Select Committee on Northern Ireland Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 360-379)

MS JANET HUNTER, MR LAURENCE MOFFAT, MS FIONA BOYLE AND MS CAROL O'BRYAN

15 JUNE 2004

  Q360 Chairman: You have heard nothing?

  Ms Hunter: We were of the view that it was scheduled for the spring of this year, so I suppose that gives us another seven days. It has made tentative beginnings but, as far as we are aware, no substantive work has been undertaken on it and we would like to see that. The scheme has now been in operation for three and a half years and it requires that kind of substantive review.

  Q361 Mr Bailey: Can we just go on to the House Sales Scheme. What views have you got on the proposals contained in the DSD consultation document on the House Sales Scheme?

  Ms Hunter: We very much welcome the review which has been undertaken of this scheme. Obviously working with the type of client group which we do, which is very often people without a home, we are very conscious of the need to balance the aspirations of people to be home owners and the aspirations of those who quite simply want a home. We feel that up until now this scheme has not been balanced. The details of the scheme we are largely fairly happy with, I think it includes almost everything which ourselves and other organisations in the voluntary sector have probably called for. We are very glad that we appear to have been listened to. The issues which we would have remaining with the scheme are probably around the level of discount. It would be our view that the discount level proposed, the maximum discount level of 24,000, is still very generous. The document does not go into the details or the rationale as to why 24,000 has been chosen as the preferred level and we would like to hear that rationale, we are not sure why 24,000 has been chosen. It does seem very generous and it is still more generous than England, Scotland or Wales, as far as we are aware, and yet market values here would probably be slightly lower than some of those areas and it would appear to be a significantly greater discount than has been afforded in other areas, such as England, Wales and Scotland. We would like to see the discount level reviewed again. The other concern we would have about the scheme, and maybe this is more about clarification and in our response we will be asking for this, is that in the scheme which has been produced there seems to be insufficient precision about the exemptions, which properties are going to be exempt. It does talk about sheltered housing and it is very closely modelled on the wording which would have been used in the previous Housing Executive scheme but, of course, this is now a scheme that we are talking about rolling out to include housing associations as well and housing associations would manage quite a lot of what we would call supported housing. We are very unclear. I do not think it is in that document as to how supported housing would be treated. Those sorts of details need to be ironed out before the scheme is introduced because that will be very important and it is best to have clarity from the beginning than to leave it up to a court to decide on a case by case basis as to whether a property is eligible to be treated under the House Sales Scheme. Those would be our concerns about the details of the scheme, that we need a bit more detail on exemptions and also the discount is too generous. There are obviously broader concerns about ultimately what will the impact of this scheme be, bringing housing associations in under the House Sales Scheme, what impact will that have on their ability to deliver the new build programme that Fiona talked about earlier. As you are all well aware, the housing associations are nearly almost all sole providers of new build. Our understanding is that there is some nervousness amongst the lending institutions about what extending house sales to housing associations will do to their credit rating. Will they still consider them such a good investment? There is also the ultimate impact of what the department is going to have to pay out in voluntary purchase discounts because they have to repay all the discounts to the housing associations. Our understanding is that comes out of the amount of money that has been allocated for the housing programme, so if that increases mathematics would tell me that that decreases the amount of money that is available for new build. Maybe it is not as simple as that but I think that needs to be looked at very, very closely. We do not want to get into a situation where so much money has been paid back to compensate the housing associations for the discounts offered that there are insufficient funds to meet and produce the number of new homes that we need.

  Q362 Chairman: You talk about the impact on housing associations and one of the issues that we picked up in a Northern Ireland context is that there are a lot more smaller housing associations than would be the case in GB. If you have a house sales policy which could impact more because you have got small housing associations, do you feel that some of those housing associations could be under threat? Are there too many housing associations? Should they merge? Are there concerns in terms of the sector itself could be vulnerable?

  Ms Hunter: I think it is a very real threat to the smaller housing associations that the impact of house sales could be it is no longer feasible for them to operate independently and that could ultimately lead to what some people might term rationalisation of that sector.

  Q363 Mr Bailey: Can I turn to the privately rented sector now and I will roll a couple of questions into one for brevity's sake. First of all, what contribution do you think the private rented sector can make to meet the needs of the homeless? Secondly, are you satisfied that the recently published strategic framework on "Renting Privately" contains appropriate measures to ensure that, where the private rented market is used as an alternative to social housing, the accommodation is of an appropriate standard?

