Select Committee on Education and Skills Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 920 - 939)

MONDAY 26 APRIL 2004

PROFESSOR DAVID RAFFE

  Q920  Mr Gibb: This is new, this idea of a vocational-type general education between 14 and 16 is innovative, is what you are saying, or is it based on something in Australia and New Zealand?

  Professor Raffe: If by innovative you mean is no other country doing it then that is not the case, because Australia and New Zealand certainly are doing similar types of things. In the sense that we are consciously imitating them in specifics, absolutely, no, we are working from where we are starting from.

  Mr Gibb: We should look at Australia as an example, perhaps, but not by going there.

  Chairman: We have been there already.

  Q921  Mr Gibb: Are you saying that after 16, if you opt for the vocational options, that would start to become seriously vocational in nature, the genuine training taking place?

  Professor Raffe: Yes. I think it is a fairly simple principle. It is a matter of value judgment, as much as anything else. Beyond 16, one allows people to make choices that may be more committing. I think up to the age of 16 there is the expectation, because people are in compulsory schooling and the National Curriculum applies, that it is legitimate to put stronger constraints on their choices in their longer-term interests.

  Q922  Mr Gibb: Where should that vocational training take place? Should that be within the comprehensive school, or should it be in specialist FE colleges?

  Professor Raffe: I think where it takes place is less important than whether young people want to do it and where it is going to lead them. I think that is a second-order question. Obviously, a third option would be in the workplace, and the best answer might be some combination of more than one of those.

  Q923  Mr Gibb: Can I ask you about PISA and TIMSS. I do not know whether you have looked at these two studies. Can you understand why they perform quite well in PISA and appallingly badly in TIMSS, and what the difference is?

  Professor Raffe: The short answer is that I do not have any certain knowledge of why. Possibly there are three conceivable explanations. One is that one or other of those was a rouge sample in some way, in other words, that something went wrong either in the sample selection or a bias in the schools which did not take part which otherwise would have been selected. That could work either way with respect to the comparison. I have no particular reason to believe that is the case. The fact that Scotland and Northern Ireland came out with broadly similar PISA results to England's makes me feel that—possibly indirectly, it gives me a little bit more confidence that the samples were actually telling us the real story in their own terms. A second possible explanation is that England has improved very dramatically over a number of years, relative to other countries. Personally, although I have not tried to work out the arithmetic of this, my guess is that is at best a part of the explanation. I am not saying it has not improved, but I do not think that would explain the difference. A third explanation could be simply that they are measuring rather different things. TIMSS was trying to measure the National Curricula as delivered in different countries, and obviously it was trying to go for some kind of lowest common denominator, although probably it would not have called it that, of very different National Curricula. PISA was trying to go for skills that are used in adult life, and I think the way in which the curriculum was defined, and possibly more subtle ways in which the actual testing was done and the tests were defined, possibly could account for the differences.

  Q924  Mr Gibb: Scotland appeared much higher in the TIMSS survey than England?

  Professor Raffe: Scotland appeared lower than England in the science, and I think it was broadly similar in maths.

  Q925  Mr Gibb: Why do you think it was lower in the science?

  Professor Raffe: I am not sure I can give you a detailed answer to that. That is actually something where, at least on the margins, PISA comes out with the same direction of difference.

  Q926  Chairman: David, do you think that the Government wants you to do something with 14-19 that is revolutionary? People say to this Committee and the advice that is given to this Committee is that a unified system of education, where you take the academic streams and more practical streams right through together, in house, and see them as parity of esteem, and all that, has such radical implications for our country that you are introducing some kind of educational revolution. Whereas others might say, "Well, we're just trying to join them up a bit, pragmatic, good old British tradition, tinker a bit more than we have in the past." Which do you think you are doing in 14-19?

  Professor Raffe: In a sense, both. I think, quite clearly, what we are doing is evolutionary. In a sense, I do not believe in revolutions in education, because even if you think you have done it, you have created a revolution, people carry on doing the same old things and they simply convert the new structures into their old ways of working. Obviously, we are trying to allow for that, in how we are setting up the Tomlinson diploma framework. In terms of what the implications are of a unified framework, I am trying to give you a general definition of what I understand a unified framework or unified system to be. In a way, it is trying to co-ordinate diversity, in other words, what I want to emphasise is it is not the same as a uniform system. We are trying to encourage what is already a diverse system—and one of its strengths, I think, is that it does have a lot of diversity within it. We are trying to put that diversity into a more coherent framework. I am conscious, having studied the Scottish experience of trying to unify a system over the last few years, the trick is always to know which bits you try to make uniform and which bits you allow to be diverse. In very general terms, I think that is the big problem we have got to wrestle with over the remaining months of the Tomlinson Group.

