Select Committee on International Development Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 288 - 299)

TUESDAY 23 MARCH 2004

MR PETER BOSCH, MRS ANITA BUNDEGAARD AND DR HEAVEN CRAWLEY

  Chairman: Thank you very much for coming and giving evidence this afternoon. A couple of points: one, do not be misled by these microphones, because they are not very good microphones, so we have to speak up a bit, and we are slightly deaf. Also, for all sorts of reasons, a number of colleagues are away overseas, so we are, as a Committee, as you can see, fairly tight but of very high calibre notwithstanding. Hugh?

  Q288  Hugh Bayley: Perhaps my question is to Mrs Bundegaard, to begin with at least, although others may wish to comment. It has to do with whether it is possible in policy terms and in legislative terms to distinguish between economic migrants and forced migrants. How easy is it? Does it make sense to maintain a belief that these are two separate groups of people who can be dealt with with separate laws?

  Mrs Bundegaard: Well, thank you very much for giving us an opportunity to come here and talk about these issues and for the question, in particular, which is, of course, a very complex and difficult issue and a difficult one to answer also, because there is no doubt that today we see mixed flows of migrants and people who flee for various reasons, people who flee for reasons of persecution and people who actually move because they want to improve their living conditions. It is very difficult to differentiate, but it is still believed that it is very, very important to maintain the distinction between people fleeing from persecution and people who do not flee from persecution otherwise we undermine the rights of refugees to actually find protection and solutions. Therefore, in our view, in UNHCR's view, it makes sense still to distinguish and that we have to distinguish in order to give refugees the protection and the assistance that are needed.

  Q289  Hugh Bayley: I do not know whether any of the other witnesses want to contribute?

  Dr Crawley: Can I come back on that particular question as well? I have been responsible for the last 18 months for research at the Institute for Public Policy Research on Asylum and Migration Policy in the UK and Europe, and one of the outcomes was a publication called the States of Conflict. What we did in that report was essentially to look at the flows of asylum seekers to Europe over the period 1990 to 2000 and to identify what countries they came from, those individuals, and then to look at the circumstances in the countries of origin to try and draw some conclusions about whether the oft held assumption that most asylum seekers are economic migrants would be held true by that evidence. What we found was that 60% of all asylum seekers in that period came from only ten countries, and in those ten countries the only unifying factor was the fact that there was conflict, human rights abuse or ethnic conflict of one kind or another. So although there were other factors that we looked at, like poverty and like factors on the Human Development Index and other aspects that might be associated with economic migration, in actual fact all of those asylum seekers came from countries in which there was conflict. I think—

  Q290  Mr Robathan: Turkey?

  Dr Crawley: I think we would say Turkey certainly has conflict of one kind or another in terms of the Kurdish situation.

  Q291  Mr Robathan: Were they all Kurds?

  Dr Crawley: Not all Kurds, no.

  Q292  Mr Robathan: Kurdistan is only a very small part of Turkey?

  Dr Crawley: No, that is right, and part of the problem—

  Q293  Mr Robathan: And Romania? Romania does not have conflict?

  Dr Crawley: No, Romania has conflict in the form of discrimination against certain ethnic groups, notably the Roma. What we were trying to do is not to look at individual cases of asylum, but to try to step back from the day-to-day realities of asylum numbers and to try and look over a long period and over a much broader set of factors to see whether, even allowing for the fact that not all individuals within those flows are in need of protection, not all individuals are necessarily even from the countries that they claim they are from, fair enough, but, given the scale of that migration, we should be able to make some general conclusions about what is going on in the countries that produce forced migrants and certainly, as I say, the only factor that was common to all ten countries was conflict.

  Q294  Mr Robathan: Can I come in? I am sorry, Chairman. I was in Romania last week and, indeed, there is a very big issue about the Roma, but I do not think you would call it "conflict"?

  Dr Crawley: I think it depends on your definition of "conflict".

  Q295  Mr Robathan: Discrimination?

  Dr Crawley: Well, when I say "conflict", as indicated in the report, it is not conflict in the sense of necessarily ethnic violence and war. We are talking about conflict and ethnic discrimination of various kinds—that is my definition of it in the report—and we are taking it over a much longer period of time. Things in Romania have changed quite significantly over that period of time. What we are looking act is overall flows and overall factors in those countries of origin.

  Q296  Chairman: What you are saying is that it is important that we have this category of migrants and then subcategorise that into migrants who are refugees and migrants who are not refugees. Is that fair to say?

  Dr Crawley: Yes.

  Q297  Chairman: I suppose, picking up from Heaven Crawley's point, those countries which are in conflict are almost certainly going to be those countries which are suffering from a lack of sustainable development. It follows that your ten countries are also going to tend to be somewhat poor countries, are they?

  Dr Crawley: The ten countries are a mixture of middle income and low income countries. The poorest countries in the world tend not to have huge numbers of migrants that move long distances, because you need to have some resource in order to be able to move long distances. Nonetheless, the commonality, I think, to pick up on the point that was made by Anita, there is clearly a complexity about this. It is not the case that those countries only have human rights abuse and political unrest and discrimination. There are clearly connections between what is going on in terms of under and undevelopment, the way in which those structures are set up in terms of the political structures. What I guess the research is showing us in terms of the evidence here is that the assumption that it is simply under-development or economic poverty that leads to outflows of forced migrants, that is not held up by the data, but we do not dispute that there are connections between under-development, political conflict, unrest of various kinds in human rights abuse, not least because under-development is often associated with undemocratic regimes and corrupt regimes. So there are clear connections but these connections are very complicated and they lead to, as Anita said, mixed flows where governments then have a job to decide who is the one who is genuinely protected from persecution and who is not; but that is a separate issue. If you step back and look at it in the round, you have to accept that if you want to address the cause of forced migration you have to look at what is happening in those countries that are producing large numbers of forced migrants.