  Ms Hunter: The private rented sector is a tenure of increasing importance in Northern Ireland, as I am sure you are aware. It covers a broad spectrum of both properties and practices, right from the luxury end of the market to much poorer quality accommodation and we would have to say the clients we deal with on a daily basis do not tend to live at the luxury end of the market, so you will appreciate my comments will be coming from the perspective of those who live in the poorer quality accommodation. You will be well aware from the evidence you have heard previously that in general the private rented sector does have much poorer quality housing with higher levels of unfitness, much greater levels of disrepair, than in the social rented sector. There are also much poorer management standards and that is important. It is not just the physical characteristics of the building, it is also the standards of management and, again, there are great variations in practice there. There are very good examples but also very bad examples. In that context there are concerns about both management and maintenance standards at the lower end of the spectrum, which is ultimately where most homeless people would find themselves, they are unlikely to be accessing the luxury end of the market. What the private rented sector has, which I think is positive, is that it offers a degree of flexibility which is not as obviously available in the social sector and quite often it can also offer people the opportunity to live in a mixed community whereas the majority of social housing will be quite polarised. If people genuinely want to live in a mixed community sometimes that option is more readily available in the private rented sector. Those are the positives, if you like, but there are a lot more negatives I would have to say. Firstly, there is an issue about accessing the private rented sector for homeless people. Very often the practice is that landlords require rent in advance or substantial deposits which often people on low income are unable to provide. We do have a number of rent guarantee tenancy deposit schemes operating in Northern Ireland but they do not offer comprehensive coverage. What we would like to see is something similar to what is just being introduced in the Housing Bill in England and Wales, which is some kind of protection for the tenancy deposit schemes to try and overcome that hurdle of access for people. The other issue for homeless people when they go into the private rented sector is really about an ability to sustain those tenancies. A major issue for our clients would be around affordability. About a quarter of all the enquiries we receive from people around the private rented sector is about affordability and that is linked very closely to Housing Benefit and the administration of Housing Benefit. It is a serious issue for us. The levels of benefit which are being paid in Housing Benefit very, very often do not meet the actual rent which is being charged and there is a reliance then on a discretionary housing allowance which the Housing Executive have discretion over whether or not to pay in the first place and how long they will pay it for. What we find is that very often people who are unable to access that discretionary allowance very quickly fall into arrears and they lose the tenancy. That can lead to a situation where if they present as homeless they are treated as intentionally homeless because they have lost their property because of rent arrears but they are simply not able to make up the shortfall from the income that they have. The issues of Housing Benefit and the levels of Housing Benefit and general affordability in this sector are the real issues for homeless people going into this sector. Another important issue is that in the private rented sector, there is very limited security of tenure by and large, a lot of it depends on the individual relationship between landlord and tenant and the tenancy can be very quickly brought to an end. In many cases that is not a long lasting solution for people, it is more of a stopgap. That does largely depend on the relationship between them and the landlord. One of the initiatives which we would be quite keen to see introduced is some kind of mandatory arbitration, mediation scheme between landlords and tenants. A significant amount of our enquiries are about a breakdown in the relationship between the landlord and the tenant and at the moment there is very little recourse to resolve that dispute, it generally means the tenancy does come to an end. We would like to see something like the Private Residential Tenancies Board which is operating in the Republic of Ireland at the moment on a mandatory basis. I know this is something which the department have said they will consider piloting on a voluntary basis, and that is very welcome in itself, but we would say on a voluntary basis it will not work, just as the licensing of houses in multiple occupation did not work on a voluntary basis. On a voluntary basis you will only get the good landlords coming to the table and they are not the people we need to target. The last point I would make about the appropriateness of the private rented sector for homeless people is around access to support that Carol alluded to earlier. Very often there are support issues for people who are homeless and it is obviously much more difficult to access those kinds of support services if you are living in the private rented sector rather than the social rented sector which is quite closely controlled. There is a trend recently for an increasing number of people for whom English is not the first language to live in the private rented sector and there is an issue for them in terms of accessing services, even knowing that services are available. I think the short answer is no. There are positives but there are grave concerns about the private rented sector as a genuinely attractive alternative to the social rented sector. Do you want me to touch very briefly on the adequacy of the strategy on the private rented sector which has just been produced?

  Q364 Mr Bailey: Yes.

