Select Committee on European Scrutiny Minutes of Evidence



Examination of Witnesses (Questions 180-187)

PROFESSOR ALAN DASHWOOD CBE AND MR MARTIN HOWE QC

12 JANUARY 2005

  Q180 Mr Connarty: It did not seem to infer there would not be an ability to make treaties with other countries on energy, and when we asked the Ministers on this they said at the Despatch Box we had not lost these powers. I am saying that I am sure they will look at your analysis and interpretation and think about it.

  Professor Dashwood: Could I add a word on that? In my opinion, Article 13(2) gives expression to the existing case law of the Court of Justice. There is one element in the provision which I think is unsatisfactory and that is the word "necessary"—"It is necessary to enable the Union to exercise its internal competence." That is a word which the Court of Justice has used itself but has gone on to make clear it is thinking of a situation where the exercise of internal competence and external competence are inextricably linked, so it is a rather narrow sense of "necessary", and that qualification does not come through the language of Article 13(2). Again, I would be surprised if that provision were interpreted by the Court otherwise than in accordance with its existing case law. Can I just add one point about what was being said a few minutes ago in relation to Article 1-16(2), what the courts would make of that provision. If we are talking about national courts rather than the Court of Justice, they could only become involved if paragraph (2) were regarded as having direct effect, and it seems to me highly unlikely it would be so regarded because it simply is too broad in its language to be justiciable. It is exactly the kind of provision which in the past the Court of Justice has regarded as not being one on which claims could be based before national courts. So I am perfectly confident that the only court which might conceivably be called on to interpret Article I-16 would be the Court of Justice itself.

  Mr Steen: Will you forgive me because I was not here at the start of the proceedings. I represent a constituency in the South West, and I think if my constituents had listened to this discussion if they were not fixedly pro-European at the outset they would be totally mystified and anti-European by the end, because of the somewhat Alice-in-Wonderland picture this is for the lawyers. The ordinary person in the street wants to know the answer to one question, which is this, if in a referendum, assuming there will be a referendum, they choose to vote against this Constitution, and Britain, or any other country, decided they do not want anything more to do with the EU Constitution, what would happen to that country? Would it have to abandon the Treaty of Rome, abandon the EU and become an associate of the EU? Or would the whole Constitution collapse? In my constituency on the one hand I have an enthusiastic Lib Dem group who are passionate about the Constitution and believe it is just a bit of mumbo-jumbo and for the lawyers, and if they have listened to the first hour of this discussion on the BBC would come to the conclusion it is all wonderful and will have a great future for Britain. On the other hand, I have the Leader of UKIP standing against me at the general election who is going to say this is a sinister plot, it is a dreadful occasion and the sooner we are out the better. What will actually happen to Britain if it says no? What will happen to Britain if it says no to the Constitution? What will happen if two or three other countries say no, not such big countries but smaller? These are the questions, having had the preamble for the last hour and a half which they will have listened to with interest, they want answered.

  Mr Connarty: Particularly if only a few countries vote against.

  Q181 Mr Steen: Small countries, big countries, what happens?

  Mr Howe: I will avoid the political aspects of the question.

  Q182 Mr Steen: Party political.

  Mr Howe: This is an issue I addressed in my written evidence in some depth, and my own view is quite clear, that legally and practically if one country says no, and that country cannot be persuaded to re-vote and change its mind, then the Constitution is dead.

  Q183 Mr Steen: However small the country?

