Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Written Evidence


Written evidence submitted by Basil Hone

Zimbabwe

  The intentionally acclaimed independent trouble-shooting organization, the International Crisis Group (ICG) has produced a 30 November 2004 Zimbabwe Report: "Another Election Chance", discussing the prospects for free and fair parliamentary elections in March 2005. The Report states that the odds against the elections being "free and fair enough to mark an important turn towards genuine politics" are substantial. This is because of the lack of will or the means to formulate and implement a more comprehensible and forceful strategy on the part of the international community. The Report essentially places the bet of the ICG on South Africa applying sufficient pressure on Zimbabwe to provide the space for democracy to work for what will at best be "C-minus" elections.

  This letter presents the arguments that we are today witnessing an elaborate charade produced by the Southern Africa Development Community under the direction of South Africa's President Mbeki to con the world that Zimbabwe will have free and fair elections. The SADC has adopted a set of Principles and Guidelines Governing Democratic Elections. The Mugabe Regime has accepted the Principles and Guidelines. Mbeki has turned up the volume on quiet diplomacy by announcing his willingness to meet the Zimbabwe antagonists at any time, any place, to mediate a solution to the Zimbabwe crisis and by meeting the opposition MDC leader, Morgan Tsvangirai, following the latter's treason acquittal in September, some eight months after that farce of a trial had ended. Mugabe has trumpeted his plan to amend the electoral law to bring it into compliance with SADC Principles and Guidelines.

  The stage is set for the "SADC Electoral Observation Missions" provided for tinder the Principles and Guidelines (which will observe the elections only at the invitation of the Mugabe Regime) to issue a favorable Final Report on the conduct and outcome of the elections-a report which, the two Presidents anticipate, will be accepted by the world community, allowing Mugabe and his cronies to continue unchallenged the terrorization of the people of Zimbabwe and the pillaging of what is left of its wealth.

  The reality is, and will remain, totally at variance with the charade which is being played out. In an earlier paper of April 2004 entitled "Zimbabwe: In Search of a New Strategy" the ICG analyzed the prerequisites for free and fair parliamentary elections in Zimbabwe in 2005 as follows:

    (a)  Repeal of the Public Order and Security (POSA) and Access to Information and Protection of Privacy (AIPPA) Acts and amendment of the lctoral Act;

    (b)  Freeing of the airwaves and permission for independent papers to publish;

    (c)  Audit of the voters' roll and, if needed, new registration under UN supervision;

    (d)  Replacement of partisan electoral officials;

    (e)  MDC access to rural areas;

    (f)  Replacement of the Electoral Supervisory Commission by an independent Electoral Commission to oversee administration of the election; and

    (g)  Unhindered access to the entire process for credible international observers.

  The ICG November Report makes clear that the only changes since April by the Mugabe Regime with regard to electoral issues [(a), (d) and (f) above] are for the worse; does not address the media access, voters' roll and unhindered international observer access issues [(b), (c) and (g) above]; and describes that MDC's access to rural areas has deteriorated [(e) above]. What has transpired since April is this:

    (a)  Repeal of POSA and AJPPA Acts: The two Acts remain on the books and, in fact, AIPPA was toughened up a month ago to make it a criminal offense for anyone to practice journalism without accreditation by the government appointed Media and Information Commission.

    (a), (d) & (f) Electoral Issues: The Electoral Act is being replaced by two pieces of legislation, the one adding to the existing electoral law and the other creating a Zimbabwe Electoral Commission. A few of the additions address the requirements of the SADC Principles and Guidelines but only to deal with election day issues such as translucent ballot boxes and eliminating mobile polling stations, while other additions pile on more draconian provisions to the pre-existing law, such as allowing the police and army to be used as election officials. The Zimbabwe Electoral Commission, under the second piece of legislation, becomes the fourth body overseeing electoral functions, thus adding yet more confusion (and more latitude for government interference) to the welter of overlapping supervisory responsibilities. Mugabe will control appointments to the Commission, which will have monopoly power over voter education On the other hand, the new laws ignore the glaring flaws of the existing law, namely—as examples—permitting postal votes only for voters absent from their constituencies on authorized government business; setting no time limit for hearing and resolving election challenges; no right of access to electronic versions of the voters roll, which has no closure time limit before an election; and no restriction on the power of Mugabe, as President, to amend the electoral laws by decree.

    (b)  Free media: Since the publication of the ICG Report, three independent papers have been closed down and the new legislation makes no provision for access to the State controlled airwaves.

    (c)  Voters' roll: The Zimbabwe Registrar-General recently produced a new voters' roll for use in the 2005 election. The opposition party MDC has found that despite the persistent migration of rural dwellers to urban areas, the major cities, where support for the opposition is decisive, show significant declines in the numbers of voters, while the number of rural voters in areas traditionally supportive of Mugabe has increased dramatically.

    (e)  MDC in the rural areas: The November ICG Report has this to say, in the context of the Youth Militias: "The government is clearly using the youth to seal off the countryside, making it into no-go-areas for the opposition" and ". . . mass training of youths is fuelling suspicions that the government is creating a private army for electoral purposes."