  Ms Hunter: We would welcome the production of the document and we would particularly welcome the fact that it has come out of the joint document between the department and the Housing Executive, who are obviously two key players. It is very important that they are working in a co-ordinated fashion. There has been a commitment that the strategy will be taken forward by an implementation group and, again, we would like to see that up and running as soon as possible. We think it will be helpful in tackling the worst conditions in the sector but the legislation which is proposed is focusing on statutorily unfit properties, so it is absolutely the worst. We think it will be effective in tackling those and also better enforcement for the repairing obligations that are around in the private rented sector. Where we think it falls short is probably the fitness standards which are being used are fairly basic. They are still those that were included in the 1992 Housing Order which are basic amenities. You can live in a house which is statutorily fit and still it can be a real health and safety hazard. For example, it does not look at things like defective electrical wiring. We think in the 21st century those standards are not really adequate. You will probably be more familiar than I am with the new system which is now being introduced in the Housing Bill in England and Wales, which is the housing health and safety rating system. We would like to see the potential for the application of that higher standard to Northern Ireland because the standard which we have got is not adequate.

  Q365 Mr Bailey: My third question was going to be on the issue of Housing Benefit, private sector rents and homelessness, which I think you have pretty well covered. Is there anything you would like to say on that issues which you have not covered so far?

  Ms O'Bryan: As Janet was talking I was reflecting on some of the issues that had affected some people we would be working with who have moved out of temporary accommodation into the private rented sector and were threatened with homelessness, not necessarily because of the issue around the discretionary Housing Benefit, although that is a real issue for folk, but around the administration of the basic Housing Benefit. One woman we were working with who was visually impaired, so moving her to her own accommodation meant a lot of time and effort from ourselves, from housing, from health and social services to orientate her to her new dwelling and her new geographical environment, because of the inadequacies in managing the administration of her Housing Benefit was going to be made homeless. I use that as an example. The energy that went into trying to stabilise that situation to make sure that did not happen, and it hung over that woman for a good two or three months as to what was going to be happening to her, shows another part of it. There are issues around the general administration that I would want to reinforce of Housing Benefit.

  Ms Hunter: Just one final thing I would like to add is that somebody once said that there is a lot of talk about preventing homelessness and the one thing that could probably do more to prevent homelessness than any other thing is to review and reform the Housing Benefit system. Certainly from the experience of our clients, on a daily basis we deal with people who are losing their homes precisely because of the situation which I described earlier. It seems to me to be an area where government policies are conflicting. Obviously there is a desire to keep the Housing Benefit bill down, but at the end of the day is it really value for money to the public purse if the result is that people are being made homeless and have to be put up in temporary accommodation for long periods. That is not something which you can make a superficial judgment on, it is a very serious issue. I do not think it is something which the government can continue to ignore and duck, serious research needs to be undertaken into that, the link between Housing Benefit, the regulations and also the administration of Housing Benefit and its ultimate impact on homelessness. If that link is as strong as the experience of our clients would suggest, and I acknowledge that we are dealing with a particular end of the market, would it not make better economic sense to make some changes to the Housing Benefit system so that the private rented sector could be a viable alternative for these people?

  Ms Boyle: Can I mention one example in relation to young people. In Foyer's, what we are trying to do is get young people out of the homelessness trap by encouraging them into education and training so that they can then afford the private rented sector. The current 16 hour rule means that young people cannot study full-time. That 16 hour rule within Housing Benefit restricts their ability to get their qualifications and get back into the housing market. Just following on from what Janet was saying about the dichotomy between the policy and the practice, that is one example for young people.

  Chairman: We started to touch on standards and I know my colleague, Mr Luke, has got some questions on standards.

  Q366 Mr Luke: We have touched on the private rented sector standards but this is a more general question. In a previous evidence session, witnesses to whom we have put the question of overall standards have generally favoured the introduction in Northern Ireland of a Decent Homes Standard similar to that that has been introduced in other parts of the UK. One of the issues raised in this discussion is, given the lower level of poor quality housing in Northern Ireland relatively speaking, would that standard be exacting enough for the circumstances in Northern Ireland?

