|
| Serial | Details
| Assumption | Source
(where applicable)
|
| (a) | (b) |
(c) | (d) |
| | TASK HOURS
| |
|
| 1 | All Platforms | Task hours have been assumed to be common on all platforms. On RW this was agreed between IPTs and DARA and on FW this was agreed with the exception of F3 Minor* and Major where the figures have been averaged.
| |
| | SERVICE PERSONNEL—CMR
| |
| 2 | CMR Numbers (General) |
A review of the requirement for CMR has not been carried out as part of this process. Every effort has been made to ensure the robustness of CMR figures but all are predicated on a harmony ratio of 5.
| |
| 3 | CMR Numbers (Tornado) |
The number of Tornado CMR personnel required to move to St Athan under the Roll Back Option has been estimated from two processes:
Firstly, the CMR requirement to be supported at Depth, after using up all 1st Line posts, was calculated from the top down.
Secondly, the number of posts that would move from the four Tornado stations was calculated from the bottom up using current LUEs.,
| STC/Tor IPT |
| 4 | CMR Numbers (VC10 and C130)
| A small number of CMR personnel for VC10 and C130 are already included in the Tornado CMR figure. This is consistent with the assumption to roll back 2nd Line work on these platforms.
| STC/E2E |
| 5 | Off-aircraft Personnel |
Only those personnel whose task is linked inextricably to the on-aircraft work—albeit their work is classified as off-aircraft—have been included in the move of CMR for Tornado. It is assumed that this work will transfer to St Athan with the requisite number of service personnel. No assumptions have been made about possible efficiencies, economies of scale etc. in respect of this work.
| |
| 6 | Merit Posts | 20% of those posts annotated "on-aircraft spanner turners" are considered to be schedulers/facilitators, QA, Heavy Recs etc. who would not contribute directly to the task hours for Tornado. For RW platforms the assumption is that 95% of all CMR/TOPMAST etc. personnel are "on-aircraft spanner turners".
| STC/JHC/Fleet |
| 7 | Administrative Support |
An additional 5% has been added to the CMR/TOPMAST numbers to reflect the requirement for chefs, clerks, medics etc.
| |
| 8 | Productivity | The average serviceman can produce 1,240hrs of productive task output annually.
| STC/E2E/DARA |
| | SERVICE PERSONNEL—POSTINGS
| |
| 9 | Marital Status | Figures for marital status by service have been obtained directly from DASA and vary by service. They are detailed in the model but range from 63.7% for RAF officers to 39.1% for RN ORs.
| DASA |
| 10 | Children | The average married serviceman is assumed to have 1.05 children for the purpose of posting allowances.
| DASA |
| 11 | Posting Costs—Tornado
| The Tornado fleet is already well dispersed across at least four sites and there would be no additional cost of rotating around one extra site after the initial move
| PTC |
| 12 | Posting Costs—Sea King
| RN: No costs have been included for Culdrose as no military personnel are moving. Personnel moving from Yeovilton have been included as this will move them outside of their usual RN TopMast Squad location.
RAF: Personnel are based at St Mawgan so costs are common.
| FLEET
STC |
| 13 | Posting Costs—Lynx
| RN: Costs have been included for personnel moving from Yeovilton, outside of their RN TopMast Squad location.
Army: REME personnel serve in a wide variety of locations and forward or backwards would make no difference.
| FLEET
JHC |
| 14 | Posting Costs—Gazelle
| Army: As for Lynx. | JHC |
| 15 | Baggage Allowance |
The average serviceman will use 75% of his baggage allowance on posting.
| |
| | SERVICE ACCOMMODATION
| |
| 16 | Quarters
Take Up
| It has been assumed that 70% of married personnel will require quarters. This is higher than the average provided by DASA but better reflects the fact that fewer service personnel are likely to buy houses at a new location such as St Athan in the short to medium term. It is likely that the take up rate will be closer to the average in the longer term.
| DASA/MAS(A) |
| 17 | New Quarters | The build-costs for new quarters assume a traditional capital build. These costs have been adjusted to reflect the savings in rent to Annington Homes, where appropriate. It is assumed that residential land would need to be purchased in all cases.
| DHE/Valuations Office Agency |
| 18 | New Quarters | The mix of quarters has been assumed to be 90% type C and 10% type D based on information provided by DHE.
| DHE |
| 19 | Quarters Availability |
Consultation with DHE has indicated that there is no spare capacity at any site with the exception of Gosport where there is sufficient capacity at present to accept the full requirement under Roll Back. No build costs have therefore been included for Gosport.
| DHE |
| 20 | Quarters for F3 CMR |
It is assumed that quarters would be built at St Athan for F3 personnel moving from Leuchars. This assumption was agreed at the Reference Group meeting of 10 March 2004. It was recognised that this would need to be some form of innovative PFI deal that returned the quarters at the end of the F3 life.
