mean that GPs will give up working within the community hospitals and the community hospitals will close unless—and I am paraphrasing, but I am not really exaggerating—the Government comes to some negotiated settlement about how GPs will be paid.

  Mr Hutton: If a patient is in a bed in a community hospital the funding of that has nothing whatsoever to do with the out-of-hours funding; it has nothing to do with the GP's contract. It is the hospital budget that arranges for the care and provision of treatment for a patient in that setting. So it is nothing to do with the new contract. I know people have tried to link the two things but, historically, factually and financially, the two things are totally separate. Clearly the BMA may have some concerns about the rate at which GPs are remunerated when they are providing medical services in the community hospitals, and we have asked the NHS Confederation to take forward its work in scoping the size of the problem and then coming to a view about whether they want a new national pay, terms and conditions package in relation to all of this. I think that work is going to be completed in October and, if my memory is correct—obviously I will correct this if it is not true—it was the view of the Doctors and Dentists Pay Review Body who suggested to us that that is precisely where these discussions should be leading.

  Q175 Mr Jones: They tell us that if the issue is negotiated, as you suggest, this could take up to three years to resolve, by which time the community hospital problem may have got out of control.

  Mr Hutton: I have no idea where they get that figure of three years from, no idea at all.

  Q176 Mr Jones: They also told us that what you should do is be proactive like the Welsh Assembly and negotiate a deal with the doctors.

  Mr Hutton: Let me reflect upon that.

  Q177 Mr Bradley: We have touched throughout the session on finance and it is quite clear that the Government has put extra money into improving the out-of-hours services through a variety of routes. But we have had a great deal of evidence to suggest that there is still a shortfall in the budgets for PCTs in this particular area of work, with an estimate of £200,000 per PCT. How would you respond to that claim?

  Mr Hutton: I am puzzled by it because it is the first time that has been put to me. When that evidence was submitted to the Committee it came as a surprise to me because that is not what the evidence would seem to indicate from the 40 areas where these new services have been put in place. We have put in significant additional resources. I think there will be problems. There may well be problems in some parts of the country with this, almost as you would expect, and those problems may well reflect historical issues and difficulties in recruitment, for example. That is why some of the money that we have allocated, we have focused on those parts of the country where we anticipate that there will be additional costs in running the new service, particularly in those areas where there is an issue about rurality, remoteness, and so on, and we have targeted additional help to those PCTs where we think they will face additional costs. I have no evidence to suggest at all that that figure of everyone being £200,000 short is anywhere near an accurate assessment of the situation—no evidence at all.

  Q178 Mr Bradley: You are confident that they have got enough money?

  Mr Hutton: I think they have a significant amount of additional money, yes, to fund this. Not only that, some of the money—and we do not include this in the £316 million being made available to fund out-of-hours services this year, because there is another element that £30 million worth of incentives that go with that too. If the Primary Care Trusts can demonstrate some robust and sensible plans are in place and progress in implementing them by the year end, each of them will get another £100,000. So, with respect, I think this is something that obviously we need to keep under careful review, and it will be the job of the SHAs in the first instance to deal with any financial pressure that arises. I think we need to see this in context. Primary Care Trust has a budget of £100 million and there is maybe £200,000 pressure, that is 0.2.% of the budget. I am not saying that that may not be a serious problem for a PCT at a local level, but we need to keep a perspective on this. If that is a risk that is being run financially I think that is well within the tolerances of financial good management within a Primary Care Trust to deal with. I think we have done our bit; we have put 150% more cash in; we have incentives to back good and sensible planning at a local level, and we are trying to keep a close eye on it to deal with those issues that come up. I have no way of confirming the accuracy of those figures because they are new to us and they do not seem to be the pattern and experience by the Primary Care Trusts who are now operating these new arrangements. David might be able to speak about the arrangements in Cheshire, where I think all the PCTs have opted out.

  Professor Colin-Thome: From the evidence in Cheshire that has not been a particular issue. They have managed to find money for the out-of-hours provision. They have to model it over time to get more skill-mix, as I said, over a gradual phase, and train more people, but even in the short-term where there is more GP element in the service that has not been the case. There is no doubt that some PCTs may have these, but I do not think it is a systematic thing by any means.

  Q179 Mr Bradley: I think it is only right to share with you the fact that the Office of National Statistics this morning admitted that they missed 26,000 people in Manchester—26,000 more people who need out-of-hours services than others, and presumably money will flow to compensate for that!

  Mr Hutton: Possibly! On that issue, I think there is a very important question for us in terms of Primary Care Trusts' allocations and how we deal with issues of population growth. Because of the success of regeneration in Manchester it is bringing more people into the centre of the city, and that is true in many other areas. Historically we have always followed behind that so our PCT allocations have never actually, in some cases, kept up or anticipated population growth, and we need to anticipate more if we are going to have three-year allocations that are actually meaningful and helpful. That is work that is underway in the Department, so we are trying to help PCTs with some of that sort of cost, and if the population is growing in Central Manchester, which it is, and because PCT funding is per capita, clearly there will be a point where that catches up, but sometimes it is too slow, and in the meantime there is clearly pressure.


 
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