  Mr Howe: However small the country, legally and practically. The smaller the country the more pressure can be brought to bear on them to make them re-vote in the right way, of course. Although Mr Giscard has, before the signing of the Treaty, made a number of statements to the effect, "If people don't like it, we will just throw them out and go ahead and bring in the Constitution amongst a core group of states", I think that is legally and practically impossible for a number of reasons. It would require an act of gross illegality, contrary to the existing treaties, which require for their repeal the unanimous consent of all states. That in turn would mean, since the existing Treaties of Rome and Maastricht are embedded in the internal constitutional orders of a number of Member States, them amending their own constitutions to allow that to be done. It would cause severe problems regarding the transfer of assets from the institutions of the old bodies to the new bodies, because under the Constitution of course that is achieved by provisions in Part IV with the consent of every state which has an ownership interest in the existing institutions. So I do not think that is on. This is advancing slightly beyond legality into the realms of politics, but it would result then presumably in a renegotiation, and one would then look at the extent to which an inner group of states might bring in certain provisions of the Constitution—either flexible co-operation under the existing treaties or by separate parallel treaties, or a settlement under which the dissenting state or states would allow the core to go ahead with something similar to the Constitution but with provisions which allowed them to have a slightly different arrangement—and obviously the range of possibilities which would arise in that context is very wide indeed.

  Q184 Mr Connarty: Thank you. Professor?

  Professor Dashwood: Once again, I am afraid, I do not entirely agree, although I do to some extent. It is obviously true that the existing treaties can only be amended by common accord of all the Member States. If, say, the United Kingdom and one or two small Member States were to vote no, there would be tremendous pressure from the Member States which had voted yes for the dissenting Member States to come back on board. Experience suggests it might be possible to buy off—that sounds unkind—the smaller Member States, in one way or another, as has happened in the past with Denmark and Ireland. However, and this is not a legal point, it seems to me to be inconceivable that the referendum could be re-run in this country. We would then be faced with the situation where, say, 22 or 23 Member States had ratified the new Constitution, in some cases perhaps after a very difficult campaign, and they would I think—and it is impossible in answering this question to stay within the realm of law—find it politically very difficult to go back to their electorates and say, "Let's try again with something else". There would be a negotiation, but it is a negotiation which I think would be likely in practice to result in the United Kingdom being made a fairly generous offer of some form of association with the European Union. I think it is very unlikely, but I am guessing here as much as Mr Howe is guessing, that negotiation would be politically possible, politically acceptable, to the other Member States. There would be a core of Member States pushing very hard indeed for the adoption of the Constitution. We would have some friends, but the Six plus Spain and Portugal plus Greece and the great majority of the new Member States would be pressing for the adoption of the Constitution.

  Q185 Mr Connarty: It seems the difference is that Martin is saying that if several Member States rejected this, on the basis it has to be adopted unanimously, this Treaty is dead, but you are saying, "No, this Treaty will live in some form if two or three Member States, even including the UK, voted against it".

  Professor Dashwood: I think that is likely.

  Q186 Mr Connarty: I think as politicians we can all then speculate on the arrangements which will be made in the political sphere.

  Professor Dashwood: There is one other legal point. I think it would be extremely unwise for a UK Government to rely on the fact that the existing Treaty cannot be amended without its agreement and therefore refuse to negotiate seriously about a way of accommodating the strong wish of a core of Member States to implement the Constitutional Treaty. At the extreme, if a UK Government was taking that line, it would be legally possible for the existing Member States to denounce the existing treaties—they could do this in international law—and start again on the basis of the Constitutional Treaty. It would not be easy but it would be easier to do than it would have been, for example, if Denmark had failed to ratify the Maastricht Treaty because we have ready-made a Constitutional Treaty which is designed entirely to replace the existing ones.

  Q187 Mr Cash: On the basis of my previous question, if all the treaties have been revoked under this Constitution, including the acquis communautaire, and then this new Constitution creates a de novo situation in that sense, I think the difficulties which both of you have described do become rather acute, because you have the situation where you have a completely new treaty on the one hand with all those characteristics, and yet those who were left out—on your argument, Professor Dashwood—would be left with the existing treaties but, question mark, would they have been revoked as well in their application to those who are left behind?

  Professor Dashwood: I hope the United Kingdom would behave sensibly in that situation.

  Mr Cash: That is a very wise comment.

  Mr Connarty: We will leave the question of what is sensible to the politicians. There are a number of politicians here with probably more views on what that should be than there are numbers of members. Can I thank Martin Howe and Professor Alan Dashwood for an excellent session and also for their written contributions. It has been most helpful to the Committee and will, I am sure, feature prominently in our final report to the House.





 
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