Select Committee on Foreign Affairs Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 60-79)

6 DECEMBER 2004

RT HON JACK STRAW MP, MR DAVID FROST AND MR TIM BARROW

  Q60 Mr Mackay: Foreign Secretary, I think we would all want to commend what you have been doing with our relationships on the Ukraine since the flawed elections and for my part I think you have played a difficult hand absolutely dead right.

  Mr Straw: Thank you very much.

  Q61 Mr Mackay: Let us hope that the second elections are not flawed, but they are fraught with danger, I am sure you would agree. I have just one concern and want one reassurance from you. We are obviously all delighted that there is a coalition of the willing but that must always be secondary to our policy of pursuing democracy, freedom and human rights. In a different context I have reservations about Kazakhstan, but that is for another day, and the fact that it is a member of the coalition of the willing and we take a tough enough line. There are, I believe, about 1,600 Ukrainian troops in Iraq, who are obviously very useful to us and our American allies. Can I have an absolute assurance from you that if things again go wrong in the Ukraine you, and hopefully our American allies, will be as robust as you have always been and it will be very secondary but they have been a coalition of the willing under President Kuchma.

  Mr Straw: There is no suggestion either by the US that I have ever seen or by ourselves that the fact that the Ukraine is making a valuable contribution to the coalition in Iraq should have held us back in respect of our view about these elections. I may say that this, of course, is a troop contribution agreed under the Government of President Kuchma. The issue for us in these elections, as for the whole of the EU and I believe the US too, is the process. We will respect any fair outcome. We are not trying to tell the Ukrainian people what to do. We are trying to ensure that they are able to determine themselves who should be the new president of that government. It is perfectly plain from all the evidence, and increasing evidence, that the elections were indeed flawed.

  Mr Mackay: Absolutely.

  Q62 Sir John Stanley: Foreign Secretary, going back to the Balkans, would you agree that though the results of international intervention around the world have been mixed as far as the Balkans are concerned, it has been (in my view certainly) a pretty well unqualified success, and if you ask yourself what would have happened to the Kosovo Albanians if we had not intervened in that country and what would have happened in terms of bloodshed in Bosnia and Herzegovina if we had not brought that civil war to an end, and if we had not gone in in the nick of time with additional NATO deployments in Macedonia when things looked dangerous there, I think most people would conclude that it was very fortunate that the international community intervened. The question I want to put to you is whether, at the forthcoming European Council, you are going to be beating the drum a bit for the Balkans in terms of the necessity for continuing international and EU commitments, and do you fear, as I do, that there is some degree of complacency creeping in as far as the Balkans is concerned? Obviously, everybody's mind is focused on Iraq and possibly to a lesser extent into Afghanistan where the bloodshed is taking place. Happily, there is not bloodshed taking place in the Balkans, but we have got a relatively tinder-box situation still in Kosovo and we have still got a potentially difficult and conceivably even dangerous situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina, so is it the British Government's view that we have to keep the international community and the EU seriously focused on making a commitment both financially and in terms of military and civilian resources, particularly in Kosovo and particularly in Bosnia and Herzegovina?

  Mr Straw: It is, and actually, Sir John, I do not perceive any complacency at all on this. The Balkans is the area where there has been a longer engagement of a European foreign policy and security policy than any other area in the world, for the most obvious reasons, that the conflict happened at an earlier stage and that the Maastricht Treaty was coming into force as the early stages of the conflict were being played out. I think everybody in Europe has realised that what happened in the early to mid 1990s was absolutely shameful, including the fact that the conflicts were exacerbated by different European countries taking explicitly different positions with disastrous results. There is therefore a very strong sense of not only the collective but also the individual responsibility of the European Union and its Member States respectively not to allow that ever to happen again and to work in concert. Javier Solana and his people have been at their most operational and effective up to now in respect of the Balkans. What happened is good. I entirely agree with you that, but for the engagement of the UN and the US, which has been critical, and NATO and the EU, that set of territories would have degenerated into further bloodshed and conflict with repercussions beyond the boundaries of the western Balkans. Just to underline the point about the EU's commitment, on 2 December, four days ago, as you will be aware, the EU military mission took over from NATO's SFor[8]in Bosnia, so we are deepening our engagement.

