Select Committee on Defence Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 420 - 439)

WEDNESDAY 7 JULY 2004

PROFESSOR KEITH HAWTON AND PROFESSOR SIMON WESSELY


  Q420  Mr Hancock: Have the military ever asked either of you for advice about how they should maybe give a bit more support to NCOs or junior officers who will be in charge, maybe not of training units but of actual fighting units?

  Professor Wessely: Yes, I have been specifically asked for advice on spotting post-traumatic stress in Iraq, for example, and other conflict situations. Yes, they do ask for that kind of advice. The curriculum taught to officers is changing and is kept up to date. They do not always listen to what I say. Why should they? However, they do ask for advice on that. I have not specifically on this particular issue, no, but on other issues, yes.

  Q421  Mr Hancock: Are you then both surprised, being eminent in your field, that the military have not made greater use of the sort of expertise which is out there, both to help them during the initial recruiting stage and definitely in the training stages, not you two in particular but your colleagues?

  Professor Hawton: They have not approached me, but I do not know whether they have approached colleagues; I just do not know.

  Professor Wessely: All I can say is what I have done, which has not been on this particular issue. I have, however, done a lot with the military on other issues of psychological relevance.

  Q422  Mr Cran: You may have answered this question. I might have fallen asleep when you did, so I am going to re-state it. It is simply this: I am unclear in my mind whether the incidence of self-harm and suicide is any different in the general population than any other population and in this case we are speaking about the population of the Armed Services. In that regard I think you, Professor Wessely said this. Where you said it, I do not know, but it is in quotation marks, so I am entitled to quote it. You said ". . . suicide during military service is, thankfully, very rare, and like all rare events, almost impossible to predict".

  Professor Wessely: Yes. In general suicide rates in both the US and the UK Armed Forces are lower than in the rest of the population in general and there are many reasons for that. The particular exception we know from the UK is young men in the Army, where the rate is higher. Those are the DASA statistics. That might be explained by the fact that they take more dodgy people and it might be the fact that they take people with higher risk factors.

  Q423  Mr Cran: That is the Army as distinct from the Air Force or the Navy.

  Professor Wessely: That is the Army. For the Air Force and Navy it is lower overall. On deliberate self-harm there is no reliable data at all within the Armed Forces. Keith is making an attempt. My training is epidemiology and we should love to have that kind of data. It is very hard to get and at the moment there is no data.

  Professor Hawton: One of the problems, particularly as people move further on in their Army careers, is that they are more likely to go to civilian hospitals if they commit a self-harm act and we do not have a national network for collecting information in any case, let alone collecting it on Army personnel. There is a real issue about collecting accurate data which you can then compare with accurately collected data in the general population, which is available.

  Professor Wessely: Whenever we have mentioned it even simple data protection and confidentiality issues make you weep.

  Q424  Mr Hancock: It is a very serious issue, is it not?

  Professor Wessely: It is very serious; absolutely.

  Q425  Mr Hancock: If you have a young man or woman who can readily avail themselves of a weapon with live ammunition, who has been having some sort of treatment in a civilian hospital or even from their own GP and the Armed Forces are not told about it, that must be an error somewhere in the system and it must be something we ought to write in our report, because it must be seen as something where we are very vulnerable.

  Professor Wessely: It is such a difficult area. As a researcher, I would love to have that data, of course. On the other hand, if I were that young man who had chosen to take myself to a civilian hospital because I did not want specifically the Army to know that I was having trouble at home and I had just taken an overdose, I would be completely opposed to what you have just said. One of the papers I have sent to you was when we did work on screening with the military and how many of them said exactly that thing, that they did not want details of their mental health . . . They were perfectly happy to tell the military about their dodgy knees, but they absolutely did not want sensitive data, and this is sensitive data, to get back to the Chain of Command or to the military medical service.

  Q426  Mr Hancock: My last question was going to be on screening again, but both of you have convinced me that is not an easy option and is not a viable one for the Armed Forces. My question therefore really relates to whether it is possible to look at some of the cases that we have been asked to look at, not just on this Committee, but this Parliament has been asked to look at, of the 100 or so young men and women who have died over the last years and to see whether you can glean from the information which is available on young men and women, whether or not there was anything in what had happened prior to the incident which took their lives, which might have signalled a warning to people. Have you been asked to do that?

  Professor Wessely: No.

  Professor Hawton: I have not been asked.

  Q427  Mr Hancock: Would it be possible?

  Professor Wessely: It is the kind of thing we do.

  Professor Hawton: It is the sort of thing we do. We are well versed in conducting what are called psychological autopsy studies, which have been mentioned in some of the official papers, in terms of trying to reconstruct what has happened in suicide cases, but we have not been asked to do this, no.