  Q298  Mr Robathan: I would like to address this particular question to Mr Bosch, because it is the EU's approach to immigration that I am interested in. We have been trying hard to limit legal migration to work permits and, of course, the humanitarian/asylum level for refugees. To what extent does the EU's approach shape or constrain the UK? We are part of the EU and migration policy in general, and we get quite concerned, as you probably know from certain parts of the press you may have read, about migrants sitting in Calais coming across—what was the place—coming across to Dover. I am sure you have seen endless rather boring newspaper reports about it. Do you think that if we had more access to legal immigration that would reduce pressure on the asylum channel and also cut out the smugglers and the traffickers?

  Mr Bosch: Thank you for the question. First of all, as it is the first time that I am taking the floor, let me thank you on behalf of the Commission for giving me the opportunity to be with you today. I think it is very timely that you have started this inquiry. As you know, the European Union is building up its policies on asylum and migration, both internal and external, and I think the inquiry gives also for us quite a lot of useful information in developing our policies. If you will allow, please let me come back to the first question, very briefly, on the need to distinguish economic migrants or forced migration. Rather a basic question which I think should underlie any policy is the question why do people move? I think this question in previous hearings has not been addressed so much. Migration, the movement of people, is an extremely complicated matter. There are many, many factors which influence people moving, and we have to be very specific as to the reasons why people move. Of course, economic migration is one of them, over-population could be another, high pressure on men and urban environments, armed conflict, ethnic cleansing—there is a whole series of reasons why people want to move. I think if we are to develop a policy at a union level or at a Member State level, we have to be very precise each time and look at the specific situation in a specific third country to see what we can do to address these group flows. In its approach the Commission proposes, and we are pleased to see that the Council agrees to this, a comprehensive approach in which you try to work with the country concerned in partnership to understand the realities of the country, and we feel that we need to work in different areas at the same time. We need to look at the trade policies, we need to look at the possibilities for conflict prevention; we need to look at their development policies and what have you. There are a whole series of instruments at national and EU level that need to be looked upon and worked with in a comprehensive manner, and that is what we are doing. So, yes, indeed it is useful to make a distinction, not only given the importance, of course, to keep up the asylum system and have a clear definition of what an asylum seeker is, but also, on a policy level, what can we do in fact to address these group flows. Coming to your question about the relationship between legal migration and illegal migration, you may know that the Commission, as we speak, is working on a communication on exactly that issue, and we will put it on the Council agenda in June. Our Commissioner will make a presentation on this communication in June. Of course, we can maybe share some of the findings. The Commission believes that, indeed, opening up channels for legal migration will have, to a certain extent, an influence on illegal migration. If we look at the situation in Europe for the next 20 to 30 years, it is very clear that Europe will need immigration. Only in the research field, as you may know, it is predicted that we will need 700,000 additional researchers until 2010 to meet the Lisbon criteria. These 700,000 researchers are not all going to be found in the European Union. We need an admission policy at union level. But the same goes for self-employed and employed people. If we look at the demographic situation in Europe, it is clear that up to 2010 in many, many areas there will simply not be enough people to keep up our level of economic development, and that is why the Commission is saying for some years now to the Council, to the Member States, that we need to get our act together and, if we do not, we will lose even more ground compared to countries like Canada, the United States, China. Migration is a part of history. It is there and will remain there. If the European Union does not come to grips and does not fix a transparent admission policy, illegal migration will rise. It is very clear. People will come to Europe looking for a new job, looking for a better life. In the developing world it is expected that there will be somewhere between 500 to 700 million people extra in the next decades. Even if there would be modest economic development in those countries, these new people coming onto the labour market will never ever find employment. The unemployment rates in these countries, also countries very close to the European Union, will sky-rocket in the next 20 years. You have to make the analysis of countries like North Africa, for instance, if you see what will be happening there in the next 20 years.

  Q299  Mr Robathan: Where?

  Mr Bosch: The countries in North Africa: Morocco, Tunisia. Mind you, these countries themselves are increasingly confronted with migration problems, the Moroccans, the Libyans, the Tunisians are increasingly confronted with social tensions because of migration from, for instance, Sub-Saharan Africa, and I think there is a need that we start to work with these countries. So coming to your question again on the relationship between legal and illegal migration, yes, definitely there is a relationship between the two. It is also true that many people come to Europe who are willing to come legally and who could come legally but simply do not know the procedures. China is a good example of that. There are many Chinese people coming to Europe who could come legally, but because of all sorts of reasons, that they do not know the procedures, that the procedures are not, let's say, swift enough, there is no guarantee that you will get your visa in time, many people coming, we do not know how many, but people are coming to Europe simply by a lack of transparent and efficient procedures. These are just a couple of examples I would like to give as a response to your question.


 
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