  Q63 Mr Pope: I would like to ask a couple of questions about Iraq, Foreign Secretary. It seems to me that things are getting worse rather than better. It has been a very difficult weekend in Iraq, with dozens of people killed in separate terrorist incidents. Surely you must have hoped that after Falluja there would be a period of comparative quiet as we work towards the January elections. How confident are you that those elections are going to be able to take place at all, if they do take place, in any atmosphere of stability and security?

  Mr Straw: I think they have to take place, is the answer. That is currently the decision of the United Nations Security Council, which is quite explicit, in Resolution 1546. That is the first point. The second point is that though the security situation is serious in some parts of Iraq, and very serious in particular parts, it is benign in many other parts of Iraq. There is inevitably a very public focus on the security situation because one area of instability and insecurity is within Baghdad, the capital. One of the things that helped us with Afghanistan was that Kabul was always about the most stable and secure area and it was the capital. That is not the case in Iraq and therefore, as well as the reality being different, the perceptions are different. You will have heard this morning the indication of General Abizaid, who is the senior US general, that the US are intending to increase troop numbers to 150,000 to make good the current deficiencies in the Iraqi national forces, so the Americans are also seized of this issue. I discussed it at some length yesterday on the telephone with Secretary Powell. I discussed it last week with Barham Salih, the Deputy Prime Minister, and the week before that with Foreign Minister Zebawi, and before that with Prime Minister Allawi. You may have seen what President Ghazi said on the television, I think today or maybe last night, where he was committing himself to the elections at the end of January. The environment is difficult but it is the judgment of the Iraqi interim government as well as the international community that worse than going ahead with the elections is postponing them. We need to be clear that the administrative arrangements are proceeding smoothly. This is not a "third world" country. This is a country with quite an extensive system of public administration. The foundation in any event for the electoral system has been there for some years because it is the food rationing system. You have got the Independent Elections Commission in Iraq using 542 offices, principally of the food rationing system, as the base for electoral registration. As of last week, when I did a press conference with Barham Salih, 186 political entities, which include both individuals and political parties, had registered with the Independent Elections Commission, and all that is on track. What is not is the security situation. Why is it not? Because some rather determined terrorist insurgents are determined to try to prevent the Iraqis from exercising a very basic human right: the right to vote their own government, and that is profoundly offensive to Iraqis above all, as well as to the international community. These terrorists are killing Iraqis, fellow Muslims, in far greater numbers than they are killing even American or other coalition forces, and that is why they have to be dealt with.

  Q64 Mr Pope: That is interesting. Certainly when I was in Iraq a few months ago one of the things that struck me was the great hunger of Iraqis for the democratic process.

  Mr Straw: They are fed up, to put it at its mildest, with tyranny and violence being the answer to political problems. They do not like it, but some people have a vested interest in it, such as remnants of the former regime and extremists and some outsiders who are trying to prevent this happening.

  Q65 Mr Pope: Can I ask you about the European Union and Iraq? The EU has obviously done a number of things. There has been a programme of about

300 million for reconstruction and humanitarian work. There has been some debt relief. There has been work on trade co-operation. Are you happy with the EU? Has it done enough or could it be doing quite a bit more?

  Mr Straw: I am. I think it is very well known that the EU was more or less split down the middle about the wisdom or otherwise of the original military action, and there was no foreign policy; there simply could not be. That meant that the EU was not directly involved in military action in the early stages. The main diplomatic focus has been the UN but it agreed on an Action Plan in respect of Iraq in June of this year. There have been two exploratory missions to Iraq and the outcome of this was that on 5 November a package of assistance was presented to Prime Minister Allawi. This included support for the elections,

30 million for the Independent Elections Commission of Iraq and the secondment of three mission election experts to support the IECI[9]and the UN, a commitment to start negotiations on a new EU/Iraq political and trading relationship, including the restoration of GSP[10]and support for police training in the rule of law and governance and EU humanitarian assistance to Iraq continues. Politically there is now in any event a more positive approach and that was well illustrated by the summit that was held a couple of weeks ago between President Chirac and our Prime Minister and relevant ministers.

  Q66 Mr Pope: How would you categorise EU/US relations now? Has the re-election of President Bush just meant that critics, such as President Chirac, have decided to draw a line under it, Bush is going to be there for another four years and they need to have a proper relationship with the US? Is there now some sense that we can put all this behind us, draw a line under it and move forward together between the EU and the US?

  Mr Straw: I think so. Inevitably, before any election, particularly an election of such significance as the US President, there will be all sorts of people taking all sorts of positions and maybe taking bets they later regret. Anyway, the result of an election with such a decisive conclusion is that people are now settled and they know that if they want relations with the US they will have to have them with the Bush administration. I am surprised to see I have got the same tie on as Mr Pope.