  Mr Moffat: I will try to answer the question. Obviously the question of quality of housing is fundamentally important and as part of that the question of standards has to be fundamentally important. We are in favour of raising standards. The fitness standard is a pretty basic standard, as Janet has already said, and the Decent Homes Standard is a bit higher than that, so we would support a move in that sort of direction that focuses on not just fitness but amenities and also the question of thermal comfort, the question of health and safety, even questions of efficiency, for example, the efficient use of energy, eco questions, conservation type questions. We are in favour of moving in that direction. I think you have already suggested that the standard of our stock here is probably lower than it is in England or Wales or Scotland and, therefore, it may not be appropriate in the short-term to follow the exact details of what is happening across the water but I think we are in favour of moving in that direction. That would be our general position on that matter, we want to move in the direction of improving standards and improving the quality of our stock and that is an important matter to all of us.

  Q367 Mr Luke: Thermal comfort is something that we discussed earlier. Thermal comfort is a bigger issue in Scotland than it is in England, I do not know about the comparison with Northern Ireland, it is warmer here than in Scotland. In your response you talk about looking at the introduction of much more efficient and effective heating systems. You may be aware of the Scottish Executive's initiative to introduce a heating for all programme, especially targeting the elderly. Is that something that could be introduced here in Northern Ireland?

  Mr Moffat: I am not familiar with the details of the Scottish Executive's proposals, therefore I am at a bit of a disadvantage in answering that. Basically what we are saying is we want to see the standards improved. The fitness standards have served us well over the years but we want to see them further improved. Anything that does that, any recommendation that you make in that direction, we would probably support. We want to move in that direction. Can I add something else to that. Particularly we welcome the focus on the whole question of quality because quite often it is ignored in favour of things like supply and legislation for the homeless, and so on and so forth. We welcome the focus that you have put on quality here, we think it is a fundamentally important issue. I just wanted to make that point to you.

  Q368 Mr Swire: You will be aware of Shelter Northern Ireland's concern about the transfer of new build and I wondered if you thought that a mixed funding regime was compatible with ensuring high build standards in the social sector?

  Mr Moffat: I suppose it depends on what the rate of grant funding from the department is, I would imagine. If the department had a policy of pushing it down then I think there are going to be difficulties with regard to the quality of the stock that is ultimately delivered. There is some evidence that suggests that contemporary association dwellings tend to have a lower space standard, for example, particularly outside and their environmental works are of a lower quality than used to be the case with Executive built dwellings. I cannot say whether that is the case or not but I have heard Executive staff say that to me. There is a general concern that mixed funding could lead to a situation where the quality of the stock is lowered but it depends where you place your rate of support from the department itself. This is something that the local associations themselves could discuss in more detail than we can.

  Q369 Mr Luke: I want to cover two areas which I have been involved in for some time. In an earlier role I was for 18 years on a planning committee in Scotland on a local authority and I was convenor of a housing committee in Dundee for about seven years. One of the questions reverts back to the earlier provisions for homelessness. In Scotland, the UK, the local authority is the primary provider and strategic body involved in the provision of housing. Given that you have got the Housing Executive here and the local government plays a lesser role in housing, is it a good thing or a bad thing that there is no local government involvement?

  Mr Moffat: I would say that is essentially a political question. Personally, I think the establishment of the Executive was a very good reform and I would be very supportive of it. I think they have done a good job, they have brought professionalism and focus on housing need. They took the debate out of the whole arena of sectarianism in as much as they could do it and that allowed us to focus the debate on housing need, which is what we are doing here. If you look back at old newspapers, the whole focus was on Protestants getting more than Catholics and vice versa, but we have got beyond that now. It is not clear to me what the advantage would be in transferring housing to local authorities. At the end of the day it seems to me the question is what is the need? How do you measure the need? How do you meet the need? How do you allocate your dwellings? How do you manage them? That is a professional issue and it should be done by a professional body.

  Q370 Mr Luke: In Scotland I would be the first port of call as a local councillor for homeless people in many cases. I do not know what the equivalent is in Northern Ireland. Who has the major role in advocating the rights of the homeless? Is it the local council?

  Mr Moffat: The first port of call here is the Housing Executive district office or the Homeless Advice Centre headquarters. You must remember, although we make a lot of noise we are actually very small, we are talking of a million and a half people, equivalent to somewhere the size of Yorkshire for example. You could argue that Northern Ireland is not much more than a large local authority area anyway. On the homeless question, the first port of call here is to the Executive. It could be to Simon, but if you are talking about the statutory first port of call you are talking about the Housing Executive.

  Ms Hunter: I just wondered were you talking about who acts as an advocate on behalf of a homeless person.

  Q371 Mr Luke: Yes.