    (g)  International observers: Besides barring Western monitors as election observers, the Mugabe Regime in October added to the prohibited list African observers with close links to Western countries.

  There have been other assaults by the Mugabe Regime upon democratic freedoms since publication of the April 2004 ICG Report. The most egregious of these assaults is the Non Governmental Organisation legislation. which establishes an NGO Council controlled by the government (10 Mugabe Regime representatives, five NGO representatives selected by the Social Welfare Minister). The Council will accredit NGOs at its discretion. The legislation prohibits foreign funding "to carry out activities involving or including issues of governance". The Mugabe Regime is also amending the Criminal Law legislation to create an offense of publishing or communicating a false statement prejudicial to the State (including an "abusive, indecent or obscene statement" about Mugabe), punishable by 20 years imprisonment.

  Concern about these adverse developments has been voiced by several observers in recent months. As examples. the new US Ambassador to South Africa stated in September: "There is clearly a crisis in Zimbabwe and everyone needs to state that fact. The economy is in a free fall. There is a continuing repressive environment. There needs to be a return to democracy." The International Parliamentary Union adopted a resolution about Zimbabwe in September, which contained this passage: "(the IPU) stresses that the fundamental notion underlying democracy is the respect of the other; democratic life entails both the right to differ and the acceptance of such difference by all; therefore notes with deep concern the perception which the executive authorities in particular have of the opposition MP's, whom they tend to demonise and criminalise so that they are not only prevented from discharging the mandate entrusted to them by their electors, but also in many cases suffer serious infringements of their human rights, including the right to physical integrity and security." And, the World Association of Newspapers had this to say in November: "In Zimbabwe, freedom of the press continues to be limited under President Robert Mugabe. The 2002 Access to Information and Protection of Privacy Act continues to be used to muzzle what remains of the independent press in the country. Most recently, a new bill has been proposed to regulate non-governmental organisations and, if enacted, will further silence critics and deprive the public of its right to access information."

  What has been the reaction of President Mbeki to these Mugabe Regime moves denying any chance of free and fair elections? "Quiet Diplomacy" has be come Mbeki's Mute Diplomacy. There has been no criticism, except for an oblique remark attributed to an unnamed source close to Mbeki claiming that the latter did not like the NGO legislation nor the banning of newspapers.

  Given Mbeki's description of their relationship as freedom fighter buddies ("In the African Revolution we shared the trenches together"), the chances that the South African President will, of his own volition, be prepared to coerce Mugabe into free and fair election mode, are so remote that the West must play an urgent active role and not one, as the ICG Report implies, of silent Commission. A few of the additions address the requirements of the SADC Principles and Guidelines but only to deal with election day issues such as translucent ballot boxes and diplomacy. The Report mentions that South Africa's civil society is emerging as a formidable force for change in Zimbabwe. To answer the ANC's 2 December message to ZANU-PF ("The ANC wishes to reiterate its firm support for the people of Zimbabwe under the leadership of Zanu PF") the West should unabashedly assist and encourage the civil institutions to wean Mbeki from his attachment to Mugabe. As an example, the Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU), which. Together with the Africa National Congress (ANC) and the South African Communist Party, comprise the alliance governing the country, has split with the ANC over Zimbabwe. COSATU sent a delegation to Zimbabwe to investigate trade union and human rights abuses which was promptly railroaded out of the country out of the country by the Mugabe Regime. Mbeki and the ANC have sided with the Regime. COSATU has threatened a border blockade. The West, and particularly the United States, should openly support the COSATU position.

  Time is of the essence. Even if the Mugabe Regime converted to free and fair elections immediately, four months is hardly any enough time to give the MDC an equal opportunity to present itself to the electorate as an alternative to ZANU-PF. Besides, human rights abuses and denying maize, the staple food of the poor, to political opponents continue unabated.

And to:

  General Colin Powell, Secretary of State, Washington DC

  Dr. Condoleeza Rice, National Security Adviser, Washington DC

  Senator Lamar Alexander, Chair, Africa Subcommittee, US Senate, Washington DC

  Representative Edward Royce, Chair, Africa Subcommittee, House of Representatives, DC

  The Hon. Phil Goff, Foreign Minister, New Zealand

  The Hon. Alexander Downer, Foreign Minister, Australia

  The Hon. Pierre Pettigrew, Foreign Minister, Canada

  The Rt. Hon. Chris Mullin, U/Secretary For Africa, Foreign Office, UK

  Mme Barbara Brandtner, EU External Relations, Belgium

  Mr Gareth Evans, President, International Crisis Group, Brussels, Belgium

  The Hon. Donald McKinnon, Secretary General, Commonwealth Secretariat, London UK

  Members, Africa Subcommittee, US Senate, Washington DC

  Members, Africa Subcommittee, House of Representatives, DC

  Ms Constance Newman, African Affairs, US State Dept, Washington DC

  Dr Paula Dobriansky, US State Dept, Washington DC

  CC:  Ms Cindy Corville, NS Staff, The White House, Washington DC

Mr Thomas Woods, Bureau of African Affairs, US State Dept, Washington DC

Basil Hone

4 December 2004


 
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