  Chairman: Thank you for that. Can we turn now specifically to the Scottish experience for a while.

  Q927  Jonathan Shaw: You said that in your studies you talked about comparing the Scottish system. As a parent, if you had the choice to send your child to one or the other, which would you choose and for what reasons?

  Professor Raffe: Both my children went to a comprehensive school in Edinburgh. I think probably they did better there than they would have done at a comprehensive school in England.

  Q928  Jonathan Shaw: Can you tell the Committee why that is?

  Professor Raffe: I think primarily because the Scottish system had actually taken the comprehensive principle more seriously, which, in the first place, is not trying to treat it as a dumbing-down system. It is a way of trying to deliver education which caters for the needs of all young people, including the academic. In many respects, the Scottish system is a very traditional, conservative system. A lot of the concepts of an academic education in Scotland are quite traditional, and Scotland embraces that within its notion of a comprehensive system. A second reason is that, in Scotland, and this is something which we have demonstrated through our research, choosing one school compared with another school is much less consequential, in terms of, for example, the exam results which your children achieve at the end of the day, than it would be in England. I think that again reflects the fact that comprehensive education is understood to be not a uniform system in that sense but certainly a uniform system in that the arbitrary choice of a school is not too consequential for your child's performance.

  Q929  Jonathan Shaw: What about in terms of the comparisons to have both those systems embrace vocational and skills training?

  Professor Raffe: We have been studying how the Higher Still reforms of post-16 education in Scotland have tried to introduce a more unified system. I think there are issues there that the Tomlinson Group has learned from. In particular, when we outlined our general strategy we identified trying to get the best from, on the one hand, the Baccalaureate model, but on the other hand from the sort of climbing-frame model that Scotland exemplifies. Our main conclusion was that,[1] although the Higher Still reforms were trying to encompass school and post-school college provision, (they were not actually intended to encompass the workplace provision as well) they worked better in the school system, and they remained more marginal in the college system (in Scotland, college equates more closely with vocational). We are aware also that it has proved harder than anticipated to design a unified system that will have a relatively tight system but a fairly stringent assessment regime that can cover the board and embrace the diversity of experience. A very practical conclusion which I draw from that, and which I think possibly did not need to be learned so much in England, is that a unified framework or system should have a much more relaxed attitude towards the different approaches to assessment and to various other things that could apply in different parts of the system.


  Q930  Jonathan Shaw: Just coming on to the 14-19 programme, on which you are a member of the Working Group, you said that at the moment we are at the motherhood and apple pie stage, so obviously a lot of work and some difficult decisions have to be made in the coming months before the final report to the Government. If you were asked to identify particular aspects, that you feel there are serious tensions it is crucial that we get right, what would those be?

  Professor Raffe: Where do I start.

  Q931  Jonathan Shaw: For example, teaching methods, institutional change, work-based groups?

  Professor Raffe: I will probably give you the things which are currently on our minds, because we are wrestling with a lot of issues at the moment. I think we are trying to see how we can get, for example, the notion of interlocking diplomas, which are an attempt to realise the climbing-frame principle, how we can make that work. In other words, the idea that you are not necessarily committing yourself wholly to a diploma at one level or the next level but some of your credits at one level could contribute towards the next level. That requires some quite complicated arithmetic, or geometry, whatever the term would be, in the design process. I think that is fundamental. The intentions of the Tomlinson diploma, in particular, is to get around the existing sort of post-GCSE blockage, where essentially the sheep and the goats get sorted out and people feel that if they have not actually passed that hurdle they are going to lose their way. The notion of a flexible climbing-frame is one of the principles underlying the diploma. I think that will be crucial. We are working our way towards it. A second area is very clearly, and of course this has been well flagged in our discussions and other discussions as well, assessment. We must reduce the assessment burden overall, but we have to do so in a way which does not unduly restrict the flexibility of choice within the curriculum. How small do you allow the units to be, if they are going to be assessed individually? That is a very practical decision to be taken, so assessment would be a second issue. I think a third issue which will be quite important to help the overall spirit of the diploma will be how we actually design the—whatever their title will be—more vocationally oriented pathways, because in some respects these are going to be the parts of the diploma that will best express how well we have joined things up. On the one hand, they have got to articulate well with more general diplomas, and clearly I do not think that there should be a sharp division between them, people should be able to, at least to a reasonable extent, pick and mix. Also, if they are going to have credibility and parity of esteem, I think also they have got to offer genuine opportunities for access to higher education, which probably then has further implications for assessment and grading, and so forth. I think there is another question as to how they are going to relate to Modern Apprenticeships. Again, some countries, The Netherlands would be quite a good example, France, I think, would be another, would allow the work-based and the school-based routes to lead to the same qualifications. Ideally, we would allow that as well within this Diploma. I am pausing for words. We do not have a good vocabulary to describe this, but the more vocationally oriented pathways, as distinct from Modern Apprenticeships, which we have identified already as a distinct issue, I think will be crucial.