  Mr Pope: You have a fine taste in ties.

  Q67 Ms Stuart: It is the Irish Presidency tie.

  Mr Straw: I have to say it is the best tie any Presidency has provided.

  Q68 Mr Pope: You are also in the presence of the only two Labour MPs who backed Bush.

  Mr Straw: In terms of relations all the indications are that all the Member States want good relations with the American Government; they always have done, but a number of events, the passage of time since the Iraq major conflict, which is now well over 18 months, plus a conclusive result in the presidential elections, have made a difference.

  Q69 Sir John Stanley: Foreign Secretary, can I come back to Iraq and the forthcoming election? I can fully understand all the arguments against postponement in that it could be seen as a victory for the terrorists, etc, but I am sure you will agree that it is very important that the degree of turnout and participation and the way in which the election is conducted hopefully is as free as possible from intimidation and all those are such that genuine democratic validity is conferred on the result and on the constituent assembly. You referred to the American general's very sobering comments yesterday, which I do not think came as a great surprise, namely, that the Iraqi security forces—and I mean no criticism of them—simply have not had the training to deal with these very sophisticated terrorists acting with utter ruthlessness, and therefore the security job is going to fall onto the Americans and, of course, ourselves and the other members of the coalition of the willing. I thought one of the most sobering figures which was reported yesterday was that of the 135,000 members on the payroll of the Iraqi police approximately 50,000 now are staying at home as a result of intimidation. If those are the levels of intimidation that have been achieved one wonders how many of the civilian population are going to be intimidated against participating in the elections. Is it not clear that we are not just going to be able to rely on the Americans for putting more forces in? There are going to have to be additional contributions from other members of the coalition of the willing, perhaps including ourselves, and if it is just going to be increasing the Americans to 150,000 surely that is not going to be sufficient to provide the degree of security necessary for these elections to be held properly the length and breadth of Iraq at the end of January?

  Mr Straw: The security situation can and does change day by day and week by week. There is no doubt that the effect of the Falluja operation has been to weaken the insurgency but it has obviously not eliminated it and time will tell what its longer term consequences have been. As far as troop numbers are concerned the increase to 150,000 is quite substantial. I have not got the figures in my head. I think that is an increase of about 15,000.

  Q70 Chairman: From 135,000.

  Mr Straw: Yes, which is substantial. Sir John, you will be aware as far as British troop numbers are concerned that these are kept under review and announcements are made from time to time by the Secretary for Defence, Geoff Hoon. I am sorry: I cannot add any more to that.

  Q71 Chairman: Turning to the Middle East, with clearly the new opportunities with the new US administration's, apparently greater engagement, the Palestinian elections, to what extent will the European Union be assisting in the preparations for these elections in January?

  Mr Straw: They are assisting a great deal. The EU is, through the good offices of Javier Solana and Mark Otte, who is the EU's Special Representative in the Middle East, is actively involved, to a degree more actively involved now than it has been in the recent past when the politics were to a considerable extent on hold. They are involved, we are involved actively and everybody wants to see these elections take place in a benign environment. There are municipal elections on 23 December and then the presidential elections take place on 9 January. When I was in the area two weeks ago I discussed with both the Israelis and the Palestinians what security co-operation they would be ensuring to create this benign environment. The Israelis undertook quite publicly that they would follow broadly the same arrangements as were laid down in a 1995 original agreement which was the basis for their co-operation for the 1996 presidential elections. That essentially means lifting as many closures and blocks within the West Bank and Gaza as possible and separately co-operating with the Palestinian Authority in respect of the running of the elections in east Jerusalem. What happened in 1996 as I understand it was that there was a house-to-house canvass by students and then principally a postal ballot, for reasons which will be readily understood, because the issue of the status of east Jerusalem remains questioned by Israel in a way that the territorial status of the West Bank and Gaza does not.

  Q72 Chairman: So you are satisfied with the degree of co-operation?

  Mr Straw: Yes. The EU supported the Central Elections Commission—I visited the Central Elections Commission—and supported the voter registration process, and six million euros go into that. There are five EU-supported electoral consultants currently working with the Central Elections Commission. We are providing four million euros for the CEC preparations for the presidential elections and we are planning to send an election observation mission comprising an expert team of 20 and they have 150 observers.