  Ms Hunter: I would just like to reassure you that even though our elected members are not directly involved in allocating or managing housing, they are still very, very effective advocates. A lot of people as their first port of call, if they were unhappy or unsure what to do, very often would go to their local Assembly Member or their local councillor. If you speak to any elected member or any councillor in Northern Ireland I think most of them will tell you that most of their constituency enquiries are about housing, it is still right up there, even though they are not directly involved. There are some that would say you could be a more effective advocate if you are slightly removed from the decision making process. It is not that they are not involved, they are still very much involved but not directly involved in the management or allocation.

  Mr Moffat: Can I just add that they do have a statutory involvement through the Housing Council who have to be consulted and obviously they like to present their case in terms of their own party or in terms of the local authority with regard to policy to the Executive or the department directly, so they are involved at that level anyway. What Janet says is true, of course. I used to work in a councillor's local office so I know quite a lot of housing cases come in or come in to advice centres run by voluntary organisations.

  Ms Hunter: They do have a very, very genuine interest in housing and I think that was very apparent when the Assembly was operating locally, the whole issue of housing was moved right up the agenda.

  Q372 Mr Luke: It is one of the reasons we embarked on this inquiry, to keep the Assembly going. Turning to planning, we have had some discussion that the planning model is different from the British model and English model, it is different from the Scottish model, but how would you like to see the planning system used here in Northern Ireland to encourage or require the delivery of sufficient numbers of affordable and social housing in Northern Ireland? Are there any changes that you would like to see made, any improvements?

  Mr Moffat: I think I have been given the short straw on this one! I would like to make a specific point first of all. We did make a suggestion in our own submission to you that there should be a look at the role of the planning service regarding the delivery of public sector programmes. A former minister, Des Browne, did send a letter to the former Lord Mayor of Belfast, Councillor Maskey, stating that there are possibly some planning problems associated with the delivery of the public sector programme. We do not know what they are and that is why we have suggested that they should be investigated. We also suggested that there should be a community type approach to planning which would involve the Executive and also involve the planning service and allow people themselves to develop their own neighbourhoods, their own villages and their own towns. That is a bigger issue than housing but that is a possible way forward. I think there is room for that type of development following at some stage in the future the outcome of our review of public administration. The other issue is this whole issue of planning gain, which is what you are alluding to really, where, for example, a developer has to set aside, say, 20% of a site for public sector housing. I think there was some attempt in the Republic to do something along those lines but I do not think it met with a positive response from developers. I am not an expert on that. If it makes sites available at the right cost and allows the programme to be built that has to be built then we would welcome it, but it is not clear how it would work in practice.

  Ms Boyle: Could I come in there to add that maybe there is room for an investigation into the planning difficulties that have been noted in the delivery of social housing build. That seems to be one of the reasons that we keep coming back to, that there are planning issues and planning difficulties and there is a need to look into that. A further point is in relation to housing associations where not just for specialist housing but for general needs there is a requirement on them to consult and that is probably one of the other reasons that causes schemes to fail and not to be taken forward or not taken forward at the right time. There is a need for further investigation there.

  Q373 Mr Luke: Obviously you have raised at the end of your contribution something that I was going to move on to anyway, and the key words are "partnership working". Are you satisfied with the level of partnership between the DSD and Northern Ireland Housing Executive in the promotion of policy development?

  Ms O'Bryan: I will start off. The two main vehicles for that engagement at the moment would be through the Promoting Social Inclusion Working Group on Homelessness, which is led by the Department for Social Development, and also through the Northern Ireland Housing Executive's Homelessness Strategy Steering Group. In both of those groups the lead organisation has invited representatives from the voluntary sector around the table, so in terms of engaging us in the debate around the table I would have to say that they certainly need to be acknowledged for doing that in a very positive way. The relationship is always one where there has got to be some tension because our agenda and their agenda is not necessarily going to be the same. In principle it may be the same agenda but when you get down to resource issues and how policies work out in practice then you start to get the tension. As a general model, I think there are good ways of engagement at that level but as you come down from the higher level into the engagement at the more local level then the scenario would be either one where there are good collaborative relationships and good engagement or, at the other end of the spectrum, there is an inability to want to engage. Going back to the higher level issues in terms of the Promoting Social Inclusion Working Group on Homelessness, we are moving to the stage where the consultation report should be released some time during the summer and then there will be an opportunity for people to respond. We will wait to see what comes through in that final report to see if the issues are there that we believe were hard fought around the table, which were issues primarily not for DSD but for some of the other government departments because this is where the real action begins. Homelessness or housing could be seen as just a DSD issue but it is much wider than that. Even in terms of planning it is DRD and DoE, so it brings in two other government departments right away. Because of the complexities of that, that means that engagement can be much more difficult and the results of that engagement may not be as productive.