  Q932  Jonathan Shaw: I suppose the concern is that in order for it to be widely embraced, which is essential if we are going to have the evolution, the one chance to get it right, there needs to be some broad consensus. If you are having difficulty in finding the words to articulate it, I suppose the concern is, are you going to be able to find the words to explain it? I think that one of the concerns raised by some of my colleagues on the Committee with Mike Tomlinson was the impenetrable language used within the 14-19-year-old interim report. Have you got any comments? Do you agree?

  Professor Raffe: Leaving aside whether or not the interim report was opaque, which I can quite believe was not very clear, I am absolutely certain, and here again I think that particular type of pathway would be a good example, if you cannot make this fairly easily intelligible it will not work. Of course, the challenge with a unified system is that, in order to make one pathway intelligible, because it is a unified system you have got to make all pathways intelligible. In the past, you could say, "You're going down the apprenticeship route, you don't have to worry about any of the other pathways, you don't need to know what they're like, just mug up on apprenticeships and see what the choice is there." Now, because of the way that the system is being defined, everybody who is going to play a part in it will need to understand at least the basic outline of the whole system. If I can give a very particular example, I think that one of the tensions that those vocational pathways will need to reconcile will be, on the one hand, having a fairly small number of well-defined, well-understood labels, that this is a diploma in engineering, a diploma in whatever, it might be in care, however broadly those areas are defined, and not too many of them. On the other hand, having genuine employer ownership of the qualifications and the competences that they certify, and typically, and I guess again that a lot of European experience would agree with this, the difficulty is that if you are not careful you end up with hundreds and hundreds of different diplomas, because each little occupation wants its own place in the sun.

  Q933  Jonathan Shaw: Is that a tension you have been picking up in your discussions?

  Professor Raffe: Our working assumption is that we will go for something like 20 such specialist areas. On the `plane down I was reading a report on a very large-scale Dutch reform, one of the conclusions of which was I think they have got 21 lead bodies and these bodies should be reduced to 4,[2] so even 20 itself does not necessarily lead to absolute clarity. But maybe it's just that the Dutch system does tend to fragment.


  Q934  Jeff Ennis: In your evidence, Professor Raffe, to the Scottish Education Committee, you said: "Compared with European or OECD norms, Scotland has a more polarised pattern of participation; more people complete higher education, but more people leave education by the age of 17 or 18." Why is that, do you think, in comparison with our system, why is it more polarised?

  Professor Raffe: I think it would be true of England as well. I think a combination of two reasons. One is that higher education has expanded and it has been allowed to expand, and also that the labour market tends to recognise and reward higher education qualifications. In Scotland there is quite an important component of those, which would include Higher National Certificates and Diplomas, which actually I think are very valuable qualifications nevertheless. They are recognised and rewarded by the labour market. Intermediate qualifications tend not even to be recognised, let alone rewarded. I think one of the issues and one which I hope Tomlinson will achieve is actually putting a stamp on an intermediate level of diploma, (it would be advanced in the Tomlinson terminology) and define a level of qualification that would have more general currency within the labour market precisely because it came to be recognised as something that everybody should have. The other side of that coin would be to do with the nature of the demand in the labour market. There is an analysis, which I am not sure I am competent to discuss in detail, which suggests that labour market demands in the UK tend to be more polarised than in many other European countries. Certainly we do not follow, for example, the examples of countries like Germany or Denmark, where you would actually require a certificate in a large number of occupational areas before being allowed to practise those occupations. So another part of the answer has to do with labour market demand.

  Q935  Jeff Ennis: Just to try to get a bit more information from you with regard to what you perceive to be the sort of intermediate diploma-type system that you are referring to, will that be based on GNVQs, or will there be a more general diploma?

  Professor Raffe: I think, if you wanted a single example, quite a number of them are based on BTEC, that would be the kind of starting-point which you would certainly recognise as being an example of a fairly successful qualification in the existing system. I would not want to be much more specific than that because these things are still being thought through.

  Q936  Jeff Ennis: In effect, I am trying to tease out of you what you feel about the comparison between the two systems. Obviously, you feel that the Scottish system is a more successful system, certainly a more comprehensive system than our system that we enjoy. If you actually did a swat analysis of the two systems, other than that the Scottish schools are more comprehensive, to use your parlance, what would be the main differences, other than that?