  Q73 Sir John Stanley: What is the British Government's view, no doubt alongside the EU, if the Road Map is implemented, as to how much of the currently occupied West Bank should be withdrawn from being occupied by Israeli settlements?

  Mr Straw: If the Road Map is implemented, Sir John, that will be resolved within the Road Map in the final status negotiations.

  Q74 Sir John Stanley: Yes, of course, I understand that, but does the British Government have a view as to how much of the Occupied Territories of the West Bank should be given up by the Israeli Government and you gave the Sharon proposal a very rose-tinted view in your statement last week when you talked about withdrawal from the north West Bank. As you know, Foreign Secretary, we are talking about just four very small settlements representing less than one per cent of the total number of settlers on the West Bank. Is the British Government happy if that is the totality of the withdrawal from the West Bank?

  Mr Straw: No. I gave a warm welcome to what the Sharon Government has proposed, which is withdrawal from Gaza completely. I have not got the text in front of me but I have always been clear that we were talking about the withdrawal of four settlements in the northern part of the West Bank. I am as certain as I can be that that is what I said.

  Q75 Sir John Stanley: You said "withdrawal from the north West Bank".

  Mr Straw: I think I said four settlements. Anyway, I do not think we are arguing about anything.

  Q76 Sir John Stanley: It is quite important to give the correct impression though.

  Mr Straw: Yes. I have said time and again that this withdrawal, the one announced, is a necessary condition to the creation of a separate Palestinian state but by no means sufficient. I certainly do not accept the view that this is the end of the matter, certainly not. There would have to be withdrawal from a substantial part of the West Bank within its 1967 borders.

  Q77 Sir John Stanley: Could you just clarify that? It is very important wording, this. Just so that we understand, when you talk about withdrawal from a substantial part of the West Bank are you talking about a substantial part of the currently-occupied-with-settlements West Bank or a substantial part of the totality of the geographical area?

  Mr Straw: The totality within the 1967 boundaries; that is obvious. I cannot answer your question about what would be acceptable to us except to say that what is acceptable to us is what would be acceptable to both the parties in terms of final status negotiation. I am not making a trite point here. Our position is that we want to see the parties sitting round the table coming to a negotiation. It can only be sorted out in the end by negotiation which is supported internationally, but by negotiation between the Israelis and the Palestinians. Both sides know that things have moved on since 1967. They have also moved since Oslo; everybody understands that. They also know that they have to come to an agreement. In any final status negotiations there is going to be a trade. There are a number of things on the table. There is the issue of the unlawful settlements which are within the 1967 borders of the West Bank. There is the issue of the status of Jerusalem. There is the issue of the right of return of refugees and there are other matters. All these will be on the table and there is going to have to be a negotiation about those. With luck and good preparation there will be an agreement about final status, based broadly on the 1967 boundaries, as the Road Map makes clear, and the Road Map also makes clear that this is a subject for final negotiations. If I were suddenly to launch myself forth and say, "This is how they should reach a final negotiation", that would be insulting to both the key parties and inconsistent with the Road Map.

  Q78 Ms Stuart: Can I move to Neighbourhood Policy? There was a document presented to the Council in May 2004 and I just wonder what your assessment is in terms of any progress in EU relations with countries who have no immediate prospect, or who will probably never have a prospect, of EU membership. Very specifically, is the UK Government concerned that there does not appear to be anybody charged with human rights in Javier Solana's office, and therefore is sufficient attention being paid to human rights?

  Mr Barrow: On the European Neighbourhood Policy, as you know, the next stage is the drawing up of the Action Plan to which we referred earlier in the conversation about Belarus. Those Action Plans may go to the Commission next week and then to the Council the week after, so there has been progress. There has been a lot of detailed negotiation by the Commission with the countries concerned and the Action Plans are based upon the fundamental of conditionality for continued enhancement and progress in relations. Part of this aspect is human rights. I have not looked at the particular organogram of Mr Solana's office but on human rights it is always raised in the context of discussions with third countries. As you know, it is one of the key issues which cut across our policies and I do not think there is any deficiency of interest being taken in that.

  Q79 Ms Stuart: So we are quite satisfied that the issue of human rights in that policy is sufficiently covered?

  Mr Barrow: I am never going to say anything is sufficient; I am greedy, but I do not think human rights are being ignored in that policy.


8   Stabilisation Force Back

9   Independent Electoral Commission of Iraq Back

10   Generalised System of Preferences Back


 
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