  Q374 Mr Luke: The report of the Promoting Social Inclusion Group was supposed to be out in March and has been delayed. Have you got any concerns given that you were talking about different departments looking at the implications of it?

  Ms O'Bryan: Being one of the members of that group, as is Janet, at one level I would not have concerns because the work that was done in the latter months has been very useful work looking at issues to do with community attitudes to homelessness and taking a commitment to tackle some of those issues. It was really good to get those issues around the table. If some of the issues that came in the latter part of the work of that group come out in the final consultation report then that delay would be a delay that has been worthwhile, but the big issue there is if they come through in the final consultation report. I am comfortable enough about that delay at the moment because I think we have made good use of that and have come up with what I and others believe is actually quite a good robust report at this stage.

  Ms Hunter: I would just endorse Carol's comments. It was preferable that we took a bit longer and produced what we hope will be a very useful substantive document rather than trying to take shortcuts. It is a very serious issue and it deserves to have serious consideration.

  Mr Luke: We will look forward to seeing that. Thank you very much.

  Q375 Chairman: A few general questions. First of all, targeting social need. How well are the Executive and the housing associations doing in terms of their own targeting social need? Is there evidence of good performance, of focus on targeting social need, or is it something they add on?

  Ms O'Bryan: On the Housing Executive front the main vehicle would be through the Homelessness Strategy, so that means there are other people who are in housing need and who need social housing who do not come within that. If we are talking generally about those folk who are in need of social housing the main vehicle, as I see it, would be through the Homelessness Strategy. That being said, given the commitment through new TSN or the five% of departmental budgets to be skewed towards need, once again that could be happening but how that is happening is not made known and it is not transparent, so it would not be clear to us in that regard. In terms of the Homelessness Strategy, there is a highlighted need for temporary accommodation units and that is being reflected within the housing association development programme. There is some tie-up between that, which is very helpful. That also being said, we have schemes which are being developed so we have the capital go-ahead for those schemes but the Revenue for those schemes is not as yet guaranteed. Obviously one would not like to think that a capital development would go ahead and the revenue costs to fund the running of that building would not be forthcoming but organisations have to go forward with a certain degree of faith in relation to this one.

  Q376 Chairman: The Simon Community called for a Regional Housing Strategy and I think, as we are approaching the final lap, you will recall that earlier on I asked a question which I said we would come back to. It is probably the shortest question but the hardest to answer. First of all, how do we prevent homelessness from the point of view of your organisations? What is the one thing we ought to be doing to prevent homelessness that you would write in this strategy?

  Ms O'Bryan: Are we only allowed one thing, Chairman? We will all take a different one.

  Q377 Chairman: Do feel free to go further. I am writing this Regional Strategy and at the top it says "We have got to prevent homelessness", but can you suggest how we would do that?

  Ms O'Bryan: I tend to come at this from two levels. One is the structural issues and one is the reasons why people immediately present as homeless. We always look at it in both ways. On the structural reasons, the two key issues are the issues to do with the housing market and having a more robust social housing market than we currently have and one that has good quality standards within it. The second part of that are the issues about tackling our long-term unemployment and issues around that. Both of those things have routes up through the new TSN to the national action plans within the European context. They all feed in through that route. When we come down to the experience of the individual, we have looked at an analysis of different ways to help prevent homelessness and obviously the structural one is one way in which it can be tackled in the longer term, but then there is identifying those groups who we know are likely to become homeless. We know the young care leavers are likely to become homeless, we know that people who leave school without qualifications are likely to become homeless. There are indicators that we have already and it is about trying to get engaged with those people before a crisis comes around. The big issue is how you measure impact. Then there is trying to identify groups which the likes of Shelter and Housing Rights Service will work with trying to pre-empt the homelessness situation so for people who are having difficulties with money management, with relationships, going in there and doing some work with them and then responding to people at the stage of homelessness. There are those four different layers. Finally there is the re-prevention. I think we are probably aware of the revolving door syndrome in relation to people with mental health problems but for some of our homeless population there is a revolving door syndrome. Part of that is to do with their lifestyles and them not being able to settle anywhere and not being able to engage in any support services, so there is a small group that would apply to, but there is a larger group which is about trying to get people moved on to sustainable tenancies, and Janet, Fiona and Laurence have talked about that. What does that look like when you move into your own tenancy and have good support there? I think there are five layers to that as we would see it.