  Professor Raffe: I think quite a lot of the features of each system would be in common. One of the strengths, I think, of the English system which Scotland does not have to the same extent is a tradition, and I am using that term possibly somewhat advisedly, of school-based or local innovation. In Scotland, for example, when TVEI came along 20-odd years ago, it was a relatively new thing for teachers to have that amount of opportunity to innovate within their own schools within a national framework. To some extent, that has increased more recently in Scotland because the modular system has made it possible. My perception is that in England they have a much stronger tradition of that capacity to innovate. Maybe it has been squeezed out more in recent years by National Curriculum, by some of the regulatory requirements. I think there is quite a strong desire that the Tomlinson framework should be broad enough to allow that spirit of local innovation to be expressed but not to be marginalised by saying, "Well, you can only do this for low-status qualifications". You can innovate locally for a mainstream diploma.

  Q937  Jeff Ennis: Whenever I have an interface with different trade associations, for example, I am going to a lunch this afternoon with the Silicate and Sand Association, an esteemed body, and whenever you get to meet these trade associations they always refer to the skills gap that we have in places like England and Scotland. I guess one of the tricks to overcoming the problems that we have currently, in terms of the vocational education gap, or whatever you want to call it, or the fact that it appears to be secondary in comparison with academic subjects, is the failure or apparent failure to engage more with employers. Is the Scottish system more successful in engaging with employers and trade associations than we are and getting them on board in terms of delivering a better vocational education system? How can we engage employers and trade associations better within the academic world?

  Professor Raffe: Historically, I would have said that the Scottish system probably was worse than the English system, certainly at a national level. This goes back essentially to the time when things like training and education were administered separately in Scotland, training was administered from here, education was administered from Edinburgh, and as   a result there was not the organisational infrastructure on the industry side to liaise with the education system. I think things have developed quite a bit in Scotland since then. I do not see that it has got to the point where I can say that the situation is better than in England. Of course, a lot of the institutions are the same, the Sector Skills Councils, for example, their remit covers the whole of the UK. I think I would accept the analysis, and again one of the concepts was when we tried to do different comparative analyses of transition from school to work, although it is a rather loose term, one of the concepts which a lot of the comparisons tend to boil down to is the notion of linkages between education and the labour market. Obviously that covers a whole range of different types of linkages, it is to do with the extent to which employers and unions are  involved in planning, delivering, sometimes assessing vocational or sometimes even general education. Clearly it has to do with the way in which the labour market is structured. Clearly it has to do a lot with the way in which employers actually have the incentives to engage in education. I am not sure that, in a stroke, I could solve the problem of why it is that we do not have adequate linkages.

  Q938  Jeff Ennis: Is it enough just to have business representatives on the local Learning and Skills Councils, for example, or do we need to have more in-depth interlinkages between schools and colleges and employer organisations?

  Professor Raffe: I think it has to be more in-depth. My perception is that part of the problem is, and a lot of this applies to Britain and not just to England, in a sense, institutions tend to get reshuffled every five or six years, and often they do so on a different basis, are we organising around occupations, are we organising around areas, are we organising around industries and sectors? We keep shuffling between those different possibilities or different mixes of them, things have never been allowed to settle down. I think there are additional reasons why it has been difficult to engage employers, partly because the incentives to the employers that take part are not very strong, but there is an institutional problem there.

  Q939  Jeff Ennis: Referring to one government initiative which has been fairly popular in recent years, that is the implementation of specialist schools, recently we have had the addition of the engineering specialism to the number of specialisms, I think it is about nine specialisms now for which schools can aim to have specialist school status. Will the addition of an engineering specialist school status for schools to aim at assist the relationship between schools and employers and help the drive on the vocational education agenda, do you think, or is it just a side issue?

  Professor Raffe: I think, in a sense, there are too many ifs and buts before I can answer that question, but I could make a comment, which I think is true of England and Scotland. It is that in some European countries, when you are talking about employers linking with the education system, with vocational education, this is understood to include full-time as well as work-based education. Here (Scotland is an even more extreme example than England in this respect) employers often see the work-based route as their province, they do expect to have an influence there, and so do unions, but when it comes to vocational education as provided in a school or in a college that is something else. They might be supportive and offer a little bit of work experience or offer a little bit of equipment here and there, but it is not actually seen as their problem. My perception is, although I have not tried to look systematically at other European countries in this regard, that this is not true to the same extent of other countries. In a sense, that might answer your question, because I suspect that if it is a school, in the institutional sense of a school, then probably it will not have the same degree of employer ownership that it would have if it were a place where, for example, Modern Apprentices were being trained.


1   Note by witness: This refers to the conclusion of the witness's research on the Higher Still reforms, not necessarily of the Tomlinson Group. The research showed that it was difficult to apply a uniform approach to curriculum design and (especially) to assessment across different subjects, levels and modes of learning. Back

2   Note by witness: That is, the bodies responsible for broad vocational programmes, on which employers are represented. Back


 
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