No costs have been included for Leeming personnel as these would be almost identical whether qtrs were built at St Athan/Leuchars or hirings were taken at St Athan/Leuchars
| Ref Gp |
| 21 | Disposal of Quarters |
The costs, savings and receipts from the disposal of land and buildings have not been considered at this stage. Sales of quarters at Lossiemouth, which are owned by MOD, are common to both Roll Forward and Roll Back. It has been assumed that the maintenance of the quarters at Leuchars is a saving to the Roll Back Option but it has not been assumed that they would be sold off. This is due to the likelihood of them being needed in the near future.
| STC/DHE |
| 22 | Single Living Accommodation (SLA) Costs
| The requirement to build new SLA has been adjusted to reflect the current availability of grade 1 and 2 SLA.
| STC/DE/DEA |
| | TIMETABLE
| |
| 23 | All | Timetables for the move of work have been based on an estimate of the constraining factors specific to each platform coupled with the amount of work currently carried out at each site. In summary the timetables are as shown below
| MAS(A) |
| 24 | GR4 | Roll Back 04/05-05/06; 100% at DARA in 06/07
Roll Forward 04/05-07/08; 100% at MOBs in 08/09
| MAS(A) |
| 25 | F3 | Roll Back 04/05-05/06; 100% at DARA in 06/07
Roll Forward 04-05/07/08; 100% at MOB in 08/09
| MAS(A) |
| 26 | Sea King | Roll Back 04/05; 100% at DARA in 05/06
Roll Forward 04/05-06/07; 100% at MOB in 07/08
| MAS(A) |
| 27 | Lynx | Roll Back 04/05; 100% at DARA in 05/06
Roll Forward 04/05-06/07; 100% at MOB in 07/08
| MAS(A) |
| 28 | Gazelle | Roll Back 04/05; 100% at DARA in 05/06
Roll Forward 04/05; 100% at MOB in 05/06
| MAS(A) |
| | DARA |
|
| 29 | Future Shape of DARA |
It has been assumed that DARA St Athan will continue to exist as a DARA site under all three options. The impact of closure is further explained in the main body of the report.
| |
| 30 | Location of RW Work |
Under all three options the assumption is that RW work will be conducted at Fleetlands. The costs/benefits of moving RW to St Athan are considered separately in the main body of the report.
| DARA |
| 31 | Natural Wastage | There is no spare capacity left for natural wastage following on from the assumption that Harrier will roll forward.
| MAS(A) |
| 32 | Productivity | The average worker at DARA can produce 1,360hrs of productive task output annually.
| DARA |
| 33 | Redundancies | Only redundancies as a result of the decision to roll forward/backward have been included, those that result from over-capacity have been ignored.
| |
| 34 | Redundancy Costs | Redundancy costs have been obtained from PPA Cheadle Hulme and are based on a random sample of DARA FOU personnel.
| DARA |
| | INFRASTRUCTURE
| |
| 35 | Yeovilton SHAR Hangars
| The hangars belonging to the SHAR force have been assumed to be unavailable for occupation.
| DART |
| 36 | Middle Wallop | Gazelle IPT consider that no additional infrastructure would be required to accommodate all on-aircraft depth servicing for Gazelle at Middle Wallop. No account has been taken of any capacity that may become available as a result of DART for both technical and support infrastructure.
| Gazelle IPT |
| 37 | Paint/Strip Facilities
(Leuchars/Marham)
| Running costs include only the additional utilities costs of running extra stand-alone facilities.
| E2E |
| 38 | Aircraft Storage | Based on the assumption that St Athan and Fleetlands will remain DARA sites, it is assumed that all aircraft currently stored by DARA will continue to be stored by DARA.
| |
| | MISCELLANEOUS
| |
| 39 | Other Platforms | Assumptions on the future location of depth support for other platforms are detailed in the main body of the report, they are in accordance with the results of the E2E IA Reference Group meeting of 19 January 2004.
| E2E Ref Gp |
| 40 | Civilians at MOBs |
Where specific details have not been provided in relation to the employment of civilians at MOBs, it has been assumed that the on/off aircraft split is as per the service personnel split.
| |
| 41 | Additional Flying Costs
| Only costs for Tornado have been included and the rates used are the No Loss rates issued by Fin Pol. It was agreed at the RW Workshop on 17 February 2004 that no costs should be included for RW platforms as all flights could potentially be used for pilot training or pre-service test flights. Flying times for Tornado were provided by Tornado IPT.
| Tornado IPT
RW Workshop |
| 42 | LUEs | All calculations for CMR and LUEs are based on current establishments and aircraft numbers. No account has been taken of possible changes to LUEs as a result of leaning activities in the on-aircraft area or to CMR as a result of concurrent work strands.
| |
| 43 | Rental Costs | Where private hirings are required, the costs have been adjusted to allow for the rental and maintenance that would be saved from quarters that would no longer be required.
| DHE/Estate Agents |
|