  Q378 Mr Swire: I am interested that in none of those five points you referred to those who are internally displaced and rendered homeless by the sectarian problem. Is that a factor? Secondly, are you experiencing what we are in Great Britain, which is a significant proportion of homeless people coming from those who have led a regimented life in the Armed Forces?

  Ms O'Bryan: In terms of those who would be presenting because of some kind of sectarian or intimidation issue, where it is a situation that is likely to be reported in the national media in terms of the feuds, for example, those people are either supported through people in their own community, moving out to caravans or holiday caravans as a way out of the area, or they are supported by the Housing Executive. By and large those people are not the people who are coming to organisations like ours looking for support. That is when it is a high profile feud situation. In terms of intimidation, we do get individuals who are required to leave their area because they may be perceived by the people who control that area as engaging in some antisocial behaviour which they, as the people in control of the area, do not like. We would support those individuals. They are a small part of the work that we do and that work can only happen whenever there are other organisations that come and work alongside us because for some people—not so much now, it is dwindling off somewhat—they might have to leave the country because of their own personal safety. It is a feature, but in terms of the work that we are doing it does not come up in terms of volume to the kind of scales that issues like family breakdown, unemployment, etc would come up to. In terms of the ex-Armed Forces, from my knowledge, and I would need to look to my colleagues here because I can only talk about the 4,000 people who would we be supporting in any one year, that would not come up as a significant issue for us.

  Ms Boyle: I know that it is not reflected in the Housing Executive's statistics and I do not think that it is with any volume across the voluntary sector.

  Ms Hunter: I do not think it is as significant an issue as it would be in England, for example.

  Q379 Mr Luke: In the first part of your answer to Hugo Swire you mentioned the issue of structural elements in combating homelessness and that was one of the starting points of this inquiry, the PC's criticism in his report of the Housing Executive and how targets they were setting were not being met for the build of new units of social housing. One of the issues we have raised with previous witnesses is, are the housing associations big enough to actually provide the muscle to get these housing units on the ground? The Housing Executive was a very efficient body, is there a case for bringing back some responsibility for new build to the Northern Ireland Housing Executive to fill that gap because it could play a part in the ability to meet the demand for homelessness?

  Ms Boyle: If I might suggest that what we need is further investigation of the performance of DSD and the housing associations. Out of the 39 housing associations, which ones are able and capable and have the management structures and finance to be in the development programme because clearly they are not meeting their targets. We need some form of review to see the delivery mechanisms, the structures. This also takes us back into the whole argument about where does the finance come from: mixed funding, should we have more from the private sector? DSD are telling us that for every 10 million of private finance roughly 155 houses are produced and yet in year we just have 25 million coming in from private finance. There are a whole lot of interconnected issues here about delivery, capacity and capability and coming back again to the Net Stock Model of what we are actually predicting we need and then funding that accordingly. That is the crux of the structural issue that Carol was talking about.

  Ms O'Bryan: There is also a Northern Ireland historical community perspective because, with the development of the housing association movement, quite a number of our small housing associations would be growing very much out of the needs of a particular community and at that stage are providing an incredibly valuable service both in terms of housing for the people in their area and creating some regeneration within that area. If they are no longer able to do significant development one very clear approach may be a question around their future but I think the management of that would be incredibly sensitive because of the strong community identity and also given that we have quite a number of our government documents, Pathways for Change being one of them, which are pushing community development as a model to be embraced and there might be at one level a general managerial approach to this saying that this can be sorted in order to help the delivery. There is a really important process in there because we cannot ignore the history of that and the value that those organisations offered at the time. Yes, I think we have moved on from that and if we were now creating a system I do not believe we would come up with the model that we currently have to engage with, I do not think that for one moment, but in many ways the system we have reflects where we have come from and any movement away from that would need to be a very clearly planned and phased movement. It does need to be simplified. When you are hearing things like two housing associations bidding over the same plot of land, that is folly. At the end of the day, in part that is coming out of the public purse and that is not where we need to be.


 
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