  Q428  Mr Hancock: From our point of view, do you think that would be something which would be worth requesting the MoD to invest some money in?

  Professor Hawton: It might well be. If one were going to go down that route, I would suggest investing the money as well or perhaps instead in investigating what I would call failed suicides, in other words acts which were clearly, as far as one could gather, intended to be suicide and did not result in death, because then you can talk to the individuals and glean a lot more information from it. That approach, perhaps combined with looking at the actual cases where death has occurred, would be the most valuable approach.

  Professor Wessely: I should say in defence of the Army that there is such a study going on. It is not being done by us and it is on deliberate self-harm not suicide but is being done at Imperial. That is just within the Army.

  Q429  Mr Cran: If I understood the answers to my question, you said that the incidence of suicide in the Armed Forces population is lower than that in the general population.

  Professor Wessely: Correct.

  Q430  Mr Cran: But that the incidence of suicide in the Army is higher than the other two Services.

  Professor Wessely: In the Army in young males.

  Q431  Mr Cran: I just want to be clear about these statistics. Is the incidence in the Army higher than in the general population?

  Professor Wessely: No.

  Q432  Mr Cran: It is still lower.

  Professor Wessely: It is still lower, with the exception of that particular sub-group. That change is significant, but it is based on very small numbers, not big numbers. You are going to ask me what the numbers are and I have forgotten.

  Q433  Mr Cran: Are they statistically significant?

  Professor Wessely: Yes, they are significantly increased in young Army males, though it is still based on a small sample size but a significant one.

  Mike Gapes: Perhaps you could send us the statistics. Sorry, I am told we have them already.

  Q434  Mr Cran: If I understood you, Professor Wessely, you said that there are many reasons why the incidence of suicide is lower in the Armed Services than in the general population.

  Professor Wessely: Yes.

  Q435  Mr Cran: I should just like you to canter over some of them.

  Professor Wessely: One of the things we are looking at very much is the protective effect of military life. We are looking at the winners as well as the losers. Sometimes, for example, they select, they screen, but they screen on certain variables like IQ, major mental illnesses, physical disabilities, all of which are risk factors. That is the first thing. Secondly, for some people who are at risk the Army, the military environment, is actually very protective. People do well under that kind of institutional care. Some people do not, but many people do. Then there is the employment aspect. This is a job, this is giving people education, trade, and adult literacy, all of these things. So there are many, many positive aspects which might further reduce the suicide rate, particularly if you took account of the risk profile. One of the most important things we are doing at the moment, which we should really like to continue, is looking at this issue of exactly what the risk profiles are of people when they come into the Armed Forces. We do not do that; the Americans do, we do not. How does that play out during people's military careers and indeed when they exit into civilian life? Can you spot the winners and losers at an earlier stage? If you just take the crude statistics, they are very misleading. I am sorry to harp on the point, but you have to bear in mind that the Army is not a random sample of the UK adult population and it is skewed towards difficult people. I should not say that on the record, should I, but it is true?

  Q436  Mike Gapes: Following on from what you have just said, is there any evidence to suggest that suicide rates decline in the Army as an individual's length of service extends?

  Professor Wessely: I do not know. I am sorry, I do not know.

  Q437  Mike Gapes: Is there any correlation between suicide rates and frequency of operations for people in the Armed Forces?

  Professor Wessely: Suicide rates are such a rare event that I do not think you could ever do that statistically. If you can, our study will eventually give you that information. I suspect it is too rare an event and they deploy so often that you would find that very hard. The only other point I would make on that is that evidence we do have is that a certain number of deployments is good for mental health. Too many is bad, but having no deployments at all is very bad for mental health. We have evidence from the Iraq war to show that mental health actually improved for those deployed during the Iraq campaign compared with those who stayed behind. Some deployment is good.

  Q438  Mike Gapes: Would you be able to say that greater stability and job satisfaction and personal success for young people within the Armed Services are actually positive factors?

  Professor Wessely: I am making that as a generalisation. I hope, as our work continues, we will be able to be more definitive on that, but I should be really surprised if that is not the case. That is very much what we are doing at the moment.

  Q439  Mr Hancock: Then you raise a very interesting issue. One of the things we discovered was that in between training there was a very significant down period and it was during that period that most of the incidents that we have knowledge of occurred.

  Professor Wessely: Yes; between Phase 1 and Phase 2. Yes, I am aware of that.


 
previous page contents next page

House of Commons home page Parliament home page House of Lords home page search page enquiries index

© Parliamentary copyright 2005
Prepared 14 March 2005